国民"土味"汽水大窑，为何在巅峰时刻屡陷"卖身"疑云？ 夏日烧烤摊上，年轻人举着大窑嘉宾畅饮的情形并不少见。这个来自内蒙古的国民汽水，悄然占据着北 方餐馆的各个餐桌，成为烤串、火锅的"标配"。 从呼和浩特街头叫卖起步的大窑，传闻年销超30亿，超过北冰洋、冰峰，更在可口可乐、百事可乐几近 垄断的缝隙中，撕开了一条国产汽水的"血路"。 然而，国产"销冠"的聚光灯下，大窑却不时传来卖身传闻。6月末，据《36氪》报道，美国私募股权机 构KKR拟收购一家中国饮料公司85%股权，被猜测为大窑饮品。大窑以"不予置评"回应，这已是它继 2023年否认被可口可乐收购后，再度陷入"卖身"传闻。此外，其将于2025年赴港上市的消息也在资本市 场此起彼伏。 国产品牌被头部外资盯上，是高光时刻还是出让"主权"？一瓶区域汽水如何杀入决赛圈，又为何在巅峰 时刻屡陷"卖身"疑云？ 一位来自湖北地区的饮料厂商告诉《豹变》，据他观察，不只是湖北当地，即便放眼全国餐馆，都是大 窑卖得最好，而且已经火了两三年。相比之下，北冰洋、冰峰这些"北方"饮料在湖北地区很少见，除了 大窑，比较多的还有来自广州的华洋汽水。 成为多数顾客的首选之余，大窑与可口可乐 ...

Group 1: Characteristics of US Tariff Policy - The US tariff policy since 2025 has shown a broad coverage and significant expansion, imposing a 10% basic tariff on nearly all imported goods, impacting various industries including electronics, machinery, chemicals, and textiles [2][3] - The tariff rates are differentiated based on trade deficit and competitive relationships, with complex exemption processes for even "friendly" countries, indicating a strategic use of tariffs for economic and political goals [3] - The policy exhibits high uncertainty, with frequent adjustments causing confusion among global trade participants, complicating long-term business planning [3] Group 2: Impact on the US Economy - The tariff policy aims to protect domestic industries and reduce trade deficits, but it has led to rising inflation pressures, with the Federal Reserve adjusting GDP growth forecasts down by 0.3 percentage points to 1.4% for 2025 [4] - US companies, including local and foreign firms, face increased import costs disrupting supply chains, with small furniture manufacturers and farmers in the Midwest experiencing severe financial difficulties due to tariff impacts [5] - The US's international credibility is damaged due to erratic policy changes, leading to decreased confidence among global investors and trade partners, reflected in the reduced attractiveness of US Treasury bonds [6] Group 3: Global Economic and Financial Impact - The US tariff policy disrupts global trade and capital flows, raising import prices and suppressing trade activity, with the World Bank predicting a decline in global trade growth rates for 2025 and 2026 [7][8] - The policy negatively affects global economic growth, with rising import prices reducing consumer purchasing power and investment uncertainty leading to cautious business decisions [8] - The tariffs challenge existing international trade rules, prompting a shift towards new regional trade agreements and increasing the influence of emerging economies in global trade rule-making [8] Group 4: Challenges and Opportunities for China - China's export costs rise due to US tariffs, particularly in the automotive sector, where exports to the US reached $17.15 billion in 2024, leading to profit compression and increased logistics costs [9][10] - The demand for Chinese exports in machinery, textiles, and apparel declines as US tariffs diminish price competitiveness, with a potential 20-30% drop in textile exports anticipated with a 10% tariff increase [10] - The pressure to relocate supply chains increases as multinational companies consider moving production to regions with lower tariffs, impacting China's position in global supply chains [11] Group 5: China's Response to US Tariff Policy - China has taken a firm stance against US tariffs, implementing reciprocal measures and engaging in trade talks to maintain economic relations [13] - The country is enhancing trade ties with other economies through initiatives like the Belt and Road, reducing reliance on the US market and expanding its global trade footprint [13][14] - China is advocating for multilateral mechanisms to address US violations of trade rules, strengthening its position in global trade discussions and enhancing its economic resilience [14]

上半年，FOF产品凭借多元资产的策略优势，向市场交出了一份亮眼的成绩单。 截至6月30日，2025年上半年FOF的整体平均收益为3.11%，以正收益收官。部分进取型FOF通过配置主题型 ETF、海外资产及商品型工具业绩领跑，实现了超过10%的涨幅。 与此同时，FOF新发热度不减，产品类型日趋多元，策略设计更加精细。多位业内人士指出，FOF所代表的多 资产策略正在逐步深入人心，成为当前资产管理行业寻求穿越周期的重要方向。 中期业绩出炉，绩优FOF青睐权益资产 截至6月30日，今年上半年表现突出的FOF包括渤海汇金优选进取6个月持有A、工银睿智进取一年A、工银养 老2050Y，分别收涨15.19%、14.88%、14.59%。整体来看，FOF产品上半年平均收益为3.11%，实现正收益收 官。 渤海汇金优选进取6个月由叶萌管理，以一季度末的情况看，该基金的重仓以被动指数产品为主，布局聚焦于 主题类ETF，涵盖银华国证港股通创新药ETF、华宝中证银行ETF、鹏华中证酒ETF等。此外，该产品还配置 了多只QDII，如华安纳斯达克100ETF、广发纳斯达克100ETF，以及大宗商品类基金华安黄金ETF，并搭配一 定比例的 ...

Group 1: Global Monetary Policy and Asset Trends - The global monetary policy remains accommodative, leading to a surge in the supply of US dollars, which enhances the importance of gold as countries seek to diversify their settlement systems and reserve safety [1] - Decentralized assets like Bitcoin are attracting capital due to their scarcity, especially as the credit system faces challenges [1] - The trend of de-dollarization is gaining momentum, with central banks increasing their gold reserves, indicating a shift towards a more diversified global monetary system [9] Group 2: Market Predictions and Economic Indicators - Analysts predict that gold could reach $6,000 per ounce during Trump's presidency, with similar forecasts from major financial institutions like JPMorgan [3] - Despite a weak dollar, the US stock market continues to perform well, supported by the export advantages of high-tech companies and increased overseas profits [7] - The dollar's status as a safe-haven asset is diminishing, with institutional investors shifting towards gold, Bitcoin, European sovereign debt, and emerging market stocks [5] Group 3: Future Market Dynamics - The upcoming market dynamics will be influenced by geopolitical conflicts, trade disputes, growth expectations, and technological competition, which could trigger new volatility [9] - Key trading themes for the second half of 2025 include the potential for gold to reach new highs, the impact of a weak dollar on US equities, and the implications of rising debt and slowing growth on Federal Reserve policies [15] - The easing of US-China chip tensions and the potential for a resurgence in China's AI sector are also critical factors to watch [10]

摘要 全球经济或触底反弹，欧洲和亚洲（特别是中国）可能成为亮点。美国 经济增速预计放缓至 1.5%，通胀受关税影响短期上升，美联储或降息， 美元走弱，利好非美市场。 欧洲各国积极财政政策，德国军费大幅增加，市场对德国经济增长预期 上调。资金从美国流向欧洲，表明投资者对欧洲经济前景乐观。 美国与欧盟贸易谈判进展缓慢，但预计最终将达成妥协。欧洲能源成本 已恢复至疫情前水平，对经济产生积极影响，但市场尚未充分预期。 亚洲新兴市场国家（如韩国、中国）宏观表现超预期。中国出口拉动、 高端制造业升级、消费结构转型显现成效，经济增速超预期。 美元指数走弱对非美资产形成利好，预计 2025 年下半年非美权益市场 表现较好。全球国债市场表现分化，美国及部分拉美和亚洲国家长债表 现较好。 黄金价格受地缘政治影响短期难以突破前高，但长期来看，美元储备地 位削弱，多元储备体系形成，黄金仍具上涨潜力。铜价受库存转移和市 场情绪影响波动，短期或持续上涨，但中期高位难以维持。 中国经济结构转型，工业企业利润与 PPI 背离，上市公司 ROE 与 PPI 背 离，贸易顺差与社融背离，汇率与利率、中美利差背离等现象，都反映 了新的宏观背景带来 ...

今年上半年，FOF产品凭借多元资产配置的策略优势，在市场中展现出强劲表现。截至6月30日，FOF整体平均收益达到3.11%，实现正收益收官。部分进取 型FOF通过配置主题型ETF、海外资产及商品型工具，成功实现业绩领跑。 同时，FOF新发热度持续升温，产品类型日趋多元化，策略设计更加精细。多资产策略正在逐步深入人心，成为当前资产管理行业寻求穿越周期的重要方 向。 南方稳见3个月持有和招商稳健策略优选3个月持有也分别达到36.26亿元和29.71亿元，成为资金追捧的代表性产品。这些产品的成功发行，反映了投资者对 专业资产配置的认可度不断提升。 部分新品在策略设计上体现出鲜明特色。富达基金推出的富达任远稳健三个月持有FOF，被视为布局中国养老业务的开局之作。该产品借鉴了集团在全球市 场成熟运作的目标风险策略，采用稳健型资产配置思路。 绩优FOF配置策略多元化 今年上半年表现突出的FOF产品中，渤海汇金优选进取6个月持有A、工银睿智进取一年A、工银养老2050Y分别收涨15.19%、14.88%、14.59%。这些产品在 配置策略上呈现出鲜明特色。 工银睿智进取一年同样偏好被动指数策略，重点配置富国中证港股通互联网 ...

Group 1 - Jiangsu's night economy is being redefined with new consumption scenarios that blend traditional and modern elements, creating a vibrant night-time atmosphere for both residents and tourists [2][5] - The Jiangsu Provincial Department of Commerce has announced a list of 50 "Night Consumption Gathering Business Circles," which integrate various business formats such as cultural performances, sports events, and trendy entertainment [2][5] - The opening of MINISO SPACE in Nanjing represents a shift towards experiential consumption, where consumers seek emotional connections rather than just products [3][4] Group 2 - The "Garden Football Theme Night Market" in Yangzhou combines traditional culture with sports, enhancing the dining experience and attracting significant foot traffic [5][6] - The transformation of commercial spaces into "emotional containers" is crucial for the success of night-time consumption, as seen in various innovative retail environments [3][4] - The D9 Cultural and Creative Commercial Street in Nanjing has become a new highlight for night-time cultural consumption, featuring interactive installations that attract a diverse audience [6] Group 3 - The integration of sports events with commercial activities has proven effective, as seen in the "Viewing Ticket Benefits" initiative in Nanjing, which incentivizes consumer spending during sports events [7][8] - The rise of "first-store economy" and night services is creating a unique synergy, with increased foot traffic and sales during evening hours [7][8] - Cultural elements are being leveraged to enhance the night economy, with events and markets that reflect local heritage and attract large crowds [9][10] Group 4 - The revitalization of urban spaces through lighting and design has significantly increased night-time activity, as demonstrated by the successful transformation of the Jingji Road area in Zhenjiang [10] - The night economy in Jiangsu is evolving beyond mere shopping and dining, becoming a medium for cultural expression and community engagement [10]

Core Viewpoint - The return of Wang Zhentao as chairman and president of Aokang International is seen as a dual measure for "rescue" and "breakthrough" amid the company's ongoing operational difficulties, with significant challenges ahead [1][8]. Company Performance - Aokang International has faced continuous losses in its main business from 2019 to 2024, with a cumulative net profit loss of 899 million yuan [1][6]. - The company's net profit and non-recurring net profit continued to decline in the first quarter of 2025, with losses of 44 million yuan and 48 million yuan, respectively [6]. Governance and Internal Control - Wang Zhentao resigned as chairman in December 2024 due to penalties for unauthorized fund usage and delayed disclosures, indicating a need for governance reconstruction [2][7]. - As of June 26, 2025, Wang's share pledge ratio for Aokang International was 99.08%, with 60 million shares pledged out of 60.56 million shares held [7][8]. Industry Context - The footwear industry is contracting, with China's shoe production declining from 4.618 billion pairs in 2016 to 3.524 billion pairs in 2021, and projections suggest a further reduction to 1.7 billion pairs by 2026 [8]. - Aokang International has attempted various strategies to innovate and revitalize its product offerings, including launching a new line of sports shoes and collaborations with brands like Marvel, but these efforts have yielded limited financial success [8].

今年以来的中美贸易摩擦，给我国外贸企业带来了巨大挑战。面对复杂多变的形势，外贸企业如何调整 生产节奏、应对订单变化？如何积极拓展新市场、提升产品附加值？经济日报记者奔赴浙江等外贸大 省，实地采访调研，观察我国外贸企业在风浪中坚守，凭借实力向上生长、向新而生的韧性与智慧。 5月12日发布的《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》成为二季度浙江外贸企业对美业务的分水岭。 之前一个多月的停顿、观望和小批量生产，立刻被全力恢复生产、物流飞速运转、洽谈新单取代。记者 在采访中看到，面对从暂停键到快进键的戏剧性变化，浙江外贸企业一边根据订单变化调整生产节奏， 一边拓展新市场、提升附加值，普遍表现出任凭风吹浪打、我自岿然不动的沉着与有序。 见惯风雨沉着坚守 5月16日8时30分，距离义乌国际商贸城二区开门营业还有一个小时。一堂特殊的西班牙语培训课在商贸 城一楼的"外语晨练基地"准时开始。 "你要订购多少个？""有最少起订量吗？""数量越多，价格越低……"老练的义乌商户变身专注的学生， 站在这个没有课桌椅的免费课堂里跟着老师大声朗读。培训内容来自做生意的高频使用场景，很接地 气，受到商户一致欢迎。 当天是西班牙语老师罗丽的教学首秀。罗 ...

□本报记者 魏昭宇 7月4日，华宝基金发布公告称，为保护持有人的利益，自7月7日起，华宝纳斯达克精选股票型发起式证 券投资基金（QDII）在各代销机构的单日单个基金账户累计申购（含定投，A类、C类份额分别计算） 金额上限调整为2万元（含）。公开资料显示，该基金此前的大额申购限制为5000元。 同日，华宝基金还有多只QDII产品调整了大额申购限制金额。比如，华宝致远混合型证券投资基金 （QDII）将之前2万元的大额申购门槛调整为20万元，华宝海外科技股票（QDII-LOF）将之前2000元的 大额申购门槛调整为1万元。 7月以来，不少QDII基金恢复了正常申购业务或提升申购限制金额。比如，华安基金在7月2日发布公告 称，为满足基金投资者的投资需求，公司决定自7月3日起恢复华安日经225ETF的申购业务。此外，汇 添富纳斯达克生物科技ETF发起式联接（QDII）、汇添富纳斯达克100ETF发起式联接（QDII）等多只 产品发布公告称，恢复大额申购业务。 7月以来，华宝基金、汇添富基金、华安基金等多家公募机构旗下QDII产品"开门迎客"，或恢复QDII产 品的正常申购业务，或提升QDII产品的大额限购金额。 据悉， ...