Core Viewpoint - The event "Enjoying Self-creation" 2025 Star Enjoy User Night showcased the launch of a new car logo by Huawei and BAIC Group, emphasizing the brand's commitment to user engagement and high-quality manufacturing [1][9]. Group 1: New Logo and Design - The new logo features a hexagonal design that continues the family lineage of Harmony Intelligent Driving, incorporating a silver ratio and G3 curvature to enhance visual rhythm [3]. - The logo's dual-layer design symbolizes a romantic connection with users, with the upper layer representing star-like radiance and the lower layer showcasing intricate micro-level electroforming craftsmanship [3]. Group 2: Sales Performance - In June, the Enjoy S9 model achieved impressive sales, delivering 4,154 units in a single month, securing the top position in the sales of new energy sedans above 300,000 units [5]. Group 3: Super Factory Experience - The Enjoy Super Factory in Beijing has become a popular destination for users, allowing them to witness the production process firsthand, which enhances trust in the brand [5]. - The factory integrates digital flexible production lines, AI quality inspection, and ADS intelligent driving calibration, showcasing advanced manufacturing capabilities [5]. Group 4: User-Centric Approach - The factory emphasizes transparency in manufacturing processes, fostering a strong connection with users by openly sharing how and for whom the cars are made [7]. - User-selected configurations are quickly translated into precise production instructions, ensuring that each vehicle meets individual preferences [5]. Group 5: Future Product Launch - A new travel vehicle from Enjoy is set to launch in the fall, further expanding the product lineup and demonstrating the brand's dedication to understanding user needs [9]. - The brand's journey towards high-end manufacturing is rooted in deep insights into user demands and a relentless pursuit of product quality [9].

策略师：全球秩序重塑 未来数年通胀与利率齐升，美元走弱 金十数据7月9日讯，新加坡华侨银行首席宏观策略师Mansoor Mohi-uddin表示，全球正从以美国为主导 的秩序向更加分裂的世界格局转变。这种趋势将在未来五到十年内导致持续的通胀压力、更高的利率、 美元走弱、黄金价格创新高，以及对避险资产的需求显著上升。他指出，自疫情爆发以来，美国核心通 胀率已有五年时间持续高于美联储2%的目标水平。而特朗普政府的国防开支增加以及关税政策很可能 使通胀在本十年剩余时间里都持续高于美联储的目标。 ...

英国央行：高关税增加企业违约的可能性。风险资产价格大幅下跌的风险依然很高。在压力期间美元走 势的历史模式出现了更多的破裂，导致对冲需求增加。外国投资者对美国资产的对冲增加可能削弱美 元。 ...

2025 年 7 月 9 日 银河能化-20250709 早报 【银河期货】原油期货早报（25-07-09） 【市场回顾】 原油结算价：WTI2508 合约 68.33 涨 0.40 美元/桶，环比+0.59%；Brent2509 合约 70.15 涨 0.57 美元/桶，环比+0.82%。SC 主力合约 2508 涨 8.6 至 509.9 元/桶，夜盘涨 6.4 至 516.3 元/桶。Brent 主力-次行价差 1.17 美金/桶。 【相关资讯】 美国总统特朗普周二进一步扩大全球贸易战，宣布对进口铜征收 50%关税，并表示长期以 来威胁要征收的半导体和药品关税即将出台。他还表示，与欧盟和中国的贸易谈判进展良 好，但称"很可能"在两天内告诉欧盟对美出口的预期税率。 特朗普对 14 个国家宣布将对它们加征关税后，日本和韩国表示，他们将尝试与美国进行 谈判，以减轻特朗普总统计划从 8 月初开始实施的大幅提高关税的影响。美国白宫经济顾 问委员会主席米兰表示，他乐观地认为本周末之前可以达成更多贸易协议。 EIA 将今年的全球石油日产量增长预测从日增 160 万桶上调至 180 万桶，并将 2026 年的增 长预测 ...

| | PX&PTA&PR | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025/7/9 | 品种 | 更新日期 | 单位 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌(幅) | | | 期货结算价(连续):WTI原油 | 2025/7/8 | 美元/桶 | 68.33 | 67.93 | 0.59% | | 上 | 期货结算价(连续):布伦特原油 | 2025/7/8 | 美元/桶 | 70.15 | 69.58 | 0.82% | | 游 | 现货价(中间价):石脑油:CFR日本 | 2025/7/7 | 美元/吨 | 577.00 | 578.75 | -0.30% | | | 现货价(中间价):二甲苯(异构级):FOB韩国 | 2025/7/7 | 美元/吨 | 715.50 | 716.50 | -0.14% | | | 现货价:对二甲苯PX:CFR中国主港 | 2025/7/7 | 美元/吨 | 841.67 | 839.67 | 0.24% | | | CZCE TA 主力合约 收盘价 | 2025/7/8 | 元/吨 | 4710.00 ...

机构：预计7月份整体面板市场需求将环比收缩 金十数据7月9日讯，群智咨询（Sigmaintell）预测，7月份，从国内市场来看，"618"显示器销售表现超 预期，随着促销结束，国内显示器市场进入需求调整期，叠加国补政策持续收紧，进一步抑制消费活 力；北美市场由于制造成本进一步向终端零售价格转嫁，终端市场表现疲软，品牌厂商仍以库存控制为 核心策略，同时关税豁免期临近结束，政策调整可能引发供应链波动，品牌厂商观望情绪强烈，面板采 购趋于谨慎。预计7月份整体市场需求将环比收缩。 ...

马来西亚央行：经济增长前景的风险偏向下行，主要源于全球贸易放缓。展望未来，经济增长预计将受 到国内需求韧性的支持。降低基准利率是为应对适度通胀前景而采取的先发制人措施，旨在维护经济的 稳定增长。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai real estate market has shown a positive recovery trend in the first half of 2025, driven by the implementation of various policies and an increase in housing demand [1][4]. Market Performance - In the first six months of 2025, Shanghai's total housing transactions reached 13.11 million square meters, marking a 17% increase year-on-year, the highest for the same period since 2022 [1]. - The new housing market remained stable, with a total transaction of 3.26 million square meters, showing a year-on-year stability [1]. - The average daily transaction volume for available projects increased by 38% compared to the same period in 2024, reaching approximately 10,000 square meters [1]. Luxury and Second-hand Housing Market - The luxury housing market saw significant activity, with 1,096 new housing transactions priced at 30 million yuan and above, totaling 55.3 billion yuan, a 184% increase from 19.4 billion yuan in the first half of 2023 [2]. - The second-hand housing market also thrived, with a total transaction of 9.85 million square meters (116,000 units), a 24% year-on-year increase, the highest since 2022 [3]. - The second-hand housing price index has risen by 1.3% since the implementation of the "沪七条" policy [3]. Market Dynamics - The demand for high-quality and well-located properties has been strong, with over 65% of new projects in the outer ring area achieving a subscription rate exceeding 1 [2]. - The market has shown a clear differentiation in subscription rates, with high-demand projects characterized by favorable locations and strong product appeal [2]. - The overall market sentiment indicates a robust recovery, with policies effectively stimulating housing demand and supply adjustments [4].

7月9日亚盘早市，国际现货黄金延续隔夜跌势，开盘后快速下探至3284.9美元/盎司，创7月2日以来新低，随后小幅反弹 至3390美元/盎司附近震荡，日内跌幅达0.34%。较上一交易日收盘价下跌16美元左右，市场交投情绪显著转空。 | 昨收 | 3301.63 最高 | 3307.90 | | --- | --- | --- | | 开盘 | 3301.26 最低 | 3284.92 | | 买入 | 3290.30 卖出 | 3290.50 | 一、贸易乐观情绪主导市场，避险需求大幅降温 美国总统特朗普于7月7日宣布将对日本、韩国等14国加征关税的生效日期推迟至8月1日，并明确表示"对等关税"将不再延 期。尽管关税最终落地仍存不确定性，但日韩等国已表态将在8月1日前与美方积极谈判，市场对贸易摩擦升级的担忧暂时 缓解。 日本财务大臣麻生太郎称将密切评估关税影响，韩国产业通商资源部则表示将争取减少冲击。这一政策缓冲期的延长，叠 加地缘政治风险边际缓和（如霍尔木兹海峡通航量回升至正常水平的60%），推动全球风险偏好回升，黄金作为避险资产 的吸引力显著下降。 二、美元走强与美联储政策预期压制金价 美元指数在亚盘早市延 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the soda ash futures market is experiencing a volatile upward trend, with the main contract priced at 1190.00 yuan/ton, reflecting a 1.10% increase [1] - Weekly production of soda ash in China decreased to 709,000 tons, a 1.09% decline from the previous week, while the capacity utilization rate slightly fell to 81.32%, down 0.89% [2] - Domestic soda ash manufacturers' total inventory reached 1.8481 million tons, an increase of 38,600 tons or 2.13% from the previous week, with light soda ash at 805,800 tons and heavy soda ash at 1.0423 million tons [2] Group 2 - East China Futures notes that the glass industry is expected to reduce production due to signals from the Central Financial Committee regarding governance, raising concerns about potential capacity exit in the soda ash market [3] - The soda ash profit margin has decreased week-on-week, with ammonia-soda method profits turning negative and the soda-lime method profits at breakeven [3] - Ningzheng Futures observes that the domestic soda ash market remains weak and fluctuating, with high supply and inventory levels, and downstream enterprises showing low purchasing enthusiasm [3]