在库存增加背景下，马来西亚棕榈油价格却屡创新高，这是空头陷阱还是牛市前兆？ 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...

黄金陷入区间震荡，今日重要位置在哪里？美元支撑明确，黄金空头下一个目标在哪里？点击查看详细 分析 相关链接 ...

周一（5月12日）亚洲市场刚开盘，现货黄金就低开低走，因为上周末中美在瑞士日内瓦开了个高层会谈，谈得挺不错，有了实质 性进展。这一下子就把市场的冒险情绪给提起来了，大家都不怎么想买黄金来避险了。再加上普京说15号要在土耳其恢复俄乌直接 谈判，印巴也停火了，这些消息都让黄金的多头信心受挫。2025年5月12日，在瑞士日内瓦举行的首轮高层中美贸易谈判中，双方 联合声明发布后，金融市场反应强烈，美元指数、现货黄金和布伦特原油都出现了大幅波动。 今日黄金低开低走，接近前期低点附近止跌反弹。四小时级别图显示，自3500至3440区域已构筑下跌趋势通道，当前下方支撑位在 3164附近。需注意该支撑位生效的前提是金价有效跌破3200前低点。通道中轨位于早盘高点3292位置，目前金价运行于通道中下轨 之间，因此3292可作为中期多空分水岭参考。在此关键位下方，翁富豪建议整体思路仍以看空为主。 1.黄金建议反弹3252-3258区域做空，止损在3265，目标看3240-3230 . 文章没有太多华丽的语言与鸡汤，一直如此，我相信每一位读者缺乏的不是鸡汤，而是实实在在的分析与强大的理论，我是翁富豪 老师，最后祝大家交易愉快。免责 ...

贸易冲突正在缓和？黄金空头持续能否强势？今夜趋势应呈现单边或是震荡？TTPS团队交易学长正在 直播中，点击观看！ 相关链接 黄金行情分析中 ...

实时黄金行情分析 避险需求急速下降！黄金空头短线发力，后市如何布局？顺姐正在实时分析，点击观看 相关链接 ...

从经济层面看，宽松货币正策能够有效削减资金使用成本，cz刺激则有助于拉动市场需求。在资本市场 领域，上市公司发展依赖充足订单，估值提升也离不开充裕的流动性支撑。 随着美联储 6 月后开启降息周期，国内外利差将逐步收窄，我国后续或持续以货币宽松政策提振市场预 期。 降准降息正策已迅速实施，超出不少人的预期。事实上，这或许仅是正策调整的开端。接下来将为大家 详细解读，特别提醒各位留意文章结尾部分，那里总结了核心观点，建议重点掌握。 一，刺激开始落地 自川普上台以来，一系列举措，无论是关税调整还是其他正策，都极易引发通胀上行。但对我国而言， 关键在于夯实自身发展根基，切实激活内需潜力。 提振内需的核心路径，一是依靠cz扩张带动需求，二是借助货币宽松降低融资成本，这也呼应了近期落 地的降息降准政策。 正如老话所说，政策一旦启动便难以逆转，后续需求端与货币端的支持正策料将持续加码。随着我国货 币宽松落地，叠加美联储降息周期开启，市场流动性趋于充裕已是大势所趋。 然而，部分投资者认为此次政策出台后，市场表现未达预期。事实真是如此吗？实则嗅觉敏锐的资金早 已提前布局获利，选择高位离场，这才导致周三市场未能迎来大幅上涨行情。 ...

Core Insights - Ethereum (ETH) has recently gained significant attention in the market due to a remarkable price surge, rising over 40% within 72 hours to reach $2,600, marking its best three-day performance since 2019 when prices were below $200 [4]. Group 1: Market Drivers - The strong performance of Ethereum is attributed to three main factors: macroeconomic improvements, technical upgrades, and increased accumulation by large investors [3]. - The successful implementation of the Pectra upgrade on May 7 introduced key technical improvements, enhancing the usability and flexibility of the Ethereum network, which boosted investor confidence [5]. - Positive macroeconomic developments, including a new trade agreement between the US and UK and the initiation of US-China trade talks, have improved market risk appetite, creating a favorable environment for cryptocurrencies [5]. Group 2: Short Squeeze Dynamics - A significant short squeeze occurred in the Ethereum futures market starting May 8, with a liquidation amount of $437.94 million for short positions, far exceeding the $211.29 million for long positions [6]. - The rapid price increase forced short sellers to buy back ETH to cover their positions, further driving up the price in a classic short squeeze scenario [8]. - The total value of Ethereum's open interest surged from $21.28 billion on May 8 to $26.77 billion by May 10, indicating increased market participation and bullish sentiment among traders [8][11]. Group 3: Whale Accumulation - On-chain data reveals that addresses holding over 10,000 ETH, referred to as "whales," have been strategically increasing their holdings prior to the price surge [12]. - Since late April, these whale addresses have shifted to a net positive position, steadily increasing their holdings, which now exceed 40.75 million ETH, the highest level since March 2025 [16]. - The continued accumulation by these large entities is interpreted as a strong bullish signal, reinforcing positive market sentiment towards Ethereum [16].

Group 1 - The implementation of monetary easing measures, including interest rate cuts and reserve requirement ratio reductions, is expected to stimulate demand and lower funding costs [2][6][8] - The capital market requires increased order demand and liquidity to support valuation expansion, which is anticipated to improve with the recent monetary policies [3][4] - The ongoing monetary easing in conjunction with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts is likely to lead to increased liquidity in the market [8][4] Group 2 - Investors may have missed the initial market rally due to a lack of understanding of institutional fund movements, which are crucial for stock price increases [9][11] - The analysis of institutional behavior through big data can reveal market truths, helping investors avoid being misled by price movements [11][16] - The phenomenon of "institutional shakeout" indicates that institutional funds may temporarily suppress stock prices to eliminate weaker hands before a potential price increase [15][17]

ETF进化论 空头又危险了？ 原创 阅读全文 ...

华尔街大逆转：空头陷阱正在崩塌，投资者被迫改变立场？ 在市场急剧震荡的四月之后，华尔街正经历一场壮观的反弹，让许多仓促做出的防御性决策显得过于草 率。据媒体报道，押注美元走弱、做空股票市场以及押注波动性上升的拥挤交易突然变得脆弱，这背后 是特朗普对关税态度的缓和以及一系列积极的经济数据推动的情绪回暖。 错误押注的痛苦正在各类资产中显现。 美元在过去三周小幅上涨，挫败了那些将空头头寸提高到七个月高位的投资者。标普500指数在过去14 个交易日中有11天上涨，抹去了因关税担忧带来的损失，这与那些以创纪录速度抛售美股的投资者预期 背道而驰。 市场图表 华尔街的情绪急剧转变源于特朗普对贸易强硬立场的收敛。此外，一系列显示就业市场弹性和温和通胀 的数据，以及美联储主席鲍威尔关于经济仍然稳健的发言，共同构成了促使投资者撤销衰退交易的因 素。 垃圾债券重新获利，iShares iBoxx美元高收益公司债券ETF在过去一个月上涨近4%；芝加哥期权交易所 波动率指数(VIX)自四月初以来连续数周下滑，这对顽固的波动率买家是一个打击，他们的多头仓位在 今年三月达到了六年高位并一直保持在这些水平附近。 此前，高盛交易员布莱恩·加勒 ...