现货黄金突破3340美元/盎司关口，日内涨0.4%。 ...

黄金逼近3330关口，震荡格局能否打破？立即观看超V研究员Alex多品种实时分析>>> 相关链接 ...

非农依旧强劲 降息还需谨慎 上周五（6月6日）晚间公布美国5月非农就业人口数据录得增加13.9万人，略好于市场预期的增加13万人；同时公布的还有美国5 月的失业率录得4.2%，同市场预期以及前值保持一致。另外我们关注到美国5月平均每小时工资年率录得3.9%，高于前值的3.8% 以及预期的3.7%，月率录得0.4%，高于前值的0.2%和预期的0.3%。 时薪高于预期，失业率维持稳定，暗示美国就业市场依旧具有韧劲，而且正在进一步佐证美联储官员对于通胀未能及时下行的 担忧，非农报告将更进一步的强化了美联储对降息更加谨慎的观望态度。 地缘摩擦依旧 激化概率不大 全球地缘政治局势虽仍处于动荡状态，但紧张程度有所缓和。俄乌冲突持续三年，随着特朗普上台，双方展现出明显的和谈意 愿。鉴于美国已基本实现吸引欧洲资金回流、掌控乌克兰资源的战略目标，俄乌冲突进一步升级的可能性显著降低。 在中东地区，哈马斯积极寻求与以色列达成加沙地带永久性停火协议；伊朗也在铀浓缩问题上释放积极信号，美伊重启核协议 的可能性逐渐增加。由于市场已对这些地缘冲突产生一定程度的免疫，在局势未出现重大恶化的情况下，黄金作为避险资产的 吸引力受到抑制，风险溢价 ...

金十数据6月9日讯，StoneX分析师Fawad Razaqzada：由于风险情绪改善和美元走强的可能性，黄金的 前景变得黯淡。周五强于预期的美国就业报告鼓励市场押注美元走强，进一步打压黄金的避险吸引力。 黄金价格有可能出现短期回调。不过，他补充称，技术交易指标仍看涨，仍有重新上涨的潜力。 分析师：黄金价格有可能出现短期回调 ...

Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in gold prices are primarily influenced by the relationship between China and the U.S., as well as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict [4]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The recent improvement in U.S.-China relations, indicated by the June 5 phone call between the leaders, suggests a potential easing of trade tensions, which could stabilize global markets and reduce the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [4]. - The Russia-Ukraine conflict, while currently limited, could lead to increased demand for gold if the situation escalates. However, the current restraint from both sides indicates limited immediate impact on gold prices [4]. Group 2: Current and Future Price Predictions - Current gold prices are approximately 830 yuan per gram, which is considered a high point [6]. - It is anticipated that gold prices may fluctuate between 750 and 780 yuan per gram in the short term, with a potential drop to around 680 yuan if substantial progress is made in U.S.-China relations [7]. - The likelihood of gold prices falling below 650 yuan is minimal due to the absence of significant interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank [7]. Group 3: Long-term Considerations - Long-term gold price trends will be influenced by global inflation, changes in monetary policy, and fiscal policies across countries, leading to potential volatility [7]. - While gold can be a part of an investment strategy, it is advised to diversify investments rather than concentrating solely on gold due to inherent market risks [9].

Group 1 - The article discusses the shift in gold market sentiment from bullish to bearish, indicating a potential continuation of the downtrend or a breakout above 3330 [1] - It highlights the current resistance level that gold has reached, suggesting that traders are closely monitoring this point for future price movements [1] - The article mentions a live trading session by a trading academy, indicating ongoing engagement and analysis in the gold market [1]

我们从近期价格运行的通道进行对比，前期高点3366回撤到3246幅度是120美金，那么从目前的高点等距离的通道来看，下方的的位置应 该在3280附近，这也就说明，价格守在3280的上方，短期通道依旧完整，不排除进一步上行的可能性。但从当前大幅回撤的节奏去衡量， 小反抽还是有看回落的机会，低点即使不出现破位，也会出现重复测试。早间出现回落之后，目前的高点就是今天日内极弱还是震荡的分 水岭，所以今天的价格只要处于3320之下，可以当做极弱去对待，突破在去关注震荡周期的阻力位。 今日日内关键的阻力位在周五凌晨反抽的高点3332-3336，以及周五的起跌点3370附近是短期空头的防守位，关键的支撑位在通道线的下沿 3280附近，以及前期顶底转换为3250一线。 以上内容仅代表个人观点，不作为操作依据。 运气就是，机会碰巧撞到了你的努力，而幸福就是只要牵对了手，就算失去了方向感，也不会害怕。找不到对的人，其实很可能是，改不 掉错的自己，勇敢不是不害怕，而是害怕的时候还能坚持去做。望着阴霾下早晨的窗外，看不了太远的街却能望到远方织起的梦，激情来 源于不断的自我说服并且说动自己。 上周五公布的非农就业人口增加了13.9万人 ...

消息面上，6月7日，央行公布的数据显示，中国5月末黄金储备报7383万盎司，环比增加6万盎司。继去 年11月重启增持后，这已是央行连续第7个月增持黄金。 据智通财经，世界黄金协会（WGC）近期发布的月度报告显示，展望未来，WGC继续认为黄金有上涨 潜力，并指出全球贸易战和不断上升的关税尚未显著推高通胀。由于通胀侵蚀实际收益率，且经济增长 放缓令股市和周期性大宗商品承压，黄金可能仍是滞胀环境中为数不多的抗跌资产之一。 美东当地时间6月6日，新出炉的美国5月非农就业人数超预期增长。当日美元走强，黄金回落。 6月9日，A股市场黄金相关ETF纷纷回调，截至早盘收盘，黄金ETF华夏(518850)高位回调跌1.61%；黄 金股ETF(159562)跌1.96%，持仓股跌多涨少，招金矿业跌超6%，山东黄金、紫金矿业、白银有色、西 部黄金、老铺黄金等股纷纷走低。 广发证券研报指出，近期金价小幅回调，仍受到关税不确定性扰动，但震荡中枢在不断上移。2025年6 月至8月美国高频经济数据走弱、财政法案若超预期扩大财政赤字，叠加债务上限扩容后发债量回升， 仍将对金价形成驱动。 海通期货表示，宏观数据方面，美国制造业和服务业PMI均 ...

一、非农摘要——总数据分析 美国劳工部6月6日公布的5月非农就业数据显示，新增就业人数13.9万人，略高于市场预期的13万人，但较4月修正后的14.7万人有所放缓。失业率连续第三 个月稳定在4.2%，符合预期。薪资增速超预期，平均时薪同比增长3.9%，环比上升0.4%，显示劳动力成本压力仍存。 | | 近期数据 前次数据 最高 最低 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 失业率 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 14.9 2.5 | % | | 非农就业数据 | 139 | 147 | 4631 | -20471 千 | 从行业结构看，医疗保健、休闲酒店业贡献了主要新增岗位（12.6万个），而制造业和零售业分别减少8000和6500个职位，反映出贸易政策不确定性对实体 经济的冲击。值得注意的是，3月和4月非农数据被大幅下修，合计减少9.5万人，抵消了5月数据的积极面，显示就业市场动能边际减弱。整体而言，就业市 场仍具韧性，但增速放缓和行业分化加剧了市场对经济前景的担忧。 二、小非农ADP数据公布后，对大非农的行情影响 5月ADP私营部门就业仅增3.7万人，为两年多来最低 ...

Industry Overview - The Chinese gold jewelry market is projected to reach a scale of 568.8 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 9.8%. By 2029, it is expected to grow to 818.5 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 7.6% from 2024 to 2029 [1] - Franchise stores dominate the market, accounting for 72.3% of the market share in 2024, with revenues expected to grow from 411.5 billion yuan to 588.5 billion yuan by 2029 [1] - Offline self-operated stores, e-commerce, and other channels (including banks and exhibitions) generated revenues of 104 billion yuan, 42.2 billion yuan, and 11.1 billion yuan respectively in 2024, with projections for growth to 150.6 billion yuan, 67 billion yuan, and 12.4 billion yuan by 2029 [1] Company Performance - Zhou Dafu, the leading brand, has 6,211 stores and has established itself as a major player in the gold jewelry market since its founding in the late 1920s [12] - Lao Feng Xiang, a historic brand founded in 1848, reported revenues of 56.793 billion yuan in the previous year, with a year-on-year decline of 20.5% [10] - China Gold Group, ranked fourth, achieved revenues of 60.464 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 7.27%, while net profit decreased by 15.93% [5] - Zhou Da Sheng, ranked third, has 5,008 stores and has launched new products inspired by national treasures and international art collaborations [7] - Zhou Liu Fu, ranked fifth, has 4,106 stores and reported revenues of 5.718 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 11.02% [3] Market Challenges - The gold jewelry consumption in China decreased by 24.69% to 532.0 tons in the previous year due to rising gold prices, which have reached historical highs [15] - The ongoing increase in gold prices is expected to continue affecting consumer sentiment and purchasing behavior in 2025 [15]