AIDC 系列报告： 电源产业乘风而起 [Table_Industry] [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 4 月 29 日 】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】 】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】 】】】 、、、、、、、、、、、来 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业Tabl深度报告 e_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 电力设备与新能源 [Table_Author] 武浩 电力设备与新能源行业首席分析 师 执业编号：S1500520090001 联系电话：010-83326711 邮 箱：wuhao@cindasc.com 孙然 电力设备与新能源行业分析师 执业编号：S1500524080003 联系电话：18721956681 邮 箱：sunran@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大街甲 127 号 金隅大厦 B 座 邮编：100031 [Table_Tit ...

AIDC 系列报告： 电源产业乘风而起 [Table_Industry] [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 4 月 29 日 】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】 】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】】 】】】 、、、、、、、、、、、来 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业Tabl深度报告 e_ReportType] [Table_StockAndRank] 电力设备与新能源 [Table_Author] 武浩 电力设备与新能源行业首席分析 师 执业编号：S1500520090001 | 一、AI 大势所趋，供配电需求乘风而起 5 | | --- | | 1.1 AI 浪潮已至，智算中心建设有望加速 5 | | 1.2 供配电基础设施有望迭代升级 7 | | 二、AI 服务器电源升级，不间断电源 UPS 有望向 HVDC 发展 11 | | 2.1 AI 服务器电源功率提升 11 | | 2.2 不间断电源 UPS 有望向 HVDC 发展，高效率有望成为演进方向 16 | | 2. ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's revenue and performance are expected to rise steadily, with overseas expansion and AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) likely to contribute to incremental growth [1] - The company reported a revenue of 7.76 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 4.71%, and a net profit of 315.18 million yuan, down 37.90% year-on-year [7] - The data center business is showing strong growth, with revenue from this segment reaching 3.15 billion yuan in 2024, up 14.70% year-on-year, accounting for over 40% of total revenue [7] - The company is focusing on core products and product upgrades, which has led to improved profitability despite a decline in revenue from certain segments [7] - The company is increasing its overseas business efforts, particularly in the renewable energy sector, which is expected to recover by the end of Q3 2025 [7] - The company has demonstrated excellent cost control, with operating expenses decreasing by 5.7% year-on-year in 2024 [7] - The forecast for net profit for 2025-2027 is 688 million yuan, 1.05 billion yuan, and 1.4 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 118%, 52%, and 34% [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 8.92 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 14.93% [1] - The net profit for 2025 is expected to be 688 million yuan, reflecting a significant increase from the previous year [1] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to be 1.33 yuan in 2025, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 30.69 [1] - The company’s total assets are estimated to reach 13.02 billion yuan by 2025, with total liabilities of 7.78 billion yuan [8]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a strong performance in Q1 2025, with revenue and net profit showing significant year-on-year growth, aligning with expectations [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 1.089 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.53% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 103 million yuan, up 15.15% year-on-year [1] - The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 100 million yuan, reflecting a 15.92% increase year-on-year [1] Group 2: Development Trends - The renewable energy sector is expected to maintain high growth, while the decline in real estate-related business is anticipated to narrow [2] - As of the end of March, the installed capacity for solar and wind power in China increased by 43.4% and 17.2% year-on-year, respectively [2] - The company is likely to benefit from the high demand in wind and energy storage products, which are expected to enhance profit margins [2] - In the infrastructure and smart building sectors, the decline in housing completion area was -14.3% in Q1 2025, an improvement from -20.4% in the same period of 2024 [2] Group 3: Market Opportunities - The data center sector is experiencing accelerated domestic substitution, presenting significant growth opportunities [3] - The company has over 20 years of experience in the data center field, offering a range of products and solutions [3] - With the acceleration of AIDC construction, the company is positioned to capture market share in high-end segments [3] Group 4: Profitability and Cash Flow - The company's gross margin increased by 3.9 percentage points to 31.6% in Q1 2025, attributed to improved cost control and a higher proportion of high-margin product deliveries [3] - Operating cash flow reached 53.89 million yuan, marking an 86.94% year-on-year increase [3] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with the current stock price corresponding to P/E ratios of 21.0x and 17.0x for those years [4] - The target price has been raised by 12.6% to 9.8 yuan, indicating a potential upside of 20.4% from the current stock price [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 750 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decline of 17.51%, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of 69.27 million yuan, down 54.25% year-on-year [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 211 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.08%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 17.01 million yuan, down 45.11% year-on-year [1] - The company is approaching a revenue inflection point, with a significant increase in contract liabilities, reaching a historical high of 435 million yuan by Q1 2025, indicating a solid foundation for future performance rebound [2] - The expansion of production capacity in Southeast Asia and the booming demand for HDI (High-Density Interconnect) are expected to benefit the company's PCB equipment business significantly [3] - High R&D investment is aimed at achieving innovation and excellence in high-end circuit boards and emerging market equipment, which is expected to open up long-term growth opportunities for the company [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 750 million yuan, with a year-on-year decrease of 17.51% and a net profit of 69.27 million yuan, down 54.25% [1] - Forecasted revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.40 billion yuan, 1.69 billion yuan, and 2.01 billion yuan, respectively, with expected growth rates of 86.25%, 21.19%, and 18.60% [8] - The net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is projected to be 183.15 million yuan, 275.12 million yuan, and 341.33 million yuan, reflecting growth rates of 164.39%, 50.21%, and 24.07% [8] Market Position and Opportunities - The company is positioned to benefit from the expansion of domestic PCB enterprises in Southeast Asia, with a significant increase in new orders expected in 2025 [3] - The demand for HDI is anticipated to grow due to trends in AI servers and automotive intelligence, providing further opportunities for the company [3] - The company's VCP equipment has achieved domestic leadership in several key metrics, with ongoing R&D efforts aimed at enhancing market share and technological capabilities [4]

Group 1: Business Strategy and Performance - The company has adopted a comprehensive strategy for transitioning to intelligent computing, focusing on a multi-cloud approach to enhance resource utilization and service capabilities [2][3]. - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 139,679 million CNY, marking a 12% year-on-year growth, and has maintained steady growth for five consecutive years since its listing [6][13]. - The intelligent computing cloud business generated 18,287 million CNY in revenue, a significant increase of 184% year-on-year, with its revenue share rising from 5% to 13% [10][13]. Group 2: Cost Optimization and Profitability - The company is focusing on optimizing its cost structure as a key strategy for achieving profitability, implementing measures such as controlling fixed asset investments and enhancing supply chain efficiency [4][16]. - In 2024, gross margin improved by 3.8 percentage points, management salaries decreased by approximately 1%, and financial expenses were reduced by about 13% [4][16]. - Despite a net loss, the company has narrowed its losses, with a 10.86% reduction in net loss for 2024 and a 14.54% reduction in the first quarter of 2025 [3][7]. Group 3: Market Expansion and Future Growth - The company plans to expand its industry application scenarios and develop differentiated product features to meet diverse customer needs [5][11]. - The overseas market is a key component of the company's strategic layout, with revenue from this segment steadily increasing and achieving positive gross margins [8][14]. - The global cloud computing market is projected to reach 1 trillion CNY by 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 40.6%, indicating strong future demand for cloud services [12][14]. Group 4: Competitive Landscape and Industry Outlook - The company is positioned favorably within the competitive landscape, outperforming the average revenue growth rate of the computer industry, which was 8.8% in 2024 [12][13]. - The intelligent computing sector is expected to see significant growth driven by advancements in AI and related technologies, with the company actively investing in GPU computing and domestic chip adaptation [17][18]. - The overall industry is experiencing a transformation, with emerging technologies driving a new wave of growth in cloud computing and digital infrastructure [12][14].

2025 年 04 月 28 日 Vertiv 财报大超预期，拥抱云与 IDC 产业趋势！ 看好 ——申万宏源通信周专题（20250421-20250425） 相关研究 《科华数据（002335）深度：算电协同下 的 AIDC 核心玩家（数据中心系列深度之 六）》 2025/03/25 《 5.5G/AIDC/端侧趋势向上，涌现产业机 会——寻找通信细分赛道的"隐形冠军" 系列之四》 2025/03/02 《坚定拥抱云与 IDC 产业趋势，AI 历史级 重估！ —— 申万宏源通信周专题 （20250217-20250221） 》 2025/02/23 《润泽科技（300442）深度：高度景气的 AIDC 成长先锋》 2024/12/13 《IDC 产业链中报复盘：重视智算需求及 产业链延伸机会！——申万宏源通信周专 题（20240826-20240830）》 2024/09/01 证券分析师 李国盛 A0230521080003 ligs@swsresearch.com 刘菁菁 A0230522080003 liujj@swsresearch.com 研究支持 郝知雨 A0230123060003 haozy ...

2025 年 04 月 28 日 润泽科技(300442.SZ) 引流策略和机房改造扰动业绩，AIDC 长期需求向好 事件概述 公司近期发布 2024 年年报，2024 年公司实现营业收入 43.65 亿元， 同比增长 0.32%，实现归母净利润 17.90 亿元，同比增长 1.62%。公 司 24Q4 业务出现一定程度的扰动，主要由于引流策略和机房改造带 来短期影响，但中长期来看，公司 AIDC 业务卡位明确，客户需求良 好，我们仍然看好公司长期的业绩增长。 引流策略和机房改造扰动短期业绩，2025 年影响消除 公司 24Q4 收入和利润均出现一定程度的下降，从而影响公司 2024 年全年的业绩，我们认为主要是两个方面原因的影响： 1）"引流策略"吸引 AI 头部客户，但带来短期收入波动：2024 年为 了抢抓 AI 头部客户的智算建设需求，公司通过搭配销售算力模组的 "引流策略"来加速客户入驻，成功通过全栈式的智算服务赢得了 AI 客户深度信任，在客户多样性方面取得了重大突破。然而根据公 司投资者关系活动表的披露，一方面公司 AIDC 业务中的高性能算力 模组业务的部分收入确认方法从"总额法"调整为"净额 ...

投资者关系活动记录表 | 投资者关系活动类别 | ■特定对象调研 □分析师会议 □媒体采访 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | □业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 □路演活动 | | | | | | □现场参观 ■其他 线上 | | | | | 参与单位名称及人员姓 | 丁祎 华创证券、周鑫雨 东北证券、丁珰 | | 西南证券、徐宇星 | 华泰柏瑞、 | | 名 | 樊艳阳 阳光资产、吴建明 信泰人寿、史彦刚 太平基金、张桥石 | 明河 | | | | | 投资、魏巍 中信期货、乌焕强 红筹投资、李晓青 仁桥资产、李思琦 | | | 中 | | | 天国富证券（自营）、王钟琪 华夏未来资本、汪自兵 方物基金、成佩剑 | | | | | | 五地投资、朱宏达 Willing Capital Management、刘宏 富敦投资、杨云杰 | | | | | | 西南证券、黄帅斌 光大证券 | | | | | 时间 | 2025 年 4 月 27 日 | | | | | 地点 | 厦门东亚机械工业股份有限公司 | | | | | 上市公司接待人员 | 董事会秘书韩文浩、证 ...

中金研究 数据中心板块从24年年末开始估值提振明显，在25年2月后又经历了大幅回调，本篇报告我们对数据中心板块近期估值表现进行复盘，并对近期投资人 较为关心的问题进行梳理和分析。 点击小程序查看报告原文 Abstract 摘要 数据中心公司提供服务器托管服务，当前在手订单有望交付支撑未来1-2年业绩增速逐年提升，新签价格尚未提升，但项目回报率有望先于价格改善。 1）数据中心企业以服务器托管为核心，通过提供场地、电力、制冷及网络服务收取租金，通常不参与算力租赁与服务器采购；2）因采用租金模式，数据 中心业绩波动或小于下游资本开支波动，但受益于互联网厂商资本开支提升，具备竞争力数据中心公司AI相关订单明显增长，在手订单能够支撑未来1-2 年业绩增长且业绩增速上呈现25年高于24年、26年高于25年；3）2021-2023年行业供过于求致新签订单租金下行，当前数据中心公司议价权有所提升，我 们认为签约周期延长、优惠期缩短与上架加速有望使得项目IRR先行于行业新签价格提升出现。 受旺盛订单拉动，数据中心资本开支进入上行通道，多元融资渠道支撑资本开支扩张，REITs项目有助于资金回笼提升经营稳定性。 1）数据中心公司需 ...