"快递进村"和电商业务成为快递公司业绩增长的助力。 圆通在财报中表示，报告期内，公司主营快递业务收入主要来源于电子商务用户，业务结构较为集中。如果未来电子商务 行业增速进一步放缓，而公司除电子商务之外的其他业务板块不能实现较快增长从而提高在整体业务结构中的占比，则公 司经营业绩的持续快速增长可能受到不利影响。 圆通财报还提及，跨境消费需求扩容推动国际业务提质增效，伴随"丝路电商""快递出海"等项目的实施落地，国际及港澳 台快件寄递网络日臻成熟。此外，个性化消费需求催生服务场景多元化，消费者对生鲜冷链、即时配送、逆向物流等服务 需求亦快速增长。 除了上述变化，过去一年快递公司也在提高服务质量。2024 年 3 月，新修订的《快递市场管理办法》正式施行，明确按需 投递原则，强化末端服务监管。圆通财报显示，公司在2024年推行按需派送，提高派件履约率，并不断加强虚假签收考核 管控。截至报告期末，公司虚假签收率同比下降近 28%。 近日，多家快递公司发布了2024年财报。从财报数据看，降本增效仍然是今年快递业关注的重点。 此外，"快递进村"和电商业务成为快递公司业绩增长的助力。在技术应用上，快递业逐步推进无人配送技术 ...

证券研究报告 圆通速递 (600233 CH) 24 年量价均衡，单票毛利承压 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 仓储物流 | 圆通速递发布 2024 年及 1Q25 业绩：1）24 年实现营业收入/归母净利 690.3 亿/40.1 亿元，同比+19.7%/+7.8%，其中，快递业务实现营业收入/归母净 利 622.9 亿/43.1 亿元，同比+19.2%/12.2%；2）1Q25 实现营业收入/归母 净利 170.6 亿/8.6 亿元，同比+10.6%/-9.2%。24 年归母净利低于我们此前 预期（44.7 亿元），主因：1）快递以外业务亏损拖累盈利，航空业务毛利-1.7 亿元；2）低价件占比提升，使得行业件均价持续下行，为公司经营带来压 力，单票毛利同比下降。展望 25 年，龙头渴求份额或加剧行业竞争，盈利 仍承压，但我们看好公司持续强化全链路管控、时效水平提升、服务质量改 善，实现价格与件量规模均衡发展，维持"买入"。 24 年公司件量增速高于行业，量价表现均衡 件量方面，24 年公司 ...

证券研究报告 圆通速递 (600233 CH) 24 年量价均衡，单票毛利承压 | 华泰研究 | | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 | 4 月 | 29 日│中国内地 | 仓储物流 | 圆通速递发布 2024 年及 1Q25 业绩：1）24 年实现营业收入/归母净利 690.3 亿/40.1 亿元，同比+19.7%/+7.8%，其中，快递业务实现营业收入/归母净 利 622.9 亿/43.1 亿元，同比+19.2%/12.2%；2）1Q25 实现营业收入/归母 净利 170.6 亿/8.6 亿元，同比+10.6%/-9.2%。24 年归母净利低于我们此前 预期（44.7 亿元），主因：1）快递以外业务亏损拖累盈利，航空业务毛利-1.7 亿元；2）低价件占比提升，使得行业件均价持续下行，为公司经营带来压 力，单票毛利同比下降。展望 25 年，龙头渴求份额或加剧行业竞争，盈利 仍承压，但我们看好公司持续强化全链路管控、时效水平提升、服务质量改 善，实现价格与件量规模均衡发展，维持"买入"。 24 年公司件量增速高于行业，量价表现均衡 件量方面，24 年公司 ...

"今年我们在香港开通了专门的荔枝运输服务，基于港车储备，我们也能按照客户需求提供包车运 输。"4月28日，顺丰在广州发布2025荔枝行业解决方案，将从资源提速、模式降本、服务保质、拓渠助 销、数科助力五个维度，为荔枝产业构建起覆盖"生产-采收-运输-销售"的立体化服务网络，保障荔枝旺 季的物流运输。据顺丰透露，其无人机、无人车配送网络已覆盖广州荔枝的核心产区，运送效率是传统 接驳模式的2~3倍，有望在今年荔枝季投用。 南都记者从会上了解到，随着"快递出海"持续推进，顺丰编织起通往东京、新加坡、曼谷、吉隆坡、胡 志明的"全球鲜果流通网络"，将为更多中国农业品牌与海外客户搭建双向流通"桥梁"。 深入荔枝产地，投入独立自动化中转场提升时效 荔枝寄递量10年翻75倍，两天基本通达全国 发布会披露的统计显示，近年来，随着广东省农产品"12221"市场营销体系建设如火如荼，兼具历史悠 久、底蕴深厚、种类丰富等众多广州荔枝脱颖而出，在顺丰的寄递量从2013年的4+万票，到2023年的 300+万票，相当于10年翻了75倍，反映大众对于荔枝旺盛的需求。全国最喜欢吃荔枝的城市排名前五 的分别为：广州、上海、北京、深圳、佛山，而 ...

快递 3 月数据点评：顺丰件量增速超预 期，通达系价格竞争依旧激烈 事件：快递行业 3 月件量同比增长 20.3%，行业增速维持较高水平， 价格竞争依旧激烈。 点评： 3 月快递件量增速维持高位，顺丰增速超预期：3 月全国快递服务企业 业务完成量 166.56 亿件，同比增长 20.3%，增速较 1-2 月累计的增长 22.4%略有放缓，但依旧维持在较高水平。分类型看，3 月同城件业务 量同比增长 4.3%，异地件业务量增长 21.9%。 3 月顺丰业务量增速提升至 25.4%，高于其他通达系上市公司；公司市 场份额同比提升 0.3pct。公司公告称其高增长主要得益于公司凭借丰 富的产品矩阵及综合物流解决方案能力，持续渗透生产制造和生活消 费各类物流场景，有效满足客户多元化业务需求。 通达系中，圆通、申通及韵达的增速与行业均值都较为接近，其中圆 通增速略高，结合其单票收入的变化看，圆通近期对于市场份额的诉 求较为强烈。3 月圆通市场份额同比提升 0.3pct；申通市场份额同比基 本持平，韵达份额下降 0.3pct。 圆通单票收入降幅较大，价格竞争依旧激烈：价格方面，行业的价格 竞争依旧激烈。通达系方面，申通、 ...

同比-22% 公司公告 2024 年报及 2025 一季报： 公司研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 韵达股份（002120）2024 年报及 2025 年一季报点评 推荐（维持） 2024 年盈利 19.1 亿，同比+18%；Q1 盈利 3.2 亿， 3）单票毛利：24 年单票毛利 0.19 元，同比-4.3%（-0.01 元）；其中单票面单 毛利 0.07 元，同比-0.07 元，单票中转毛利-0.04 元，同比-0.08 元。 4）单票利润：24 年单票净利 0.08 元，同比-6.6%(-0.006 元），25Q1 单票净利 0.053 元，同比-36.6%(-0.031 元）。24 年单票扣非净利 0.069 元，同比-6.3%（- 0.005 元），25Q1 单票扣非净利 0.051 元，同比-34.8%（-0.027 元）。 5）期间费用率：24 年期间费用率 4.1%，同比-1.2pct；25Q1 期间费用率 4.0%， 同比-0.7pct。 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 1、财务数据： 1）2024 年实现收入 485.4 亿，同比增长 7.9%。实现归母净利 19. ...

行业主要上市公司：顺丰控股(002352)、圆通快递(600233)、韵达股份(002120)等 Bowes的数据，2022年，全球快递包裹运输量达1610亿件，同比增长1.3%;经初步统计，2023年，全球 快递包裹运输量为1686亿件，同比增长4.7%。 全球快递包裹运输量：2023年达1686亿件 2013-2022年，全球快递包裹运输量不断上升。根据Pitney 全球快递行业发展趋势：东南亚市场前景广阔 电商的繁荣带动快递的发展，东南亚快递市场前景广阔。尤其是印尼所属的东南亚市场，未来东南亚快 递市场将迎来发展良机。 随着国际快递企业全球化布局的加速，自身在资金、本土化经营以及业务整合方面的实力显得不足，跨 区域的强强联合成为国际企业的必然选择。企业的强强联合主要体现快递企业之间加强合作，以及快递 企业与邮政联合发展。 | 公司 | 服务类型 | 具体介绍 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 国际快递 | 满足跨境紧急寄递需求的高时效的标准服务,含高品质的国际标快及经济型的国际特惠产 品。 | | | 国际电商 | 满足跨境电商需求的高性价比的经济型服务,含高效的国际电商专递和经济型国 ...

Core Viewpoint - Despite the escalating tariff war, Dongfang Precision (002611), a leading supplier of corrugated paper packaging equipment with nearly 90% of its revenue from overseas, has maintained growth in its operating performance [1][6]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company's operating revenue reached 988.74 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.73% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 275.69 million yuan, showing a significant year-on-year growth of 517.55% [2]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 129.89 million yuan, up 97.60% year-on-year [2]. - Basic earnings per share were 0.23 yuan, compared to 0.04 yuan in the same period last year [2]. Profitability Metrics - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 29.81%, an increase of 1.11 percentage points year-on-year and 4.47 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The net profit margin was 28.44%, up 22.70 percentage points year-on-year and 15.99 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3]. - Operating cash flow for the period was 148.52 million yuan, a significant increase from 5.51 million yuan in the previous year [2]. Cost Management - Total operating expenses were 144 million yuan, a decrease of 20.53 million yuan year-on-year, with an expense ratio of 14.55%, down 3.03 percentage points [3]. - Sales expenses decreased by 37.58%, while management expenses increased by 15.30% and R&D expenses grew by 3.38% [3]. Strategic Focus - Dongfang Precision was established in December 1996 and listed on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange in August 2011, focusing on the R&D, design, production, sales, and service of corrugated carton printing equipment [5]. - The company aims to expand its international presence, with overseas revenue reaching 4.226 billion yuan in 2024, accounting for 88.45% of total revenue [5]. - The intelligent corrugated paper packaging equipment business generated 3.21 billion yuan in revenue, holding a global market share of approximately 15% [5]. Market Position - In the North American market, the company's overall market share exceeded 50%, with net profit increasing by 76.4% year-on-year [6]. - The company's overseas business operates independently through its wholly-owned subsidiary Fosber, which has established a complete R&D, production, and sales system in Italy, the USA, and Spain [6].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in net profit for 2024 and Q1 2025, indicating strong operational performance and market position [1][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.04 billion, a year-on-year increase of 205.2%; the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.02 billion, up 199.5% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the net profit attributable to shareholders was 236 million, a year-on-year increase of 24.0%; the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 231 million, up 23.8% [1]. Operational Metrics - In 2024, the company completed 22.73 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 29.8%, with a market share of 13.0%, an increase of 0.83 percentage points [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company completed 5.81 billion parcels, a year-on-year increase of 26.6%, with a market share of 12.9%, an increase of 0.5 percentage points [2]. Revenue and Cost Analysis - In 2024, the average revenue per parcel was 2.05 yuan, a decrease of 8.1% year-on-year; the average revenue from information services was 0.09 yuan, down 0.02 yuan; the average revenue from paid delivery was 1.20 yuan, down 0.12 yuan; and the average revenue from transit was 0.76 yuan, down 0.04 yuan [2]. - In Q1 2025, the average revenue per parcel was 2.04 yuan, a decrease of 6.2% year-on-year [3]. - The average cost per parcel in 2024 was 1.94 yuan, a decrease of 9.7% year-on-year; the delivery cost was 1.22 yuan, down 9.7%; and the transportation cost was 0.37 yuan, down 9.1% [3]. Profitability Metrics - In 2024, the gross profit per parcel was 0.125 yuan, an increase of 28% year-on-year; for Q1 2025, it was 0.117 yuan, a decrease of 10% [3]. - The net profit per parcel attributable to shareholders in 2024 was 0.046 yuan, an increase of 135% year-on-year; for Q1 2025, it was 0.041 yuan, remaining flat [3]. Capital Expenditure and Capacity Expansion - The company successfully completed a three-year capacity enhancement plan, implementing 179 projects, significantly increasing processing capacity [3]. - In 2024, the company completed 42 projects, achieving a daily processing capacity of over 75 million parcels, with the ability to handle over 100 million parcels during peak periods [3]. - The company expects to increase its daily processing capacity to over 90 million parcels in 2025 [3]. Market Position and Investment Outlook - For the first three months of 2025, the company led the industry in business volume growth at 26.6%, outperforming competitors [4]. - Based on the company's performance and current industry trends, profit forecasts for 2025-2026 have been slightly adjusted to 1.45 billion and 1.81 billion, respectively [4]. - The target price for 2025 is set at 14.17 yuan, reflecting a potential upside of 33% from the current price, with a recommendation for "buy" [4].

Core Viewpoint - The State Council's decision to amend the "Interim Regulations on Express Delivery" aims to address environmental issues related to packaging in the rapidly growing express delivery industry, which has seen significant growth in recent years [2][3]. Background - The express delivery industry is a crucial part of modern services, significantly contributing to cost reduction in logistics, supporting e-commerce, and creating employment opportunities. In 2024, the industry handled 1.75 trillion packages, maintaining its position as the world's largest for 11 consecutive years. However, this growth has led to excessive resource consumption and environmental pollution, necessitating comprehensive regulatory measures [2]. Overall Approach to Amendment - The amendment focuses on packaging issues, emphasizing three main principles: 1. Problem-oriented approach to enhance packaging management systems for green development [3]. 2. Systematic perspective to clarify responsibilities across the entire packaging chain, including design, production, usage, and recycling [3]. 3. Balancing regulation and guidance to foster a supportive environment for green development while considering industry realities [3]. Responsibilities of Express Delivery Companies - The decision reinforces the responsibilities of express delivery companies in packaging management, mandating compliance with national standards and regulations to prevent excessive packaging and environmental pollution. Companies are required to optimize packaging methods, implement operational norms, and report on the use and recycling of single-use plastics [3][4]. Systematic Governance of Packaging - The decision promotes a comprehensive approach to packaging governance, encouraging collaboration among various stakeholders, including manufacturers and e-commerce companies. It also supports the use of biodegradable and reusable materials and aims to improve recycling rates through the establishment of collection facilities [4]. Ensuring Safety in Packaging Reduction - The amendment stipulates that any reduction in packaging must prioritize the safety of deliveries. It emphasizes that companies should optimize packaging while ensuring the protection of goods, supported by national standards that provide technical guidelines for reducing excessive packaging [5]. Implementation Measures - To ensure effective implementation of the decision, three key actions will be taken: 1. Ongoing promotion and training to enhance understanding of the decision among stakeholders [6]. 2. Development of supporting regulations and standards to facilitate the decision's application [6]. 3. Strengthened supervision and enforcement to ensure compliance and address violations [6].