智通财经6月4日电，欧盟委员会建议保加利亚明年加入欧元区。欧盟委员会表示欧盟目前有9个国家处 于过度赤字状态。 ...

欧盟委员会：保加利亚符合所有加入欧元区的要求。 ...

金十数据6月4日讯，欧洲央行周三表示，在评估了从通胀到央行立法等一系列指标的进展后，保加利亚 已达到从2026年1月1日起采用欧元的所有标准。欧洲央行首席经济学家连恩表示："这一积极评估为保 加利亚在2026年1月1日引入欧元铺平了道路，保加利亚将成为第21个加入欧元区的欧盟成员国。"最终 决定取决于欧盟各国财长，预计他们将在7月初批准这一进程。一旦政治进程完成，保加利亚央行官员 将受邀以观察员身份加入欧洲央行各机构，包括制定利率的欧洲央行管理委员会，直到正式加入。 欧洲央行批准保加利亚使用欧元 ...

黄金（XAU/USD） 昨日回顾与ETO Markets观点 周二黄金整体呈现冲高回落走势，日内波幅约591点，日线收带上下影线阴线。美联储官员强调政策谨 慎性，叠加特朗普贸易政策不确定性，金价波动加剧。今日早盘突破震荡区间，H4收大阳线，多头格 局延续，策略以回调做多为主。 编辑 关键点位与操作建议 三色线交易策略 当前三色线由红转黄，H1标准多单（3304入场）已触发保护性止损。日内建议结合M5模型短线操作， 关注趋势线突破信号。 欧元/美元（EUR/USD） 昨日回顾与ETO Markets观点 周二欧元受欧元区CPI低于预期及美联储降息预期影响，日内波幅约90点，日线收阴线。欧洲央行降息 预期升温，但美国职位空缺数据强劲，欧元承压。当前价格于1.1364附近盘整，后市需关注政策动态。 关键点位与操作建议 阻力位：3415、3393 支撑位：3333、3317 操作建议：回调至3350附近做多，止盈目标70-100点，止损设于3342。 阻力位：1.143、1.149 支撑位：1.126、1.131 操作建议：反弹至1.141附近做空，止盈30-50点，止损设于1.146。 三色线交易策略 H1趋势线由 ...

欧洲STOXX 600指数初步收涨0.05%，报548.17点。 欧元区STOXX 50指数初步收涨0.29%，报5370.86点。 富时泛欧绩优300指数初步收涨0.10%，报2174.32点。 ...

一些经济学家预计，通胀率今年将继续低于欧洲央行2%的目标，直到2026年才会回升。 欧洲央行利率决策前瞻 市场完全预期欧洲央行将在周四降息25个基点。根据LSEG数据，市场对欧洲央行7月降息的预期从28% 上升至31%。下一次降息预期尚未完全反映在市场定价中，可能在10月或12月实现。 新华财经北京6月3日电（王姝睿）最新公布的数据显示，欧元区通胀率自2024年9月以来首次低于欧洲 央行2%的目标，进一步强化了市场对欧洲央行本周降息25个基点的预期。 欧元区通胀不及预期 欧元区5月通胀年率降至1.9%，低于市场预期，较4月的2.2%大幅下降。5月通胀下降主要由于服务通胀 率从4月的4.0%降至3.2%，为2022年3月以来最低水平，部分原因是复活节时间较晚以及工资下降。能 源价格继续下跌，同比下跌3.6%，而非能源工业品通胀保持在0.6%。食品、酒精和烟草价格则加速上 涨，同比涨幅从上月的3.0%升至3.3%。欧元区5月核心通胀年率（不包括食品和能源）降至2.3%，为 2022年1月以来最低水平。 由于工资增长缓慢、能源价格下跌、欧元走强和经济增长温和，通胀前景依然疲软。 从国别看，欧盟主要经济体德国、法国、 ...

金十数据6月3日讯，欧元区5月通胀初值弱于预期，货币市场显示，投资者对欧洲央行7月降息的预期略 有上升。周四降息25个基点已被完全计价。数据显示，市场目前预计7月份进一步降息的可能性为 31%，高于此前的28%。然而，下一次降息要到10月或12月才被市场完全消化。欧元区整体通胀年率从 4月份的2.2%降至5月份的1.9%，降幅超过预期。 欧元区通胀弱于预期 降息预期略有上升 ...

欧元区5月调和CPI环比初值 0%，预期 0%，前值 0.6%。 ...

Group 1 - The euro is currently trading around 1.1426 against the US dollar, showing a decline of 0.12% from the previous close of 1.1439 [1] - This week is significant for euro traders due to the release of two high-impact financial data points: the preliminary harmonized consumer price index (HICP) for May and the revised GDP for the first quarter [2] - A slowdown in the HICP data could weaken the euro, indicating reduced inflationary pressure in the eurozone, which may increase the likelihood of an interest rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) [2] Group 2 - The market anticipates a 25 basis point rate cut from the ECB, but actual actions may not sufficiently weaken the euro, as another cut is expected by year-end [2] - Political instability within Europe, particularly related to Ukraine and Palestine, continues to be a concern for euro traders [2] - Any progress in ceasefire negotiations in Ukraine could positively impact the euro, while easing trade tensions between the EU and the US may also support the euro [2] Group 3 - The initial support level for the euro against the dollar is at the 55-day moving average of 1.1175, with further support levels at the May low of 1.1064 and the psychological level of 1.1000 [2] - If these levels are breached, the euro may test the critical 200-day moving average support at 1.0815 [2] - Momentum indicators show divergence, with the average directional index (ADX) around 20 indicating weakening trend strength, while the relative strength index (RSI) breaking above 60 suggests increasing bullish momentum [2]

Core Viewpoint - Bulgaria is on track to join the Eurozone, potentially adopting the euro as early as January 1, 2026, following a report from the European Commission and the European Central Bank [1][2]. Group 1: Economic Implications - Bulgaria's accession to the Eurozone is expected to enhance trade relations with other EU countries, reduce transaction costs, and increase its influence within the EU [1]. - Currently, Bulgaria's currency, the lev, is pegged to the euro, but it lacks a voice in the European Central Bank's monetary policy as it is not yet a member [1]. - The country's GDP accounts for less than 1% of the EU total, which raises concerns about its limited influence in the European Central Bank's decision-making [2]. Group 2: Public Sentiment and Concerns - There are public concerns regarding potential price increases following the adoption of the euro, which could negatively impact the living standards of poorer families in rural areas [2]. - Some citizens remain skeptical about joining the Eurozone, with calls for a national referendum on the issue being dismissed as unconstitutional [2]. - Historical precedents from other countries that joined the Eurozone indicate that lower-priced countries may experience inflation as their prices align with higher Eurozone averages [2]. Group 3: Eurozone Expansion Context - Since its establishment in 1999, the Eurozone has been expanding eastward, with Croatia being the most recent member to adopt the euro on January 1, 2023 [2]. - Currently, seven EU member states, including Bulgaria, are not part of the Eurozone [3].