稳定币抬头的洗钱风险值得警惕。 近日，据媒体报道，义乌已有零星商户接收稳定币，虽未出现传闻中"月流水10亿美元"的盛况，却也给 市场敲响了警钟。这种看似便捷的支付方式，若放任其游走在监管边缘，很可能成为洗钱分子的"暗 道"。不仅将扰乱现有的金融秩序，还可能冲击实体经济秩序。 不同于币值大起大落的比特币，稳定币有一套维持币值稳定的特殊机制，生来就带着"交易工具"的属 性。 一方面，由于匿名化、去中心化的手段，用户身份通常以钱包地址呈现，而非真实姓名。使得资金流向 难以追踪，为洗钱分子掩盖资金来源提供了便利。 技术上也有办法，区块链虽然藏得住人，却记着每一笔账，可以开发专门的监测工具，顺着交易记录追 根溯源。 普及稳定币风险知识也至关重要。要让商户明白，看似轻松的交易背后，稍有不慎就可能卷入违法漩 涡。 此外，由于稳定币跨境流动特性，单一国家的监管难以奏效，需加强国际协作，建立跨境反洗钱信息共 享机制，联合打击利用稳定币进行的跨国洗钱活动。 当然，跨境支付确实需要创新。以中国香港试点与数字人民币协同发展的合规路径已在探索之中。或许 将来，在外贸集中的自贸区，试点离岸人民币稳定币，既能满足商家需求，又能把交易圈在阳 ...

Core Viewpoint - The adoption of stablecoins for cross-border payments is still limited among merchants in key Chinese markets, with many expressing a lack of understanding and concerns about compliance and costs [1][2]. Group 1: Merchant Awareness and Usage - Most merchants in Yiwu and Shenzhen are unaware of stablecoins, with only a few expressing interest in using them for transactions [1][2]. - A small number of merchants indicated they might consider using stablecoins for international payments, but none reported having completed such transactions [2]. - Merchants primarily rely on traditional payment methods like cash and Alipay for foreign transactions, with one merchant mentioning a recent $30,000 transfer via Alipay [2]. Group 2: Stablecoin Characteristics and Market Dynamics - Stablecoins, such as USDT, are pegged to fiat currencies, providing a more stable alternative compared to other cryptocurrencies [1][4]. - The market for stablecoins has gained traction globally, particularly following legislative progress in the US and Hong Kong [1]. - The exchange process for stablecoins involves "U merchants" who facilitate the conversion between stablecoins and fiat currencies, often charging fees and setting minimum transaction amounts [3]. Group 3: Regulatory and Compliance Issues - The use of stablecoins for cross-border payments in China faces significant regulatory challenges, as current laws prohibit the use of virtual currencies for such transactions [4][5]. - Legal experts emphasize that while personal trading of virtual currencies may be permissible, using them for business transactions is fraught with compliance risks [5].

日前，有消费者在社交平台指出，法国高端护肤品牌伊菲丹（EviDenS de Beauté）三重胶原全面隔离防 晒霜（EviDenS de Beauté The Total Shield SPF50 PA++++）未在中国内地完成本地检测及备案，引发市 场对其合规性的广泛质疑。 根据中国《化妆品监督管理条例》，防晒类产品属于特殊化妆品，需通过人体功效评价试验并取得注册 证后方可销售。 伊菲丹方面回应观察者网时表示，伊菲丹三重胶原全面隔离防晒霜是一款跨境进口商品（海外原装入 境）。根据中国现行的跨境电子商务零售进口监管政策，该类商品遵循原产国的法律法规和质量安全标 准，并可免于办理中国化妆品注册证（即无"国妆特进字"号）。 品牌方提供的检测报告显示，该产品在原产国已严格按照国际公认的防晒功效评价标准（ISO 24444） 进行检测，由权威第三方实验室 AMA Laboratories, Inc. 完成测试（测试参考号: MS15.UVA.PPD.O0504.MATT.ISO10），并取得相应上市许可。检测结果明确证明该产品达到并符合标 示的 SPF50 和 PA++++ 高倍防护等级，完全满足欧盟、日本及美国等地 ...

Core Insights - The cancellation of the T86 exemption policy by the U.S. has significantly impacted cross-border e-commerce, pushing sellers to seek new markets while facing increased operational challenges [1][2][5] - Companies like SHEIN and Temu, which previously benefited from the exemption, are now experiencing a decline in user engagement and are accelerating their expansion into overseas markets [2][3] - Emerging markets such as Japan, Europe, and Latin America are being considered for expansion due to their growth potential, although challenges like compliance and logistics remain [3][4][5] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The U.S. has reduced the tax exemption for small packages, leading to a shift in the business model for cross-border sellers [1][2] - SHEIN and Temu have seen significant drops in daily active users, with SHEIN's U.S. monthly active users decreasing by 30% in May compared to March [1][2] - The cancellation of the exemption policy has forced companies to adapt quickly, with many looking towards markets like Japan, which offers lower logistics costs and a high consumer acceptance rate [3][4] Group 2: Regional Opportunities - Japan is emerging as a preferred market due to its proximity, high consumer income, and low return rates, making it attractive for cross-border sellers [3][4] - The European market presents strong consumer purchasing power but comes with complex compliance requirements, such as VAT registration [4] - Latin America, particularly Brazil and Mexico, is showing rapid growth in e-commerce, with expected revenue growth rates of 17.6% and 19% respectively [4][5] Group 3: Operational Challenges - The shift from fully managed to semi-managed models increases operational burdens on sellers, requiring them to handle logistics and customs themselves [7] - The need for local warehousing and the associated costs pose significant challenges, especially in distant markets like Latin America [4][6] - Companies must now focus on localizing their operations and understanding consumer behavior to remain competitive in the evolving landscape of cross-border e-commerce [7][8]

Group 1 - The company Lakala (300773.SZ) has announced plans to issue H-shares and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange as part of its international development strategy [2] - The company aims to enhance its competitiveness in the international market by promoting the application of digital currency in cross-border scenarios [2] - Currently, the company is in discussions with intermediaries regarding the specifics of the H-share listing, which is a complex and systematic process [2] Group 2 - Lakala was established in 2005 and became a leading third-party payment institution in China after obtaining a payment business license from the People's Bank of China in 2011 [3] - The company provides comprehensive digital business solutions for merchants, enterprises, and financial institutions, focusing on various sectors such as dining, retail, automotive, and tourism [3] - Lakala is deepening its "Payment+" strategy and integrating AI into its business to support high-quality development of the real economy [3] Group 3 - In 2024, Lakala reported a revenue of 5.759 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.96%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 351 million yuan, down 23.26% [4] - In the first quarter of 2025, the company's revenue was 1.299 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 13.01%, with a net profit of 101 million yuan, down 51.71% [4] - Lakala has no controlling shareholder or actual controller, with Lenovo Holdings being the largest shareholder, holding a 26.14% stake, which may provide support and potential synergies for the company [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, with a target price of RMB 39.00, representing a 7% upside from the current price of RMB 31.92 [4][10]. Core Insights - The company has established a cross-border payment subsidiary, NovaPay, and obtained a USA MSB license, which lays the foundation for its cross-border payment operations [5][11]. - The MSB license allows the company to legally operate in various currency-related services, including currency exchange, remittance, and digital currency transactions [12]. - The report highlights the promising cross-border payment market driven by RMB internationalization and the increasing demand for localized payment solutions as Chinese enterprises expand overseas [13]. Financial Summary - The company's projected financials indicate a revenue increase from RMB 8,250 million in 2023 to RMB 11,705 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18.3% [3]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow significantly from RMB 1,004 million in 2023 to RMB 1,916 million in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of 22.0% [3]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is set at RMB 1.30 for 2025, RMB 1.52 for 2026, and RMB 1.86 for 2027, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 30x for 2025 [5][10].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform" rating for the industry, indicating an expected relative return exceeding the benchmark by over 10% in the next 12-18 months [4][21]. Core Insights - The People's Bank of China has revised the CIPS system rules to enhance the framework for cross-border RMB payments, aiming to facilitate the integration of payment channels and improve clearing efficiency [7][4]. - The updated rules expand the scope of CIPS operations to include additional activities approved by the central bank, thereby supporting the growth and functionality of the CIPS system [7][4]. - The Cross-border Pay Link, launched in Hong Kong, allows for real-time, cost-effective remittances between Mainland China and Hong Kong, significantly improving the efficiency of cross-border transactions [7][4]. Summary by Sections CIPS System Rule Updates - The People's Bank of China released a draft for public comment on the CIPS system rules, focusing on account management, business processing, settlement mechanisms, and risk management [4][7]. - The revisions aim to adapt the rules established in 2018 to current business developments and participant needs, enhancing management standards for CIPS participants [4][7]. Cross-border Payment Innovations - The Cross-border Pay Link, which became operational on June 22, connects the fast payment systems of Mainland China and Hong Kong, allowing residents to conduct cross-border remittances efficiently [4][7]. - This system reduces the remittance process time and costs by minimizing intermediary steps and directly connecting payment infrastructures [4][7]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on cross-border payment service providers such as Newland Digital Technology, Xgd Inc, Lakala Payment, and Yeahka Limited, as well as financial IT service providers like Yusys Technologies and Sinodata [7][4].

大智慧（601519）公司股票交易风险提示公告，目前市场关于"稳定币"、"虚拟资产交易"、"跨境支 付"等关注度较高，经公司自查，公司目前无相关资质，未开展相关业务。除此之外，公司未发现对公 司股票交易价格可能产生重大影响的其他需要澄清或回应媒体报道、市场传闻及市场热点概念。 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all three major indices rise in the morning but experienced a significant drop in the afternoon, with a total trading volume of 1.53 trillion yuan, an increase of 528 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - Over 3,300 stocks in the market declined, with market focus on sectors such as diversified finance, Kimi concept, banking, medical services, and cultural media [1] Stock Performance - A total of 53 stocks hit the daily limit up, with 18 stocks on consecutive limit up days, and 30 stocks failed to close at the limit, resulting in a limit up rate of 64% (excluding ST and delisted stocks) [3] - Notable stocks included: - Huayin Power: 7 consecutive limit ups - Huaguang Huaneng: 5 consecutive limit ups - New Zhonggang: 4 consecutive limit ups - Jin'an Guoji: 5 consecutive limit ups in the PCB sector [3][4] Key Stocks and Their Metrics - **Huayin Power (600744)**: Price at 8.11 yuan, up 10.04%, with a trading volume of 17.747 million and a turnover rate of 10.98% [4] - **Jin'an Guoji (002636)**: Price at 15.09 yuan, up 9.99%, with a trading volume of 1.08 million and a turnover rate of 0.99% [4] - **Forest Packaging (605500)**: Price at 12.07 yuan, up 10.03%, with a trading volume of 4.35 million and a turnover rate of 8.90% [4] - **Huaguang Huaneng (600475)**: Price at 16.73 yuan, up 9.99%, with a trading volume of 9.03 million and a turnover rate of 5.96% [4] Institutional Trading - The top three net buying stocks on the daily leaderboard were: - Kuaijingtong: 318 million yuan net buy - Tongguan Copper Foil: 200 million yuan net buy - Dazhihui: 197 million yuan net buy [6] - The top three net selling stocks were: - Yihua New Materials: 119 million yuan net sell - Rifa Precision: 114 million yuan net sell - Zhongyi Technology: 89.41 million yuan net sell [7] Sector Highlights - **Kuaijingtong**: Recently entered the Japanese market, enhancing its position in the cross-border e-commerce sector [9][10] - **Tongguan Copper Foil**: Notable for its production capabilities in the PCB copper foil sector, with a new project recently launched [18] - **Dazhihui**: Engaged in significant asset restructuring, with a focus on financial information services [17] Trading Dynamics - The trading dynamics showed a significant interest from institutional investors, with notable net purchases in stocks like Dazhihui and Kuaijingtong, while some stocks like Wangzi New Materials faced net selling [25][27]

行业研究丨深度报告丨零售业 [Table_Title] 渠道精选聚焦，品牌细分增长——零售行业 2025 年度中期投资策略 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 丨证券研究报告丨 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 当前阶段我们建议把握三条投资主线：第一，品牌端：K 型细分需求崛起，本质上对消费者洞 察提出更高要求，我们选择在高端化和极致质价比两条主线中，渠道运营精细、强消费者洞察 和品牌运营能力的企业；第二，渠道端：线下渠道于新兴细分业态重启扩张，背后考验的仍是 供应链能力，优选供应链端具备优化空间的企业；第三，从中长期而言，全球贸易格局重塑背 景下，中国优质制造、品牌和商业模式出海仍然是大势所趋，在此基础上看好具备深刻用户洞 察能力、供应链能力持续夯实的优质出海企业。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 李锦 罗祎 秦意昂 SFC：BUV258 SAC：S0490514080004 SAC：S0490520080019 SAC：S0490524110002 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 2/29 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 ...