Geopolitical Risks & Potential Outcomes - Abandonment of Ukraine would be a horror scenario for Ukraine, NATO, and the United States [1] - Best case scenario: Trump realizes he's been manipulated by Putin and increases support for Ukraine, including sanctions [2][3] - Most likely scenario: A positive meeting leading to further talks, potentially including Zelensky [4] - Trump reassured European leaders he won't make decisions about Ukraine without them, focusing on a ceasefire rather than land swaps [5] - The situation is uncertain due to the unpredictable nature of Trump's actions [5][16] Sanctions & Economic Impact - Trump hates the bloodshed in Ukraine, especially after Putin's actions [8] - The "moral equivalent" to military action against Russia is getting tough on sanctions and providing security guarantees to Ukraine [9][10] - Existing sanctions haven't been fully enforced, partly due to concerns about raising oil prices to $140 per barrel and gasoline to $6 [11] - There's potential to get tougher on oil sanctions, including secondary sanctions on countries like India and China [12] - Trump has threatened a 50% tariff on India partly due to its oil purchases from Russia, signaling a willingness to get tougher [13] - The Biden administration was hesitant to enforce oil sanctions due to inflationary concerns and potential impact on the presidential election [14] Trump's Stance & Motivation - Trump doesn't like being humiliated or played along, but his response to Putin's actions has been slow [15] - Trump aims to achieve something in the negotiations with Putin [6] - Trump told European leaders that Putin will face consequences if he doesn't stop the war [7]

Will Russia face any consequences if Vladimir Putin does not agree to stop the war after your meeting on Friday. >> Yes, they will. Yeah.>> What will there consequences. >> There will be sanctions tariffs. >> There will I don't have to say there will be very severe consequences.>> When you meet with Vladimir Putin Friday in Alaska, >> yeah. >> Do you believe you can convince him to stop targeting civilians in Ukraine. >> Well, I'll tell you what.I've had that conversation with him. I've had a lot of good co ...

Will Russia face any consequences if Vladimir Putin does not agree to stop the war after your meeting on Friday. Yes, they will. Yeah.What will there consequences. There will be sanctions, tariffs. There will I don't have to say.There will be very severe consequences. Yes. Nice. ...

Geopolitical Strategy & Sanctions - The US President aims to end the war, believing it wouldn't have started under his leadership [1] - The US is frustrated with President Putin's lack of willingness to negotiate effectively [2] - Secondary tariffs were imposed on India for purchasing Russian oil, with potential for escalation [2] - All options are on the table regarding sanctions against Russia, including increasing, loosening, or setting a definitive lifespan [3] - The US is considering cracking down on the Russian shadow fleet of ships [4] - The US President will leverage all options with President Putin [3] International Cooperation & Leverage - European countries need to actively participate in sanctions against Russia, including secondary sanctions [4] - The US needs European support to create more leverage [6] - The US questioned European leaders' willingness to impose a 200% secondary tariff on China [5] - Germany's reluctance to act decisively is a long-standing issue [6]

China sanctions two banks in the EU, fulfilling a promise to retaliate after the bloc targeted some Chinese lenders over Russia’s invasion of Ukraine https://t.co/kiNDKzBhDy ...

The US sanctioned an armed group and two Hong Kong-based firms linked to violence and illegal mining in the Democratic Republic of the Congo https://t.co/Hx1EAy3vG1 ...

Switzerland adopts further sanctions against Russia, following the 18th sanctions package of the European Union, the government said in a statement https://t.co/oEu4MEBjO6 ...

Citigroup oversaw $1 billion in deals for a trust while a sanctioned Russian oligarch held a concealed interest, documents show. https://t.co/bOZJ60a1vv ...

Geopolitical Risk - US-India tensions are escalating due to India's involvement with Russian oil [1] - India's shipbreaking hub, Alang, is dismantling US-sanctioned tankers, creating a new point of conflict in the US-India relationship [1] Industry Impact - The dismantling of US-sanctioned tankers in Alang presents a potential challenge to international sanctions enforcement [1]

Welcome back. Joining me now is Republican Senator Lindsey Graham of South Carolina. Senator Graham, welcome back to Meet the Press. >> Thank you. >> Well, thank you so much for being here. Let's start by talking about this meeting this upcoming Friday between President Trump and President Putin. President Putin saying he is demanding that he gets to keep some of that territory that he's illegally claimed without making any concessions. Senator Graham, is it a mistake to reward President Putin with a presid ...