金融研究 2025年7月10日 星期四 金融期货早班车 招商期货有限公司 表 1：股指期现货市场表现 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨跌幅% | 现价 | 涨跌 | 成交量 | 成交额 | 持仓量 | 日增仓量 | 结算价 | 基差 | 基差年化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | | | | | | 收益率% | | IC2507 | 中证 2507 | -0.38 | 5930.0 | -22.6 | 29791 | 3544379 | 65998 | -6557 | 5937.2 | 23.5 | -12.3 | | IC2508 | 中证 2508 | -0.35 | 5876.6 | -20.6 | 5355 | 631010 | 10750 | 901 | 5882.4 | 76.9 | -11.5 | | IC2509 | 中证 2509 | -0.42 | 5823.4 | -24.6 | 26515 | 3097599 | 90098 | -5849 | ...

Company Overview - Qingdao Xintiecheng Energy Technology Co., Ltd. has been established with a registered capital of 5 million RMB [1] - The legal representative of the company is Zhuang Wensheng, and it is wholly owned by Qingdao Xintiecheng Auto Parts Co., Ltd. [1] Business Scope - The company’s business scope includes technology services, development, consulting, and transfer, as well as sales of electrical signal equipment, software development, and railway transportation infrastructure sales [1] - Additional services include the development of rail transit communication signal systems, smart control system integration, and sales of high-speed rail equipment and components [1] - The company also engages in various technology-related services such as IoT technology services, blockchain technology software, artificial intelligence platforms, and data processing services [1] Industry Classification - The company operates within the transportation, storage, and postal industry, specifically focusing on the railway transportation sector [1] - It is classified under the national standard industry for railway passenger transportation [1] Registration and Compliance - The company is registered with the Qingdao City Chengyang District Market Supervision Administration and has a business term until July 9, 2025, with no fixed expiration [1] - The company is required to obtain approval for certain projects as per relevant regulations [1]

内容概况：随着国内轨道交通行业的快速发展，铁路营业里程不断增加，对先进、可靠的ATC车载设备 的需求也随之增长。2025年1-5月，中国列车自动控制系统(ATC)车载设备进口数量为150台，同比增长 32.74%；进口金额为666.37万元，同比下降73.78%。进口端"量增价跌"现象背后，是政策调整与技术替 代的双重驱动。2025年3月实施的《重大技术装备进口税收政策管理办法》优化了免税目录，部分促使 企业转向性价比更高的国产设备或免税清单内产品。同时，国内ATC技术突破显著，如CRSC的CTCS-3 级系统已实现自主化，削弱了对高价进口设备的依赖。同期，中国列车自动控制系统(ATC)车载设备出 口数量为3834台，同比下降88.33%；出口金额为3479.74万元，同比增长4.41%。出口端"量跌价升"则凸 显结构性升级。国内ATC行业已形成全产业链出海能力，如交控科技在泰国建厂实现本地化生产，规避 关税并贴近需求。技术输出模式从"产品出口"转向"技术授权+本地适配"，如自动驾驶解决方案落地西 班牙，提升利润空间。 二、行业发展历程 中国列车自动控制系统（ATC）行业发展主要经历了四个阶段。20世纪60年 ...

国家统计局：全国夏粮播种面积26578.4千公顷，比2024年减少34.7千公顷，下降0.1% 金十数据7月10日讯，国家统计局发布2025年夏粮产量数据：根据对全国25个夏粮生产省（区、市）的 调查，2025年全国夏粮播种面积、单位面积产量、总产量如下：一、全国夏粮播种面积26578.4千公顷 （39867.6万亩），比2024年减少34.7千公顷（52.0万亩），下降0.1%。其中小麦播种面积23073.3千公 顷（34610.0万亩），比2024年减少17.4千公顷（26.1万亩），下降0.1%。二、全国夏粮单位面积产量 5633.8公斤/公顷（375.6公斤/亩），比2024年增加1.6公斤/公顷（0.1公斤/亩），基本持平。其中小麦单 位面积产量5987.9公斤/公顷（399.2公斤/亩），比2024年减少2.7公斤/公顷（0.2公斤/亩），基本持平。 三、全国夏粮总产量14973.8万吨（2994.8亿斤），比2024年减少15.3万吨（3.1亿斤），下降0.1%。其 中小麦产量13816.0万吨（2763.2亿斤），比2024年减少16.7万吨（3.3亿斤），下降0.1%。 相关链接 ...

Core Insights - The report indicates a "relatively hot" market sentiment with a composite score of 66, suggesting a positive outlook for market performance [5][12] - Recent policy support and improved market sentiment are driving a gradual upward trend in the market [12] Hot Topics Tracking - **Data Theme**: The National Data Bureau and the State Administration for Market Regulation have introduced measures to enhance data circulation efficiency, potentially increasing efficiency by 30% [6] - **Cross-Border Payment Theme**: The People's Bank of China has released a draft for the rules governing the Renminbi cross-border payment system, aiming to simplify participation conditions for foreign institutions [6] - **Innovative Drug Theme**: The National Healthcare Security Administration and the National Health Commission have issued measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, emphasizing the use of medical insurance data in drug research [6] Market Sentiment Analysis - The market sentiment temperature indicator shows a trend where scores below 30 provide support for the market, while scores above 90 indicate resistance [12] - The report suggests that during "relatively hot" market conditions, investors may consider increasing their investments while remaining cautious of potential overheating risks [24] Major Capital Flows - The report lists significant net inflows for various stocks, with "跨境通" (Cross-Border Communication) leading at 85,258.43 million [13] - Conversely, notable net outflows were observed in "中油资本" (China Oil Capital) with -76,258.27 million, indicating investor caution in certain sectors [15] Industry Performance - The report highlights the performance of various industries, with significant net inflows observed in sectors such as non-ferrous metals and electronics, while industries like pharmaceuticals and defense showed substantial net outflows [20][21]

2025年07月10日 期货研究 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报 观点与策略 | 铜：库存增加，价格承压 | 3 | | --- | --- | | 锌：区间运行 | 5 | | 铅：预期支撑 | 6 | | 铝：重心上移 | 7 | | 氧化铝：几内亚雨季影响，短期偏强 | 7 | | 铸造铝合金：跟随电解铝 | 7 | | 镍：上方弹性受限，镍价低位承压 | 9 | | 不锈钢：库存轻微消化，钢价修复但弹性有限 | 9 | | 碳酸锂：矿端存增量预期，仓单回升但总量偏低 | 11 | | 工业硅：仓单去化，盘面波动放大 | 13 | | 多晶硅：关注政策，波动加剧 | 13 | | 铁矿石：预期反复，宽幅震荡 | 15 | | 螺纹钢：宏观情绪扰动，宽幅震荡 | 16 | | 热轧卷板：宏观情绪扰动，宽幅震荡 | 16 | | 硅铁：宏观情绪扰动，宽幅震荡 | 18 | | 锰硅：宏观情绪扰动，宽幅震荡 | 18 | | 焦炭：震荡偏强 | 20 | | 焦煤：消息扰动，震荡偏强 | 20 | | 动力煤：日耗修复，震荡企稳 | 22 | | 原木：主力切换，宽幅震荡 | 23 | | 对二甲苯：单边震荡市 | ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货股指期货早报（2025 年 7 月 10 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | IH2509 | 震荡 | 上涨 | 震荡偏强 | 震荡偏强 | 政策端利好预期构成较强支撑 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：IF、IH、IC、IM 日内观点：震荡偏强 中期观点：上涨 参考观点：震荡偏强 核心逻辑：昨日各股指均震荡整理，小幅回调。股市全市场成交额 15274 亿元，较上日放量 528 亿 元，全市场超 3300 只个股下跌。消息面，统计局公布了 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货国债期货早报（2025 年 7 月 10 日） ◼ 品种观点参考—金融期货股指板块 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | TL2509 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 震荡偏弱 | 震荡 | 货币政策环境偏向宽松，但短期 降息可能性不高 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—金融期货股指板块 品种：TL、T、TF、TS 日内观点：震荡偏弱 中期观点：震荡 获 取 每 日 期 货 观 点 推 送 参考观点：震荡 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 观点参考 服 务 国 家 走向世界 知行合一 专业敬业 核心逻辑：昨日国债期 ...

Core Points - The Hubei Provincial Data Bureau has issued an action plan to develop a credible data space, aiming to establish over 30 interconnected and resource-rich data spaces by 2028, with at least 300 application scenarios and 2000 data products [1][2] - The action plan emphasizes the importance of creating various types of credible data spaces, including urban, enterprise, industry, cross-border, and personal data spaces [1] - The plan targets key sectors for expanding the application of credible data spaces, focusing on industrial chain development, digital transformation for SMEs, scientific research, public data utilization, smart city governance, healthcare, logistics, data finance, and artificial intelligence [1][2] Group 1 - The action plan outlines the goal of building a comprehensive technical, operational, ecological, standard, and security system for credible data spaces by 2028 [1] - It highlights the need for a collaborative and efficient enterprise data space and the cultivation of industry-specific data spaces [1] - The plan aims to enhance the value of data through various applications, including supporting innovation and improving urban governance [1] Group 2 - The action plan proposes to improve the market-oriented operational mechanisms for credible data spaces, focusing on professional operational capabilities and service systems [2] - It emphasizes the importance of data security and the establishment of clear responsibilities and boundaries for resource interaction [2] - The plan specifically promotes the application of credible data spaces in the artificial intelligence sector, targeting key areas such as manufacturing, transportation, healthcare, education, tourism, and environmental protection [2]

Group 1 - Star Stone Investment recently conducted research on a listed company, Ice Wheel Environment, which focuses on providing advanced system solutions and lifecycle services in the energy and power sectors [1] - Ice Wheel Environment's main products include compressors and heat exchange devices, which manage thermal energy functions across a temperature range of -271℃ to 200℃ [1] - The company has successfully developed a helium compressor for ultra-low temperatures, used in superconducting magnet cooling systems for magnetic confinement nuclear fusion devices [1] - Ice Wheel Environment provides cooling equipment and heat exchange devices for data centers, with products listed in the national directory of advanced applicable technologies for green data centers [1] - The company is involved in the cooling and heating technologies for nuclear power plants and has participated in setting standards for nuclear refrigeration equipment [1] - Ice Wheel Environment has launched comprehensive thermal control solutions for industrial applications, focusing on efficient recovery and utilization of residual energy [1] - The company is also developing green energy system solutions for marine applications, including BOG re-liquefaction devices and ship carbon capture systems [1] - The company's competitive advantage lies in continuous technological innovation, supported by a nationally recognized enterprise technology center and multiple national awards [1] Group 2 - Star Stone Investment Management Co., Ltd. was established in 2007 and is one of the top private equity investment management companies in China [2] - The company has received numerous awards, including being the first Chinese private equity firm to win the Morningstar China Hedge Fund Award and to be included in the MSCI Global Hedge Fund Index [2] - Star Stone Investment focuses on long-only equity strategies and has built a strong research team of 40 professionals, employing a multi-faceted driving factor investment approach [2] - The investment decision-making process is led by a committee, with nine fund managers collaboratively managing all products to identify high-quality investment targets [2] - The company emphasizes talent development through a model of nurturing elite graduates, ensuring high team stability and strong cultural alignment [2] - Star Stone Investment has established a comprehensive company structure that includes investment research, market services, back-office operations, and compliance risk control [2] - The firm has been recognized by mainstream financial institutions and is the first private equity fund to serve as an investment advisor for bank wealth management products [2] - Star Stone Investment has developed a unique investment methodology tailored to the Chinese A-share market, focusing on multi-layered driving factors to achieve consistent excess returns [2]