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【申万宏源策略 | 一周回顾展望】牛市启动的尝试
申万宏源研究· 2025-06-29 04:09
Group 1 - The article emphasizes that the market is experiencing a short-term upward breakthrough due to several factors, including the stabilization of capital market expectations and the influx of long-term funds, particularly from insurance companies [1][2] - The recent geopolitical tensions have eased, leading to a recovery in global risk appetite, alongside expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut, which has contributed to the market's positive momentum [2][5] - The index's breakthrough has directly boosted risk appetite, resulting in increased trading activity, particularly in small-cap stocks and technology growth sectors [2][8] Group 2 - The article suggests that multiple positive factors are expected to converge between 2026 and 2027, potentially marking a core bull market phase, although the current market still shows signs of weakness [5][6] - The overall economic outlook remains weak, with concerns about macroeconomic support and limited structural improvements, indicating that the market is not yet ready for a bull market [6][8] - The short-term market may still experience speculative index rallies, but significant upward trends are anticipated to begin in late 2025 [8] Group 3 - The article identifies specific sectors with high elasticity for investment opportunities, including stablecoins, national defense, and military industries, as well as the overseas AI computing power industry [8] - High-dividend assets are expected to undergo a revaluation in the medium term, with a focus on banking stocks, which may face adjustment pressure due to excessive short-term attention [8] - The article maintains a structural bullish outlook for A-shares, emphasizing the reliance on breakthroughs in technology industries and highlighting three asset categories closely related to China's strategic opportunities: gold, rare earths, and national defense [8]
重要时刻!第二批险资正式入市,三大布局方向曝光
券商中国· 2025-06-28 13:18
获批数月后,第二批保险资金长期投资试点项目,正式开启投资。 泰康稳行完成首笔投资交易 6月27日,泰康资产旗下私募证券投资基金管理公司泰康稳行(武汉)私募基金管理有限公司(简称"泰康稳 行")完成首笔投资交易。 这属于第二批保险资金长期投资试点项目。泰康稳行由泰康资产运用自有资金1000万元全资设立。泰康稳行作 为基金管理人,向泰康人寿定向发行契约型私募证券投资基金,泰康人寿作为单一持有人。 保险资金长期投资试点,指的是保险公司资金投向私募证券投资基金,主要投向二级市场股票,并长期持有。 今年1月,泰康人寿和泰康资产获金融监管总局批准参与长期投资试点,获批金额为120亿元。在第二批获批试 点的险资中,泰康是第一家对外宣布开启投资的机构。 泰康方面表示,积极响应长期投资试点,旨在进一步增加符合保险资金投资策略的长期投资资产,优化新会计 准则下保险资金资产负债匹配,提高资金使用效率,充分发挥长期资金、耐心资本作用,助力资本市场平稳运 行。 三大方向:高股息、产业升级、逆周期买入 对于投资思路,泰康稳行有关负责人表示,将以基本面分析为出发点,追求基金资产的中长期稳健增值,最终 服务于经济高质量发展与资本市场稳健运行 ...
因子跟踪周报:小市值、Beta因子表现较好-20250628
Tianfeng Securities· 2025-06-28 08:15
金融工程 | 金工定期报告 金融工程 证券研究报告 因子跟踪周报:小市值、Beta 因子表现较好- 20250628 因子 IC 跟踪 IC 方面,最近一周,小市值、Beta、1 月特异度等因子表现较好,bp 三 年分位数、股息率、季度 ep 等因子表现较差;最近一月,1 月特异度、 小市值、Beta 等因子表现较好,前五大股东持股比例合计、一致预期 EPS 变动、一年动量等因子表现较差;最近一年,小市值、1 个月反转、 Fama-French 三因子 1 月残差波动率等因子表现较好,一年动量、季度 roe、季度 roa 等因子表现较差。 因子多头组合跟踪 多头组合方面,最近一周,Beta、小市值、业绩预告精确度等因子表现较 好,财报超研报预期程度、基于一致预期的标准化预期外盈利、90 天内 预期调整均值等因子表现较差;最近一月,Beta、小市值、1 月特异度等 因子表现较好,基于一致预期的标准化预期外盈利、bp 三年分位数、1 个月非流动性冲击等因子表现较差;最近一年,小市值、1 个月换手率波 动、1 个月日均换手率等因子表现较好,90 天内预期调整均值、基于一致 预期的标准化预期外盈利、90 天净上调预期 ...
中信建投: H股市场公告:(更新)截至2024年12月31日止年度之末期股息
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-27 16:46
發行人董事 於本公告日期,本公司執行董事為劉成先生及金劍華先生;本公司非執行董事為李岷先生、閆小雷先 生、劉延明先生、楊棟先生、 資本公司H股股票 代扣所得稅。 發行人所發行上市權證/可轉換債券的相關信息 發行人所發行上市權證/可轉換債券 不適用 其他信息 宣派股息: 每10股人民幣1.65元(含稅) EF001 免責聲明 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負責,對其準確性或完整性 亦不發表任何聲明,並明確表示,概不對因 公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 股票發行人現金股息公告 發行人名稱 中信建投証券股份有限公司 股份代號 06066 多櫃檯股份代號及貨幣 不適用 相關股份代號及名稱 不適用 公告標題 (更新)截至2024年12月31日止年度之末期股息 公告日期 2025年6月27日 公告狀態 更新公告 提供以下資訊: 更新/撤回理由 (i) 派息金額及公司預設派發貨幣、及 (ii) 匯率。 股息信息 股息類型 末期 股息性質 普通股息 財政年末 2024年12月31日 宣派股息的報告期末 2024年12月31日 宣派股息 每 10 ...
金瑞矿业: 青海金瑞矿业发展股份有限公司2024年年度权益分派实施公告
Zheng Quan Zhi Xing· 2025-06-27 16:30
Core Points - The company announced a cash dividend of 0.025 CNY per share, totaling approximately 7.2 million CNY, approved at the 2024 annual shareholders' meeting on May 8, 2025 [1] - The dividend distribution is based on a total share capital of 288,176,273 shares [1] Distribution Plan - The cash dividend will be distributed to all shareholders registered with China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited, Shanghai Branch, after the market closes on the registration date [1] - The relevant dates for the A shares are as follows: - Registration date: July 3, 2025 - Last trading day: July 4, 2025 - Ex-dividend date: July 4, 2025 [5] Taxation Information - For individual shareholders holding shares for over one year, the dividend income is exempt from personal income tax; for those holding between one month and one year, 50% of the income is taxable, resulting in a 10% effective tax rate; for those holding for one month or less, the full amount is taxable at a 20% rate [2][3] - For Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors (QFII), a 10% corporate income tax will be withheld, resulting in a net dividend of 0.0225 CNY per share [4][6] - Other institutional investors will not have tax withheld by the company, and the net dividend remains 0.025 CNY per share [6]
【12366问答】有关股息红利的税费政策您了解吗?
蓝色柳林财税室· 2025-06-27 15:35
欢迎扫描下方二维码关注: 图片 热点梳理 图片 问答来啦 近期 有纳税人来电咨询有关股息红利的相关政策,比如:我公司购买了上市公司股 票,取得的股息红利是否可以免税?若我公司取得符合条件的居民企业之间的股息、红利 等权益性投资收益,在企业所得税汇算清缴时应当填报哪些附表?这一期,申税小微收集 整理了一篇热点问答供大家学习~ 12366 图片 1. 我公司购买了上市公司股票,取得的股息红利是否可以免税? 答: 根据《中华人民共和国企业所得税法》及其实施条例规定:居民企业直接投资 于其他居民企业取得的权益性投资收益免征企业所得税。 在中国境内设立机构、场所的 非居民企业从居民企业取得与该机构、场所有实际联系的股息、红利等权益性投资收益免 征企业所得税 。上述所称股息、红利等权益性投资收益,不包括连续持有居民企业公开 发行并上市流通的股票不足12个月取得的投资收益。 图片 3. 若我公司取得符合条件的居民企业之间的股息、红利等权益性投资收益,在企业 所得税汇算清缴时应当填报哪些附表? 答: 根据《中华人民共和国企业所得税年度纳税申报表(A类,2017年版》,企业应 填写《符合条件的居民企业之间的股息、红利等权益性投 ...
中信银行(601998):ROE更早企稳,被低估的底部股份行
上 市 公 司 2025 年 06 月 27 日 中信银行 (601998) ——ROE 更早企稳,被低估的底部股份行 | 基础数据: | 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产(元) | 12.64 | | 资产负债率% | 91.61 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 55,645/40,763 | | 流通 B 股/H 股(百万) | -/14,882 | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势: -20% 0% 20% 40% 06-27 07-27 08-27 09-27 10-27 11-27 12-27 01-27 02-27 03-27 04-27 05-27 06-27 中信银行 沪深300指数 (收益率) 证券分析师 郑庆明 A0230519090001 zhengqm@swsresearch.com 林颖颖 A0230522070004 linyy@swsresearch.com 冯思远 A0230522090005 fengsy@swsresearch.com 研究支持 报告原因:强调原有的投资评级 买入(维持) | 市场数据: | 2025 年 0 ...
投资高股息资产并不是稳赚不赔
Group 1 - The phenomenon of "capital clustering" is significant in the current structural market of A-shares, with funds concentrating in specific sectors such as core assets, growth tracks, and high-dividend stocks, leading to substantial short-term price increases [1] - On June 27, the banking sector experienced a sharp decline, with several banks like Hangzhou Bank, Chongqing Bank, and Qingdao Bank dropping over 4%, while others like Jiangsu Bank and Agricultural Bank fell more than 3% [1] - The banking sector has seen an increase of nearly 40% in 2024 and over 15% this year, with some individual bank stocks experiencing even greater gains, driven by the low yield environment for traditional savings and investment products [1] Group 2 - Investing in high-dividend assets is not without risks, as these assets are primarily concentrated in traditional industries like energy, finance, and real estate, which are closely tied to macroeconomic cycles [2] - The excessive pursuit of high-dividend assets can lead to valuation bubbles, resulting in rapid adjustments in these assets, especially if companies lack growth momentum [2] - Companies' dividend policies are not fixed and can change due to various factors, including operational conditions and strategic planning, which may lead to reduced or suspended dividends even for historically stable dividend-paying companies [2] Group 3 - In the current low-interest-rate environment, high-dividend assets are attractive due to the potential for steady cash dividends alongside gradual price appreciation, but caution is advised to avoid falling into the "high-dividend trap" [3]
无锡农村商业银行股份有限公司 2024年年度权益分派实施公告
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-26 23:16
本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 ● 每股分配比例 A股每股现金红利0.22元(含税) 本次利润分配方案经公司2025年5月16日的2024年年度股东大会审议通过。 二、分配方案 1.发放年度:2024年年度 2.分派对象: 截至股权登记日下午上海证券交易所收市后,在中国证券登记结算有限责任公司上海分公司(以下简 称"中国结算上海分公司")登记在册的本公司全体股东。 重要内容提示: 3.分配方案: 本次利润分配以方案实施前的公司总股本2,194,681,695股为基数,每股派发现金红利0.22元(含税), 共计派发现金红利482,829,972.90元。 三、相关日期 ■ 四、分配实施办法 1.实施办法 无限售条件流通股的红利委托中国结算上海分公司通过其资金清算系统向股权登记日上海证券交易所收 市后登记在册并在上海证券交易所各会员办理了指定交易的股东派发。已办理指定交易的投资者可于红 利发放日在其指定的证券营业部领取现金红利,未办理指定交易的股东红利暂由中国结算上海分公司保 管,待办理指定交易后再进行派发。 2. ...
NextEra Energy: The Green Giant Of Dividend Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-26 12:15
While the early market panic in response to President Trump's proposed tariffs has apparently reversed course and been replaced by a remarkably resilient rally , I nevertheless remain uneasy about the near-to-medium term, especially with such importantThe Low-Budget Dividend Investor is your prototypical Generation X-er: an over-educated, under-funded middle-aged guy looking for ways to increase his income in a difficult economic environment. He favors the conservative, income-generating strategies more fre ...