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2025年人形机器人中期策略
2025-06-30 01:02
机器人行业目前的发展现状如何?未来有哪些看点? 机器人行业目前正处于从实验室迭代过渡到垂直场景商业化阶段。自 2024 年 下半年以来,机器人进入了快速的成本和技术迭代周期。一方面,供应链定点 和量产扩展使得成本加速迭代,核心部件如丝杠、电机、减速器等出现明显降 本,尤其是丝杠。另一方面,国内机器人的迭代周期仅约两个月,目前特斯拉 等公司已经迭代到 Optimus GEM Three,使得产品越来越接近大规模量产的 成熟状态。 下半年整个行业开始进入垂直场景商业化阶段,例如巡检、康养、 交互、物流、工厂等多个垂直场景都开始部署人形机器人。从产品和技术角度 来看,人形机器人的商业化主要卡在大小脑以及上肢协作领域。上肢协作能力 是工作效率的根本,因此未来人形机器人迭代最快的应该是上肢能力,这也是 目前最关键的领域。上肢协作需要采集大规模、高质量的数据,如 Figure Helix 智源 JOY 以及工业通用的 Grasp VLA 等均针对上肢协作的大模型。 下半年重点关注灵巧手、丝杠、Pick and Place、减速器、关键总成、 电子皮肤、六维力传感器七大赛道,关注特斯拉、华为等公司的供应链 机会。 Q&A ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-06-29 16:22
Some key players predict that the face of the battlefield in Ukraine will rapidly change this summer, thanks to the introduction of fighter robots https://t.co/B0TIVh8L5j ...
X @The Economist
The Economist· 2025-06-29 14:14
Industry Trend - The widening "grey zone" of 10 km on either side of the contact line is driving demand for robust robots [1] Technological Advancement - The robots are designed to allow personnel to remain underground, suggesting a focus on remote operation and safety [1] - Drones are being used to monitor and enforce activity within the "grey zone" [1]
Neo Humanoid Robot At-Home Training Update
CNET· 2025-06-29 12:00
[Music] Humanoid robot Neo has a new AI model that's unlocking new capabilities as it's being tested in the homes of 1X employees. The robot's new abilities include picking up unfamiliar objects in unfamiliar settings, whole body control, improved coordination, running, multidirectional walking, stairs, and more. Neo's new stair mode uses the robot's onboard cameras to estimate the height of the surrounding floor without the use of LAR sensors, which are commonly used by competing robotics companies for the ...
已秘密提交香港上市申请?文远知行回应;韩国首家小米之家线下门店开业|36氪出海·要闻回顾
36氪· 2025-06-29 09:46
以下文章来源于36氪出海 ,作者36氪出海 36氪出海 . 36氪出海(letschuhai.com)是关注出海的行业媒体,为企业跨境提供海外咨询及专业服务,同时运营着超万人的出海生态社群。 来源| 36氪出海(ID:wow36krchuhai) 封面来源 | Unsplash 已秘密提交香港上市申请?文远知行回应 韩国首家小米之家线下门店开业 鱼你在一起泰国首店在曼谷开业 吉利汽车正式进军希腊市场 阿里巴巴2025财年收入9963.47亿元,跨境业务表现强劲 商务部:深入推进中国和南亚国家经贸合作 易控智驾完成超4亿元D轮融资 白皮书下载|中转卡塔尔:中企参与沙特大型项目的物流新选择 2024年,沙特港口总计处理货物3.2078亿吨,同比大幅增长14.45%。但依赖单一运输路径的供应链风险不容忽视。 卡塔尔物流企 业海湾仓储公司(GWC)近期发布白皮书,提出创新物流解决方案Flow Port。 凭借卡塔尔独特的地缘优势,Flow Port为中国制 造商开辟了进入沙特市场的快速通道。通过减少海关和港口延误、简化跟踪和交付物流、提供可预测的库存进展,Flow Port构建 起连接亚洲制造业与沙特重点开发区域的物 ...
Here's Why Tesla Stock Is a Buy Before the End of July
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-29 08:30
Core Viewpoint - Tesla is expected to release its second-quarter earnings in late July, with potential volatility in its stock price due to recent developments, including the robotaxi launch, which may serve as a positive catalyst for the company [1] Delivery Data - Tesla typically releases its production and delivery data shortly after the quarter ends, which is crucial as these figures represent its sales volumes [2] - Unlike traditional automakers, Tesla sells directly to consumers, making its delivery data a direct reflection of sales [2] Market Share Trends - Tesla's market share in the electric vehicle (EV) sector has been declining, from 58% at the end of 2022 to 43.5% in Q1 2025 [4] - Early sales data from the U.S. and Europe indicates that Tesla may need a strong sales month in June to meet analyst estimates [5] Competitive Landscape - Bears argue that Tesla's declining market share is due to a stagnant vehicle lineup and concerns over losing competitive edge [7] - Bulls attribute the decline to competitors' heavy investments and emphasize that Tesla's long-term success hinges on reducing vehicle costs to boost sales and develop its robotaxi business [8] Production and Sales Growth - Tesla's automotive sales dropped by 20% year-over-year in Q1, raising concerns about the need for production growth to lower unit costs [9] - Lower-cost vehicles are essential for the robotaxi business model, with plans for the Cybercab to begin volume production in 2026 [11] Potential Catalysts - Three key points Tesla's management could address in the earnings call that may positively impact the stock include: 1. Confirmation of the Cybercab's production timeline for 2026 [12] 2. Details on the expansion of the robotaxi pilot program [12] 3. Assurance of the introduction of lower-cost models in 2025, which could revitalize sales [11][12] Investment Perspective - Tesla remains a speculative growth stock, with the potential for a narrative shift in its EV sales and market share contingent on the successful introduction of lower-cost models [14]
X @Ashok Elluswamy
Ashok Elluswamy· 2025-06-29 03:17
Autonomous Driving Technology - Tesla's factory utilizes driverless technology to move vehicles autonomously from the production line to parking lots [1] - The autonomous driving system is being scaled for applications beyond factory logistics, including robotaxis and driverless delivery services [1] Operational Efficiency - Tesla is implementing driverless systems within its factory operations [1] - The company aims to expand its autonomous driving capabilities from factory applications to broader commercial uses [1]
XIAOMI CORP(1810.HK):REMARKABLE 289 000 CONFIRMED ORDERS IN ONE HOUR
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-29 02:08
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi's recent product launch of the YU7 SUV has generated nearly 300,000 orders within one hour, significantly surpassing market expectations, which is expected to enhance earnings consensus and support valuation multiple expansion for the company [1] Group 1: YU7 SUV - The YU7 SUV received over 289,000 confirmed orders in the first hour of its launch, exceeding market expectations against the in-line MSRP [1] - The initial order backlog may face challenges from scalping, and production capacity constraints are anticipated to limit sales growth over the next year, with a maximum delivery estimate of 1 million units by 2026 [1] - The order frenzy for the YU7 is expected to benefit Li Auto with its upcoming i-series BEV models and Xiaomi's supply chain, including its exclusive LIDAR supplier [1] Group 2: AI Glasses - Xiaomi's AI glasses, comparable to Meta-Rayban products but with superior specifications, are expected to succeed in the Chinese market due to limited competition within Xiaomi's ecosystem [1] - The single-color electrochromic version of the AI glasses sold out within half an hour of launch [1] Group 3: MIX Flip2 Smartphone - The MIX Flip2, Xiaomi's latest compact foldable flagship smartphone, features significant upgrades in design, performance, battery life, and imaging systems, with a starting price of RMB 5,999 [2] - The MIX Flip2 is anticipated to become a key player in the 2025 compact foldable smartphone market [2] Group 4: Valuation - Xiaomi is reiterated as a top BUY due to its strong EV growth, progress in smartphone and IoT products, and exposure to AI, AR glasses, and robotics [3] - The target price of HK$75.25 is based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation, combining a 21x 2026E P/E for traditional business and a 4x 2026E P/S for the EV business [3]
X @Elon Musk
Elon Musk· 2025-06-28 14:11
RT Cathie Wood (@CathieDWood)Now that #robotaxis are commercializing , the next question is who will win this winner-take-most opportunity in the US. Based on two major competitive advantages, @skorusARK makes the case for $TSLA in The Brainstorm this week. ...
X @Cathie Wood
Cathie Wood· 2025-06-28 13:47
Competitive Advantage - The robotaxi market presents a winner-take-most opportunity in the US [1] - Tesla possesses major competitive advantages in the robotaxi market [1] - Tesla's crowdsourced fleet model, similar to Airbnb, allows owners to "opt in" for autonomous rides [2] - Waymo's robotaxi model requires partnerships and fleet control [2] Company Strategy - ARK Invest highlights distinctions between Waymo and Tesla in "The Brainstorm" [2]