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摩根士丹利:美国利率策略-存在买入供应并增持陡化交易策略的机会
摩根· 2025-07-04 03:04
July 3, 2025 06:19 PM GMT US Rates Strategy | North America An Opportunity to Buy the Supply and Add to Steepeners The nonfarm payroll report, carried by state and local government education-related jobs, and the low unemployment rate suggest a dynamic aligned with our economist's view for lower US potential growth and a lower equilibrium rate leading to more Fed cuts. Stay long and in curve steepeners. Key Takeaways Please add me to your distribution list. M Idea Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC Matthew Hornbach S ...
高盛:全球利率-上涨空间有限
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-04 03:04
3 July 2025 | 8:18PM BST Global Rates Trader Short Runway to Rally Our economists' revised Fed baseline, which implies both earlier cuts and a lower terminal rate, points to a lower range for US yields across the curve. We now expect 10y US yields at 4.20% at end-2025 vs 4.50% previously, with a modestly steeper curve the likely result. We continue to think that a larger sustained rally would likely require a weaker growth outlook than our forecasts suggest, but ongoing data uncertainty makes it hard to rul ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-04 02:10
Goldman Sachs has lowered its forecasts for US Treasury yields, pointing to the increased likelihood that the Fed will cut interest rates sooner than previously expected https://t.co/MarU6yQGEn ...
Kraft Heinz Shares Cross 6% Yield Mark
Forbes· 2025-07-03 19:50
Group 1 - Kraft Heinz shares are yielding above 6% based on its quarterly dividend, with an annualized dividend of $1.6 and a stock price as low as $26.57 [1] - Dividends have historically provided a significant portion of the stock market's total return, exemplified by the S&P 500 ETF performance from 1999 to 2012, where dividends contributed to a positive total return despite a decrease in share price [1] - The sustainability of Kraft Heinz's dividend yield is uncertain, as dividend amounts are typically influenced by the company's profitability [3] Group 2 - Kraft Heinz is classified as an S&P 500 company, highlighting its status among large-cap companies within the index [2]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-03 19:01
Ghana’s domestic bond yields extended declines on Thursday after the West African nation reported inflation dropped to the lowest in more than three years. https://t.co/B3v0xhdVjF ...
X @IcoBeast.eth🦇🔊
IcoBeast.eth🦇🔊· 2025-07-03 18:55
Thinking about pushing some ETH over to Hydration to capture the 30% APY in the gigaETH incentivized LP. mostly just not sure I want to deal with moving crosschain, because I'm not sure how complicated it is to go from Base to Polkadot (or if there are strong liquidity routes that don't involved CEXs).tBTC yields are down from the first hour (lmao) but still ~25%, and my DOT rewards from last month have earned around $100 in the last 3 days from liquidity incentives.Will be rolling tomorrow's DOT reward int ...
My Top Near 10% Yield Pick For July 2025: Western Midstream
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-03 17:06
Samuel Smith has a diverse background that includes being lead analyst and Vice President at several highly regarded dividend stock research firms and running his own dividend investing YouTube channel. He is a Professional Engineer and Project Management Professional and holds a B.S. in Civil Engineering & Mathematics from the United States Military Academy at West Point and has a Masters in Engineering from Texas A&M with a focus on applied mathematics and machine learning.Samuel leads the High Yield Inve ...
CNB Financial (CCNE) is a Top Dividend Stock Right Now: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 16:46
Company Overview - CNB Financial (CCNE) is a bank holding company headquartered in Clearfield, with a year-to-date price change of -3.46% [3] - The company currently pays a dividend of $0.18 per share, resulting in a dividend yield of 3%, which is higher than the Banks - Northeast industry's yield of 2.78% and the S&P 500's yield of 1.53% [3] Dividend Performance - The current annualized dividend of CNB Financial is $0.72, reflecting a 1.4% increase from the previous year [4] - Over the past five years, CNB Financial has increased its dividend two times year-over-year, with an average annual increase of 1.17% [4] - The company's current payout ratio is 30%, indicating that it pays out 30% of its trailing 12-month earnings per share as dividends [4] Earnings Expectations - CNB Financial is expected to see earnings growth in the current fiscal year, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 at $2.64 per share, representing a 10.46% increase from the previous year [5] Investment Appeal - Dividends are favored by investors for various reasons, including tax advantages and reduced overall portfolio risk, which can enhance stock investing profits [6] - High-growth firms typically do not provide dividends, while established companies with secure profits are viewed as better dividend options [7] - CNB Financial is considered an attractive dividend play and a compelling investment opportunity, holding a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) [7]
Is Orchid Stock Worth Buying for Its Lucrative 20.3% Dividend Yield?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 16:20
Core Viewpoint - Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) offers a high dividend yield of 20.3%, significantly above the industry average of 12.4%, and has increased its dividend three times in the past five years [1][9]. Dividend Yield - ORC is a specialty finance mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) on a leveraged basis, providing favorable long-term returns and substantial dividend yields [3]. - Competitors AGNC Investment and Arbor Realty Trust have dividend yields of 15.8% and 15.5%, respectively [3]. Financial Position - As of March 31, 2025, ORC had $446.5 million in cash and cash equivalents, with no debt [4]. - The company has a share repurchase plan, with 2.7 million shares available for repurchase as of April 25, 2025 [5]. Market Conditions - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 100 basis points in 2024, and mortgage rates have slightly declined, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 6.77% as of June 26, 2025 [7]. - Fannie Mae projects mortgage rates to reach 6.6% by the end of Q3 2025 and 6.5% by year-end [8]. Earnings Projections - Earnings for 2025 are projected to rise by 394.4%, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 266.67% for Q2 2025 [9][17]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ORC's earnings in 2025 is $0.53, with a significant increase from a loss of $0.18 the previous year [19]. Valuation Analysis - ORC is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 2.47X, higher than the industry average of 2.35X [20]. - The company's share price has increased by 12.5% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average of 10% [14]. Strategic Focus - ORC maintains a focus on agency RMBS, which positions it well in the competitive market, with expectations of improved loan demand and net interest spreads as mortgage rates decline [10][11][22]. - The company generated a positive total return of 2.6% in Q1 2025, driven by its monthly dividend [12].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-03 13:07
After a burst of drama in the House of Commons yesterday, UK gilt yields have eased for now. But in the long run, the Labour government faces making some hard choices - the question is whether it can make them stick. https://t.co/JzgLrU50PA ...