6 月百强房企销售数据解读 20250630 摘要 2025 年上半年百强房企操盘金额同比下降 10.8%，6 月单月同比下降 22.8%，市场整体延续止跌企稳及低位波动走势，但成交量仍为近七年 最低点。 头部央企如中海、华润、招商等在环比增长方面表现突出，单月环比增 幅保持在 24%以上，主要得益于核心城市及一线城市高端项目的销售支 撑。 6 月份 30 个重点城市新增供应环比下降 4%，同比下降 28%，创近七 年来最低位，上半年累计同比下降 20%，一线城市供应量尤为稀缺，跌 幅显著。 2025 年 6 月重点城市平均开盘去化率约为 42%，较 5 月份增长 3 个百 分点，比去年同期高出 13 个百分点，表明市场延续弱复苏趋势，但绝 对量不高。 二手房市场韧性较强，上半年累计同比增长 12%，一线城市如上海和深 圳表现尤为突出，分别增长 22%和 35%，但二手房价格波动趋向筑底， 通过以价换量来推动成交。 Q&A 2025 年 6 月份房地产企业的销售情况如何？ 2025 年 6 月份，房地产企业的销售情况未能达到预期中的冲刺和放量。根据 数据，TOP100 房企单月操盘金额约为 3,389 亿元， ...

Group 1 - The company is transitioning from reliance on joint ventures to focusing on independent passenger vehicles, with a significant increase in profit contribution from self-owned brands since 2020 [1][2] - The joint venture brands have faced challenges due to slow electrification and product updates, leading to declining sales and profitability [2] - The company has established a collaborative structure with four self-owned brands since 2021, covering a wide range of new energy vehicles, enhancing profitability and brand premium potential [2] Group 2 - The commercial vehicle segment is expected to enter a mild recovery phase, benefiting from the upcoming vehicle replacement program and infrastructure improvements [2] - The company is projected to achieve significant sales and profit growth, with a forecasted average price-to-book (PB) ratio of 2.66/2.19/1.80x for comparable companies from 2025 to 2027 [2] - The independent brand, represented by Lantu, is expected to show rapid improvement in sales and gross margins starting in 2024, indicating a strong potential for profit recovery [3]

Group 1 - The summer vacation has led to a peak in family travel, with parents taking their children on trips to historical cities like Beijing and relaxing beach destinations [1][2] - According to the "2025 Summer Travel Trend Report" by Tongcheng Travel, approximately 35% of domestic airline passengers during the summer travel season are families traveling with children [2] - Popular domestic destinations for families from Nanjing include Beijing, Sanya, Lijiang, Dali, Guilin, Huzhou, Xishuangbanna, Dalian, and Ili [2] Group 2 - The outbound travel market is experiencing explosive growth, with a significant increase in visa applications, particularly for long-haul trips to Europe [3] - Family and child-related visa applications have increased by 16% year-on-year, accounting for 22% of total visa orders, indicating a strong demand for family travel [3] - The most popular countries for visa applications include Japan, South Korea, the United States, Australia, the United Kingdom, France, Canada, Vietnam, Italy, and New Zealand [3] Group 3 - The family travel segment has overtaken honeymoon travelers as the main demographic for outbound island vacations [4] - Popular island destinations for families include the Maldives and Bali, with a surge in demand for "flight + hotel" packages [4] - Travel companies are responding to this trend by offering personalized services tailored to the needs of families, especially those with multiple children [4]

Core Viewpoint - The credit rating report indicates that Shenzhen Xingsen Quick Circuit Technology Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Xingsen Technology") maintains a stable credit rating of AA, reflecting its leading position in the domestic PCB prototype and small batch board sector, despite facing significant financial challenges due to high upfront costs in semiconductor projects and slow order integration [2][4][5]. Company Overview - Xingsen Technology is recognized as one of the few domestic manufacturers capable of mass production of FCBGA packaging substrates, maintaining a technological edge in the industry [2][17]. - The company has a diversified product application across various sectors, including communication, industrial control, medical electronics, and consumer electronics, with a stable customer base [4][17]. Financial Performance - The company reported total assets of 145.69 billion and total liabilities of 59.44 billion as of March 2025, with operating revenue of 15.80 billion for the year [2]. - The net profit for 2024 was a loss of 5.31 billion, reflecting the impact of high costs associated with semiconductor projects and insufficient order volume [3][5]. - The company's debt-to-equity ratio increased, indicating rising financial leverage and debt repayment pressure [5][19]. Industry Environment - The PCB market is expected to recover in 2024, driven by demand from AI servers and consumer electronics, with a projected global market value of 73.6 billion, representing a 5.8% year-on-year growth [11][12]. - The domestic PCB market in China is anticipated to grow from 41.2 billion to 50.8 billion from 2024 to 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.3% [11][12]. - The industry faces challenges such as high raw material costs and competitive pressures, which may impact profit margins [15][19]. Competitive Position - Xingsen Technology ranks seventh among domestic PCB manufacturers according to the CPCA, showcasing its competitive strength [17]. - The company has invested significantly in R&D, with 4.42 billion allocated in 2024, and has received national awards for its technological advancements [18][19]. - Despite the competitive landscape, Xingsen Technology's PCB business saw a revenue increase of 5.11% in 2024, primarily due to recovery in the consumer electronics sector [19].

| 17 | 题创中国 | 234. 1 | 17 | 碧桂园 | 168. 1 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 18 | 碧桂园 | 205. 4 | 18 | 保利置业 | 167.8 | | 19 | 国贸地产 | 199.6 | 19 | 中建东孚 | 157. 3 | | 20 | 能建城发 | 199.3 | 20 | 邦泰集团 | 141.9 | | 21 | 中建东孚 | 185. 1 | 21 | 中国中铁 | 136. 2 | | 22 | 中国中铁 | 184.0 | 22 | 深业集团 | 133. 2 | | 23 | 中建壹品 | 177.3 | 23 | 中建壹品 | 133.0 | | 24 | 金地集团 | 171.5 | 24 | 中建智地 | 122.9 | | 25 | 鸿荣源 | 168. 4 | 25 | 国贸地产 | 119.7 | | 26 | 美的置业 | 155.0 | 26 | 能建城发 | 117.4 | | 27 | 中交房地产 | 148. 4 | 27 | 大华集团 | 116. 1 | | 28 ...

Group 1 - New World Development Company Limited has reached a new bank financing and unified bank financing agreement covering approximately HKD 88.2 billion of existing unsecured financial debt [1] - The company's financial management strategy focuses on reducing liabilities and improving cash flow, while continuing to fulfill existing financial responsibilities [1] - The recovery of the real estate market in Hong Kong and mainland China, along with the growth in demand for high-end residential properties, has led to the successful launch of several "phenomenal" hot-selling projects [1] Group 2 - As of June 25, the company has achieved its contract sales target of HKD 26 billion for the fiscal year 2024/2025 [1] - In the mainland market, projects in Guangzhou and Shenyang have led sales, with Shenyang's project topping the residential sales chart in May [1] - In Hong Kong, the super luxury project "滶晨" has sold over 330 units at a maximum price of over HKD 538,000 per square meter, attracting both local and overseas buyers [2]

Core Insights - In May, the Bank of England approved 63,032 mortgage loans, exceeding analyst expectations and indicating a rapid recovery in the housing market following the end of the home purchase tax relief in April [1] - Net mortgage borrowing increased by £2.8 billion in May, reaching £2.1 billion, a significant rebound from the previous month's sharp decline from £13.8 billion to -£0.8 billion [1] - The number of net mortgage approvals also saw a slight increase, with remortgage approvals rising by 6,200 to 41,500, marking the largest increase since February 2024 [1]

[Table_Main] 证券研究报告 | 行业周报 有色金属 2025 年 06 月 30 日 有色金属 优于大市（维持） 证券分析师 翟堃 资格编号：s0120523050002 邮箱：zhaikun＠tebon.com.cn 高嘉麒 资格编号：S0120523070003 邮箱：gaojq＠tebon.com.cn 研究助理 市场表现 -29% -22% -15% -7% 0% 7% 15% 22% 2024-05 2024-09 2025-01 有色金属 沪深300 资料来源：德邦研究所，聚源数据 相关研究 1.《盛达资源：金银上行，扩产在即》， 2025.4.30 2.《锡业股份：原料自给上行，行业 持续景气》，2025.4.30 3.《有色金属周报：黄金剧震，持续 看好》，2025.4.27 4.《天山铝业：利润高企，成长性明 显》，2025.4.20 5.《有色金属周报：特朗普连续喊话 美 联 储 ， 关 注 贵 金 属 表 现 》 ， 2025.4.20 有色金属周报：逼仓预期出现， 铜价波动或提升 | 图 | 1：内外盘金价 3 | | --- | --- | | 图 | 2：外盘金银铂钯价 ...

Core Viewpoint - The excavator industry serves as a key indicator for infrastructure construction and fixed asset investment in China, with recent data showing a continuous increase in the workload of construction machinery across multiple provinces, indicating ongoing progress in major projects such as roads and bridges [1]. Summary by Sections National Overview - In May, the national construction machinery operating rate was 47.34%, with the top ten provinces being Anhui, Beijing, Zhejiang, Jilin, Liaoning, Hainan, Hebei, Qinghai, Jiangxi, and Ningxia. Qinghai saw the highest month-on-month growth rate of 3.14% [2]. - Sixteen provinces experienced a month-on-month increase in workload, with eight provinces, including Heilongjiang, Qinghai, Jilin, Tibet, Beijing, Xinjiang, Inner Mongolia, and Ningxia, showing growth rates exceeding 10% [3]. Equipment Performance - The operating rate for road construction equipment was 29.83% in May, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 1.72% and a year-on-year increase of 1.87%. Notably, the operating rate of pavers increased by 4.22%, with a workload growth of 14.65% [4]. - The Northeast region led with an operating rate of 60.39%, showing a month-on-month increase of 17.01%. Excavation equipment in this region had an operating rate of 65.82%, the highest in the country [6]. Regional Highlights - The Northeast region's workload increased by 3.58% year-on-year, with significant month-on-month growth of 17.01%. The region's operating rates for various equipment types, including excavators and crawler cranes, were the highest nationally [6]. - The Western region's operating rate was 53.77%, ranking second nationally. Notably, the workload for crawler cranes in Ningxia surged by 249.03% year-on-year, indicating strong growth driven by favorable policies in infrastructure and international trade [7][8]. - The Eastern region's operating rate was 46.4%, with concrete equipment leading at an operating rate of 47.05%. Various concrete-related equipment also ranked first nationally in their respective categories [9].

——存储芯片周度跟踪（2025.06.23-2025.06.27） ◼ 核心观点 NAND：CFM称部分原厂 NAND 产能转向先进制程，预计 2025年下 半年 1Tb NAND 供应增加。根据 DRAMexchange，上周（20250623- 0627）NAND 颗粒 22 个品类现货价格环比涨跌幅区间为 0.00%至 3.82%，平均涨跌幅为 1.56%。其中 5 个料号价格持平，17 个料号价 格上涨，0 个料号价格下跌。根据 CFM 闪存市场报道，2025 年下半 年起，部分存储原厂产能将陆续切换新制程，推动单 die 1Tb NAND 供应增长，并积极在手机、PC、服务器等应用领域加速客户认证工 作。未来，随着原厂产能向大容量 NAND 逐渐倾斜，加上国内厂商 产能快速爬坡，市场竞争将进一步加剧。 电子 行业研究/行业周报 CFM 称大容量 NAND 供应或增加，DDR4 高位横盘 DRAM：美光在 1-gamma DRAM 技术节点已取得显著进展。根据 DRAMexchange，上周（20250623-0627）DRAM 18 个品类现货价格 环比涨跌幅区间为 0.14%至 24.70%，平均 ...