Certainty

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Trump and the future of CFTC and crypto, investing in trash could pay off, Fed rate cut outlook
Yahoo Finance· 2025-06-13 03:32
Market Overview & Regulation - The report highlights the latest financial news as of June 12, 2025 [1] - CFTC Acting Chairman Caroline Pham discussed digital asset regulation under the Trump administration, investor protection from fraud, and the legitimacy of prediction markets at Coinbase's State of Crypto Summit [1] Company Specific Insights - WM CFO Davina Rankin believes trash is a resilient growth business [1] Economic Outlook - Former Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester discussed the outlook for Fed rate cuts [1] - Uncertainty regarding tariffs in the second half of the year may cause the Fed to hold rates despite positive economic data [1]
原油日报:国际原子能机构宣布伊朗违反核不扩散条约-20250613
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2025-06-13 02:46
Report Summary Investment Rating - Short - term: Oil prices are expected to fluctuate with a slight upward trend; Medium - term: Bearish allocation [3] Core View - Tensions in the Middle East show no sign of easing. The IAEA's announcement that Iran violated the nuclear non - proliferation treaty adds pressure on Iran. The probability of a US - Iran nuclear deal is low unless Iran makes major concessions. However, there is great uncertainty between geopolitical escalation and supply impact. Without threats to supply or key shipping routes, it's difficult for oil prices to have a trend - like increase [2] Market News and Key Data - **Oil Futures Prices**: On the New York Mercantile Exchange, the July - delivery light - sweet crude oil futures price fell 11 cents to $68.04 per barrel, a 0.16% decline; the August - delivery Brent crude oil futures price on the London market dropped 41 cents to $69.36 per barrel, a 0.59% decline. The SC crude oil main contract rose 0.67% to 494 yuan per barrel [1] - **IAEA Resolution**: The IAEA Board of Governors passed a resolution stating that Iran violated nuclear non - proliferation obligations for the first time in nearly 20 years. Iran condemned it as a "political" decision and plans counter - measures [1] - **G7 on Russian Oil Price Cap**: Most G7 countries plan to lower the price cap on Russian oil even if Trump decides to withdraw. The current $60 per - barrel cap is almost ineffective due to falling global oil prices [1] - **Israel's Military Consideration**: Israel is considering military action against Iran in the coming days. The US may play a logistical role and share intelligence. Trump said there's a possibility of large - scale conflict in the Middle East [1] - **Singapore Fuel Inventory**: As of the week ending June 11, Singapore's fuel oil inventory rose 1.133 million barrels to 23.714 million barrels (a 7 - week high), light distillates inventory increased 232,000 barrels to 13.334 million barrels (a 3 - week high), and middle distillates inventory rose 1.475 million barrels to 10.715 million barrels (a 13 - week high) [1] - **US Jobless Claims**: The number of initial jobless claims in the US remained stable at a high level. As of the week ending June 7, it was 248,000 after seasonal adjustment, against a market expectation of 240,000 [1]
Edison International Remains At The Top Spot Of The Utility Sector
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-12 12:18
Amid an uncertain macro environment and market volatility, the utility sector has emerged as one of the top-performing areas since the beginning of the year, with a 7% gain. In my recent article on the utility companies, I set up aAnalyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation fo ...
Steve Rattner: Tariff effects yet to come, but economists and consumers expect prices to rise
MSNBC· 2025-06-12 11:13
former Treasury official and Morning Joe economic analyst Steve Ratner. Steve, there has indeed been plenty of speculation about how Trump's tariffs will impact the country. So tell us, how does the economy look almost 5 months into Trump's second term.Yeah, it's interesting, Jonathan. I think uh all of us predicted that inflation would start to go up as a result of those tariffs, but yesterday there was a report that in fact it has really not yet gone up, or at least not yet gone up. So the commerce depart ...
Tariffs will likely slow growth down and raise inflation for a year: Pantheon’s Ian Shepherdson
CNBC Television· 2025-06-12 11:00
Inflation data on the agenda today, this time at the producer level. May PPI is due in just over two hours time. For more insights on inflation in the economy ahead of the Fed's policy meeting next week, we want to bring in Ian Shepardson.He's chairman and editor and chief of Pantheon Macroeconomics. And Ian, the weaker than expected inflation numbers yesterday once again. Look, what what does this mean.that the tariffs are not going to be nearly as inflationary as people thought or there's a longer delay b ...
AI, Death, and the Future of Fear | Lori Baldwin | TEDxBerlin
TEDx Talks· 2025-06-11 16:06
Who is afraid that AI is going to destroy human civilization. Now, don't be shy. It can't see you right now.Who knows someone who is afraid that AI is going to destroy human civilization. Who is afraid of dying. In a black box, AI and death share a room.What's inside this black box. We don't know. In a 2023 New York Times column, Ezra Klene wrote about AI.We do not understand these systems, and it's not clear we even can. I am an artist dealing in embodiment and livveness. As such, I have taken AI and death ...
JPMorgan CEO: ‘Real Chance' US Economic Numbers Will Dip
PYMNTS.com· 2025-06-11 10:42
The head of America’s largest bank has a gloomy forecast for the U.S. economy.By completing this form, you agree to receive marketing communications from PYMNTS and to the sharing of your information with our sponsor, if applicable, in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Terms and Conditions .Complete the form to unlock this article and enjoy unlimited free access to all PYMNTS content — no additional logins required.“I think there’s a real chance numbers will deteriorate soon,” J.P. Morgan Chase CEO Jam ...
Coop Pank AS results for May 2025
Globenewswire· 2025-06-11 05:00
Coop Pank’s financial results in May 2025: In May, number of the bank's clients increased by 1,500 and number of active clients decreased by 800. By the end of the month number of clients reached 216,00 and number of active clients reached 102,400. Over the year, customer base has grown by 11%. Volume of the bank's customer deposits decreased by 47 million euros in May. The reduction in deposit volume was a deliberate step, as an additional 250 million euros was raised in March through the issuance of cover ...
欧洲商业服务:人员配置:2025年5月:欧洲的数据点持续改善
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-11 02:50
10 June 2025 | 6:42PM BST Europe Business Services: Staffing: May '25: Datapoints continue to improve in Europe The m-o-m volumes were up 1.8% in May'25 vs. April'25. French temp work turnover also improved to c.-1% vs. c-5% in April '25. Dutch turnover data also received today (June 10th) for the 5th 4-week period of 2025 (April 21st to May 18th), improved significantly to c.+5% yoy vs. c.-2% in the 4th 4-week period (March 24th to April 20th). Number of hours worked improved to c.-1% yoy vs. c.-6% in the ...
Citizens Financial Group (CFG) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-06-10 14:45
Summary of Citizens Financial Group (CFG) 2025 Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Citizens Financial Group (CFG) - **Date of Conference**: June 10, 2025 - **Speaker**: Don McCree, Senior Vice Chair and Head of Commercial Banking Key Points Company Positioning and Strategy - Citizens Financial Group is positioned as one of the best commercial banks among super regional peers, focusing on national expansion from its initial regional base in New England and the Mid-Atlantic [2][3] - The bank has developed a comprehensive set of capabilities beyond traditional lending, including leveraged finance, syndicated finance, and global markets [4][5] - Citizens has built a significant private equity and private capital business, banking 4,000 middle market companies, with 10% of them looking to transition at any time, primarily into private equity [6][7] Competitive Advantages - Citizens competes effectively with larger money center banks by focusing on the middle market, where larger banks often lack attention [8][10] - The bank has a strong team with extensive experience, allowing it to evaluate risk and price opportunities effectively [9][10] - Citizens ranks number two in middle market leverage league tables, demonstrating its competitive success [10] Macro Environment and Client Sentiment - Clients are adjusting to macroeconomic uncertainties, with a general sense of optimism emerging regarding business activity [13][15] - Companies have improved their financial management practices post-COVID, leading to reduced financial distress [14][15] - There is a growing confidence among companies to pursue acquisitions if they can secure favorable valuations [56][57] Financial Performance and Guidance - Citizens expects solid performance in the second quarter, maintaining guidance with strong net interest income (NII) and credit performance [17][18] - The bank anticipates an 8-10% growth in fee income for 2025, driven by diversified revenue streams including M&A, syndicated finance, and global markets [21][22] Capital Markets and M&A Activity - The capital markets have seen a resurgence, with increased activity expected in the second half of the year, despite previous volatility [30][31] - There is a significant amount of liquidity in the market, with private equity firms actively fundraising [28][29] - Citizens is well-positioned to capitalize on generational changes in ownership within companies, facilitating M&A transactions [26][27] Loan Growth and Commercial Lending - Commercial lending activity is driven by inventory building and real investments, with healthy pipelines expected to continue [48][49] - The bank is seeing increased line utilization, indicating a positive trend in loan growth [49] Risk Management and Credit Quality - Citizens is closely monitoring office real estate exposure, which has been well reserved, and is actively reducing its overall commercial real estate portfolio [86][88] - The bank has seen a decline in loans moving into workout groups, indicating stable credit quality [86] Private Capital and Private Equity - Citizens has positioned itself to serve both private equity and private credit markets, focusing on comprehensive service offerings [72][73] - The bank has opted not to enter partnerships with private credit firms, preferring to maintain flexibility and optionality in its client relationships [76][78] Future Outlook - The bank is optimistic about the potential for new money transactions to increase, driven by improved market conditions and client sentiment [30][31] - Citizens aims to leverage its private banking capabilities to enhance cross-selling opportunities and strengthen its market presence [64][71] Additional Insights - Citizens is focusing on enhancing its treasury solutions business, which has shown a 10% revenue CAGR since 2015, by expanding into new sectors and technologies [39][40] - The bank is also exploring opportunities in embedded finance and partnerships with fintechs to enhance its service offerings [44][45]