板块方面证券板块继续调整，明天有可能还会延续调整的格局，这个板块之前就一直跟大家去讲没有持 续性，可惜很多人没有听，现在大概率又被套在了高位，炒股真的是不能够头脑发热。那么军工今天走 强，周末出了消息，这个板块我觉得要重视，特别是老股民，一定要把这个观念给调整过来，现在的军 工跟之前是完全不一样的，那么我们现在军工行业一不留神已经成了世界第一了，以后会有越来越多的 国家来买我们的军工产品，那么它现在是一个成长板块，而且才刚刚开始，以后这个板块有可能会跟一 年前的银行一样，会涨到大家无法想象，所以说大家还是要重视一下这个板块。 我们做一下复盘以及明天的推演。和讯投顾邓攀表示，在周五缩量之后，今天市场继续缩量了582亿， 军工今天受消息的刺激走强，它的逻辑发生了变化，开始走出了成长性，就盘面来说还是在走轮动，而 且市场的活跃度相较于前几天来说的话是有所降低的。那么短线其实上短线今天有两个5板标的，我们 观察一下明天谁会接近600，最近的监管比较放松，超预期的是可以继续去做的。 那么CPU和PCB这两个板块，下午有资金做一个获利了结，筹码出现了松动，那么这两个板块我觉得应 该是边打边撤，不要去想着赚最后一个铜板，比 ...

摘要 1、今天，A股三大指数再迎上涨，创业板指涨超1%，军工板块领涨。 2、 A股上半年收官，有色金属板块涨近20%。 招商策略：A股进入牛市II阶段。 3、 中报披露期即将到来，哪些板块机会更大？如何做好资产配置？ 真话白话说财经，理财不说违心话 --这是第1376 篇白话财经- - 今天，A股三大指数再度上涨，给上半年画上了一个圆满的句号。 （图片来源：东方财富APP，统计截至2025/6/30，不作投资推荐） 两市成交额1.49万亿元，盘面上，航天航空、医疗、光伏板块领涨，券商板块出现回调。 分析人士指出， 沪指突破年内新高后，短期仍或有一定的上行空间， 中报业绩带来的结构性机会是近期市场的主旋律。 A股半年收官，有色金属板块领涨 今天，A股继续上涨，军工板块领涨。 光大证券认为， 本轮市场反弹主要源于多重利好共振。 一是中东地缘局势缓和，全球金融市场避险情绪迅速降温，促使资金从黄金、债券等避险资产回流股市。 二是美联储降息预期发酵，美元走弱，美债收益率下行，全球风险资产偏好普遍回升。 三是近期以稳定币、军工等为代表的新热点反复活跃，有效支撑了市场热度。 在上半年最后时刻，A股也是突破了年内新高，沪指累 ...

发布时间：2025-06-30 大盘指数 7000 8000 9000 10000 11000 12000 2000 3000 4000 上证指数 深证成指 1000 2000 3000 5000 6000 7000 8000 中小100 创业板指 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:黄子崟 SAC 登记编号:S1340523090002 Email:huangziyin@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《震荡仍是主旋律，等待内部政策窗口 期》 - 2025.06.16 策略观点 以静待时 ⚫ 投资要点 A 股自去年 9.24 行情开启之后，一大特征是散户情绪对市场一 度有着主导作用，这一点在散户情绪指数和万得全 A 在 9.24 至今年 4 月初的强耦合关系中得以体现。但在进入 5 月之后，散户情绪持续 走低，万得全 A 指数震荡攀升，二者已经不再紧密趋同。如果将 6.24 看作是 9.24 的重复，那么首先要回答的问题就是散户情绪能否再次 走向亢奋？ 自 2022 年以来 A 股散户情绪亢奋均需要重大的政策或产业事件 作为刺激，从未像 2020-2021 年间那样出现过指数上涨和散户情绪亢 ...

Group 1 - The "2025 Kangaroo Mom Youth Beautiful Campus Public Welfare Tour" focuses on the collaborative development of aesthetic education, moral education, and physical education for youth [1][5] - The event in Xi'an featured Olympic champion Yang Xiuli sharing her experiences and the philosophy of resilience through sports, emphasizing the importance of learning from failures [2][3] - The initiative aims to integrate sports spirit, moral education, and aesthetic pursuits into the daily lives of children, fostering a supportive environment for their growth [8][9] Group 2 - The event included practical skincare education for adolescents, addressing common skin issues during puberty, and promoting scientific skincare practices [6][10] - Local enterprises contributed to the event by donating sports equipment and skincare gift boxes, highlighting community involvement in youth development [9][11] - The Kangaroo Mom Group's commitment to public welfare aligns with national educational goals, aiming to support youth in their growth journey [13]

Market Overview - On June 30, A-shares saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.59%, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index up by 1.35% [1] - The STAR Market Composite Index led the gains with an increase of 1.70% [2] - Over 4,000 stocks in the market experienced an increase [1] Hong Kong Market - On the same day, major indices in the Hong Kong stock market collectively declined, with the Hang Seng Technology Index down by 0.72% [4] - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.87% [5] Sector Performance - The defense and military sector saw the highest gains, with an increase of 4.35%, followed by media at 2.82% and telecommunications at 1.90% [7] - In contrast, non-bank financials decreased by 0.77%, banks by 0.34%, and transportation by 0.09% [7] Industry Highlights Solid-State Battery Technology - A pilot project for all-solid-state battery electric bicycles was launched in Beijing, marking a significant step towards the commercialization of solid-state battery products [8] - Century Securities reported that the solid-state battery industry is progressing towards commercialization, with a recent announcement from a U.S. company indicating a 25-fold increase in heat treatment speed, leading to a 76.67% increase in stock prices over two days [8] Defense and Military Sector - There has been a significant inflow of capital into the defense and military sector, with the Defense ETF rising by 4.88% [9] - Northeast Securities highlighted the long-term growth certainty of the defense and military sector, noting that the industry is expected to recover as demand increases and structural capacity improves [9]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed a collective increase in the first half of 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 2.76%, while the North Stock 50 Index outperformed with a remarkable increase of 39.45% [1][2]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3444.43 points, up 0.59% on June 30, 2025, with a total trading volume of 63.7 trillion yuan, remaining stable compared to the second half of 2024 [1]. - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index saw smaller gains of 0.48% and 0.53%, respectively, while the North Stock 50 Index had a significant increase of 39.45% [1][2]. - The average A-share price increased by 11.99%, rising from 19.69 yuan to 22.05 yuan, indicating a strong market performance compared to the major indices [2]. Market Structure - The performance of small and mid-cap growth stocks was notably better than large-cap blue chips, with the CSI 2000 Index rising by 15.24% and the CSI 1000 Index by 6.69% [2]. - The STAR Market's composite index increased by 9.93%, but the STAR 50 Index only rose by 1.46%, indicating that large-cap stocks may have dragged down overall performance [2]. Outlook for the Second Half - CITIC Securities predicts that the synchronization of the US and Chinese economic and policy cycles will lead to macroeconomic resilience, favoring growth-oriented stocks in the second half of the year [3]. - Core assets are expected to show significant relative profitability and operational resilience, with a potential revaluation of A-share assets in Hong Kong, which could act as a "blue-chip engine" [3]. - The reform of public fund management is anticipated to shift institutional investors' focus towards core company pricing rather than chasing industry trends, leading to a gradual return to leading companies with pricing power [3].

证券研究报告—公募基金周报 撰写日期：2025 年 06 月 30 日 公募基金周报（20250623-20250627） 投资要点 本周 A 股市场迎来强势反弹，上证指数一举突破年内高点，交投热情 显著升温。受地缘政治局势缓和影响，市场风险偏好明显提升，叠加国内稳 增长政策密集出台，共同推动股指震荡上行。全周来看，日均成交额环比大 幅增加 22.36%。降息预期提升，美元指数持续下行，COMEX 黄金下跌 2.94%， 中债市场维持窄幅震荡。本周贝塔因子和流动性因子涨幅居前，市值因子跌 幅较大。股指期货合约基差整体上行，股票对冲策略净值持续回撤，中性对 冲基金本周收益的平均值和中位数分别为-0.10%和-0.03%。 主动权益产品根据本周涨幅排序：深度低估策略中排名前三的分别为 东方互联网嘉（9.65%）、前海开源事件驱动 A（7.31%）、广发沪港深价值成 长 A（6.88%）；高成长策略中排名前三的分别为中欧景气前瞻一年持有 A （10.31%）、圆信永丰高端制造（7.93%）、华富国泰民安 A（7.35%）；高质 量策略中排名前三的分别为富荣福锦 A（7.09%）、长城久鑫 A（6.43%）、易 方达 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has introduced guidelines for the establishment of a "Growth Layer" on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, aimed at enhancing the inclusiveness and adaptability of the system for companies that are not yet profitable [1][2]. Group 1: Guidelines and Regulations - The guidelines specify conditions for inclusion and removal from the Growth Layer, allowing companies that are unprofitable at the time of listing to be included immediately [1]. - Companies that were already listed and have not achieved profitability since the issuance of the guidelines will also be included in the Growth Layer [1]. - To be removed from the Growth Layer, companies must meet one of two conditions: either have positive net profits for the last two years with a cumulative profit of at least 50 million RMB or have positive net profit for the last year with revenue of at least 100 million RMB [1]. Group 2: Risk Management and Disclosure - The introduction of a "U" designation for stocks in the Growth Layer serves as a risk warning, indicating that these companies are unprofitable [1][4]. - The guidelines emphasize enhanced information disclosure and risk management, requiring investors to sign risk disclosure agreements before investing in unprofitable tech companies [2][4]. - There is a suggestion for further clarification on whether companies that are removed from the Growth Layer and later incur losses should be reclassified, to avoid a "lifetime exemption" from scrutiny [2][3]. Group 3: Market Impact and Future Considerations - Currently, around 200 companies on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board have negative net profits, but the immediate need to include them in the Growth Layer is considered low [3]. - The establishment of the Growth Layer is expected to strengthen capital market support for technological innovation and enhance market confidence in tech companies [3]. - A proposal is made to potentially include all loss-making companies in the Growth Layer in the future, which could help in risk management and encourage companies to improve their profitability [3].

Choice统计数据显示，截至6月27日，以基金成立日为口径，6月新成立的基金总数为137只，合计发行 份额为1123.01亿份，无论从数量还是发行份额看，相比5月的96只、657.59亿份均有大幅提升，并创出 今年以来新基金发行单月数量规模的新高。 其中虽有51.06%的占比为债券型基金，但也为A股市场带 来了超过500亿元"活水" 。此外，从待发行的新基金来看，48只基金中有超过七成为权益新品，其中被 动指数型产品占多数。 本月新发基金中最引人注目的无疑是首批新模式浮动管理费基金。6月26日，鹏华共赢未来混合和万家 新机遇同享混合两只新基金发布合同生效公告。至此，首批26只新模式浮动管理费基金中已有19只成 立。据记者了解，其他几只产品预计于6月底或将全部结束募集。 公告显示，鹏华共赢未来混合募集期内合计认购金额为6.92亿元，有效认购户数为5616户；万家新机遇 同享混合募集期内合计认购金额为4.74亿元，有效认购户数为4715户。再加上之前成立的产品，截至6 月26日，已成立的首批新模式浮动管理费基金合计募集金额为近190亿元，合计有效认购总户数超过21 万户。 此外，成立较早的几只产品已经开始建仓， ...

Core Viewpoint - The market outlook for A-shares remains positive, supported by global interest rate cuts and increased domestic capital inflow, leading to a gradual rise in the index center [1][2] Group 1: Market Performance - The CSI 500 Quality Growth Index rose by 0.59% as of June 30, 2025, with notable performances from stocks such as Kaiying Network (up 10%), Jingwang Electronics (up 7.86%), and Shenzhou Taiyue (up 6.76%) [1] - The CSI 500 Quality Growth ETF increased by 0.51%, with the latest price at 0.98 yuan [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Huaxi Securities suggests that the A-share market will continue to stabilize and improve, driven by the reopening of global interest rate cuts and a recovery in investor risk appetite [1] - Zheshang Securities indicates that mid-cap growth stocks are currently favored, with upcoming trading opportunities expected in July, although uncertainties may increase [1] - Recommended investment strategy includes focusing on banks as a stable investment, while being optimistic about TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sectors [1] Group 3: Index Valuation - The CSI 500 Quality Growth Index is currently at a historical low valuation, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.84, which is lower than 91.96% of the time over the past three years, indicating strong valuation appeal [2] - The index is characterized by a small and mid-cap value growth style, with a better profitability and lower valuation compared to the broader CSI 500 index [2] Group 4: Top Holdings - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI 500 Quality Growth Index account for 23.79% of the index, with notable companies including Chifeng Gold, Ninebot, and Shenghong Technology [2][4]