以下文章来源于时代周报 ，作者孙艺格 时代周报 . 记录大时代，深读全商业。互联网新闻信息服务许可证编号：44120230006 本文来自微信公众号： 时代周报 ，作者：孙艺格，原文标题：《中美互降关税一周后的义乌：有商 家通宵赶工，有商家咨询量增加，有商家仍在等机会》，头图来自：作者拍摄 5月14日，中美双方正式实施调整后的关税政策。根据《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明》，美国取消 对中国商品加征的91%关税，修改4月2日来对中国商品加征的34%的对等关税，其中24%的关税暂停 加征90天，保留剩余10%的关税。 相应地，中国也取消对美国商品加征的91%的反制关税；针对美对等关税的34%反制关税，相应暂停 其中24%的关税90天，剩余10%的关税予以保留。 在降低关税的同时，美国还下调或撤销对中国小额包裹 （包括香港特别行政区小额包裹） 加征的关 税，将国际邮件从价税率由120%下调至54%，撤销原定于2025年6月1日起将从量税由每件100美元 调增为200美元的措施。 贸易追踪机构Vizion发布的数据显示，在美国和中国互降关税之后，在美国下单的从中国到美国的集 装箱运输预订量飙升近300%。 Vizion ...

Group 1 - The meeting between the Governor of the People's Bank of China, Pan Gongsheng, and Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, focused on global economic and financial conditions, Sino-US trade relations, and China's macroeconomic policies [1]

Core Viewpoint - The meeting held on May 22 focused on enhancing multilateral trade systems, deepening China-Europe economic relations, and expanding the trade scale of agricultural and food products [1] Group 1 - The meeting involved key officials from China and Central and Eastern European countries, including the Vice Chairman of the China-EU Chamber of Commerce and various ministers from Bulgaria, Croatia, and Greece [1] - Discussions included the importance of maintaining a multilateral trade system and the potential for increased cooperation in agricultural and food product trade [1] - Relevant cooperation documents were signed during the meeting to formalize agreements on these topics [1]

最近，国际局势可谓是风云变幻，尤其是在经贸领域，那真的是热闹非凡。中美之间关于关税的这场大战，经过长时间的你来我往，最近有了重大进展，双 方已经谈得差不多了，大幅度削减关税，剩下的一些小问题，也会在后续的谈判中慢慢解决。这消息一出来，全球的目光都聚焦到了其他国家身上，为啥 呢？因为美国之前搞了个大动作，上个月不仅对中国发动了关税战，还对其他所有国家都下手了。虽说给了大家 90 天的暂缓期，但在这期间，美国那可是 毫不客气，公然拿关税当武器，威胁其他国家，说要是减少跟中国的经贸往来，就能得到美国关税减少甚至全免的好处。这一下子，可把其他国家给难住 了，大家都不想做这道选择题，谁不想中美两边都不得罪，都能继续做生意呢？但在美国的强大威慑下，没办法，只能二选一。 对大部分国家来说，这选择题简直比高考还难，中美两个大国，各有各的优势，实在不知道该怎么选。可对澳大利亚来说，这题虽然也不好做，但答案似乎 没那么难选。澳大利亚贸易与旅游部长法雷尔在 5 月 15 号的时候，那可是打开天窗说亮话，直接表明了态度。他说特朗普政府拿着关税大棒，胁迫其他国 家一起，想把中国排除在世界经贸体系之外，可美国却忽略了一个超级重要的问题。 ...

金十数据5月22日讯，5月20日，廖岷副部长分别会见美前财长、华平投资集团主席盖特纳，国际金融协 会总裁安德慕，高盛集团首席经济学家兼全球投资研究部主管哈祖斯，就中美和全球经济形势、两国宏 观经济政策及中美经贸关系等议题交换意见。廖岷副部长重点介绍了中国经济的增长前景和促进高质量 发展的政策措施，强调中国经济的稳定发展，将为世界经济增长注入更多确定性。 廖岷会见美商界和国际金融机构代表 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the recent adjustment of tariffs between China and the United States, where both countries have agreed to cancel 91% of additional tariffs and suspend 24% of reciprocal tariffs, marking a temporary easing of trade tensions [1][3] - Following the tariff adjustments, there has been a surge in demand from American buyers for Chinese goods, with many U.S. companies pre-loading containers in anticipation of the changes [3][5] - The logistics company ITS Logistics predicts a 20% increase in shipping costs from China to the U.S. West Coast in the coming weeks, indicating a critical period for inventory accumulation for shippers and carriers [3][5] Group 2 - Despite the short-term benefits, U.S. businesses, especially small enterprises, express concerns about the potential policy shifts after the 90-day period, as they still face a 30% tariff burden [5][6] - The ongoing fentanyl tariff issue remains contentious, with the U.S. imposing additional tariffs on China under the pretext of fentanyl control, which China disputes [6][8] - The future trajectory of U.S.-China trade relations hinges on negotiations regarding the suspended tariffs and the fentanyl tariffs, emphasizing the need for constructive dialogue to resolve underlying tensions [8][9]

据智通财经报道，近日，中美双方公布了日内瓦经贸会谈的联合声明，宣布就部分关税问题达成初步协议。多位分析师对智通财经表示，联 合声明基调积极，有助于缓和中美经贸关系当前的紧张局势，减少全球最近因美国关税战所引发的不确定性。中国社会科学院美国研究所经 济室主任罗振兴表示，从结果来看，等于是特朗普绕了一大圈后，又回到了起点。从这个角度讲，美国对中国的经济霸凌已经完全失效了。 同时，中国也为其他国家未来的谈判树立了标杆和榜样。 贸易（资料图） 面对美国的关税战、贸易战，中国是最大的受害者，但中国不仅承受住了，甚至经济基本面的状态比美国还要好。也就是说，如果中美关税 战长期保持下去，最先被拖死的绝对是美国。但在这种情况下，中方依旧愿意和发起关税战且不占优的美国进行直接对话，美国需要倍加珍 惜中国没有关上谈判大门的善意，而不是利用中国的善意，继续搞它那套毫无底线的压迫讹诈和出尔反尔。 不管怎么说，中美能坐到谈判桌上就足以说明，美方确实迫切希望与中方好好谈一谈，但后续中美关系如何发展，我们都需要保持高度警 惕，同时要保持淡定，淡定看到结果和中美遇到的难题和困境。总之，中方已经用自己的诚意获得了越来越多国家的认可，而美方却因 ...

策略报告 | 投资策略 做强国内大循环 证券研究报告 政策与大类资产配置周观察 海内外政策要闻 中拉论坛第四届部长级会议顺利召开。5 月 13 日，中国－拉美和加勒比国家共同 体论坛第四届部长级会议在北京成功举行。外交部发言人林剑 5 月 14 日在例行 记者会上表示，在中拉论坛正式运行十周年之际，本次会议向世界发出了团结协 作、共迎挑战的"中拉声音"。会议通过了《中国－拉共体论坛第四届部长级会议 北京宣言》和《中国－拉共体成员国重点领域合作共同行动计划（2025－2027）》。 国务院召开做强国内大循环工作推进会。5月15日，国务院召开做强国内大循环 工作推进会，中共中央政治局常委、国务院总理李强在会上强调，要深入贯彻习 近平经济思想，按照党中央决策部署，深刻认识和准确把握当前经济形势，把发 展的战略立足点放在做强国内大循环上。 中美落实日内瓦经贸联合声明。当地时间5月10日-11日，中美经贸高层会谈在 瑞士日内瓦开始举行。5月14日，中美双方同步落实《中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合 声明》，大幅降低双边关税水平。 国内外政策导向分析 上周（5.12-5.16）海外政策聚焦于5月10-11日，中美经贸高层会谈在瑞士 ...

1. 会谈声明超出预期，利好中国经济与金融市场：调整后的30%关税与4月份之前水平相近，使得出口商、进口商以及 终端消费者更易分摊成本以消化关税压力。 来源：德银研究 3. 中国经济增长预测有进一步上调的空间：随着关税政策的更新，熊奕预计今年中国经济增长或有上调的空间，具体 调整幅度仍将取决于未来双方对话的进展与合作成果。熊奕指出，尽管此前关税大幅上调，但中国4月份出口依然保 持强劲韧性。如今大部分关税已暂停，预计关税对出口增长的实际影响将远低于预期。展望未来，有三个关键事件值 得重点关注。其一，中美是否能持续开展双边对话，从而进一步缓和紧张局势；其二，贸易缓和能否对中国商业和消 费者信心产生积极影响，毕竟在贸易紧张局势升级前，相关市场信心已呈现改善态势；其三，七月份90天暂停期结束 后的走势将如何发展。 经过两天坦诚、富有建设性的高层会谈，中美双方已达成重要共识，将大幅缓和经贸紧张局势。 4. 短期内，政策面的宽松环境仍将持续 ：中国人民银行将继续实施上周公布的宽松措施。财政部预计也将在未来几个 月加速国债发行节奏并加大财政支出力度。预计政府可能会在年中之前评估经济表现并动态调整政策，进而决定是否 需要修订 ...

Group 1: Global Economic Trends - China is effectively countering external uncertainties through institutional openness and the implementation of the "dual circulation" development strategy, aiming to address the bottleneck of insufficient domestic demand and inject new momentum for high-quality economic development [1][3] Group 2: Sino-US Trade Relations and Foreign Investment - Despite challenges posed by the tariff war, China remains an attractive market due to its large market size, stable political environment, rich human capital, and improving institutional openness, which collectively create a strong magnet for foreign investment [3][4] - Chinese companies are encouraged to diversify their markets and reduce reliance on a single market by embracing technological innovation, cost reduction, and expanding their networks [3] Group 3: Outbound Investment - Outbound investment is viewed as a crucial strategy for Chinese companies to enhance their capabilities and achieve global expansion, supported by national policies that encourage enterprises to "go global" [4] Group 4: Bay Area Financial Cooperation - The Greater Bay Area should focus on cross-border financial cooperation, intellectual property protection, and industrial ecosystem development to attract foreign R&D centers, leveraging its geographical and resource advantages [5] Group 5: Domestic Circulation Challenges - Local protectionism and factor barriers are identified as major obstacles to the advancement of domestic circulation, necessitating a unified national approach to facilitate the free flow of key elements such as personnel, capital, and data [6] - The private economy plays a significant role in domestic circulation, contributing over 50% of tax revenue, 60% of GDP, and 70% of technological innovations, highlighting the need for supportive measures to address financing challenges and improve the business environment [6] Group 6: Importance of Technological Innovation - Technological innovation is deemed essential for addressing the issue of insufficient domestic demand, with recommendations to enhance consumer spending through increased income levels, improved income distribution, and more consumption scenarios [7] - A well-developed financial system is crucial for supporting technological innovation, with suggestions to further open capital markets to attract foreign institutional investors and reduce financing costs [7] Group 7: Financial Market Opening - The current environment presents a favorable opportunity for further financial market opening, but it should be approached cautiously to avoid the pitfalls experienced by South American countries due to excessive openness [8] - Emphasis is placed on the importance of institutional development and risk prevention in the process of financial market opening, ensuring orderly progress while enhancing transparency and regulatory oversight [8]