Core Points - The European Commission proposed a new draft of sanctions against Russia, which would mark the eighteenth round of sanctions if approved [1] - Kirill Dmitriev, president of the Russian Direct Investment Fund, stated that the comments from European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen indicate that the EU "wants the Russia-Ukraine conflict to continue" [1] - Dmitriev also mentioned that the proposal to impose sanctions on the fund reflects the EU's opposition to the fund's efforts to promote cooperation between Russian and European companies [1]

克里姆林宫：（关于欧盟降低俄油价格上限的声明）我们已经在西方制裁下生活了一段时间，我们认为 这些制裁是非法的。 ...

Core Insights - Since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, Germany's imports from Russia have plummeted by 95% from 2021 to 2024 [1] - The European Union's overall imports from Russia have decreased by 78%, while exports have dropped by 65% during the same period [1] - In 2024, the trade deficit with Russia is projected to be 4.5 billion euros, significantly lower than the 147.5 billion euros recorded in 2022 [1] Trade Dynamics - The primary reason for the continued higher imports over exports in 2024 is the EU's ongoing importation of oil and natural gas from Russia [1] - Despite the lack of tariffs imposed by the Trump administration, trade between Russia and both the US and EU has sharply declined due to sanctions related to the conflict [1] - Russia's economic performance has been better than expected over the past three years, despite facing challenges from falling oil prices and reduced fiscal revenues [1]

Energy - The European Commission proposed the eighteenth round of sanctions against Russia, suggesting to lower the price cap on Russian oil from $60 per barrel to $45 per barrel [7] - Kazakhstan's Energy Ministry reported that oil exports to Germany via the Druzhba pipeline increased by 48% year-on-year from January to May, reaching 767,000 tons [7] - The EIA projected a decline in U.S. crude oil production next year, previously expected to reach a record high [7] - OPEC Secretary-General stated that global energy demand is expected to grow by 24% by 2050, exceeding 120 million barrels per day [7] Precious Metals and Mining - Zimbabwe's Minister of Mines announced that the country will ban the export of lithium concentrates starting in 2027, which is part of an initiative to encourage foreign mining companies to develop refining operations in Zimbabwe [3] Agriculture - The Euronext September wheat futures fell below €200 per ton due to ample global supply [4] - The Rostov region in Russia, affected by drought, declared a state of emergency [4] Trade Situation - A U.S. appeals court ruled that Trump's tariffs may continue to be in effect during the appeal process [5] - Reports indicate that the U.S. and Mexico are nearing an agreement on steel tariffs [8] - The World Bank warned that a further 10% increase in average U.S. tariffs could lead to a stagnation in global trade by the second half of 2025 [8] - The U.S. Department of Commerce's trade representative mentioned that a framework agreement has been reached between the U.S. and China [8]

Group 1 - The second "Belt and Road" Technology Exchange Conference was held in Chengdu, Sichuan, focusing on building a technology innovation community and promoting multi-level cooperation mechanisms [1] - China has signed intergovernmental technology cooperation agreements with over 80 countries involved in the "Belt and Road" initiative, established more than 70 joint laboratories, and set up 10 international technology transfer centers [1] - The conference aims to inject new momentum into global technological innovation cooperation by launching various important outcomes and establishing "industry-university-research-application" cooperation platforms [1] Group 2 - Technology innovation cooperation has effectively improved the well-being of people in "Belt and Road" countries, achieving mutual benefits [2] - In Southeast Asia, Chinese enterprises have alleviated local power supply issues through solar-plus-storage projects, while in the Middle East, AI technology has supported the smart upgrade of the energy sector [2] - In Africa, 24 agricultural technology demonstration centers have been established, leading to a 30% to 60% increase in local crop yields over the past decade [2] Group 3 - The "Belt and Road" technology innovation cooperation emphasizes the concept of a "community," promoting diverse forms of collaboration and enhancing human exchanges [3] - Developing countries are encouraged to seize opportunities in the new technological revolution, ensuring fair access to emerging technologies and maintaining their development rights [3] - The cooperation is expected to expand in breadth and depth, enhancing technological capabilities and fostering high-quality development in participating countries [3]

校对： 冉燕青 他表示，他"拒绝任何对等的概念"，并说"提醒我们的合作伙伴不要忘记谁是真正的敌人"，即2023年10 月7日袭击以色列的巴勒斯坦伊斯兰抵抗运动（哈马斯）武装。 他补充道："美国敦促取消制裁，并站在以色列一边。" 来源：参考消息 责编：王璐璐 据法新社6月10日报道，美国10日"谴责"英国以及英美两国的四个共同盟友对以色列两名极右翼部长实施 的制裁，认为这些国家"不应忘记谁是敌人"。 根据一份声明，美国国务卿鲁比奥说："这些制裁并不能推动美国领导的旨在实现停火、让所有人质回家 以及结束加沙地带战争的努力。" 百万用户都在看 刚刚，集体拉升！ 突发，美军出动！特朗普发声 任正非最新发声！ 重磅来袭！突然，跳涨94%！ 全面暂停！特朗普签了！ 违法和不良信息举报电话：0755-83514034 邮箱：bwb@stcn.com ...

在俄乌冲突进入第四年之际，由于美国总统特朗普放弃要求俄罗斯接受无条件停火，这个由27个成员国 组成的集团正在加强针对俄罗斯的措施。新的一揽子计划可能会在6月23日的欧盟外长会议上被采纳， 它的通过需要所有27个成员国的一致支持。 作为新一轮制裁方案的一部分，欧盟提议禁用北溪天然气管道，并降低俄油价格上限，以施压俄罗斯结 束对乌克兰的军事行动。 欧盟委员会主席乌尔苏拉·冯德莱恩（Ursula von der Leyen）周二在布鲁塞尔对记者表示："俄罗斯的目 标不是和平，而是强加武力统治。因此，我们正在加大对俄罗斯的压力，因为压力是俄罗斯唯一能理解 的语言。" 北溪管道这条直接连接俄罗斯和德国的波罗的海天然气运输通道自俄乌冲突的第一年起就已无法运行， 但最新的禁令将禁止运营商进行涉及北溪管道的交易。德国总理弗里德里希·默茨（Friedrich Merz）也 支持这一措施。 冯德莱恩说："过去的事无法再回头。" 将七国集团支持的俄油价格上限从60美元降至45美元则需要美国的支持。冯德莱恩表示，七国集团领导 人将在本月晚些时候在加拿大开会时讨论这个问题。 欧盟公司为俄罗斯提供的一系列服务在当前价格上限下是合法的，但 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|能源化⼯策略⽇报 2025-06-11 美中贸易谈判牵动市场，能化延续震荡 原油价格相对强势，同时伴随着月差的走高，汽油裂解价差则表现一 般。欧洲的柴油期货持仓达到了1995年以来新高，这与柴油裂解价差的强 势是一致的，持仓量的增长说明柴油当前的强势可能会延续。原油供需之 外，我们看到俄罗斯与乌克兰的冲突仍在继续，伊朗和美国可能本周日在 阿曼举办第六轮和谈，地缘端近期并未实质影响供应。 板块逻辑： 化工走势明显弱于原油。6月10日早盘化工在原油的带动下出现反 弹，下午则跟随股市略有跳水，整体延续震荡格局。对未来需求的悲观预 期依旧主导市场。因为尚可的利润，一些本要检修的企业也将检修时间推 迟，10日是看到一纯苯和PX短流程企业将检修推迟。一些有真的供应扰动 的商品也因为悲观预期，迟迟不振，例如未来的乙烷进口存在不确定， 会影响众多乙烯衍生物EG和苯乙烯等。 原油：供应过剩预期仍在，关注宏观及地缘扰动 LPG：需求仍弱势，PG反弹空间或有限 沥青：沥青期价震荡回落 高硫燃油：高硫燃油裂解价差下跌 低硫燃油：低硫燃油期价跟随原油震荡 甲醇：外采需求有增 ...

Group 1 - Recent developments indicate a potential thaw in US-China relations, with a pause on "reciprocal tariffs" and renewed communication channels [1][3] - The article emphasizes the need to focus beyond tariffs to address the broader and more damaging non-tariff sanctions imposed by the US [1][3] - The US has a long history of sanctions against China, which have expanded significantly over the past decade, particularly in non-military sectors [3][5] Group 2 - The US has established a complex and extensive sanctions regime against China, which includes various legislative measures aimed at restricting technological and economic cooperation [5][6] - Key legislative acts such as the "2021 US Innovation and Competition Act" and the "2022 Chips and Science Act" have institutionalized measures against Chinese technology and supply chains [6][8] - The US has increasingly utilized "blacklists" to restrict Chinese companies, with over 1,000 entities listed under various sanctions categories, impacting sectors like AI, semiconductors, and aerospace [10][11] Group 3 - The article outlines the US's strategy of forming international coalitions to counter China's technological advancements, including initiatives like the "Tech Democracy Alliance" [20][22] - The US has been actively encouraging allied nations to adopt similar sanctions and restrictions against China, creating a global framework for economic and technological containment [22][23] - Recent legislative actions in the US Congress have been characterized as a systematic approach to economically and politically isolate China [9][23] Group 4 - The article discusses the implications of US sanctions on Chinese companies, highlighting the challenges faced in legal recourse and the opaque nature of the US judicial process [26][30] - It notes that the US government often employs vague and broad criteria for sanctions, making it difficult for affected companies to defend themselves [30][31] - The increasing frequency and variety of sanctions have created a challenging environment for Chinese firms, with an average of one new sanction measure introduced every three days over the past two decades [34][36] Group 5 - The article calls for a strategic response from China to counter US sanctions, advocating for a comprehensive framework to address the challenges posed by non-tariff measures [40][42] - It emphasizes the importance of enhancing domestic capabilities and international cooperation to mitigate the impact of US sanctions [42][43] - The need for a proactive approach in negotiations and policy formulation is highlighted, aiming to reclaim lost ground in the face of US economic aggression [41][44]

金十数据整理：俄乌冲突最新24小时局势跟踪（6月11日） 冲突情况： 1. 俄罗斯国防部表示，俄军10日凌晨对乌克兰国防工业企业等目标进行了打击，所有预定目标均被击 中。 其他情况： 1. 泽连斯基敦促对俄石油实施30美元价格上限。 4. 泽连斯基：基辅遭遇冲突爆发以来最猛烈空袭。 5. 据外媒报道，俄罗斯正加大无人机生产力度，使其能够每天对乌克兰城市发动大规模袭击。 和谈情况： 1. 乌称谈论乌俄第三轮谈判的任何准备工作仍为时过早。 2. 欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩：呼吁俄乌立即无条件停火，持续至少30天。 3. 俄驻美大使：俄美新一轮会谈将于近期在莫斯科举行。 2. 乌克兰武装部队总参谋部称，乌军袭击了俄军多处人员、武器和军事装备集中区。 3. 乌克兰空军10日发布消息称，自当地时间9日20点起，俄军发射315架无人机和7枚导弹袭击乌克兰。 跟踪俄乌冲突局势 +订阅 2. 欧盟委员会提出第十八轮对俄制裁方案，提议下调俄罗斯石油价格上限，从每桶60美元降至45美元。 3. 欧盟委员会主席冯德莱恩：提议进一步禁止价值超过25亿欧元的关键技术和工业产品出口。提议再制 裁22家俄罗斯银行。提议对北溪一号和二号天然气管 ...