Core Viewpoint - The notion that the bond market will fluctuate due to U.S. tax legislation is deemed incorrect by U.S. Treasury Secretary Yellen [1] Bond Market Summary - The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield slightly decreased from around 5.05% to nearly 5.03%, showing an overall decline during the day [1] - The 20-year U.S. Treasury yield fell from approximately 5.06% to below 5.04% [1] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield dropped by about 2 basis points, approaching 4.5%, with an overall decline of around 2 basis points for the day [1] - The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield remained steady below 3.98% [1] Currency Market Summary - The U.S. Dollar Index fell from 99.35 to below 99.25, with a daily decline exceeding 0.7% [1]

库克要求得州州长Abbott要么修改立法草案，要么（对这个地方立法草案）行使否决权。（华尔街日 报） 苹果公司加大努力，对抗美国监管部门的儿童隐私立法努力。 CEO库克呼吁美国得州政府停止关于"阻止网络儿童安全"的立法。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a surge, particularly Bitcoin, which recently reached an all-time high of over $110,000, driven by increased attention from the U.S. government and President Trump [2][3] Group 1: Bitcoin and Market Dynamics - Bitcoin's market capitalization surpassed $2.1 trillion, making it the fifth-largest asset globally, following gold, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Apple [2] - The recent passing of a procedural vote on the "stablecoin bill" in the U.S. Senate is expected to lead to a full vote soon, contributing to positive market sentiment [3] - Coinbase Global's inclusion in the S&P 500 index has indirectly increased investment in digital currencies [3] - Other cryptocurrencies, such as Ethereum, have also seen price increases alongside Bitcoin's rise [3] Group 2: Trump Coin and Investor Engagement - The "Trump Coin" ($TRUMP) event on May 22 attracted investors who paid between $55,000 and $37.7 million to attend a dinner with President Trump, highlighting the financial interest in this meme coin [4][5] - Approximately $148 million was spent by investors to purchase "Trump Coin" to secure their seats at the dinner, with the top 25 holders spending over $111 million [4] - The Trump Group's affiliated companies hold 80% of "Trump Coin," generating over $320 million in fees from transactions [5] Group 3: Regulatory and Ethical Concerns - Trump's actions have raised ethical and legal concerns regarding potential conflicts of interest and the implications of using the presidency to boost the value of "Trump Coin" [9][10] - Critics argue that Trump's financial ties to "Trump Coin" could threaten public trust and national security, with concerns about foreign influence in U.S. policy-making [9][10] - A significant portion of "Trump Coin" holders are likely foreign investors, raising questions about foreign funding of presidential campaigns [10]

美元，再遭抛售！ 最近几天，美元持续下挫。5月21日，衡量美元对六种主要货币的美元指数再次跌破100，这也是美元连续第三 天下跌。5月22日盘中，美元指数继续弱势震荡，盘中最低触及99.43。其中，美元兑日元一度下跌0.6%至 142.81，创两周新低。 自今年1月高点以来，美元指数的累计跌幅已接近10%。彭博社指出，一项指标表明，货币期权交易员对美元 今后一年间走势的看空情绪达到历史顶峰。 此外，22日晚间消息，在特朗普税收法案勉强通过众议院后，美国30年期国债收益率短线拉升，日内上升逾2 个基点，报5.123%，为2023年10月以来的最高日内水平，距离2007年以来的最高点越来越近。这表明投资者 对特朗普的减税计划表示反对，对财政赤字的担忧也开始对股市产生越来越大的压力。 值得关注的是，在美元被抛售的同时，比特币却受到资金追捧。22日，比特币大涨超4%并突破11万美元大 关，创出历史新高。有分析指出，比特币升至历史新高，原因之一是投资者寻求美国资产的替代品。此外，美 国监管利好，也提振了加密货币市场。 22日，美股加密货币概念股盘前集体上涨，CleanSpark涨超5.6%， MARA Holdings ...

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin has reached a new historical high, driven by multiple macroeconomic, policy, and structural factors, rather than just short-term market sentiment [3][4]. Price Movement - Bitcoin's price surged over 2.93% within 24 hours, breaking through the $110,000 mark and peaking at $111,800, with a latest price of $110,400, reflecting a 3.64% increase in 24 hours and a 29.6% increase for the month [1]. - Ethereum's latest price is $2,675, with a 24-hour increase of 5.65% and a monthly increase of 68.34% [1]. Regulatory Environment - The acceleration of stablecoin regulatory legislation in the U.S. has introduced stricter anti-money laundering regulations and consumer protection measures, contributing to the rise in Bitcoin's price [3]. - The advancement of the GENIUS Stablecoin Act is seen as a pathway for compliant funds to enter the digital asset market, enhancing market confidence in long-term capital inflows [3]. Market Dynamics - The market is shifting from retail-driven dynamics to being dominated by institutional capital, with increased activity in the derivatives market and a significant rise in leverage participation [4]. - The current market structure shows a high sensitivity to volatility due to the increased number of high-leverage positions, which could lead to a cascading liquidation effect in case of liquidity withdrawal or regulatory shifts [5]. Investor Sentiment - There is a high degree of consensus among market participants regarding optimistic expectations, which may create a reflexive risk environment [6]. - The current phase is characterized by high volatility, high leverage, and high emotional density, indicating a shift from a low-risk entry point to a more speculative environment [6].

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin has reached a historic high of over $110,000, driven by institutional investment in Bitcoin ETFs and increased demand for Bitcoin as a safe-haven asset amid U.S. economic policies [1][4][12] Group 1: Bitcoin Price Predictions - Standard Chartered predicts Bitcoin could surpass $120,000 in Q2 2024 and reach $200,000 by the end of 2025, with a potential rise to $500,000 before the end of Trump's presidency in 2029 [1][12] - Bitcoin's price has increased by 3.3% recently, reaching $111,878, while Ethereum also saw a significant rise of approximately 5.5% [1][4] Group 2: Institutional Investment and Market Dynamics - The U.S. Senate is advancing a crucial stablecoin bill, which is expected to provide a clearer regulatory framework for digital assets under President Trump's administration [4][11] - Michael Saylor's Strategy company has accumulated over $50 billion in Bitcoin, contributing to the current bullish sentiment in the market [4][6] - A growing number of cryptocurrency startups are following Strategy's model, utilizing SPAC and PIPE financing to acquire Bitcoin [5][6] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that Bitcoin's recent price surge is supported by a measurable and sustained demand-supply mismatch, distinguishing it from previous speculative-driven cycles [7][11] - Bitcoin has outperformed smaller cryptocurrencies, with a 17% increase this year compared to a 40% decline in altcoin indices [7][11] - Recent data indicates that Bitcoin ETFs have attracted approximately $4.2 billion in net inflows this month, reflecting strong market interest [10][11]

Core Insights - Bitcoin reached a historic high of $109,455.99, surpassing its previous record set on January 20, coinciding with regulatory advancements in stablecoin legislation in the U.S. [1][3] Group 1: Regulatory Developments - The stablecoin bill, supported by a group of Democrats, has progressed in the U.S. Senate after overcoming opposition, with hopes for a swift passage this week [3] - Proposed legislation includes stricter regulations on money laundering, foreign issuers, and technology companies, along with enhanced consumer protection measures [3] Group 2: Market Dynamics - The number of open Bitcoin futures contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange has increased by 23% from a year-to-date low in April [4] - Investors have injected approximately $3.6 billion into 12 Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in May [4] - The passage of the stablecoin bill is expected to create new funding channels, potentially injecting billions into the digital currency market [4] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Projections - Data from Glassnode indicates that the illiquid supply of Bitcoin has reached a historical peak, suggesting that the current price surge is driven by institutional inflows and structural factors rather than retail speculation [4] - Bitcoin is projected to reach a new price plateau between $150,000 and $180,000 this year, supported by a combination of factors including supply tightening and improved macroeconomic conditions [4]

美国众议院多数派领导人Scalise："今夜将（围绕税收立法程序）采取下一步行动"。 我们今晚将投票。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The sentiment towards the tax reduction legislation draft has improved, indicating a more favorable outlook for potential tax reforms in the U.S. economy [1] Group 1 - The current perception of the tax reduction legislation draft is more positive compared to previous assessments [1]

白宫支持美国众议院共和党提出的税收立法草案。（PunchBowl） ...