Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently facing dual challenges from the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, leading to a complex price movement scenario [1] Federal Reserve Policy - The Federal Reserve maintained the benchmark interest rate at 4.25%-4.50% during the June 18 meeting, aligning with market expectations [3] - Chairman Powell indicated a slower pace of future rate cuts, with a projected reduction of 50 basis points in 2024 and only 25 basis points in 2026 and 2027, which has weakened market expectations for rapid easing [3] - Powell's comments on inflation, particularly regarding the potential impact of Trump's tariff policies, suggest a projected inflation rate of 3% by year-end, which could support gold's anti-inflation properties but also strengthen the dollar, putting pressure on gold prices [3] Trump Tariff Policy - The tariff policy under the Trump administration is a focal point, with Powell warning that tariff costs will gradually be passed on to consumers, as evidenced by a nearly fourfold increase in customs revenue to $23 billion in May [4] - The anticipated transmission of tariffs to retail prices is expected to manifest in the coming months, particularly affecting categories like computers and audiovisual equipment [4] - While inflation expectations driven by tariffs may provide medium-term support for gold prices, the strong dollar and cautious Fed stance limit short-term upside potential [4] Geopolitical Risks - Recent military actions by Israel against Iran have heightened tensions in the Middle East, raising concerns about energy supply and supply chain stability [5] - The market is speculating on potential U.S. intervention, which has increased risk aversion, although the dollar has strengthened against other safe-haven currencies [5] - The ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, particularly regarding Iran's internet control and conflict escalation, continues to provide potential support for gold prices [5] Economic Data Weakness - Recent economic data indicates weakness, with initial jobless claims decreasing by 5,000 to 245,000, but the four-week average reaching its highest level since August 2023, suggesting a weakening labor market [7] - Housing data shows a decline in building permits to a two-year low and housing starts at a five-year low, reflecting the impact of high borrowing costs and rising material prices [7] - Analysts suggest that trends in unemployment claims may signal economic contraction, which could prompt the Fed to adjust monetary policy, potentially providing upward momentum for gold prices [7] Other Precious Metals - In contrast to gold's performance, silver fell by 1.5% to $36.70 per ounce, while platinum rose by 4.3%, reaching its highest level since February 2021 [8] - The movements in silver and platinum are primarily driven by speculative funds, indicating active market sentiment in the precious metals sector, while gold remains more influenced by macroeconomic and geopolitical factors [8] Future Outlook - The gold market is currently in a complex environment with intertwining bullish and bearish factors [9] - Short-term pressures from the Fed's cautious policy and tariff-induced inflation are countered by potential support from geopolitical risks and signs of economic slowdown [9] - Gold prices are expected to oscillate between $3,300 and $3,400 in the short term, awaiting clear catalysts, while medium-term opportunities may arise if inflation continues to rise and the Fed is forced to accelerate rate cuts [9]

今日Ultima Markets为您带来了 2025年 6 月19日的黄金深入分析。 ·金价在周四轻交易中尝试从周低点3360美元反弹。 美国军方可能介入伊朗的潜在可能性可能加深中东冲突，转化为更广泛的地区战争。 这些报导是在伊朗最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊周三警告称，任何美国的军事介入将对他们造成"不可逆转的损害"，同时拒绝投降后发布的。 中东问题的再度关注削弱了投资者的信心，恢复了金价的避险吸引力。然而，金买家似乎在对美元（USD）作为另一种安全投资的需求复甦中挣扎。 美元在前一天的上涨基础上继续走高，受益于美联储的耐心立场和即将到来的更高通胀的暗示。 美国中央银行维持政策利率在4.25%-4.5%的范围内，符合广泛预期，同时保持今年两次降息的预测不变。 然而，它削减了对2026年和2027年进一步降息的预期。美联储下调了增长预测，同时上调了通胀前景。 ·由于有报导称美国可能在本周末对伊朗发动攻击，美元需求上升。 ·金价在美联储的鹰派维持下突破关键的3377美元支撑，但日线RSI仍保持看涨。 金价在周四早盘接近周低点3363美元时找到新的买家，因中东紧张局势再度升级，市场对美联储（Fed）的鹰派维持政 ...

Core Viewpoint - The medium-term outlook for gold prices is expected to rise, supported by two main factors: the anticipated decline in real interest rates and the continuous accumulation of gold by major central banks since 2018 [1] Group 1 - The expectation of a decline in real interest rates is a significant factor supporting the upward trend in gold prices [1] - Major central banks have been consistently increasing their gold reserves since 2018, which further supports the bullish outlook for gold [1]

今日金价 单位 变动幅度 涨跌 老庙黄金价格 1016 元/克 6月19日国内黄金市场动态：品牌金店首饰金价格整体趋稳，部分金店小跌5元/克。具体来看，周生 生、老凤祥黄金的首饰金价维持1025元/克高位，与昨日持平，继续领跑市场；菜百首饰则延续990元/ 克的低价策略，暂为当前市场最低报价。今日品牌金店价差仍保持35元/克（1025元/克-990元/克），与 前一交易日持平。 具体各大品牌金店最新价格见下表格： 0 平 六福黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 周大福黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 周六福黄金价格 1005 元/克 0 今日金店黄金价格一览（2025年6月19日） 金店报价 平 金至尊黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 老凤祥黄金价格 1023 元/克 0 平 潮宏基黄金价格 1020 元/克 5 跌 周生生黄金价格 1023 元/克 0 平 菜百黄金价格 990 元/克 0 平 上海中国黄金价格 993 元/克 0 平 周大生黄金价格 1020 元/克 而在黄金价格持稳之际，铂金迎来强势补涨。以周生生黄金为例，今日黄金饰品价格不变，铂金饰品价 格大涨17元/克，报价531元/克。若您还关 ...

现货黄金 金十图示：2025年06月19日（周四）上海金午盘价为778.63元/克，较国际金价(776.5元/克)，高2.13元/克 ...

铂金价格创2014年以来新高，因供应紧张。 ...

现货黄金 金十图示：2025年06月19日（周四）上海金早盘价为782.05元/克，较国际金价(781.31元/克)，高0.74元/克 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that spot platinum prices have increased by 5% [1] - The current price of spot platinum is reported at $1326.45 per ounce [1]

#图文打卡计划# 尊敬的审阅人员和品鉴读者：本文是经过严格查阅相关权威文献和资料。 全文数据有据可依，可供查证。 你有没有注意到，最近黄金的价格像过山车一样飙升，接着却又一夜之间被打下了几层楼？别急，不是我说的，连花旗银行的分析师都预测，黄金将迎来暴 跌。你没听错，暴跌。 花旗银行的分析师们给出的预言是，未来几个季度黄金价格可能会从目前的高位一路下滑，跌破3000美元/盎司，甚至在2026年下半年，黄金的价格可能会 跌到2500至2700美元/盎司这个区间。听到这个消息，很多人可能会心里一凉，心想：这不是梦吗？那黄金这么高的价格，怎么这么突然就要掉下来？ 看，今天的黄金价格可还在这里，敦金的价格是3386.14美元/盎司，纽约金3405.00美元/盎司。和预测的最低价格相比，差距确实有点大。要是像花旗所说 的那样，黄金能跌到2500美元/盎司，对那些准备 买黄金的人来说，简直是个福音！想象一下，原本买黄金可能还得动辄几千美金的开支，现在却能低价入 手，实在是太爽了！ 别以为这只是一个遥远的买黄金大便宜的梦。在这波价格下跌的背后，可能是一些我们平时看不见的因素在推动。这几年，黄金的价格一直高企，主要是因 为全球 ...

中东冲突升级的危险，犹如达摩克利斯之剑，高悬全球资本市场之上。 1 中东危险压顶 隔夜，美国总统特朗普最新发声进一步加剧局势失控的风险，其警告伊朗——美国耐心在耗尽，称已知道伊朗领导人哈梅内伊的下落，但"我们不会干掉 他"，呼吁伊方"无条件投降"。 这引发市场新猜测，难道美国要亲自下场？ 受此影响，全球股市全线下挫，美股三大指数收跌，欧洲股市跌至近一个月最低，原油一度飙涨5%。 最新消息称："今晚，将会发生一件大事！"。 中东局势持续升级的云波诡谲时刻，居然有人看空黄金！ 金价将在未来几个季度滑落至3000美元，明年下半年跌至2500-2700美元？？？ 也就是说，以现在3383的点位来看，金价未来要下跌20%以上。 在当前全世界众志成城看多黄金的背景下，高盛甚至看好明年中期冲击4000美元，花旗银行突然搞这一出，着实是惊人。 这究竟是为何？ 花旗在分析报告中预测，黄金价格将在今年三季度后回落至3000美元/盎司以下，明年下半年到2500-2700美元/盎司。 对于这则消息，市场看起来并不以为意，伦敦金价甚至红翻绿，截至发稿，伦敦金现小幅下跌0.06%，报3385.18。 (本文内容均为客观数据信息罗列，不构 ...