Group 1: Silver Futures Market Performance - On July 10, the main silver futures in Shanghai reported a price of 8887 yuan per gram, with a decline of 0.13% [1] - The opening price for the day was 8880 yuan per gram, with a maximum of 8911 yuan per gram and a minimum of 8856 yuan per gram [1] Group 2: Macro News - President Trump announced that the U.S. will impose a 50% tariff on copper imports starting August 1, which will impact industries reliant on this metal, including automotive, housing, and appliances [2] - Copper is the third most consumed metal globally, with nearly half of U.S. consumption coming from imports, primarily from Chile [2] - This tariff is part of a series of tariffs aimed at promoting domestic mining and metal processing, following previous increases in steel and aluminum tariffs [2] Group 3: Institutional Perspectives - Guoxin Futures noted that precious metals are experiencing mixed fluctuations, with New York gold futures rising by 0.1% to $3321 per ounce, while Shanghai gold futures increased by 0.19% to 771.02 yuan per gram [3] - New York silver futures fell by 11.9 cents to $36.63 per ounce, and Shanghai silver dropped by 0.33% to 8870 yuan per kilogram [3] - The outlook for precious metals suggests continued fluctuations, with key support levels for gold at around $3300 per ounce and silver at $36.5 per ounce, influenced by deepening trade tensions and geopolitical disturbances [3]

Core Viewpoint - The launch of pure benzene futures and options on July 8 at the Dalian Commodity Exchange is expected to provide essential risk management tools for companies in the industry, enhancing price stability and transparency in the market [1][2][3]. Industry Overview - China is the world's largest producer, consumer, and importer of pure benzene, with a production capacity of 32.34 million tons and a consumption volume of 29.26 million tons in 2024, accounting for 39% and 43% of global totals, respectively [2]. - The industry has faced challenges with profit transmission and price volatility, leading to a pressing need for effective risk management tools [2]. Market Dynamics - The introduction of futures and options is anticipated to help companies lock in prices and manage risks associated with price fluctuations, thereby improving their risk management capabilities [3][4]. - The futures market is expected to enhance China's pricing influence in the international market, contributing to a more transparent pricing mechanism for pure benzene [3][4]. Initial Market Response - The first day of trading for pure benzene futures was stable, with significant participation from major industry players, indicating strong market interest and confidence [4][5]. - A total of 26,900 contracts were traded on the first day, with a transaction value of 4.788 billion yuan, reflecting active engagement from 230 institutional clients [7]. Price Movement - The initial contracts showed a slight increase from the base price of 5,900 yuan per ton, with the main contract closing at 5,931 yuan, up 0.53% [7]. - Analysts noted that the futures prices were primarily anchored to spot market fluctuations, indicating a cautious market outlook amid current supply-demand conditions [7]. Future Outlook - Industry experts believe that the futures market will continue to evolve, with increased participation from related enterprises, leading to improved liquidity and market functionality [8].

客服产品系列•日评 国新国证期货早报 2025 年 7 月 10 日 星期四 品种观点： 【股指期货】 周三（7 月 9 日）A 股三大指数冲高回落，沪指 3500 点得而复失。截止收盘，沪指跌 0.13%， 收报 3493.05 点；深证成指跌 0.06%，收报 10581.80 点；创业板指涨 0.16%，收报 2184.67 点。沪深两市成交额 达到 15052 亿，较昨日放量 512 亿。 沪深 300 指数 7 月 9 日强势整理，收盘 3991.40，环比下跌 7.05。 【焦炭 焦煤】7 月 9 日焦炭加权指数震荡趋强，收盘价 1461.4，环比上涨 33.1。 7 月 9 日，焦煤加权指数强势，收盘价 882.8 元，环比上涨 29.7。 影响焦炭期货、焦煤期货价格的有关信息： 焦炭：焦化有提涨预期，利润微薄，焦化日产较年内高位持续回落。焦炭整体库存持续下降，贸易商采购意 愿稍有改善，钢厂采购也略有改善。整体来看，碳元素供应端仍较充裕，下游铁水淡季仍保持较高水平，"反内 卷"目前对焦炭行业影响有限。 焦煤：炼焦煤矿产量开始回升，随着安全生产月的结束，前期减停产煤矿有复产动作。现货竞拍成交市场有 ...

Group 1 - The consumer price index (CPI) in China decreased by 0.1% year-on-year from January to June, marking the first negative change since the Lehman crisis in 2009 [1] - The sluggish consumption environment makes it difficult for companies to pass on rising costs to sales prices, despite increased import costs due to tariffs [2][4] - The core inflation rate, excluding food and energy prices, is only 0.4%, indicating a significant gap from the government's target of around 2% inflation by 2025 [1] Group 2 - The real estate market in China has been in a downturn for nearly four years, contributing to a stagnant economy and a challenging job market for young people [2] - Many households are opting to save rather than spend due to uncertainty about the future, leading to intensified competition in sectors like dining [2] - The wholesale price index fell by 2.8% year-on-year from January to June, with a 3.6% decline in June alone, reflecting downward pressure on prices due to insufficient demand and overproduction [4]

业内人士分析，此次硅片涨价主因是上游硅料价格的上涨传导。根据中国有色金属工业协会硅业分会数据，本周多晶硅N型复投料和颗粒硅成交均价环比分 别上涨6.92%和6.27%，且多晶硅报价整体上调幅度更大，达25%～35%。硅业分会指出，硅料企业此前超过一年亏损运营，为避免低成本销售，选择一次性 提价至综合成本线以上清库存。 尽管上游成本上行，此次硅片涨价能否顺利传导至下游电池环节，仍充满不确定性。市场普遍担忧，国内光伏终端需求增速放缓，叠加7月电池片库存增 加、价格承压的背景，下游电池企业接受提价的能力有限。InfoLink此前预测电池片价格仍将下探，供需失衡和上下游博弈态势明显。 这一调价行动得到了一线及二三线硅片厂商的证实。行业咨询机构InfoLink在当天稍晚发布的价格信息中并未反映此次变动，其数据显示硅片均价仍呈下跌 趋势。 【环球网财经综合报道】光伏产业链近期风波再起。7月9日，多家硅片厂商突然宣布上调硅片报价，不同尺寸产品价格涨幅达8%至11.7%，引发市场关注。 183N硅片价格从0.9元/片涨至1元/片，210RN硅片从1.03元/片涨至1.15元/片，210N硅片从1.25元/片涨至1.35元/片 ...

证券代码：839979 油脂早报 2025-07-10投资咨询部 | 分析师: | 王明伟 | | --- | --- | | 从业资格号： | F0283029 | | 投资咨询号： | Z0010442 | | TEL: | 0575-85226759 | 每日观点 豆油 1.基本面：MPOB报告显示，MPOB月报显示马棕5月产量环比减少9.8%至162万吨，出口环比减少14.74%至 149万吨，月末库存环比减少2.6%至183万吨。报告中性，减产不及预期。目前船调机构显示本月目前马 棕出口数据环比增加4%，后续进入增产季，棕榈油供应上有所增加。中性 2.基差：豆油现货8182，基差262，现货升水期货。偏多 3.库存：7月4日豆油商业库存88万吨，前86万吨，环比+2万吨，同比+11.7% 。偏空 4.盘面：期价运行在20日均线下，20日均线朝上。中性 5.主力持仓：豆油主力空减。偏空 6.预期：油脂价格震荡整理，国内基本面宽松，国内油脂供应稳定。24/25年USDA南美产量预期较高，马 棕库存偏中性，需求有所好转，印尼B40促进国内消费，减少可供应量，但国际生柴利润偏低，需求疲软。 国内对加菜加征关 ...

据百川盈孚数据，截至7月9日，国内环氧氯丙烷市场价为1.03万元/吨，比6月中旬每吨上涨约1000元， 较年初涨幅达16%，同比上涨38%。"目前公司环氧氯丙烷订单充足。"7月9日，有生产环氧氯丙烷的上 市公司人士向记者证实。 ...

烧碱：短期偏强运行 陈嘉昕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020481 chenjiaxin023887@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 烧碱基本面数据 09合约期货价格 山东最便宜可交割 现货32碱价格 山东现货32碱折盘面 基差 2454 810 2531 77 2025 年 7 月 10 日 资料来源：隆众资讯，国泰君安期货 【现货消息】 以山东地区为基准，今日 32%离子膜碱收于 810 元/吨，较上期价格环比持平。前期主力下游企业采购 液碱价格上调后今日价格暂稳。区域内企业开工负荷变动较小，市场价格稳定。 【市场状况分析】 近期烧碱期货价格反弹，主要因液氯降价速度超预期，部分企业出现降负。短期现货方面出现反弹，主 要因价格低位，刺激市场阶段性补库需求。 从基本面看，7 月烧碱检修产能较 6 月减少明显，7 月检修主要集中在西北、华东，山东前期检修装置 将陆续重启。同时，烧碱 6-7 月份新增产能或达到 110 万吨，因此供应压力仍较大。需求端，非铝需求支撑 偏弱，氧化铝的烧碱库存偏高，不过出口方向支撑尚可，低价补库意愿较强。成本端，虽然 7 月份电价继续 下行，但液氯的快速下跌，导致烧碱成本抬升。 请 ...

韩国央行：预计通胀率将维持在约2%的水平。房地产市场和家庭债务相关的风险已增加。未来的通胀 水平可能受到国内外经济状况、汇率变动、全球油价波动以及政府的价格稳定措施的影响。 ...

上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 2025 年 07 月 10 日 巨化股份 (600160) ——制冷剂价格环比继续大幅上扬，全球"特许经营权" 属性价值凸显 报告原因：强调原有的投资评级 投资要点： 财务数据及盈利预测 | | 2024 | 2025Q1 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 24,462 | 5,800 | 27,858 | 30,820 | 33,822 | | 同比增长率（%） | 18.4 | 6.1 | 13.9 | 10.6 | 9.7 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,960 | 809 | 4,556 | 5,823 | 7,568 | | 同比增长率（%） | 107.7 | 160.6 | 132.5 | 27.8 | 30.0 | | 每股收益（元/股） | 0.73 | 0.30 | 1.69 | 2.16 | 2.80 | | 毛利率（%） | 17.5 | 28.4 | 26.7 | 30.2 | 33.5 | | ROE ...