日经GO Switch 2供应短缺状况或于明年春季缓解 原创 阅读全文 ...

以山东地区为基准，今日 32%离子膜碱收于 810 元/吨，较上期价格环比+2.33%。主力下游企业采购液 碱价格上调且受液氯补贴影响，区域内企业开工负荷变动，供应量减少，液碱价格上调。 【市场状况分析】 期货研究 烧碱：短期偏强震荡 陈嘉昕 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020481 chenjiaxin023887@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 烧碱基本面数据 09合约期货价格 山东最便宜可交割 现货32碱价格 山东现货32碱折盘面 基差 2408 810 2531 123 2025 年 7 月 9 日 资料来源：隆众资讯，国泰君安期货 【现货消息】 近期烧碱期货价格反弹，主要因液氯降价速度超预期，未来因液氯扰动导致烧碱被动减产可能性上升。 短期现货方面出现反弹，主要因价格低位，刺激市场阶段性补库需求。 从基本面看，7 月烧碱检修产能较 6 月减少明显，7 月检修主要集中在西北、华东，山东前期检修装置 将陆续重启。同时，烧碱 6-7 月份新增产能或达到 110 万吨，因此供应压力仍较大。需求端，非铝需求支撑 偏弱，氧化铝的烧碱库存偏高，不过出口方向支撑尚可，低价补库意愿较强。成本端，虽然 7 月份电价继续 ...

期 货 研 究 2025 年 07 月 09 日 【宏观及行业新闻】 高频信息：巴基斯坦批准进口 50 万吨食糖；巴西中南部 MIX 同比大幅提高；印度季风降水高于 LPA； 巴西 6 月出口 336 万吨，同比增加 5%。中国 5 月进口食糖 35 万吨。 国内市场：CAOC 预计 24/25 榨季国内食糖产量为 1116 万吨，消费量为 1580 万吨，进口量为 500 万 吨；CAOC 预计 25/26 榨季国内食糖产量为 1120 万吨，消费量为 1590 万吨，进口量为 500 万吨。中国糖业 协会数据显示，截至 5 月底，24/25 榨季全国共生产食糖 1116 万吨（+120 万吨），全国累计销售食糖 811 万 吨（+152 万吨），累计销糖率 72.7%。中国海关数据显示，截至 5 月底，24/25 榨季中国进口食糖 210 万吨 （-104 万吨）。 白糖：巴西出口增加 周小球 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0001891 zhouxiaoqiu@gtjas.com 【基本面跟踪】 白糖基本面数据 | | 价格 | 同比 | | 价差 | 同比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the importance of enhancing the resilience and security of supply chains in the energy and chemical industry due to global economic changes and rising uncertainties [1] - Experts suggest that digital transformation is a key path for reshaping the supply chain ecosystem in the energy and chemical sector [1] - The current global industrial system is experiencing diversification, regional cooperation, green transformation, and accelerated digitalization [1] Group 2 - The development of artificial intelligence, computing power, and new energy is introducing unpredictable factors into global supply chains [2] - Companies are encouraged to enhance their supply chain optimization capabilities through digital systems that enable perception, transmission, decision-making, and execution [2] - Various companies shared their experiences in digitalizing procurement processes during the conference, highlighting the importance of customer-centric approaches and digital transformation [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant reforms initiated by Ye Guofu at Yonghui Superstores, focusing on anti-corruption measures and supply chain improvements to enhance operational efficiency and restore profitability. Group 1: Anti-Corruption Measures - Yonghui Superstores publicly declared a war against corruption and hidden rules, marking a new phase in Ye Guofu's supply chain reform [2][3] - Ye emphasized the need for transparency in pricing and quality during a supplier conference, demanding core suppliers to possess anti-corruption capabilities [4] - The company aims to eliminate corrupt practices that inflate supply chain costs, focusing on three main areas: clean cooperation, supplier onboarding, and financial settlement [5][6] Group 2: Supply Chain Reforms - Ye's strategy includes direct procurement from core suppliers, eliminating middlemen and unnecessary costs [8] - He identified thousands of suppliers in the fresh produce category, opting to work with 200 core suppliers to ensure quality and establish long-term partnerships [9] - The goal is to create a symbiotic relationship with suppliers, ensuring they feel secure and supported [9] Group 3: Internal Restructuring - Ye's reform efforts have led to significant changes within the Yonghui board, with the "Mingchuang system" gaining substantial influence [10] - A personnel adjustment occurred, resulting in the replacement of several key management positions within the supply chain system [11] - Ye appointed She Xianping as the Chief Purchasing Officer, who has a strong background in supply chain management [12] Group 4: Product Focus and Brand Development - Ye aims to focus on core products, planning to develop 100 billion-yuan-level products over the next three years [14] - The number of private label SKUs has been reduced from over 1,000 to 87, with a target for private label sales to reach 40% of total sales in the next 3-5 years [16] - Yonghui has already launched popular private label products and plans to introduce at least 60 new items this year [15] Group 5: Operational Changes and Financial Outlook - Ye's "433" reform plan targets organizational, operational, and supply chain improvements [17] - The management structure has been simplified from a four-level to a three-level system, enhancing efficiency [18] - Yonghui plans to close 250-350 underperforming stores this year, with a focus on improving overall profitability [19] - The company reported a profit of 74.72 million yuan from 41 remodeled stores in the first quarter, indicating positive momentum [21] - Despite a loss of 1.465 billion yuan in 2024, there are signs of recovery, with a projected increase in store renovations and overall sales [22]

Core Insights - The United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) reported that global trade is expected to grow by $300 billion in the first half of the year, but faces increasing resistance in the second half due to uncertainties in U.S. trade policies and global geopolitical tensions [1] Trade Growth Analysis - Global trade grew approximately 1.5% in the first quarter, with an expected growth of 2% in the second quarter [1] - Price increases are the main driver of the growth in global trade value, while trade volume only increased by 1% [1] - Service trade remains the primary driver of global trade growth, with a 9% increase over the past four quarters [1] Trade Imbalance Concerns - The report indicates a worsening global trade imbalance, with the U.S. trade deficit continuing to expand over the past four quarters [1] - The recent U.S. tariff measures have heightened the risk of trade fragmentation, and potential further unilateral actions by the U.S. could escalate trade tensions and disrupt global supply chain stability [1]

四年前，洪嘉敏完成了一次颇具潮汕地域特色的"传承"，但传承的不是香火，而是一个餐饮品牌。 事情要追溯到1997年的北京。当时的唱片公司老板、后来的中关村董事长、著名企业家许钟民在北京建国门外开出了一家高端潮式餐馆"潮好味"。 在那个物流尚不发达的年代，"潮好味"率先从潮汕地区空运新鲜食材，在京城一炮打响了名头，陆续开出七家分店。 后来二十多年里，许钟民在商海几经浮沉，潮好味也逐渐关停，直到2021年。 那一年，许忠民把潮好味商标无偿赠予了潮汕同乡、90后创业者洪嘉敏。重启后的"潮好味"以"高端餐饮＋中式快餐"双线作战，衍生出潮好味·金奖猪脚 饭。 而在这个颇为曲折故事的背后，是猪脚饭从一道具有地域特色的米饭快餐，逐渐走向全国并自我迭代。 如今，这个品类已催生出三万多家相关企业，成为无数打工人心目中的快餐顶流。 一碗饭，一座城，每五家猪脚饭就有一家开在深圳 1980年代，年轻的许钟民从报纸上看到"深圳要取消统购统销"后，决定去深圳倒腾粮油生意。而在当时，深圳第一批开店卖猪脚饭的人，很多都来自两百 多公里外的揭阳市隆江镇。 他们中不少人或许还买过这位"老乡"的大米。 店里卤水也并不只有猪脚。猪耳、鸡爪、鸡腿、鸭肉 ...

Core Insights - The emergence of the AI-driven commodity trading platform by Wanlian Yida Group signifies a pivotal shift in the industrial internet landscape, aiming to enhance the efficiency and transparency of traditional industry transactions [1][7] - The platform integrates various services such as product information, transaction facilitation, logistics, and financing support, addressing inefficiencies in traditional trading methods [1][4] Group 1: Platform Features - The platform is designed around the core philosophy of "rooted in the supply chain, serving the industry chain, and creating value chain," covering a wide range of commodities including energy chemicals, black metals, non-ferrous metals, and agricultural products [1][3] - It employs an AI predictive engine for real-time market data analysis, offering services like commodity price trend analysis and intelligent report generation to provide businesses with forward-looking market insights [3][5] Group 2: Transaction Flexibility - The platform supports diverse trading models such as listing for procurement/sales and bidding, catering to various user types including manufacturing, chemical, and trading enterprises [4][5] - It features flexible pricing strategies like segmented procurement and online price adjustments, allowing for precise adaptation to complex trading scenarios [4][5] Group 3: Risk Management - Wanlian Yida has developed an advanced intelligent risk control system that digitizes risk management across the entire transaction process, adhering to the principle of integrating business flow, capital flow, logistics, and invoice flow [5] - The platform utilizes technologies such as AI, blockchain, and IoT to create a real-time data on-chain mechanism and a fully visible tracking system to mitigate transaction risks [5] Group 4: Strategic Collaboration - The launch of the commodity trading platform marks a new phase in the smart transformation of supply chain transactions, enhancing collaboration across the entire industry chain [7] - Wanlian Yida is strategically aligning its commodity trading platform with its AI, logistics, and smart finance platforms to deepen service capabilities and foster a new, efficient, and transparent industrial internet ecosystem [7]

Core Viewpoint - Japan's M2 money supply growth rate for June was reported at 0.9%, an increase from the previous value of 0.6% [1] Group 1 - The M2 money supply growth indicates a slight acceleration in Japan's monetary conditions [1]

Group 1 - The U.S. government announced a significant trade policy adjustment, imposing tariffs of up to 200% on pharmaceutical products and considering a 50% additional tax on imported copper [1][3] - Companies will have approximately one to one and a half years to adjust to these new tariffs, which primarily target the pharmaceutical sector's reliance on imports [3] - The announcement led to a surge in U.S. copper prices, which spiked over 10%, reaching historical highs in the New York market, reflecting investor concerns about supply chain restructuring [3] Group 2 - In contrast to global market declines, Chinese assets showed strong performance, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rising over 2% [4] - Notable gains were observed in various Chinese tech and consumer stocks, with companies like Cloud Mi Technology surging over 53%, and others like iQIYI and Bilibili increasing by over 7% [4] - The strong performance of these companies indicates investor confidence in the Chinese technology and consumer sectors [4]