汤继成认为，由于市场担忧美国政策的可信度及财政可持续性，美国"例外主义"正受到威胁，导致美国 国债和美元遭抛售。这一趋势预示着美国GDP增长将放缓，经济衰退风险升温，投资者开始寻求全球非 美元资产的投资机会。相关资金流向的转变已体现在欧洲股票，以及作为法定货币贬值对冲工具的黄金 的强劲表现中。 "去美元化"趋势对亚洲经济尤为有利，区内货币升值亦为央行提供宽松政策的空间。此外，对美国债务 可持续性的担忧升温，促使部分资金回流亚洲。亚洲经济体目前持有约8.6万亿美元的美国股票及固定 收益资产，若出现部分资金回流，将显著支持区内货币，并提升区内股票及固定收益市场表现。 【导读】安联投资：看好中国、印度及澳大利亚经济及股市，中国国债有望成为亚洲新一代"避风港"资 产 6月26日，安联投资全球固定收益副主管及亚洲固定收益首席投资总监曾铮、安联投资亚太区股票首席 投资总监薛永辉和安联投资亚太区高级经济师汤继成一同接受了记者的采访。 安联投资认为，下半年，美国关税政策、消费者信心、通胀及经济衰退风险等关键因素将主导经济格 局，而中东的军事行动亦可能进一步影响市场情绪。 安联投资预计，在当前充满不确定性的宏观经济环境中，亚洲 ...

Core Viewpoint - Allianz Investment is optimistic about the economic and stock market prospects of China, India, and Australia, viewing Chinese government bonds as a potential new "safe haven" asset in Asia [1][5]. Group 1: Economic Outlook - Key factors such as U.S. tariff policies, consumer confidence, inflation, and recession risks will dominate the economic landscape in the second half of the year [2]. - Allianz Investment anticipates that the uncertain macroeconomic environment will make Asian fixed income and equity markets attractive for global investors due to favorable demographics, robust fundamentals, and accelerated regional integration [2][4]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities in Asia - The trend of "de-dollarization" is beneficial for Asian economies, with a potential return of funds to Asia supporting local currencies and enhancing the performance of regional stocks and fixed income markets [4]. - Allianz Investment is particularly optimistic about Asian economies driven by domestic demand, with room for policy rate cuts and less exposure to specific political and economic concerns, especially in China, India, and Australia [4]. Group 3: Stock Market Insights - Asian stocks have performed well year-to-date, with strong valuation attractiveness and growth potential in major markets such as China, India, Japan, and South Korea [8]. - The Chinese government has set a GDP growth target of around 5%, indicating a commitment to boosting domestic demand and strengthening trade ties, particularly in sectors like electric vehicles and robotics [8]. - China's service industry is emerging as a global leader, with Chinese intellectual properties in AI, gaming, film, and animation gaining international traction, showcasing the global competitiveness of Chinese enterprises [8].

Core Insights - The "2025 China Enterprises Going Global Summit" was held in Shenzhen, focusing on creating a high-end platform for Chinese companies to address challenges in globalization and explore win-win transformation paths [1] Group 1: Economic Analysis - The former president of the Bank of China, Li Lihui, analyzed the structural contradictions in the U.S. financial situation, highlighting a significant trade imbalance with annual trade deficits exceeding $500 billion and a decline in manufacturing's contribution to GDP from 28.1% to 9.96% by Q3 2024 [4] - Li pointed out the severe fiscal imbalance in the U.S., with national debt reaching $36 trillion and annual interest payments exceeding $1 trillion [4] Group 2: U.S. Financial Strategy - To address its fiscal deficits, the U.S. relies on its international monetary hegemony, issuing dollars to purchase global goods, which is essential for maintaining its dominant position in the global financial system [4] - The recent introduction of a stablecoin initiative by the U.S. aims to tie stablecoins to the dollar, expanding the U.S. Treasury market and promoting dollarization in global financial markets, intensifying competition with China in the monetary and financial sectors [4] Group 3: Recommendations for Financial Development - Recommendations include improving the monetary policy framework and financial market structure to enhance policy transmission efficiency and increase direct financing [5] - Emphasis on financial technology and institutional innovation to reconstruct financial services and management processes, thereby improving the capacity to serve the real economy and enhancing regulatory efficiency [5] - Advocating for a multipolar international monetary system to reduce reliance on a single sovereign currency and enhance the resilience of the global financial system [5] Group 4: Cross-Border Payment and Currency Internationalization - The need for a diversified cross-border payment system is highlighted, with a focus on establishing digital payment infrastructure and multilateral payment systems to prevent the politicization of payment tools [6] - The push for the internationalization of the Renminbi is emphasized, with the currency already being the third-largest payment currency globally, aiming to expand its functions in international payments, financing, and reserves [6]

Core Insights - Japan holds a significant position in the global landscape of long-lived family businesses, with 45,189 companies over 100 years old, accounting for 51.2% of the world's total [2][3] - Among these, 1,813 companies have survived for over 200 years, representing 65.2% of the global total, while 889 have lasted over 300 years, 47 over 500 years, and 11 over 1,000 years [2] Group 1: Principles of Long-Lived Family Businesses - Long-term planning is essential, with a focus on preparing successors over 10, 30, and 100-year timelines [5] - The principle of "capacity-based management" emphasizes businesses should only expand according to their capabilities, avoiding ventures beyond their means [6] - Core competencies must be maintained, as evidenced by the struggles of Kongō Gumi when diversifying into unfamiliar construction areas [7] Group 2: Relationships and Risk Management - Strong relationships with stakeholders, including customers and suppliers, are crucial, as seen in Toyota's support for struggling suppliers [8] - Risk management is highlighted by the substantial internal deposits of Japanese companies, which reached 516 trillion yen (approximately 25 trillion RMB) by September 2024, reflecting a conservative approach to financial stability [8][9] Group 3: Inheritance Practices - The long-son inheritance system and unique adoption practices ensure capable successors are chosen, often prioritizing ability over blood relations [12][13] - Approximately 10% of Japanese family businesses transfer control to non-blood relatives, such as sons-in-law or adopted children, to enhance succession success rates [13][15] Group 4: Training Successors - Emphasis on training successors from the ground up is common, ensuring they understand the business intricacies and build relationships with employees [17][18] - The practice of sending successors to work in other companies for experience is also prevalent, allowing them to gain valuable insights before returning to the family business [18][24] Group 5: Governance and Family Values - Family governance structures, including family constitutions, help manage complex family dynamics and ensure business stability [20][27] - The importance of family values and rules is underscored, with 80% of surveyed family businesses having established family rules or teachings [19][27]

机器之心报道 编辑：Panda 据路透社等多家媒体报道，一位知情人士称，OpenAI 最近开始租用谷歌的 AI 芯片来支持 ChatGPT 及其其他产品。 现目前，OpenAI 是英伟达 GPU 的最大买家之一 —— 这些设备在 AI 大模型的训练和推理阶段都必不可少。 看起来，OpenAI 不仅试图远离微软，现在也在开始远离英伟达了。 但与谷歌合作？也着实让人意外，毕竟拥有 Gemini 系列模型的谷歌可以说是 OpenAI 最直接且最强大的竞争对手之一。 如果考虑到 OpenAI 还曾聘请了谷歌云 TPU 高级工程总监 Richard Ho 作为其硬件负责人，并有传言说 OpenAI 还在推动自研 AI 芯片项目，这样的合作就更让人惊 讶了。 Richard Ho 曾在谷歌工作近九年，全程参与 TPU 系列的研发，担任高级工程总监级别；后进入 Lightmatter 担任 VP ； 2023 年加盟 OpenAI OpenAI 为何这样选择呢？ 一个原因是 OpenAI 用户增长很快（近日宣布已有 300 万付费企业用户），正面临严重的 GPU 紧缺问题。为了保证 ChatGPT 推理能力不受影响，他们必 ...

Core Insights - The Anaya Theatre Festival in Qinhuangdao, Hebei, features performances from artistic teams across 12 countries, including China, France, and the UK, creating a diverse cultural experience for attendees [1][3]. Performance Highlights - The festival opened with the French Northern Theatre's production of "Don Juan," showcasing modern interpretations of classical works through dynamic staging and immersive interactions [3]. - A significant feature of this year's festival is the extension of performances beyond traditional venues to natural settings like beaches and open squares, enhancing the emotional impact of the plays [5]. Event Structure and Variety - The festival includes 94 performances across 15 unique theatre spaces, covering various forms such as absurd theatre and physical theatre. Notable productions include "Classical Love," adapted from Yu Hua's novel, and a sci-fi musical "Romeo and Juliet in the Land of Feathers" [7]. - Additional cross-disciplinary activities like "Migratory Birds 300" and installation art expand the festival's artistic expression [7]. Economic Impact and Visitor Engagement - The 2025 Anaya Theatre Festival has attracted a large number of tourists and art enthusiasts, creating a multifaceted consumption environment that integrates culture, shopping, and leisure [8]. - Visitor engagement is high, with one attendee purchasing 10 tickets for a total of approximately 3,000 yuan, highlighting the willingness to invest in both performances and artistic experiences [8]. - The Anaya community has improved its dining, market, and cultural space offerings, resulting in a 50% increase in overall foot traffic during the festival [9]. - Data indicates a 20% year-on-year increase in bookings for Anaya accommodations during the festival, with a notable demographic of women aged 25 to 35 [9]. Attendance and Spending - The average daily attendance at the Anaya park during the festival exceeds 30,000, with total foot traffic surpassing 200,000 over the 11-day event. The average spending per visitor is reported to be over 800 yuan [10].

Core Viewpoint - The music concert "National Meeting Hall" was held to celebrate the 104th anniversary of the founding of the Communist Party of China, showcasing a blend of artistic expression and patriotic sentiment [1][3]. Group 1: Event Overview - The concert featured a grand orchestral piece "I Love You, China" and included well-known revolutionary songs such as "Ying Shan Hong," "Nan Ni Wan," and "Shan Dan Dan Kai Hua Hong Yan Yan," creating a powerful emotional experience for the audience [1][3]. - The event was attended by students and faculty from the China Conservatory of Music, as well as renowned artists, highlighting the high artistic standards of the performance [3]. Group 2: Venue and Purpose - The National Meeting Center Phase II, referred to as the "National Meeting Hall," spans approximately 780,000 square meters and aims to enhance Beijing's capacity for hosting major events [4]. - Since its opening on May 13, the venue has hosted significant international and state-level events, indicating its strategic importance in the region [4]. - The concert served as a cultural initiative to honor the spirit of the Communist Party and explore collaborative opportunities within the new consumption innovation alliance [3][4].

【环球时报特约记者 任重】路透社27日报道称，中国企业已订购阿根廷豆粕，这是自2019年以来的首 次。 消息人士26日向路透社透露，几家中国饲料生产商已签署联合协议，订购3万吨阿根廷豆粕。这批货物 的价值为360美元/吨，将于7月装运，预计9月运抵中国广东。路透社称："这表明中国饲料行业正在寻 求拓宽供应源头，以缓解中美贸易战可能带来的冲击。" 报道称，一名来自向中国出售大豆的国际贸易公司的新加坡交易员表示，这笔交易旨在"试水"，"如果 能通过中国的检验检疫，我们预计会有更多交易"。该交易员称，中国饲料制造商从阿根廷采购豆粕 是"为了在中美贸易战背景下保障供应"。阿根廷豆粕较低的价格也助推了这一举措。 美国彭博社26日称，这是中方一次罕见的采购。尽管数量不大，但此次采购被视为在第四季度到来前的 一次尝试。在这一时期，美国大豆通常会主导全球市场。 路透社称，阿根廷植物油行业商会和谷物出口商会25日透露相关情况，称该商会会见了一个中国代表 团。该商会负责人古斯塔沃·伊迪戈拉斯表示，双方详细讨论了向中国出口豆粕的可行性，"如果商业条 件允许，中方似乎愿意这样做"。 伊迪戈拉斯同时暗示，正式敲定豆粕协议可能仍需一些步 ...

据美国媒体27日报道，面对特朗普政府的调查压力，美国弗吉尼亚大学校长詹姆斯·瑞安决定辞职。据 报道，美国司法部正在调查弗吉尼亚大学的"多元化、公平与包容"政策，并把瑞安辞职作为该案和解的 条件。该校董事会已接受瑞安的辞呈，以避免数亿美元联邦经费的拨付受到影响。 ...

广东嘉元科技股份有限公司 公司与主要客户合作关系稳定。公司与下游核心客户建立了长期、稳定的合作关系，2022～2024 年 对其销售额逐年增长，占比分别为 67.46%、69.37%和 65.81%。 普策信评【2025】0012 号 广州普策信用评价有限公司 Philomax Credit Rating Co., Ltd 广东嘉元科技股份有限公司 2025 年主体信用评级报告 优势 嘉元科技是电解铜箔行业头部企业，具备一定的规模优势。嘉元科技是国内电解铜箔行业第一梯队 企业，截至 2024 年末电解铜箔产能超过 11 万吨/年，近年来电解铜箔产、销量均保持增长，在 2024 年 分别达到 6.70 万吨、6.77 万吨。 公司保持较高的研发投入，核心产品具备较强的竞争力。公司 5μm、4.5μm 极薄电解铜箔已实现批 量生产销售，并掌握了 3.5μm 极薄电解铜箔的生产工艺核心技术、具备量产能力，具备很强的市场竞争 力。2022～2024 年，公司研发投入持续增长、占营业收入比例保持在 4%以上。 公司资本结构稳健，融资渠道畅通。公司分别在 2021 年、2022 年通过发行可转债、定向增发募集资 金；截至 ...