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美元主导地位已不再确定无疑,国际货币体系面临变革的契机
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-06-18 09:32
Core Viewpoint - The global monetary system is undergoing significant changes, with discussions on whether a single sovereign currency or a few strong currencies should dominate. The positions of the US dollar, euro, and renminbi in the global monetary system are being reevaluated [2][3]. Group 1: Perspectives from Central Bank Leaders - European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde emphasizes the opportunity for the euro to increase its global standing amid declining confidence in the dollar due to US policies [2][3]. - Lagarde notes that the euro currently holds a 20% share in global foreign exchange reserves, while the dollar accounts for 58%, suggesting that enhancing the euro's status could lead to lower borrowing costs and reduced exchange rate risks [3][6]. - People's Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng advocates for reducing reliance on a single sovereign currency, promoting healthy competition among a few strong currencies to enhance the resilience of the international monetary system [2][5]. Group 2: Current Trends and Market Reactions - The dollar's dominance is being challenged, with a 9.14% decline in the dollar index this year, while the euro has risen by 11.21%, the yen by 7.81%, and the renminbi by 1.56% [3]. - Gold has seen a significant increase of 27.4%, indicating a shift in market confidence away from the current monetary system [3][4]. - Lagarde points out that the rising demand for gold reflects a lack of confidence in existing currencies, presenting a unique opportunity for the euro [4]. Group 3: Characteristics of the Evolving Monetary System - The international monetary system is evolving towards a multipolar structure, which may enhance policy constraints on sovereign currency countries and improve global financial stability [5][7]. - The euro, established in 1999, has become the second-largest currency in global foreign exchange reserves, while the renminbi has steadily increased its international standing, becoming the second-largest trade financing currency [5][6]. - Lagarde highlights that the EU's strong fiscal position, with a debt-to-GDP ratio of 89% compared to the US's 124%, could bolster confidence in the euro, although the supply of high-quality safe assets remains limited [6][7].
欧元区5月调和CPI同比终值 1.9%,预期 1.9%,初值 1.9%。
news flash· 2025-06-18 09:08
欧元区5月调和CPI同比终值 1.9%,预期 1.9%,初值 1.9%。 ...
分析师:欧元区物价压力进一步缓解
news flash· 2025-06-18 09:07
Core Insights - The price pressures in the Eurozone are easing, providing the European Central Bank (ECB) with greater flexibility as summer approaches [1] - Initial estimates for interest rates remain unchanged, with the market anticipating a reduction of approximately 21 basis points by the end of the year [1]
欧元区5月CPI同比上升1.9%
news flash· 2025-06-18 09:03
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights that the Eurozone's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May increased by 1.9% year-on-year, down from a 2.2% increase in April [1] - The core CPI, which excludes energy, food, tobacco, and alcohol, rose by 2.3% year-on-year in May, compared to a 2.7% increase in the previous month [1]
欧元区5月CPI年率终值 1.9%,预期1.90%,前值由1.90%修正为2.20%。
news flash· 2025-06-18 09:02
Group 1 - The final year-on-year Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the Eurozone in May is reported at 1.9%, aligning with expectations of 1.90% [1] - The previous value of the CPI has been revised from 1.90% to 2.20% [1]
欧元区4月季调后经常帐录得198亿欧元,为2023年5月以来最小顺差。
news flash· 2025-06-18 08:05
欧元区4月季调后经常帐录得198亿欧元,为2023年5月以来最小顺差。 ...
欧元兑英镑EUR/GBP日内涨超0.50%,现报0.8550。
news flash· 2025-06-17 19:15
Group 1 - The euro has increased against the pound by over 0.50% during the day, currently trading at 0.8550 [1]