华宝证券出品的2025中国金融产品年度报告《生态跃迁》，已经正式发布了。这是我们 连续第 十四年 发布这个报告。 图：2025中国金融产品年度报告封面 每当这份沉甸甸的报告最终成稿，我们的心中总会涌起一种满满的收获感。这不仅是对过去一 年辛勤耕耘的总结，更是对未来探索的期待。十四年的坚守与沉淀，见证了市场的风云变幻， 也见证了我们在专业道路上的稳步前行。 去年的金融产品年度报告中，我们首次提出 财富与资管行业迈向服务化 的转型方向。令人欣慰 的是，这一理念在业内引发了广泛共鸣。回首2024年，我们也清晰地看到，整个行业在这条转 型之路上已然迈出了坚实的步伐，不断探索前行。 然而，迈向服务化的进程并非单个机构的孤立行动，而是需要整个行业的协同共进，需要财富 生态的重构与升级。这是一场全方位、深层次的蜕变，我们将其称之为生态跃迁—— 这就是今 年我们报告的主题。 作为金融市场深刻变革的见证者和参与者，我们深知， 研究服务的价值不仅在于洞察趋势，更 在于搭建认知跃迁的阶梯。 优秀的研究应该如同一盏明灯，照亮前行的道路，帮助从业者们从 纷繁复杂的市场变化中捕捉到那些关键的信号，为行业转型提供坚实的方向指引。 图：20 ...

意大利企业与制造部副部长认为，美欧贸易谈判的最后期限会被推迟。 美欧谈判僵局与全球冲击 瓦伦蒂尼分析称，突如其来的关税壁垒首先抑制了投资信心，其次加剧了供应链重构。自2008年金融危 机以来，全球企业已从"准时制"转向以风险管理（just-in-case）为基础的供应链模式，疫情更强化了这 一趋势。"建立冗余库存成为必然选择，而这还是在新的关税政策出台之前。"他表示。 他还表示，令人担忧的是，当前关税似乎更多被用作填补财政赤字的工具，而非调节贸易平衡或临时保 护某些行业的手段。他引用法国经济学家巴斯夏（Frederic Bastiat）的名言称，"如果商品不跨越边界， 军队就会跨越边界"，但在当前情境下，走到这一步是各方都不愿看到的。 谈及美欧谈判僵局，瓦伦蒂尼称，欧盟27个成员国将贸易政策的制定权交给了欧盟，但在这一机制下达 成共识的谈判非常复杂。 "这也容易诱使其他国家试图对欧盟成员国逐个击破，瓦解共识"，他预测谈判会继续拖延，因为"美方 尚未明确最终诉求"，而长期的不确定性可能将临时性关税冲击演变为全面经济衰退。 郭兰诗则观察到企业界的普遍焦虑，她称，关税政策经常朝令夕改，有些关税高得不可持续，"从总部 ...

据悉，按照美国方面宣布的时间表，伊朗与以色列冲突停火于北京时间6月24日正午后正式生效。当地 时间24日，伊朗总统佩泽希齐扬在致伊朗人民的公开信中表示，经过伊朗人民英勇抵抗，这场由以色列 挑起、持续12天的战争宣告结束。近期有中东问题专家向南都记者分析称，"以伊停战，后续或将进入 谈判赔偿"，"中东安全结构将彻底重构"。 6月24日，在伊以停火协议生效后，一名女子走在伊朗首都德黑兰街头。 新华社发 伊朗和以色列双方24日均表示，接受与对方停火。然而，在均宣告自己"胜利"之外，双方仍持续强硬表 态。以色列国防部长卡茨当天早些时候称，伊朗完全违反了由美国总统特朗普宣布的以伊停火协议，在 协议生效后向以色列发射导弹。伊朗武装部队总参谋部否认"最近几个小时向以色列发射导弹"。 尽管以伊双方均接受停火，但停火的基础并不稳固，外界对停火能持续多久尚存疑问。上海外国语大学 中东研究所副教授赵军此前向南都记者分析称，美国突袭伊朗的后续影响包括"以伊停战，后续或将进 入谈判赔偿"，"以色列继续推进其武力扩大地盘的战略目标"，"中东安全结构将彻底重构，伊朗被边缘 化。" 美国智库昆西负责任治国研究会中东项目副主任亚当·温斯坦也公 ...

Core Insights - The business landscape in 2025 is characterized by unprecedented complexity, with a sluggish global economic recovery and accelerated domestic industrial upgrades, leading to a critical focus on effective high-end talent management as a key differentiator for corporate survival and elimination [1] Group 1: Talent Management Challenges - Companies face a paradoxical mindset of both "desiring talent" and "fearing talent," which manifests in three typical dilemmas [2] - The first dilemma is the fear of "losing control," where excessive management layers stifle creativity, resulting in a "workplace paralysis" that drives talent to competitors [2] - The second dilemma involves the fear of "questioning," where the suppression of expertise by seniority hinders organizational evolution, leading to a conservative decision-making path [3] - The third dilemma is the fear of "trial and error," where short-term risk aversion prevents companies from seizing market opportunities, resulting in the rejection of innovative proposals [4] Group 2: Solutions for Talent Management - To address these challenges, companies are increasingly recognizing the need to leverage professional services to reconstruct their talent management systems [5] - The approach taken by Southern Xinhua can be summarized in three steps: diagnosis, matching, and empowerment [7] - The first step involves a comprehensive diagnosis to identify the root causes of talent management issues, moving beyond superficial solutions to provide a detailed analysis of organizational culture and structure [7] - The second step focuses on precise matching of talent to organizational needs, utilizing a vast talent pool and a specialized team to ensure high compatibility between candidates and company requirements [9] - The third step emphasizes management empowerment, helping companies build a trust-based ecosystem with talent through tailored consulting services that drive performance and profitability [11] Group 3: Conclusion on Talent Competitiveness - In a competitive business environment, the ability to effectively utilize and manage talent is increasingly seen as a fundamental competitive advantage [13] - Companies that can overcome the fear associated with talent management and establish a trust relationship with their workforce are better positioned to thrive in a rapidly changing market [13] - Southern Xinhua's experience demonstrates that talent is no longer viewed as a cost but as a core asset driving growth, highlighting the importance of innovative talent management strategies [13]

Group 1 - The core issue revolves around the safety crisis triggered by the recall of 490,000 power banks by Romoss due to serious safety hazards, leading to the revocation of their 3C certification [2][3] - The recall specifically targets three main models produced between June 2023 and July 2024, indicating a significant design flaw related to defective battery cells that could cause overheating or even combustion [2][3] - The revocation of the 3C certification by national regulatory authorities has legal implications, prohibiting the sale and use of the affected products, highlighting a stark contrast to Romoss's previous claims of compliance [3] Group 2 - Real incidents of self-ignition have occurred, prompting some universities to ban the use of Romoss power banks in dormitories, underscoring the extreme risks associated with defective battery cells [4] - Consumers are advised to immediately stop using the recalled models and to be cautious with other models, as the overall safety reputation of the brand has been severely damaged [5][6] - The incident raises questions about the effectiveness of the certification system, suggesting a need for more dynamic monitoring of certified products to prevent such safety issues in the future [7] Group 3 - The trust crisis in the consumer market is evident, as users express concerns over the reliability of cost-effective products, leading to a shift towards verifying certification statuses through official channels [8] - The event serves as a reminder of the universal safety principles that must be adhered to in the electronics industry, emphasizing that safety should never be compromised for cost [9]

Group 1: Core Concepts - The establishment of "Central Mother Joint Family Office" aims to reconstruct the wealth ecosystem in the context of a shifting global order and the rise of Asia [4][22] - The focus is on creating a wealth network that is independent of Western-centric models, emphasizing the idea that "Asia is for Asians" [7][22] - The office seeks to address the deep-seated anxieties of the second generation of wealthy families, providing guidance and support for their growth [8][22] Group 2: Investment Philosophy - The investment philosophy has evolved through three stages, culminating in the "AI+3" strategy, which emphasizes the importance of AI and future-oriented investments [11][12] - The strategy includes a focus on gold as a safe-haven asset, particularly in the context of ongoing geopolitical tensions [10][12] - The "AI+3" strategy also highlights the importance of ETFs, gold investments, and support for specialized small and medium enterprises [12] Group 3: Macro-Economic Insights - The ongoing geopolitical conflicts and economic shifts are seen as the beginning of a new world order, fundamentally altering traditional investment logic [9][22] - The current environment is characterized by a "triple resonance" opportunity for Hong Kong, with policies aimed at enhancing its role as a financial hub [14][15] - The potential for Hong Kong to surpass Singapore as a dual-currency financial center is anticipated, driven by increased liquidity and favorable policies [15][22] Group 4: Future Outlook - The long-term vision for family offices and the investment market includes a shift towards "commercial benevolence," with a growing emphasis on social impact in investments [22] - The influence of Asian family offices is expected to increase, with a focus on political awareness, technological understanding, and the ability to pass on values [22] - The current era is viewed as both challenging and an awakening opportunity for the younger generation to redefine wealth and legacy [22]

wo[Table_Title] Research Report 24 Jun 2025 中国互联网 China (Overseas) Internet 京东进军酒旅业务，供应链+零佣金模式撬动 OTA 格局 JD enters hotel & travel market with supply chain-driven strategy and zero-commission offer 姚书桥 Barney Yao 吴叡霖 Louis Ng barney.sq.yao@htisec.com louis.yl.ng@htisec.com [Table_yemei1] Flash Analysis [Table_summary] 事件： 2025 年 6 月，京东正式推出"京东酒店 PLUS 会员计划"，宣布进军酒旅行业。该计划向入驻酒店商家提供最高三年 0 佣金，并承诺通过京东电商主站、到家 App、企业购等多渠道导入流量。同时，京东强调围绕供应链整合布草清 洁、电力设备、安防、家具、洗涤等采购场景，为中小酒店提供降本方案。 点评： 以供应链为核心能力，重构中小酒店成本结构与服务能力。京东此次进军酒旅业务，并 ...

Core Viewpoint - The imposition of a 50% tariff on imported steel and aluminum by the Trump administration is reshaping the global metal trade landscape, particularly leading to a significant increase in European scrap metal exports to the U.S. [1][3] Group 1: Trade Dynamics - European scrap metal exports to the U.S. surged nearly twofold in the first three months of 2025, reaching 6,028 metric tons, highlighting the rapid rise of "duty-free scrap" in the market [1][3] - U.S. domestic companies are increasingly turning to unrestricted scrap materials as a workaround to avoid tariffs, enhancing the market appeal of scrap metals [3][4] Group 2: Environmental and Policy Implications - The European metal industry is concerned about the potential outflow of recyclable resources, which could undermine local supply and the EU's carbon neutrality goals [3][4] - The EU has indicated that recycling aluminum can save up to 95% of energy consumption, while recycling steel can reduce carbon emissions by 80%, linking these figures to the European Green Deal [3][4] Group 3: Future Outlook - The rapid increase in scrap metal exports to the U.S. poses risks to Europe's circular economy and may necessitate a reevaluation of resource recovery costs and supply chain stability [4][5] - The ongoing trade dynamics reflect a broader struggle for global resource allocation and the balance between environmental policies and trade practices, with the EU facing critical decisions on export restrictions [5]

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Core Viewpoint - AEON (Hong Kong) Department Store Limited has signed a new 8-year lease agreement for its Tianhe City store, which will undergo renovations starting July and is expected to reopen in October [2][3][8]. Group 1: Lease Agreement Details - The new lease period is from July 1, 2025, to June 30, 2033, with a total rent of approximately 102 million RMB, averaging 12.7 million RMB per year [3][6]. - The leased area has been reduced, now covering B113 and B114 on the first basement level, along with storage on the second and third basement levels, rather than the entire first basement [2][9]. - The previous lease saw annual rent increase from 37.2 million RMB in 2010 to 52 million RMB in 2023, with an average annual increase of about 5% [6][7]. Group 2: Renovation Plans - The Tianhe City store will undergo a three-month upgrade focusing on "scene reconstruction, product renewal, and service enhancement," targeting the needs of young middle-class families [8][9]. - The renovation aims to create a "five-sense experience marketplace" and is part of a broader upgrade plan for the Tianhe City shopping center [8][9]. Group 3: Market Context and Future Plans - AEON plans to open 8 new stores in Guangdong this year, increasing its total to 41 stores by year-end, compared to 33 stores in 2019 [10]. - Despite expansion plans, AEON's overall performance in Guangdong has been under pressure, with declining revenue and ongoing operational losses since 2017 [11].