期货热点追踪 高盛预测金价3700能否实现？分析师称黄金多空双方目标分别在..... 相关链接 ...

提到珠宝，尤其是宝石类，首当其冲被联想到的就是，保值和增值，这成为很多人钟爱购买珠宝的主要原因。 中国的珠宝市场也一直在增值。根据中研普华产业院发布的《2024-2029年中国金银珠宝首饰市场深度调查研究报告》显示，中国珠宝市场规模已从2018年 的5800亿元跃升至2023年的8200亿元，复合年增长率高达7.2%。2024年，该行业市场规模预计将超过9201亿元。 近期，来自香港的万邦珠宝公开向美SEC递交赴美上市招股书，计划在纳斯达克上市，股票代码：MPJS，计划发行150万普通股，占本次发行完成后的的 5%，发行价4—5美金。另外来自老股东计划出售130万股（MPJS Investment Co., Ltd。MPJS Investment Co., Ltd, a common investment holding company held by Mr. SZE Kam Fuk, Ms. SZE Sau Lan and Ms. SZE May Moon）预计本次发行市值在1.3亿美金。 值得关注的是，早在2019年，万邦珠宝曾向港交所递交招股书，拟在创业板上市。 黄金产品营收接近翻倍毛利率却下滑明显 招 ...

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices are undergoing adjustments, with spot gold prices dropping by 3.75% last week, briefly falling below $3200 per ounce [1] Group 1: Price Trends - The gold price in Shenzhen's Shui Bei market is displayed at 759 yuan per gram, which is nearly a 100 yuan decrease compared to the prices before the May Day holiday [1] - The current gold price is considered to be in a period of fluctuation and adjustment, with expectations for a potential upward trend starting in June [1] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - There is an increase in consumer activity at gold counters, with many local and out-of-town customers visiting specifically to purchase gold [1] - The decline in gold prices is attracting more young consumers into the market [1]

近日，黄金价格下跌1.3%至1956.79美元/盎司，这一波动主要受到美国经济数据强劲以及债务上限协议乐观情绪的压制。作为全球金融服务领域的领军企 业，KVB PRIME对黄金价格的下跌进行了深入分析，并探讨了其背后的市场动态。 作为全球金融服务领域的权威机构，KVB PRIME密切关注黄金价格走势及其背后的市场动态。其分析报告指出，尽管黄金价格近期承压，但全球经济形势 的复杂性以及地缘政治风险等因素仍可能对黄金价格产生影响。因此，投资者需要保持谨慎态度，密切关注市场动态和政策变化。 KVB PRIME建议投资者关注以下几个方面：一是关注美国经济数据的后续表现，以及其对美联储政策的影响；二是关注地缘政治风险的变化，以及其对市 场避险情绪的影响；三是关注黄金市场的供需关系，以及其对黄金价格的影响。 随着美国经济数据的强劲表现以及债务上限协议乐观情绪的升温，黄金价格近期承压下跌。KVB PRIME作为全球金融服务领域的领军企业，将持续关注黄 金价格走势及其背后的市场动态，并为客户提供专业的市场分析和投资策略建议。在复杂多变的全球经济环境中，KVB PRIME将与客户携手共进，共同应 对挑战并把握机遇。 美国近期发 ...

5月15日盘中，金价一度大幅跳水，现货黄金最低下探至3120美元/盎司，日内跌幅一度接近1.8%；COMEX黄金期货一 度跌超2%，最低触及3123美元/盎司。随后金价出现反弹。 据央视财经报道，记者在深圳水贝一家黄金零售卖场看到，各大黄金柜台周围，挤满了前来选购的消费者。受近期国际 金价下跌影响，商场金价从上周末的792元/克，降到目前的756元/克，跌幅超4%。 一家黄金商铺的负责人告诉央视财经记者，一些款式新、克重小的黄金饰品，颇受消费者青睐。受金价下跌影响，部分 手镯类饰品销量甚至还有增长。除了购买黄金的消费者，还有一部分消费者看到金价有回落势头，选择把手中的黄金饰 品回收变现。 据了解，深圳水贝是国内最大的珠宝专业交易市场，其价格变动对市场具有较大影响。 5月19日，周大福的黄金价格为976元/克。此外，周大福的足金饰品价格也为976元/克，投资黄金价格为859元/克，黄金 回收价格为722元/克。 2022年9月至今，国际金价像坐上了过山车，最高冲破3500美元/盎司。深圳水贝市场的黄金报价，短短4个月就从每克 630元飙到839元，近期，随着黄金价格的回落，深圳水贝的黄金价格有所回调进入高位震荡 ...

在地缘政治领域，尽管相关冲突地区各方已开启谈判进程，但由于各方在核心利益诉求和谈判立场上存在显著分歧，谈判前景尚不明朗。不过，谈判的启动 本身释放出通过对话解决争端的积极信号，一定程度上缓解了地缘政治紧张局势，这也对黄金的避险需求产生了抑制作用。 尽管消息面呈现出复杂多变的态势，但截至本交易周尾，黄金收盘价仍维持在3200美元/盎司上方。基于此部分市场参与者依然对黄金价格抱有乐观预期， 认为金价有望向3500美元/盎司靠拢，甚至突破这一关键价位。然而，正如秦氏金升此前分析所述，黄金价格前期的冲高主要是受到多重利好消息刺激，引 发市场集中性买盘推动。如今，随着避险情绪逐步退潮，金价出现回调属于市场的正常价值回归过程。 一、消息面分析 从宏观经济消息面维度来看，近期国际贸易局势的缓和显著削弱了黄金作为避险资产的属性。贸易双方通过积极磋商达成阶段性共识，使得全球投资者风险 偏好有所回升，黄金避险买盘随之减少。与此同时，美联储官员多次强调在货币政策调整上保持谨慎态度，明确表示短期内不急于降息，这些因素共同对黄 金价格形成了有力压制。 在日线级别上，黄金价格自3500美元/盎司高点开启的ABC三浪下跌趋势特征十分明显。 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The gold market experienced a gap down on Monday and continued to decline, showing alternating bearish and bullish patterns, ultimately closing the week with a bearish candle featuring a long lower shadow [1] - U.S. April CPI data showed a mild performance, leading to a decrease in inflation expectations and a stronger dollar, which pressured gold prices. The April PPI unexpectedly fell by 0.5%, while retail sales growth dropped significantly from 1.7% in March to 0.1%, indicating increased economic slowdown pressures [2] - Geopolitical risks, particularly the stalemate in Russia-Ukraine peace talks and uncertainties surrounding U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations, have heightened demand for gold as a safe haven [3] Group 2: Economic Indicators - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell by 11 basis points to 4.435%, increasing market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, with a 75.4% probability for a September cut, providing some support for gold prices [2] - The recent easing of trade tensions between the U.S. and China, with mutual tariff cancellations, has temporarily alleviated trade friction, impacting market sentiment [4] Group 3: Federal Reserve Policy Outlook - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell acknowledged challenges facing the U.S. economy and the Fed, indicating potential volatility in future inflation. Although he did not elaborate on rate cut expectations, the recent CPI data has intensified pressure on the Fed to lower rates [5] - Wall Street's major banks have postponed their expectations for a Fed rate cut due to easing trade tensions, complicating the impact on gold prices [5] Group 4: Technical Analysis - The gold market is currently in a corrective phase, having encountered strong resistance at the 3500 level. The recent price action suggests that gold may have entered a fourth wave adjustment structure [9] - A breakdown below the 3202 support level confirmed the start of a C-wave decline, with a potential short-term rebound observed near the 3120 level. The focus will be on whether gold can stabilize above 3120 to initiate a rebound [11][12]

今年以来不断狂飙的黄金价格在近日连续出现"急刹车"。 5月15日盘中，金价一度大幅跳水，现货黄金最低下探至3120美元/盎司，日内跌幅一度接近1.8%；COMEX黄金期货一度跌超2%，最低触及3123美元/盎 司。随后金价出现反弹。 昨晚（5月16日）， 金价又跳水！ 截至5月16日20:04，现货黄金短线下挫20美元，跌破3160美元/盎司，日内跌2.56%。纽约期金日内大跌2%，报3162.00美元/盎司。 | < W | 伦敦金现 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | 3162.990 | 昨结 3239.210 | 开盘 | | 3239.650 | | -76.220 | -2.35% 总量(kg) 0.00 | 现手 | | 0 | | 最高价 | 3252.050 特 仓 | 0 | 外 盘 | 0.000 | | 最低价 | 3153.475 增 仓 | 0 | 内 备 | 0.000 | | 分时 | 五日 日K | 月K | | 0 | | 叠加 | | | 盘口 | | | 3324.94 ...

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, international gold prices experienced significant volatility, reaching a historical high of $3500 per ounce in April, followed by a rapid decline to $3160 per ounce in May, resulting in a drop of over 10% within a short period [1]. Economic Factors - Economic instability drives investors to buy gold as a safe haven, leading to price increases during poor economic data or stock market declines [3]. - Conversely, improved economic data or anticipated interest rate hikes can lead to a sell-off in gold, causing prices to drop [3]. - The relationship between the US dollar and gold prices is crucial; a stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for foreign investors, reducing demand and subsequently lowering prices [3]. Geopolitical Factors - Geopolitical events, such as regional conflicts and trade tensions, heighten market risk aversion, prompting increased gold purchases [5]. - Once geopolitical tensions ease, investors tend to sell gold, resulting in price declines [5]. - Speculative market behavior can exacerbate price volatility, with large buy or sell orders causing significant short-term price fluctuations [5]. Investor Outcomes - Certain investor groups profited during this gold price volatility, including long-term gold investors who bought and held, central banks that increased gold reserves, and financial institutions engaging in arbitrage [8]. - Conversely, inexperienced retail investors often suffered losses due to panic buying and selling, while those using high leverage faced amplified risks, potentially leading to total losses [10]. - Gold processing and retail companies also experienced negative impacts, as declining prices reduced consumer purchasing intent, affecting sales and profits [10]. Investment Perspective - For ordinary investors, gold investment presents both risks and opportunities; long-term economic instability and geopolitical conflicts may support gold prices [11]. - However, market conditions can change rapidly, making any predictions uncertain; investors are advised to approach gold investments rationally and avoid herd behavior [11]. - Continuous learning and risk management are essential for protecting assets amid market fluctuations [11].