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基本面的支撑力度有限 预计短期硅铁弱势震荡为主
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-06 09:00
期货市场上看,6月6日收盘,硅铁期货主力合约报5104.00元/吨,涨幅0.08%,最高触及5188.00元/吨, 最低下探5098.00元/吨,日内成交量达163627手。 【市场资讯】 6月6日,郑商所硅铁期货仓单录得15576张,较上一交易日减少260张;最近一周,硅铁期货仓单累计减 少1177张,减少幅度为7.03%;最近一个月,硅铁期货仓单累计减少2305张,减少幅度为12.89%。 昨日,各主产区72号硅铁现货汇总价格约5130-5200元/吨,较前一日基本持平。 (6月6日)全国硅铁价格一览表 | 规格 | 品牌/产 | | 报价类 | 交货 | 交易商 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 地 | 报价 | 型 | 地 | | | 牌号:FeSi75~B;粒度等级/mm:自然 | 新华实业 | 5100元/ | 出厂价 | 宁夏 | 宁夏新华实业集团有限公司 | | 块 | | 吨 | | | | | 牌号:FeSi75~B;粒度等级/mm:自然 | 中卫银河 | 5100元/ | 出厂价 | 宁夏 | 宁夏中卫县银河冶炼有限公 | | 块 | ...
非农数据揭晓在即,黄金市场静待破局时刻
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 06:06
美国劳工统计局即将公布的5月非农就业报告已成为本周市场焦点。随着全球贸易环境趋紧及经济不确定性升温,劳动力市场放缓迹象愈发显著,此次数据 不仅将揭示就业增长的真实轨迹,更可能成为左右美联储政策路径与黄金价格波动的关键变量。 对于美联储而言,劳动力市场数据正成为平衡通胀与增长的核心观测点。尽管特朗普敦促立即降息,但多数联储官员仍强调需观察关税效应的传导时滞。高 盛指出,若数据落至10万下方将重燃衰退担忧,而超预期强劲(如30万以上)反而可能延缓宽松预期。这种政策敏感性直接投射至金融市场:股市更倾向 15-20万的"温和放缓"区间,而债市则对失业率突破4.3%的技术位保持高度警惕——该水平可能触发标普500指数隐含波动率飙升。 黄金市场在此背景下呈现典型的数据依赖特征。隔夜金价在3350美元关键位企稳,但多空双方均保持谨慎。技术面显示,3400美元整数关口构成短期强阻 力,若突破则可能打开通向3433-3435美元区域的历史高位通道;反之,若数据意外疲软引发避险情绪,3326-3324美元的前期阻力转支撑位将面临考验。值 得注意的是,中美贸易谈判进展或成为黄金上行的潜在掣肘,但当前市场定价更多聚焦于就业数据对美联 ...
黄金珠宝奢侈品运营情况- 高端商圈运营专家交流
2025-06-06 02:37
黄金珠宝奢侈品运营情况- 高端商圈运营专家交流 20250605 摘要 老铺黄金 5 月西安门店销售额同比增长 200%至 5,000 万元,成都门店 增长 300%至 2,500 万元,武汉门店达 1,300 万元。预计 6 月通过商 场活动和大客户订单,业绩同比增长超 100%,目标为 3,000-4,000 万 元。 预计 2025 年北京地区老铺黄金业绩保守估计达 21-22 亿元,若下半年 表现良好,可能超 25 亿元,合并北京 SKP 部分,总体目标约 27 亿元, 为去年三倍以上。 硬奢领域,国际品牌除宝格丽外普遍下滑近 20%,梵克雅宝小幅增长, 黄金领域仅老铺黄金增长。5 月黄金价格回调因活动后市场冷淡和金价 波动影响购买需求,但老铺受影响较小。 老铺黄金暂无提价计划,预计九十月份可能提价,但幅度不大,对消费 影响有限,提价前或引发购买潮。预计九十月份单月销售额可达 5,000 万,店庆月份增长超 100%。 Q&A 请更新一下 5 月份老铺黄金在北京 SKP 各门店的销售数据和同比数据,以及 对 6 月份的预期。 5 月份,北京 SKP 的销售额为 6,700 万元,同比增长 150%。北 ...
有利白酒销量增长 售价或进一步承压
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 02:06
Core Viewpoint - The price of certain white liquor products in the Southwest region has seen a rebound during the Dragon Boat Festival, but is expected to decline due to the upcoming "618" shopping festival and ongoing "billion-dollar subsidies" [2][9]. Price Trends - The average market price of Feitian Moutai (53 degrees/500ml) rose to 2606.8 RMB per bottle on May 31, up 20 RMB from 2586.8 RMB on April 31 [3]. - The average market price of the eighth generation Wuliangye (52 degrees/500ml) increased to 997.69 RMB per bottle, compared to 994.35 RMB on April 31 [3]. - The average price of Guojiao 1573 (52 degrees/500ml) also experienced an increase [3]. Inventory Levels - The fluctuation in white liquor prices is closely related to inventory levels, with recent reports indicating a reduction in high inventory situations for several brands [3][4]. - Wuliangye reported that some terminal inventories are running at zero, while Luzhou Laojiao stated that their inventory situation is currently safe and controllable [4]. Market Dynamics - The overall sales of premium liquor are slowing down, with a notable decline in demand for business and corporate group purchases [7]. - Despite the holiday season, the overall sales performance remains subdued, with many companies adjusting their revenue growth targets to align with macroeconomic indicators [7][8]. E-commerce Impact - The upcoming "618" e-commerce festival is expected to exert further pressure on retail prices, despite a slight price increase for high-end liquors during the Dragon Boat Festival [9]. - Analysts predict that while online sales may see growth during the "618" event, profit margins will be squeezed due to price reductions and high inventory levels among offline distributors [9].
金属涨跌互现 期铜触两个月高位,供应担忧与库存下降提供支撑【6月5日LME收盘】
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-06 00:53
Group 1 - LME copper prices reached a two-month high, driven by speculative buying after breaking technical levels, declining inventory, and production halts at a major mine in Congo [1][3] - As of June 5, LME three-month copper closed at $9,739.50 per ton, up $118 or 1.23%, with an intraday high of $9,809.50, marking the highest level since March 31 [1][2] - LME copper inventory decreased by 3,350 tons or 2.37% to 138,000 tons, the lowest in nearly a year, with a nearly 50% decline year-to-date [4][5] Group 2 - The increase in copper prices was supported by concerns over the recent production halt at the Kakula copper mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo [6] - COMEX copper for July rose 0.89% to $4.93 per pound, with a premium of $1,129 over LME prices [4] - The U.S. has raised tariffs on steel and aluminum, which has reignited concerns over potential new tariffs on copper imports, influencing market dynamics [3]
【期货盯盘神器专属文章】亚洲糖周报:泰国精炼糖市场价格有何波动?
news flash· 2025-06-05 12:57
期货盯盘神器专属文章 亚洲糖周报:泰国精炼糖市场价格有何波动? 相关链接 ...
什么情况?黑色系强势拉涨,焦煤期货暴涨7%后回调,机构称切勿追涨杀跌
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-06-05 10:03
6月4日,焦煤、焦炭期货领涨黑色系期货品种,焦煤期货价格一度上冲至772元/吨,最终涨幅达7.19%;焦炭期货 也一度冲至1374元/吨,当日涨幅达5.72%。然而,记者发现,6月5日焦煤、焦炭期货价格并未延续大涨行情,焦 煤期货主力2509合约报收于757元/吨,当日涨幅1.68%。 "6月3日晚市场传闻称,外蒙古计划将煤炭矿产资源税上调至20%,受此消息刺激,焦煤期货大幅上涨。此外,今 年年初至今,焦煤期货持续下跌,现货价格跌幅小于期货价格,盘面有修复基差的需求,这也推动了焦煤期货价 格的快速反弹。"光大期货黑色团队在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示。 "小作文"漫天飞舞 "焦煤期货大涨主要原因是前期跌幅过大,今年以来焦煤期货主力JM2509合约价格从1230元/吨附近,跌至709元/ 吨,累计跌幅超42%。由于国内供应增加,叠加煤矿库存持续累积,使得焦煤是黑色系商品中最弱的品种。5月份 焦煤期价加速下跌,基差拉大,目前焦煤仓单成本在820—850元/吨附近,而盘面最低跌至709元/吨,基差超过 100元/吨,短期内有反弹修复基差的需求。"方正中期煤炭研究员段智栈在接受《华夏时报》记者采访时表示。 段智栈进 ...
广发期货《有色》日报-20250605
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-06-05 05:14
知识图强, 求实奉献, 客户至上, 合作共赢 | 产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年6月5日 | | | | 林嘉施 | Z0020770 | | 价格及基差 | | | | | | | | 现值 | 前值 | 日涨跌 | 日涨跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#电解键 | 123425 | 122850 | 575 | 0.47% | 76/11/2 | | 1#金川镇 | 124575 | 124050 | ર્સ્ટ | 0.42% | 元/肥 | | 1#金川镇升贴水 | 2500 | 2550 | -50 | -1.96% | 元/吨 | | 1#进口镇 | 122425 | 121800 | 625 | 0.51% | 元/吨 | | 1#进口镇升贴水 | 350 | 300 | 50 | - | 元/吨 | | LME 0-3 | -201 | -203 | 2 | -1.21% | 美元/吨 | | 期货进口盈亏 | -4760 | -3669 | ...
乙二醇:期现价格下跌,短期或低位震荡
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 02:19
【乙二醇期货价格下跌,短期或维持低位震荡】乙二醇期货主力合约价格下跌26元,降至4253元/吨, 现货华东价格同步下滑50元,至4450元/吨。期现基差走扩26元,达到237元/吨,显示现货相对期货更 为坚挺。 跨期价差方面,1 - 5价差缩窄10元,至18元/吨,远月合约压力开始显现。生产利润上,煤制 利润维持在 - 150元/吨的亏损状态,油制与甲醇制利润分别为 - 78.39美元/吨和 - 959.16元/吨,成本端持 续承压。 供应端总体开工率环比上升1.2个百分点,至56.37%。其中,煤制开工率提升2.8个百分点,源 于新疆天业重启;油制开工率微增1.1个百分点,浙石化复工抵消了卫星石化检修的影响。 需求端聚酯 工厂负荷持平于89.42%的高位,但终端织机负荷连续四周停滞在63.43%。叠加萧山聚酯厂故障降负及 宁波计划减产,实际需求边际走弱。 库存端华东主港库存周降3.54万吨,至57.67万吨,张家港库存大 降4.1万吨,至23万吨,连续两周超速去库。主要原因是进口缩减,沙特、科威特装置延修,且港口发 货稳定。 乙二醇短期或维持低位震荡格局。利多因素有海外供应扰动,沙特、科威特、伊朗合计201 ...
上周部分叶菜零售价小幅上涨
Mei Ri Shang Bao· 2025-06-04 22:20
Core Insights - The trading volume of pork, vegetables, and aquatic products increased from May 26 to June 1, with wholesale prices for vegetables and aquatic products also rising [1][2][3] Pork Market - Average daily trading volume of pork reached 10,362 heads (793.62 tons), an increase of 8.3% week-on-week [1] - Average price of live pigs in Hangzhou was 16.21 yuan/kg, down 0.18% [1] - Average wholesale price of pork was 19.27 yuan/kg, down 0.26% [1] - Retail prices for various pork cuts showed mixed results, with pork loin at 35.05 yuan/kg (up 1.1%) and pork belly at 39.73 yuan/kg (down 0.9%) [1] Vegetable Market - Average daily trading volume of vegetables was 3,781.43 tons, an increase of 11.34% week-on-week [2] - Overall average wholesale price for vegetables was 3.62 yuan/kg, up 3.43% [2] - Significant price increases were noted for certain vegetables, such as green vegetables at 1.96 yuan/kg (up 35.17%) and small white vegetables at 2.13 yuan/kg (up 18.33%) [2] - Retail prices for monitored vegetables showed an overall average of 10.04 yuan/kg, up 1.11% [2] Aquatic Products Market - Total trading volume for aquatic products was 3,697 tons, with an average daily trading volume of 528.14 tons, up 8.12% week-on-week [3] - Overall average wholesale price for aquatic products was 41.7 yuan/kg, up 4.2% [3] - Notable price changes included a rise in the price of hairtail fish to 40 yuan/kg (up 14.75%) and a decrease in the price of small yellow croaker to 56 yuan/kg (down 2.97%) [3] - Retail prices for monitored aquatic products showed an overall average of 59.86 yuan/kg, up 0.64% [3]