Core Viewpoint - The property market in Shenzhen, particularly for luxury apartments like the Emerald Coast, is experiencing significant price declines due to competition and changing market dynamics, with recent transactions reflecting a stark contrast to historical prices [2][4][19]. Group 1: Price Trends - A recent transaction for an 89 square meter unit at the Emerald Coast sold for 14.2 million yuan, translating to approximately 15.96 thousand yuan per square meter, marking a drop below 16 thousand yuan per square meter [2][11]. - Four years ago, the same property was sold at around 29 thousand yuan per square meter, indicating a price drop of approximately 45% [3][19]. - The current average listing price for the Emerald Coast is about 24.6 thousand yuan per square meter, despite the significant drop in actual transaction prices [3][9]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The competitive landscape is shifting as new developments, such as the CITIC Yuanwanfu project, threaten to obstruct views and reduce the desirability of existing properties like the Emerald Coast [4][13]. - The luxury market in Shenzhen is seeing a trend where smaller units experience more volatility in pricing compared to larger units, which tend to maintain their value better [15][20]. - The overall luxury market is being driven by high-net-worth individuals who prioritize living comfort, leading to a growing preference for larger units over smaller ones [20].

OPEC+提速增产，宽松基本面持续施压油价 一、日度市场总结 原油市场在7月4日至5日呈现分化态势。SC原油主力合约价格较前日下跌 1.03%至503.5元/桶，出现小幅回落，而WTI和Brent价格则维持稳定，欧美 基准油价分别持稳于67.18和68.85美元/桶。值得注意的是，SC与Brent、 WTI的跨区价差分别收窄0.43美元至1.42和3.09美元/桶，显示中国原油期 货的溢价优势有所减弱，可能与亚洲市场对供应增加的预期有关。近远月 价差（SC连续-连3）同步收窄2.2元至15.6元/桶，反映出市场对远期供应 偏紧的预期边际缓解。 从供给端看，OPEC+产量政策动向主导市场情绪。OPEC+同意在8月份将日产 量提高54.8万桶，进一步加速增产。OPEC+在5月、6月和7月批准的月产量 增幅为41.1万桶/日，4月为13.8万桶/日。消息人士称，一些成员国（如哈 萨克斯坦和伊拉克）超目标生产激怒了其他坚持减产的成员国。OPEC+希望 在美国等竞争对手的供应不断增加的情况下扩大市场份额。随着8月份产量 的增加，OPEC+自4月份以来释放的产量将达到191.8万桶/日，较原计划增 产节奏显著加快，叠加沙 ...

黑色方面，螺纹钢、热卷、铁矿石等品种集体走高。主要受南方暴雨天气改 善带动下游施工回暖、钢材出库数据回升，以及市场对于三季度基建与房地产端 政策托底的预期升温影响。同时，铁矿石受港口库存回落支撑，情绪面亦持续升 温，推动期价重心整体上移。 能源方面，原油价格跟随外盘震荡上行，主要受OPEC+延续限产政策、美 国夏季出行高峰带动需求回升等因素提振。国内原油期货价格同步反弹，燃油、 沥青等品种亦受成本端带动跟涨。尽管高库存仍构成部分压制，但地缘风险与需 求复苏预期为行情提供韧性。 大宗商品周度报告 2025年7月7日 流动性和需求均承压 商品短期或震荡偏弱运行 ●行情回顾：上周商品市场整体收涨0.79%，其中黑色和贵金属涨幅较大，上 涨1.79%和1.25%，农产品、有色金属和能化分别上涨0.54%、0.36%和 0.18% 具体品种收盘价来看，涨幅居前的品种为螺纹钢、热卷和铁矿石，涨幅分别 为2.57%、2.56%和2.23%；跌幅较大的品种为纯碱、LPG和PTA，跌幅分别 为1.84%、1.74%和1.42%。 资金方面有所上升，主要受益于有色金属方向的流入。 ●展望：过去一周市场主要聚焦于美国财政大漂亮法案 ...

Email：zhangcy@zxqh.net Email：wangyh@zxqh.net Tel：027-68851554 Tel：027-68851554 多空博弈加剧，锂价震荡运行 碳酸锂周报20250707 研究员：张重洋 研究员：王艳红 从业资格号：Z0020996 投资咨询号：Z0010675 2 核心观点 产业基本面-供给端 1 4 其他重要影响因素 3 产业基本面-需求端 目 录 核心观点 供给端：本周国内碳酸锂产量环比减少644吨至1.81万吨。江西某锂盐厂计划停产检修，为期2个月，预计影响月产量 约1000吨。5月智利出口至中国碳酸锂量为0.97万吨，环比减少38%，下降较明显。本周国内碳酸锂社会库存环比增加 1510吨至13.83万吨，冶炼厂、下游和其他环节的库存分别为5.89、4.05和3.90万吨。其他环节库存小幅增加，整体 库存仍处于高位。消息面上，中央财经委员会第六次会议上提到"依法依规治理企业低价无序竞争，引导企业提升产 品品质，推动落后产能有序退出"。中长期维度，今明两年碳酸锂供应过剩的压力仍较大； 需求端：据调研，7月下游排产环比微增。动力端排产回落，储能电芯存在一定抢出口行 ...

倒计时4天 2025第五届起点两轮车换电大会 暨轻型动力电池技术高峰论坛 活动主题： 换电之城 智慧两轮 主办单位： 起点锂电、起点钠电、起点两轮车及换电 活动时间： 2025年7月11日 活动地点： 深圳宝安登喜路国际酒店2楼国际厅 活动赞助/演讲/合作单位： 小哈换电/ 雅迪科技集团/台铃集团/新日股份/菜鸟集团/嘟嘟换电/司马出行/河豚换电/汇创新能源/中兴派能/孚能科技/保力新/创明新 能源/多氟多/博力威/睿恩新能源/诺达智慧/亿纬锂能/星恒电源/比克电池/鹏辉能源/时代瑞象/优旦科技/逸飞激光/盾创科技/博观科技/尚闻科技/威胜能源/兆科 动力/小安科技/先导智能/鑫晟达/精锐精密等 7月7日，据财联社报道， LG新能源今日对外披露， 受电池销售强劲的推动，预计公司第二季度将实现正的营业利润，且无需依赖美国此 前颁布的税收优惠。 此外， LG新能源 还计划通过削减成本，将电动汽车销售重点放在利润更高的项目上。 北美市场一直是 LG新能源的布局重心，在电动车市场，美国主要的车企都在 LG新能源客户列表上，但随着中国企业出海布局以及磷酸铁锂 电池反扑三元，LG新能源等日韩企业的份额被逐渐挤压。 在 1 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the necessity of large-scale fiscal spending to support both supply and demand in the economy, emphasizing that without subsidies, production and consumption cannot thrive [1][2][3] - In the West, the principle is to subsidize demand, but this does not directly improve domestic production capacity, necessitating additional subsidies for supply [2][4] - In the East, the focus is on subsidizing supply to meet global demand, but external demand limitations lead to oversupply, requiring a shift towards stimulating domestic demand [3][4] Group 2 - The article highlights that while Eastern production capabilities and technological investments are increasing, the lack of corresponding consumer demand limits the ability to maintain high prices, leading to a situation where even high-tech products may be sold at low prices [4][5] - The resurgence of protectionism is noted as a response to the challenges faced by developed nations, which are reluctant to be outcompeted in a free market [4][5] - The impact of AI on traditional job markets is significant, with software development positions in the U.S. already experiencing severe disruption, indicating a broader trend across various industries [6][7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that individuals with strong work capabilities share four key mindsets: goal-oriented, demand-oriented, problem-oriented, and result-oriented [28][29] Group 2 - Goal-oriented mindset involves having clear objectives and planning before taking action, which includes comprehensive thinking and defining what needs to be achieved [3][4][9] - Demand-oriented mindset focuses on understanding both customer needs and internal requirements to ensure effective work execution [10][11][13][17] - Problem-oriented mindset highlights the importance of proactively identifying and resolving issues, which is essential for enhancing one's core competitiveness [18][20][23] - Result-oriented mindset stresses that achieving results is the true measure of excellence, encouraging individuals to exceed expectations and continuously improve [24][26][28]

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations, with the Shanghai Composite Index opening lower but turning positive in the afternoon, while small-cap growth stocks were relatively active [1] - The overall trading volume decreased to 1.23 trillion yuan, with more stocks rising than falling [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 3473.13, up 0.02% - Shenzhen Component Index: 10435.51, down 0.70% - ChiNext Index: 2130.19, down 1.21% - SSE 50 Index: 2731.53, down 0.33% - CSI 300 Index: 3965.17, down 0.43% - STAR 50 Index: 4978.29, down 0.66% - North Exchange 50 Index: 1401.92, down 0.93% [2] Sector Performance - Sectors with notable gains included power generation, real estate, and diversified finance, while sectors such as environmental monitoring, components, coal, and medical beauty saw declines [2] - Significant net inflows were observed in power equipment, public utilities, and computers, each exceeding 4 billion yuan, while sectors like electronics and pharmaceuticals experienced net outflows exceeding 2 billion yuan [2] Future Outlook - Huachuang Securities suggests maintaining patience in the short term while remaining optimistic in the medium to long term, as resource sectors related to central state-owned enterprises are currently undervalued and may see policy catalysts in the second half of the year [3] - Haitong Securities notes that recent trading sentiment has improved, leading to a "technical breakthrough" in the A-share market, although volatility may increase due to various external factors [3] Power Sector Highlights - The power sector showed strong performance, with the index reaching a new high for the year, driven by stocks like Huaguang Huaneng, which hit a 14-year high [3][5] - The energy sector, including storage, green power, and nuclear energy, saw significant gains, with multiple sub-sectors reaching historical highs [5] Weather Impact on Energy Demand - The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a yellow heat warning, with temperatures exceeding 35°C in several regions, leading to a rapid increase in electricity demand [7][8] - National Energy Administration reported a record peak electricity load of 1.465 billion kilowatts, an increase of approximately 200 million kilowatts since late June, with air conditioning usage accounting for about 90% of the load increase [8] - Guosheng Securities recommends focusing on the power sector, particularly thermal power and green energy operators with cost-reduction advantages [8]

关注公众号，点击公众号主页右上角" ··· "，设置星标 "⭐" ，关注 鑫椤锂电 资讯~ -广告- 本文来源：鑫椤锂电 2025年以来，全球固态电池产业继续加速发展，硫化物固态电解质凭借其优异的机械加工性能与离子导电 率的优势，成为主要的发展方向。 在应用于固态电池的金属锂负极方面，由于目前隔膜技术暂时无法完全解决枝晶问题，现有技术尚未实现 99%的纯金属锂，基本都是以锂合金的形式展现。 比如，近期贝特瑞推出的锂碳合金、天津中能推出锂复合技术（上下两层负极层及夹在两层负极层之间的 集流体层）等。 预计未来金属锂负极对碳酸锂需求的实际带动量在100-150吨水平，叠加硫化物固态电 解质的增益，硫化物全固态电池对于碳酸锂的单耗较原先液态锂电池提高了70%-80%。 本文作者：钱先生/ 1 3 6 2 1 9 1 1 3 7 3 会议日程 根据 ICC鑫椤锂电测算， 2030年全球固态电池需求量将达到195.6Gwh，较2025年增长近16倍。 从对碳酸锂需求影响来看，在当前技术条件下， 1Gwh锂磷硫氯全固态电池约消耗 硫化物电解质 500- 550吨，以平均消耗400-450公斤硫化锂粉体折算，对应硫化锂需求 ...

亚市早盘，现货黄金震荡微跌，一度失守3330关口，目前交投于3327.25美元/盎司附近。美国总统特朗 普计划于周一与以色列总理内塔尼亚胡会晤，商讨加沙冲突的停火细节，市场避险情绪小幅降温。目前 正临近7月9日关税暂停截止日，市场观望情绪较浓；美国财长周日则暗示，关税重启截止日期改为8月1 日，这也略微削弱市场担忧情绪，另外，本周还将出炉美联储会议纪要，投资者需要重点关注。近期地 缘政治局势的缓和为黄金市场带来了一定的压力。美国总统特朗普计划于周一与以色列总理内塔尼亚胡 会晤，商讨加沙冲突的停火细节。据AXIOS网站报道，双方有望就60天停火期、交换人质等具体条款 达成一致，而以色列此前强硬的立场已有所松动，愿意在哈马斯高级官员的流放问题上做出妥协。这种 地缘政治紧张局势的缓解，短期内可能削弱黄金作为避险资产的吸引力。然而，地缘政治的复杂性决定 了这种缓和可能是短暂的，一旦谈判受阻或冲突再起，黄金的避险需求可能迅速回升。 对于投资者而言，黄金当前的横盘整理可能是布局的良机。短期内，金价可能在3250美元至3456美元区 间内波动，但一旦地缘政治或宏观经济出现新的催化剂，金价有望突破高位，挑战3500美元甚至更 ...