刚刚！金价又跳水！ 截至5月1 6日2 0 : 0 4，现货黄金短线下挫2 0美元，跌破3 1 6 0美元/盎司，日内跌2 . 5 6%。纽约期 金日内大跌2%，报3 1 6 2 . 0 0美元/盎司。 作 者丨叶麦穗 编 辑丨方海平 江佩佩 再次， 金价在多次反弹尝试未果后，最终失守3 2 0 0美元/盎司这一重要心理关口 ，技术性抛 盘加剧了下跌势头； 最后， 美国4月CPI数据表现温和 ，使得市场对美联储大幅降息的预期降温，美元走强也对 金价形成压制。 | < W | | | 伦敦金现 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | | 3162.990 | | 昨结 | 3239.210 | | 开盘 | 3239.650 | | | -76.220 | -2.35% | 总量(kq) | 0.00 | 现手 | | 0 | | | 最高价 | 3252.050 | 持 仓 | 0 | 2 | 當 | 0.000 | | | 最低价 | 3153.475 | 曾 仓 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent dramatic fluctuations in gold prices, questioning whether the current rebound indicates a reversal or a temporary recovery [1] Group 1: Market Analysis - Gold prices experienced a significant drop followed by a sharp recovery, leading to speculation about the future trend [1] - Analysts are closely monitoring market indicators to determine if the rebound is sustainable or if it will lead to further declines [1] Group 2: Expert Insights - A live analysis session is being conducted by a researcher, providing real-time insights into the gold market dynamics [1] - The analysis aims to help investors understand the implications of recent price movements and make informed decisions [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article suggests that a bull market for gold may just be beginning, with institutions predicting that gold prices could increase by 2.5 times over the next decade due to changing economic conditions and investment demand potentially becoming the next driving force for gold prices [1] Group 1 - Institutions are making aggressive predictions about gold prices, forecasting a 2.5 times increase over the next ten years [1] - The changing economic environment is highlighted as a significant factor influencing gold prices [1] - There is a question raised about whether investment demand can become the next driving force for gold prices [1]

总体而言，黄金市场的多空博弈本质是短期交易逻辑与长期价值逻辑的角力。当前回调更多是技术性修正而非趋势逆转，投资者需区分"价格波动"与"价值 重估"的差异，在美元霸权松动、全球政经格局重构的背景下，重视黄金在资产组合中对冲通胀与风险的价值。 近期黄金价格经历了显著的调整，中美经贸高层会谈取得实质性进展是重要原因之一。会谈达成大幅削减加征关税等共识，缓解了市场对全球经济衰退的担 忧，风险资产吸引力回升，黄金避险需求骤降，资金从黄金市场流向股市等风险资产。同时，美联储5月议息会议维持利率不变，强调通胀粘性及经济韧 性，市场对年内降息预期下调，美元指数一度逼近100关口，对黄金形成压制。此外，前期金价累计涨幅大，技术指标进入超买区域，存在获利盘回吐需 求，5月12日金价单日跌幅达2.73%，触发多头平仓潮。 不过，黄金价格仍有长期支撑逻辑。首先，全球央行购金趋势持续，2025年一季度全球央行黄金储备增加244吨，连续第16年净购金，中国、印度等新兴市 场央行购金行为显著，反映出美元信用体系面临挑战，黄金货币属性被重新定价。其次，尽管短期地缘风险缓和，但美国债务上限危机、全球通胀反复、股 市波动加剧等隐患仍在，黄金作为 ...

本周，黄金开启调整模式。15日晚，现货黄金跌破3200美元／盎司大关，高位回调超200美元／盎司。 "最近一段时间，美国对外政策频繁调整，严重影响全球经济增长预期，金融市场出现剧烈波动，黄金 价格大幅上涨。短期来看，黄金价格继续上涨的动力已经减弱，价格波动在所难免。未来3个月，预计 黄金价格宽幅波动。9月，因全球贸易不确定性和美联储降息预期，黄金可能开启新一轮上涨行情。"段 恩典说。 "短期金价易跌难涨。"徽商期货贵金属分析师从姗姗表示，考虑到后续美国关税政策可能出现反复、美 联储降息时间渐近和黄金需求强劲等利多因素，长期而言黄金价格将保持强势，长期配置价值仍存。投 资者需结合自身风险承受能力，避免高杠杆操作，关注政策动向和市场信号。 黄金价格大幅回调之后，有投资者认为入场时机已到。对此，段恩典提醒道，接下来两个月黄金价格可 能面临波动调整行情，交易的难度较大。风险偏好较高的投资者，可以依据技术指标和宏观背景做区间 交易，但需要控制仓位，设置好止损和止盈点。现货投资者切勿根据长期趋势进行短期交易，盲目地在 市场上买入，这样容易在行情不及预期时出现心态波动而亏损离场。此外，在特殊事件发生时，黄金价 格波动剧烈， ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in gold prices, which fell by 6% from April 22 to May 14, has raised concerns among investors and consumers, despite a significant increase in gold purchases earlier in the year [1][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - Gold fund transaction volume reached approximately 190 billion, with a 6% price drop during the same period [1]. - Gold stocks experienced a more significant decline, dropping over 8% [1]. - Retail sales of gold and jewelry increased by 11% year-on-year, with gold bar and coin purchases rising by 30% [3]. Group 2: Regional Disparities - Retail sales of gold and jewelry in Beijing grew by 29% year-on-year, while Guangzhou saw a 15% increase, both exceeding the national average [4]. - In contrast, Shanghai's retail sales for the same category declined by 9% [4]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The decline in gold prices is attributed to reduced safe-haven demand, a stronger US dollar, decreased expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, profit-taking by speculators, and a slowdown in central bank gold purchases [6][10]. - Despite the current price drop, it remains above the levels seen in the first quarter, indicating that investors are not yet at a loss [4]. Group 4: Future Outlook - Research institutions express caution, noting an increase in hedging by gold producers and a decline in recycled gold after eight consecutive quarters of growth, suggesting a higher likelihood of price adjustments [12]. - However, there is optimism regarding the long-term support for gold prices due to the ongoing contraction of US dollar credit [12].

商报讯(记者叶晓珺)"涨得有多疯狂，跌得就有多魔性。"继"金价狂飙"之后，近日的热搜是"金价又崩 了"。5月14日，国际金价下挫，现货黄金价格失守3200美元整数关口，一度跌至3180美元下方，日内跌 超2%；COMEX黄金期货跌超2%，亦跌破3200美元大关。截至当日收盘，金价已从上个月的3500美元 高点下跌了9%。 昨日早间，金价继续下挫，临近午间，现货黄金价格跌破3150美元/盎司关口，日内跌幅超1%，刷新一 个多月新低，午后跌幅再度拉大，报3137.33美元/盎司；COMEX黄金期货跌1.24%，报3148.8美元/盎 司。与此同时，国内品牌金饰也迎来了一波下跌潮，昨日各大品牌首饰金价格集体回落至千元下方。不 过，对于金价后续的走势，机构方面表示，短期调整不会改变中长期上涨趋势。 金价跳水，国内首饰金跌进千元以内 "打工人的工资跌没了""半个月损失2000多元"……金价"跌跌不休"的"猛操作"，掀起了轩然大波。 5月14日晚，现货黄金向下跌破3180美元/盎司，创4月15日以来的新低；5月15日，跌势并未缓解，现货 黄金从接近3200美元/盎司，一路跌至3149美元/盎司，刷新一个多月新低，较4月2 ...

Group 1: Gold Price Trends - Recent international gold prices have declined, with COMEX gold futures dropping from $3329.10 per ounce on May 9 to $3180.70 on May 14, a decrease of approximately 4.46% [2] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to reduced market risk aversion following unexpected progress in US-China trade negotiations, which has led to a potential drop in COMEX gold prices below $3000 per ounce [2][3] - Short-term outlook suggests a fluctuating trend for gold prices, while long-term support factors remain intact, including increased inflation risks in the US and strong central bank demand [3] Group 2: Consumer Behavior and Market Dynamics - Consumer interest in gold jewelry remains strong, with many brands offering significant discounts; for instance, some gold jewelry prices have been reduced to below 1000 yuan per gram [1] - The market for traditional gold jewelry is expanding, with the ancient method gold jewelry market in China growing from 13 billion yuan in 2018 to 157.3 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 64.6% [4] - Companies are adapting to changing consumer preferences by enhancing product offerings, such as introducing unique designs and high-quality craftsmanship to attract customers [5][6] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives by Companies - Companies like Chow Tai Fook and others are focusing on high-end product strategies, optimizing product structures, and enhancing craftsmanship to stimulate demand in the premium gold jewelry market [6][7] - The introduction of culturally inspired product lines, such as the "Dunhuang" series by Luk Fook Jewelry, indicates a trend towards integrating cultural elements into product offerings [4] - Brands are increasingly targeting specific consumer segments with personalized and high-quality service, indicating a shift towards niche marketing strategies in the gold jewelry sector [7]

纽约尾盘，现货黄触及3240美元/盎司，日内涨近2%。 ...

现货黄金站上3220美元/盎司，日内涨1.32%。 ...