Here to break down the chart in crude is Renaissance Macros's Jeff Degraphth. It's good to see you. Welcome back.Thanks, Scott. I mean, a remarkable trade when you consider what people were worried about and then in a couple of days how the reversal has taken place. It's pretty stunning.Yeah, it certainly is. Um, look, you had an overbought condition. Um, that overbought condition was driven by obviously fear and sentiment, but that was taking place in the whole context of a downtrend. And that downtrend's ...

you. We're joined now by Schwab's chief investment strategist, Liz Anne Saunders. It's good to see you.Um, we're not that far away from new highs and you can thank the growth factor for getting us there, can't you. Yeah. So, that's been interesting.Momentum has certainly picked up as a factor doing well and that's not surprising when you get these kind of rip higher rallies. But aside from that, which isn't really a fundamental factor, it's more like a concept. It just means that stocks that have been worki ...

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Core Insights - The article highlights Uttam's focus on growth-oriented investment analysis, particularly in the technology sector, including semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and cloud software [1] - Uttam's research extends to MedTech, Defense Tech, and Renewable Energy, indicating a diverse investment approach [1] - The Pragmatic Optimist Newsletter, co-authored by Uttam and Amrita Roy, is recognized by major publications like the Wall Street Journal and Forbes, showcasing its influence in the investment community [1] - Uttam's prior experience in Silicon Valley with leading technology firms such as Apple and Google adds credibility to his research [1]

Geopolitical & Market Confidence - Investors appear to be largely shrugging off geopolitical tensions, with a baseline assumption that conflicts will not escalate significantly [1][2] - Despite potential ceasefire breaks, futures are higher, suggesting investor confidence in the situation remaining stable [1] Equity Strategy - The firm is modestly overweight equities, seeing opportunities more broadly across the asset class [3] - A neutral geographic allocation within equities is favored, indicating no strong conviction in a particular region or country [4][5] US Market Focus - With the Federal Reserve potentially easing and geopolitical tensions lessening, the US market remains a key area of focus [6] - Cyclical sectors like financials or industrials are attractive investment areas, potentially leading the market [7] US Small Cap Opportunities - US small caps are being considered, especially if sustained US economic growth holds up despite tariffs [8][9] - Small caps offer diversified access to US growth, excluding the mega-cap tech exposure prevalent in the S&P 500 [13][14] - Russell 2000 futures are up over 1%, outperforming NASDAQ [11]

S/D model update on silicon wafer, SiC substrate, GaN. China capacity and implications to global players As a global team, we review and refresh our S/D model across (1) silicon wafers, (2) SiC substrate, (3) GaN devices, and (4) IGBT (Exhibits 8, 10, 12, 32). Key conclusions: (1) Chinese in China: Local coverage (local production/ local demand) of 12-inch silicon wafer/ 6-inch SiC substrate to grow from 41%/ 80% in 2024 to 54%/ 87% in 2027E. (2) Pricing: 8-inch silicon wafer ASP to decline 10% CAGR in 2024 ...

Group 1 - The ChiNext Index rose over 1% on June 24, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.22% and the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.71% [1] - The Sci-Tech Innovation Board Artificial Intelligence ETF (588930) experienced a morning surge, increasing by 1.48%, with significant gains in constituent stocks such as Cambricon Technologies (up over 5%) and others [1] - The ETF has seen a net inflow of over 20 million yuan in the past two days, indicating strong investor interest [1] Group 2 - According to Dongfang Securities, ongoing policy uncertainty is expected to drive the localization of supply chains, benefiting companies in semiconductor equipment, materials, and EDA sectors [2] - Domestic wafer manufacturers and memory chip producers are likely to increase their procurement of localized products to ensure supply chain security and capacity construction [2] - Industrial growth in the AI sector is highlighted by the emergence of innovative applications such as HarmonyOS intelligent agents and Agentic AI, with significant advancements in chip production expected by 2025 [2]

expert David. We have seen the Iranian regime which obviously at least for now its missiles appear to be a little impotent. That's good news.But they are still a risk on the cyber side, are they not. That's absolutely correct. Iran has been building up their cyber capabilities for for a number of years and they are on par with other nation states. Uh they very much leverage their cyber capabilities very similarly to what we do here in the United States with cyber command, a direct extension of military forc ...

Core Insights - The global Sulfolane market is projected to grow from USD 150-280 million in 2024, with a CAGR of 3.5%-5.5% from 2025 to 2030, driven by demand in semiconductor and battery applications [3][9]. Industry Overview - Sulfolane is a polar organic solvent known for its high thermal stability and excellent solvency, widely used in semiconductor cleaning, electrolyte formulations, and aromatic hydrocarbon extraction [2]. - The industry focuses on high-purity solvents for advanced applications, driven by demand in electronics, energy storage, and petrochemicals [2]. Regional Analysis - North America is expected to grow at a CAGR of 3.3%-5.3%, led by the U.S. semiconductor and petrochemical sectors [8]. - Europe is projected to achieve a CAGR of 3.0%-5.0%, with Germany emphasizing sustainable solvents for battery applications [8]. - Asia Pacific is anticipated to record the highest growth at 4.0%-6.0%, driven by semiconductor and battery industries in China, Japan, and South Korea [8]. - The Rest of the World, particularly Brazil, is expected to grow at 2.8%-4.8%, focusing on petrochemical applications [8]. Application Analysis - Semiconductor cleaning solvent applications are estimated to grow at a CAGR of 4.0%-6.0%, driven by sulfolane's use in wafer cleaning [8]. - Electrolyte solvent applications are projected to expand at 3.8%-5.8%, supported by innovations in lithium-ion batteries [8]. - Solvent for removal of benzene/toluene/xylene applications are expected to grow at 3.5%-5.5%, as sulfolane extracts aromatics in refineries [8]. Key Market Players - Chevron Phillips Chemical is a leader in sulfolane production, known for advanced solvent technologies [8]. - Sumitomo Seika specializes in sulfolane for semiconductor cleaning, emphasizing high-purity formulations [8]. - Liaoyang Liaodong Fine Chemical Co. Ltd focuses on scalable production capabilities for electrolyte solvents [8]. - The Sulfolane Company provides specialized solvent solutions for battery applications [8]. - Liaoning Guanghua Chemical emphasizes cost-competitive solutions for aromatic extraction [8]. Market Opportunities and Challenges - Rising demand for semiconductors and advancements in lithium-ion battery electrolytes enhance market growth [9]. - Emerging markets in Asia Pacific offer expansion opportunities due to electronics growth [9]. - High production costs and regulatory scrutiny on chemical solvents present challenges to market scalability [9].

China OSAT halfway through recovery — The OSAT industry is on track to its sixth quarter of YoY growth with inventory well under control. While the current cycle shows only modest growth so far, we expect the growth recovery to continue with demand rising from: 1) industrial/automotive; and 2) advanced packaging (AP) for HPC and power semis. The past OSAT growth cycles since 2001 each lasted 3-7 years. We believe the OSAT industry is still only halfway through the recovery phase. Capacity UTR still improvin ...