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来自历史深处的MAGA人群
虎嗅APP· 2025-06-10 13:43
以下文章来源于文化纵横 ,作者牛可 文化纵横 . 倡导文化重建,共同思想未来,发掘不一样的深度阅读。 当地时间6日、7日,美国移民与海关执法局等联邦机构在加州洛杉矶、纽约曼哈顿等地针对非法移 民展开执法行动,引发了大量街头对峙和冲突。面对骚乱,特朗普7日下令向洛杉矶部署国民警卫 队,称要"解放洛杉矶"。有分析指出,近日美国在移民问题上的高压政策并非偶然,而是特朗普稳住 选民基本盘、兑现竞选承诺的必然结果。那么,特朗普的核心支持者MAGA群体对移民问题存在何 种倾向? 本文指出,这类由工人、农民和小城镇居民构成的群体,因经济竞争和文化焦虑孕育出对移民和外来 影响的持久敌意。在对外政策上,MAGA群体往往基于朴素的现实主义思维,奉行孤立主义。二战 后,这种草根美国人脑中根深蒂固的、直觉式的、情感性的孤立主义被自由国际主义议程所掩盖。然 而孤立主义没有消失,在产业-社会结构不可逆的历史变迁之下,它随特朗普的出现重新抬头。与此 同时,在对外政策上曾排斥基层民众的精英政治已演变为党派化的民粹政治,白人孤立主义的基因得 以从历史深处走向政治前台。 作者指出,特朗普的上台不是对历史常态的一次偏离,支持特朗普上台的MAGA群 ...
来自历史深处的MAGA人群
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-10 04:38
Group 1 - The article discusses the unprecedented impact of Trump's second term on U.S. domestic and foreign policies, highlighting a significant deviation from traditional norms and unpredictability in his diplomatic approach [1][2] - Trump's political base, characterized by populism and anti-establishment sentiments, is identified as a driving force behind his foreign policy, suggesting that the preferences of this group may shape policy outcomes more than in his first term [2][3] - The historical context of the MAGA movement is explored, linking it to past populist movements in American history, which were often marked by isolationist tendencies and a rejection of elite influence [3][4][5] Group 2 - The article outlines the sociological characteristics of Trump's supporters, primarily consisting of lower-income, less-educated individuals from rural areas, who exhibit strong nationalist and anti-globalization sentiments [3][4] - It emphasizes the emotional and cultural factors that contribute to the MAGA group's political identity, including a deep-seated distrust of elites and a preference for local over international concerns [10][11] - The article notes a historical pattern of isolationism among similar groups, suggesting that current trends may reflect a resurgence of these sentiments in response to perceived failures of international engagement [28][29] Group 3 - The article highlights a shift in public opinion regarding U.S. involvement in international affairs, with a growing preference for domestic issues over foreign policy, particularly among Republican supporters [28][29] - It discusses the implications of this shift for future U.S. foreign policy, indicating a potential move towards isolationism and a reduction in international commitments [30][31] - The article also points out the influence of social media in amplifying the voices of the MAGA movement, facilitating a more organized expression of their political views [25][26]
欧洲多国重新审视对以色列的支持 德国立场转变显著
news flash· 2025-06-03 06:49
金十数据6月3日讯,近日,一些原本最坚定支持以色列的欧洲国家开始公开批评以色列在加沙地带的军 事行动。包括德国在内的多个国家正考虑限制与以色列的贸易和武器出口。据媒体报道,在过去几周 里,英国、荷兰和法国等国纷纷开始讨论采取类似措施,以期结束这场持续20个月的冲突。其中,德国 态度的转变尤为引人注目,因为该国历史上一直将保护以色列视为二战后对犹太民族的道德义务。德国 总理默茨在与以色列总理内塔尼亚胡通话后表示,目前加沙的人道主义局势已无法再以打击哈马斯恐怖 主义为理由来使其正当化。这是德国政府自加沙战争爆发以来首次作出此类表态。这一立场标志着欧洲 对以色列政策的重大转变,也反映出以色列在全球范围内日益被孤立的趋势。 欧洲多国重新审视对以色列的支持 德国立场转变显著 ...
没等到想要的,特朗普连送两份“大礼”,万斯罕见承认一事实
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-02 14:34
美国(资料图) 该法案的推进,令市场对于财政可持续性的担忧进一步升温。机构Villere & Co投资组合经理杨(George Young)表示:"今天的焦点在于税 收议案的通过,但市场关注的核心仍是关税与利率的不确定性。"他表示,债券市场作为一个去政治化、国际化的市场,其动荡更令投资者 不安。经济数据方面,美国劳工部公布的数据显示,截至5月17日的一周,美国初请失业金人数下降2000人,经季调后为22.7万人,低于预 期的23万人,显示就业市场在5月仍保持稳定增长态势。 如今,特朗普的税改案一生效,这一切基本归零。按照拜登政府前气候顾问波德斯塔的说法,这次税改法案的通过,会推高普通民众的生活 成本,还可能摧毁大量的清洁能源投资项目。其影响也显而易见——美国国内原本靠联邦补贴拉动的新兴绿色产业,将面临前所未有的风 险。换句话说,民主党多年精心打造的绿色产业布局遭到削弱,这等于拱手把这块"蛋糕"拱手还给了中国。事实上,今天的中国在绿色能源 领域的优势已十分明显。 美国副总统万斯在美国海军学院2025年毕业典礼上发表讲话,大家知道美国有三所培养初级指挥军官的军事院校,分别是陆军西点军校、海 军安纳波利斯军官学校和 ...
英国脱欧以来英欧首次峰会终获成果:双方达成关系重置协议!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-19 09:36
Core Points - The UK and EU have reached a relationship reset agreement, ending tensions since Brexit in 2020 [1] - The agreement includes extending reciprocal fishing rights until June 30, 2038, and establishing cooperation on energy and security defense [1] - A "Balanced Youth Experience Program" will allow young people to work, study, volunteer, or travel in each other's countries for a limited time [1] Negotiation Context - Prior to the summit, negotiations intensified over sensitive issues like youth mobility and fishing rights, with reports of late-night discussions [2] - The agreement may pave the way for the UK to participate in EU security and defense policies, including agricultural trade friction and the role of the European Court in dispute resolution [2] - The geopolitical landscape, particularly the U.S. shift towards isolationism, has provided a rationale for the UK-EU relationship reboot [2] Political Landscape - Recent polling shows UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer's approval rating has dropped to 23%, while support for the Reform Party has increased [3] - The key challenge for the UK government is to navigate sensitive issues without appearing to seek a return to pre-Brexit relations [3] - The two main obstacles in negotiations are fishing rights and the youth mobility plan, with ongoing discussions rather than concrete agreements on the latter [3] Compromise Challenges - The Labour government faces difficulties in reaching compromises on complex issues while maintaining a stance against rejoining the EU [4] - Security and defense consensus may be easier to achieve due to ongoing threats, but other areas like fishing rights and market access remain complicated [4] Trade Relations Outlook - Analysts express skepticism about the agreement significantly improving trade relations, suggesting the summit's outcomes may be largely symbolic [5] - While some agreements may reduce red tape for UK exporters, substantial progress is unlikely without joining the single market, which remains a red line for the UK government [5]
印巴冲突的走向和影响
2025-05-14 15:19
• 2025 年印巴冲突由印控克什米尔地区的恐怖袭击引发,与 2019 年普尔 瓦玛袭击事件相似,均导致大量伤亡和两国互相指责,并再次引发军事行 动,两国关系持续紧张。 • 莫迪政府对克什米尔采取强硬立场,2019 年撤销该地区特殊自治地位, 激化当地矛盾,使得小规模局部对峙和冲突频繁发生,加剧地区不稳定。 • 冷战时期,印巴分别与苏联和美国结盟,冷战后两国进行核试验,受美国 制裁。911 事件后,巴基斯坦成为美国反恐伙伴,但近年来其战略地位下 降,武器采购转向中国。 • 印度对俄罗斯武器依赖度下降,转而向法国、美国和以色列采购,法国占 比最高。此次冲突中被击落的阵风战斗机即为法国制造,反映了印度的武 器来源多元化。 • 中美大国博弈因素注入印巴冲突,印度靠近美国,巴基斯坦靠近中国,不 仅体现在政治立场上,也体现在武器装备来源上,中国在巴基斯坦武器进 口中的比重显著增加。 Q&A 印巴冲突的历史背景是什么? 印巴冲突的历史可以追溯到 1,947 年英属印度分治时期。当时英属印度被划分 为两个独立的自治领,即印度联邦和巴基斯坦自治领。巴基斯坦自治领包括今 天的巴基斯坦伊斯兰共和国和孟加拉国孟加拉共和国。这次分治 ...
尼日利亚学者:美关税政策破坏全球贸易生态系统
news flash· 2025-05-11 00:31
尼日利亚非洲经济研究中心研究员安东尼.布松表示,美国滥施关税是一种贸易保护主义,是对全球贸 易生态系统的破坏,世界各国应该携手努力,推动全球贸易一体化。布松认为,美国政府应该重新审视 他们的关税政策。他说:"对不同国家设定"基准关税"和"对等关税",我们认为这是政策缺陷,它甚至 会对最不发达国家产生影响。比如,根据非洲过去两年的贸易情况来看,该政策对非洲的影响就很大, 特朗普总统需要冷静下来,重新审视这项政策。我们应该走向全球合作,而不是走向孤立主义。"(央视 新闻) ...
俄称孤立俄罗斯很困难 俄愿与任何国家接触
news flash· 2025-05-10 14:21
总台记者当地时间5月10日获悉,俄罗斯总统新闻秘书佩斯科夫表示,俄罗斯正在积极发展与众多国家 的关系,并将继续这样做。佩斯科夫指出,由于俄罗斯在全球中占有非常重要的地位,因此要孤立俄罗 斯是非常困难的。此外,佩斯科夫还表示,俄罗斯总统普京愿意与世界上任何国家的领导人进行接触, 他愿意在他们准备合作的程度上进行互动。(央视新闻) ...
特朗普扬言征收电影关税,欧洲议会议员:只会鼓励各国像中国一样反制
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-07 04:13
【文/观察者网 熊超然】在动用"关税大棒"限制进口商品之后,美国总统特朗普日前又对服务贸易领域 的电影产业玩起这一套,宣布将对所有境外制作的电影征收100%关税。 据"政客新闻网"欧洲版(POLITICO EU)当地时间5月5日报道,此消息一出,在大西洋彼岸,困惑与 意料之中的复杂情绪交织蔓延,欧洲的电影制作人正严阵以待,他们担心自己所处的行业恐将成为下一 个被卷入特朗普贸易战的领域。 来自欧洲议会中间派党团"复兴欧洲"(Renew Europe)的议员洛朗斯·法朗克(Laurence Farreng)警 告:"征收关税最终会惩罚美国产业。"她透露,来自欧洲议会文化委员会的一组议员,将于5月底访问 洛杉矶,与美国电影制片人会面。 据路透社5月5日报道,白宫方面目前没有公布这一举措的法律依据,也没有公布将如何实施的细节。白 宫副新闻秘书库什·德赛(Kush Desai)当天称,特朗普政府尚未就外国电影关税作出任何最终决定,但 正探索所有选项,以履行总统特朗普对好莱坞的指示,"在'让好莱坞再次伟大'的同时保护我们国家的 国家和经济安全"。 此外,美国贸易代表办公室没有立即发表评论。美国商务部长卢特尼克简单回应说: ...
“终于从中国借到了月壤,NASA却…”
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-05-03 10:46
Core Viewpoint - The China National Space Administration (CNSA) has approved international applications for lunar samples from the Chang'e 5 mission, allowing seven institutions from six countries, including two U.S. universities, to borrow these samples. However, U.S. researchers face restrictions due to the "Wolf Amendment," which prohibits NASA funding for projects involving Chinese lunar samples [1][6][7]. Group 1: International Collaboration - The approved institutions include the University of Brown and Stony Brook University, both receiving NASA funding, but they cannot use these funds for research on the Chinese samples due to the "Wolf Amendment" [1][6]. - Timothy Glotch from Stony Brook University expressed gratitude for funding from his institution to collaborate with Chinese scientists, indicating a willingness to analyze the samples despite the restrictions [3][4]. - CNSA Administrator Zhang Zhongde emphasized the importance of sharing lunar research for the benefit of humanity, stating that the Chang'e program is open to international collaboration [6][8]. Group 2: Research Objectives - Glotch aims to compare the properties of lunar soil and rock samples with those from the Apollo program, focusing on thermal properties and magnetic characteristics to understand the geological history of the Moon [4][6]. - The research will involve examining ultra-thin rock slices under high magnification to uncover clues about the origin and composition of the rocks, contributing to a better understanding of lunar geology [4][6]. Group 3: U.S.-China Relations in Space - The "Wolf Amendment" has hindered U.S. scientists' access to Chinese lunar samples and vice versa, with Chinese scientists facing difficulties in obtaining Apollo samples from NASA [4][7]. - There have been ongoing discussions between U.S. and Chinese space officials regarding the sharing of lunar samples, but U.S. institutions still face significant domestic obstacles to receiving the samples [7][8]. - Wu Weiren, a prominent figure in China's lunar exploration program, criticized the U.S. for its isolationist policies and expressed a desire for more open communication and collaboration in space exploration [8].