Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the U.S. stock market shows a tendency for further upward movement, with the Nasdaq index rising by 0.13% and the Dow Jones index slightly declining by 0.1% [1] - The A-share market is approaching two significant Fibonacci time nodes, with the 21-day and 55-day markers coinciding around next Thursday, suggesting a potential short-term turning point [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index faces pressure points at 3417 and 3439, with a breakthrough of 3417 likely to encounter resistance at 3439, indicating a challenging market environment [2] Group 2 - Despite a slight decline in the morning session, the market is expected to rebound, with a high probability of closing in the positive territory due to an increase in trading volume exceeding 13 billion [2] - If the market progresses favorably and large-cap stocks rise significantly, the target for the index could be adjusted to around 3500 points [2] - The presence of incremental funds suggests that even if major sectors like liquor and electricity weigh on the index, smaller stocks may perform well, alleviating concerns about market profitability [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the spot gold market experienced volatility following the U.S. CPI data release, leading to both bullish and bearish movements [1] - The analysis suggests that the resistance level to watch is around 3346, which includes pivot points, previous highs, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci levels [1] - If the price does not break above the 3346 resistance, the short-term outlook remains bearish, with a potential decline towards the support level around 3331 [1] Group 2 - A breakthrough above the 3346 resistance could signal a retest of the high points established after the data release [1]

Market Overview - The A-share market showed narrow fluctuations in early trading, without the anticipated strong upward movement [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced minor fluctuations, indicating a lack of strong upward momentum but also limited selling pressure [1] - The index remains above the 5-day moving average, suggesting potential for upward acceleration [1] Technical Analysis - The market is currently in an energy accumulation phase, which may lead to a significant upward breakout, potentially in the form of a large bullish candlestick [1] - The 60-minute chart indicates that the market has reached the 14th hour, coinciding with a Fibonacci time window, suggesting a possible increase in market gains in the afternoon [1] - If the market does not experience a significant drop in the afternoon, the weekly candlestick is likely to close as a bullish candle, indicating potential for further gains in the following week [1] Sector Performance - The securities sector declined by 0.74% in early trading but remains above the 60-day moving average, indicating a normal and shallow pullback [2] - The semiconductor sector showed strength, with a 0.6% increase in the morning, signaling positive market sentiment [2] - Overall market volume increased to 27.8 billion yuan, reflecting a refusal to undergo deep adjustments, while the semiconductor sector's performance suggests the presence of leading sectors [2]

2025.06.04 周三 文/南篱 各位好，我是南篱，一个财经人。 题目指的下，是暴跌下趋势线的下。 现在的大黄走的，上下皆乱，缠成一团了快，不等非农快刀斩乱麻，现在跟它在这儿纠结个什么劲。维持相对高位的扫盘被，上看前高，下看前 低，在昨天的下调中，关键高低点给你定了个遍。 特别是下方的3333，槽点很多啊朋友。周二的文章还在提到，黄金在六月第一天的上涨并没有完成回踩，所以在上涨途中目标缩量是其一，其二是 或有往3330±3的区间测试的概率。 说起来还得谢谢这个注水数据？震荡十个小时之后，斐波那契的46一带还没来得及发力，直线被739的职位空缺震惊下压。虽然但是，最终实体部 分仍然是守着3346，说明这个影线的下探，只是顺便而已。这之后，在日线中先一根大阳，后一根调整的小阴，今天的关键，自然就放在了前高 3391的得失上。 距离非农日（6月6日）还有一个多交易日，除了老生常谈的关税、债务、地缘等暂时正在谈判但结果未知的风险之外，还有"掺水"的数据忍不住开 始冒头。 老美劳工部发布的《职位空缺及劳动力流动调查》(JOLTS)显示，4月职位空缺增加19.1万个，达到739.1万个。表面看起来贼繁荣，可提供的劳动 ...

上期开奖号944（组三形态）为本期预测奠定基础。结合历史走势、冷热号分布及数学关联模型，本期核心 指标呈现以下特征： 一、核心指标趋势分析 关注公众号 康廷足球 获取每日推荐 二、定位胆码与复式策略 三、高概率组合推荐 四、投注策略与风险控制 重要提示：所有分析基于历史规律与统计概率（如泊松分布、斐波那契衰减模型），但彩票本质为随机事 件。冷热号反弹、跨度跃迁等动态需结合实时走势调整。理性投注，娱乐为上。 主攻方向： 和值14-16区间直选（如584、696），搭配组选复式5码14689（覆盖10注组六，成本20元）。 冷号布局： 冷号0、2、3遗漏较长（尤其0空缺19期），可组合热号4、9（如360、238）。 风险对冲： 单期投入≤30元，采用"3注直选+2注组选"组合。组三形态小倍投（如10元防449），避免追号周期超过 15期。 1. 和值区间：上期和值17（大和值），本期大概率回落至14-16区间（占比60%），主攻和值15，需防范 和值11、18的突发波动。 2. 跨度方向：跨度5（中跨度）后，本期关注3、4、6。偶数跨度（如4、6）概率更高，需警惕冷跨度9的 反扑。 3. 形态特征： 组六＞组三 ...

Group 1 - The overall price trend of Bitcoin is showing a downward movement, breaking through multiple moving averages and exhibiting bearish sentiment [1] - The market may experience fluctuations between the Fibonacci 50% (93033.2) and 61.8% (97429.8) retracement areas in the short term, with a key level at 102000 [1] - In the medium term, the market remains weak, with long-term moving averages indicating downward pressure and no reversal signals present [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis shows recent formations of "black three soldiers" and "cloud cover" patterns, reinforcing the downward trend [1] - MACD indicators are showing a death cross, with increasing bearish momentum, indicating a weak short-term outlook [1] - Operational suggestions include short positions near 103700-104200 for Bitcoin and 2530-2560 for Ethereum, with targets set at 102000 and 2400-2430 respectively [2]

• 黄金价格延续跌势，周四早盘跌至3250美元以下的周低点。 • 美元在美国法院的关税裁决、谨慎的美联储会议纪要和乐观情绪的推动下进一步回升。 • 随着相对强弱指数（RSI）突破中线，黄金买家似乎放弃了，位于3295美元附近的关键支撑位被击破。 黄金价格在周四早盘延续了四天的看跌走势，徘徊在一周内的最低水平3250美元附近。 黄金价格屈服于美元的复甦 本周围绕美元（USD）的买入兴趣依然强劲，最新的上涨受到美联储（Fed）5月份政策会议的谨慎会议纪要和美国联邦法院裁定阻止特朗普总统的"解放 日"关税的推动。 法院认为这些关税是非法的，称特朗普没有权力对从向美国（US）出售的商品多于购买的国家征收普遍关税，路透社报导。 与此同时，美联储会议纪要指出，"与会者一致认为，经济前景的不确定性进一步增加，因此在政府政策变化的净经济影响变得更加清晰之前，采取谨慎 的态度是合适的。" 此外，市场情绪因美国人工智慧（AI）先锋英伟达（Nvidia）发布的令人鼓舞的财报而乐观，该财报显示强劲的收入预测。 财报显示，上一季度收入为440.6亿美元，超出行业预期的432亿美元，每股收益也超出预期，达到0.96美元，而预期为0.93 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent rebound in spot gold prices after a period of decline, raising questions about the potential for further upward movement in the market [1] Group 1 - Spot gold has shown signs of recovery after a decline, indicating a potential for upward movement [1] - The strongest support level for the 15-minute timeframe is identified at 3308, which coincides with Fibonacci retracement levels, pivot points, and moving averages [1]

Group 1 - The international gold price experienced fluctuations, opening at $3285.91 per ounce, reaching a high of $3294.46, a low of $3245.29, and closing at $3268.49, reflecting a decline of 0.56% [1] Group 2 - The Dutch International Group analyst Karsten Brzeski reported a worsening labor market in Germany, with an increase of 34,000 unemployed in May, maintaining an unemployment rate of 6.3%. The number of unemployed has risen from approximately 2.2 million in May 2022 to nearly 3 million [3] - The analyst noted that the growth in employment is attributed to immigration, but this is insufficient to counteract weak private consumption, as many new jobs are part-time and low-paying. However, there are initial signs of labor market stabilization, with improved hiring plans in both industrial and service sectors [3] - Analysts from BNP Paribas indicated that if the money market excludes expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, the yield on two-year U.S. Treasury bonds is expected to rise in the coming months, with projections of 4.10% in Q3 and a decline to 4.00% in Q4 [3] Group 3 - Technically, gold prices have broken below the short-term upward trend line and the 200-period moving average on the 4-hour chart, indicating a bearish short-term trend. A drop below the key support level of $3245 could lead to further declines towards $3215, $3200, and $3180 [4] - The daily chart shows that gold has closed lower for four consecutive days, effectively breaking below the lower boundary of the short-term upward channel and operating below the 5-day and 10-day moving averages, indicating weakened short-term momentum [4] - The MACD indicator shows a bearish crossover, with increasing green bars confirming the bearish signal. The $3245 level is a previous support zone, and if breached, it may test the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $3215, potentially approaching the psychological level of $3200 [4]

Core Insights - Bitcoin experienced a significant rebound on May 27, 2025, with a price increase from a low of $108,000 to a high of $112,000, marking a 3.7% rise within 24 hours and a trading volume exceeding $120 billion, which is the highest in nearly two weeks [1] - This rebound restored Bitcoin's market capitalization to $2.2 trillion, solidifying its position as the fifth-largest asset globally [1] Technical Analysis - The "golden cross" signal was formed between the 50-day moving average (MA50) and the 200-day moving average (MA200), indicating a bullish trend since the 2023 halving cycle [4] - The MACD histogram showed a "bottom reversal" signal with a 32% expansion during the rebound, the highest since December 2024 [5] - The rebound from $108,000 to $112,000 aligned perfectly with Fibonacci retracement levels, confirming technical analysis theories [6] Market Sentiment - The Fear and Greed Index saw a rapid recovery from 39 (fear zone) to 73 (greed zone) within 48 hours, indicating extreme volatility and a unique market ecology where sentiment often precedes price changes [7] - Whale addresses increased their holdings by 12,000 BTC during the price dip, indicating strong accumulation behavior [9] Macro Factors - The weakening of the US dollar and the shift in Trump's tariff policy contributed to increased investment in Bitcoin, with Asian investors accounting for 58% of the trading volume during this rebound [11] - Institutional inflows were driven by ETFs and sovereign funds, with significant algorithmic trading activity triggered by Bitcoin surpassing the $109,000 threshold [12] Investment Narrative - Bitcoin's narrative has shifted from "digital gold" to an "anti-inflation asset," with a 14.6% increase in price coinciding with a 3.7% rise in the US CPI, leading to recognition from traditional financial institutions [13] Future Outlook - If Bitcoin closes above $113,000 on a weekly basis, it could pave the way for a rise to $125,000, based on Fibonacci extension levels [17] - The potential introduction of the "GENIUS Stablecoin Act" could bring in compliance funds worth hundreds of billions [17] - Historical data suggests that the fourth halving typically leads to significant price increases, averaging 285% over nine months [17]