中金研究 展望2H25，我们认为产业链价格整体有望运行平稳、部分细分方向或存在涨价弹性，各环节龙头在高稼动率支撑下、部分还受益新品溢价，基本面有 望率先进入修复通道。同时，以固态电池为主线的新技术有望迎来产业化向上拐点，相关设备、材料环节需求有望逐步释放。 点击小程序查看报告原文 Abstract 需求：景气度延续向上，新场景多点扩容。 新能源车方面，我们认为国内市场在以旧换新政策刺激下，叠加26年购置税退坡或带来抢装，2H25新能源车 销量有望延续较高增速；欧洲市场受碳排政策以及补贴政策回温，需求有望持续回暖；同时，受益于重卡/工程机械等电动化新场景增量、新能源车出口 高增长以及乘用车带电量弹性释放，我们看好动力电池需求更高的成长弹性。储能方面，我们认为短期国内新能源配储受政策影响或存在扰动，但美国关 税短期下降、出口有望再迎抢装，同时欧洲高电价叠加补贴政策驱动工商业需求释放，我们仍看好储能需求韧性；此外，数据中心发展亦有望带来储能新 应用场景。 产业链：价格底部已至，龙头基本面有望持续修复。 产业链价格经历2023-2024年大幅下降后，4Q24逐步进入底部区间，部分价格超跌环节如6F、铜箔、 铁锂正极等 ...

中金研究 展望2H25，我们认为产业链价格整体有望运行平稳、部分细分方向或存在涨价弹性，各环节龙头在高稼动率支撑下、部分还受益新品溢价，基本面有 望率先进入修复通道。同时，以固态电池为主线的新技术有望迎来产业化向上拐点，相关设备、材料环节需求有望逐步释放。 点击小程序查看报告原文 需求：景气度延续向上，新场景多点扩容。 新能源车方面，我们认为国内市场在以旧换新政策刺激下，叠加26年购置税退坡或带来抢装，2H25新能源车 销量有望延续较高增速；欧洲市场受碳排政策以及补贴政策回温，需求有望持续回暖；同时，受益于重卡/工程机械等电动化新场景增量、新能源车出口 高增长以及乘用车带电量弹性释放，我们看好动力电池需求更高的成长弹性。储能方面，我们认为短期国内新能源配储受政策影响或存在扰动，但美国关 税短期下降、出口有望再迎抢装，同时欧洲高电价叠加补贴政策驱动工商业需求释放，我们仍看好储能需求韧性；此外，数据中心发展亦有望带来储能新 应用场景。 产业链：价格底部已至，龙头基本面有望持续修复。 产业链价格经历2023-2024年大幅下降后，4Q24逐步进入底部区间，部分价格超跌环节如6F、铜箔、 铁锂正极等挺价明显。2025 ...

Core Viewpoint - The optoelectronic new materials industry is experiencing significant growth in China, driven by advancements in technology and increasing market demand, particularly in solar cells, optical communication, and display technologies [1][4][23]. Industry Definition and Classification - Optoelectronic materials are defined as materials that can generate, convert, transmit, process, and store optical signals, encompassing categories such as semiconductor optoelectronic materials, organic semiconductor materials, inorganic crystals, quartz glass, infrared materials, laser materials, and nonlinear optical materials [2][4]. Industry Development Status - The number of patents for optoelectronic new materials in China reached 122 in 2022, but has seen a decline in recent years, with projections of 99 in 2023 and 76 in 2024, and only 11 by May 21, 2025 [1][4]. - The optoelectronic materials sector is crucial for the advancement of the optoelectronic industry, with applications in solar cells, optical communication, and displays [4]. Industry Chain - The industry chain consists of upstream core raw materials (basic chemicals, rare metals, targets), midstream production of optoelectronic materials and devices, and downstream applications in high-growth areas such as photovoltaic power generation and optical communication [6][8]. Semiconductor Materials - The semiconductor materials market in China is projected to reach approximately 147 billion yuan in 2024 and about 164.69 billion yuan in 2025, accounting for around 27.24% and 27.20% of the electronic materials market, respectively [8]. Optical Communication - The optical communication market in China is expected to grow from 139 billion yuan in 2023 to approximately 175 billion yuan by 2025, driven by advancements in 5G, cloud computing, and big data technologies [10]. Competitive Landscape - Major companies in the optoelectronic new materials industry include BOE Technology Group, Longi Green Energy, Jiangfeng Electronics, Sanan Optoelectronics, and others, reflecting a diverse and international competitive landscape [12][14]. Representative Companies - **BOE Technology Group**: A leading global company in semiconductor display products, with over 100,000 patents and significant market share in LCD and OLED technologies [14][15]. - **Shaanxi Lait Optoelectronic Materials Co., Ltd.**: Focuses on OLED organic light-emitting materials, with a revenue of 442 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a strong growth trajectory [17][19]. - **Ningbo Jiangfeng Electronics**: Specializes in ultra-pure metal sputtering targets, with a revenue of 2.333 billion yuan in 2024, highlighting its strong market position [21]. Industry Development Trends - The demand for optoelectronic materials is expected to continue growing, with advancements in silicon-based solar cells and organic light-emitting diodes (OLEDs) leading the way [23]. - Future developments will focus on higher performance, lower costs, and multifunctionality, with new materials such as perovskite solar cells and quantum dot emitters gaining traction [23].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Panzhihua Co., Ltd. is actively investing in renewable energy projects, specifically wind and solar power, to enhance its integrated coal and electricity development strategy [1][2]. - The company plans to invest 9.62 billion yuan in two projects: a wind farm with a capacity of 120 MW and a solar power station with a capacity of 50 MW, which will be constructed simultaneously [2]. - By May 30, 2025, the company aims to have a total installed capacity of 3.77 million kW in renewable energy projects, with 2.96 million kW already connected to the grid [2]. Group 2 - Panzhihua Co., Ltd. is the largest coking coal enterprise in Southwest China, with coal reserves of 8.143 billion tons and an available mining capacity of 3.949 billion tons [3]. - In 2024, despite market challenges, the company achieved a raw coal output of 14.46 million tons and a sales volume of 7.84 million tons, meeting its budget targets [3]. - The company has also invested 6.67 billion yuan in a new coal-fired power plant project, which is expected to enhance its electricity generation capacity [3]. Group 3 - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 8.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 104 million yuan, down 85.8% [4]. - In the first quarter of the current year, the company recorded a revenue of 2.482 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.33%, but incurred a net loss of 105 million yuan due to rising coal extraction costs and declining coal prices [4]. - The company's operating cash flow increased significantly by 290.7% to 90.29 million yuan, indicating strong cash generation capabilities [4].

全球锂电池格局变迁进入新一轮周期 2020-2024年全球锂电池需求增长主要依靠中国市场电动车渗透率提升。我们测算2020-2024年全球动 力电池装机年复合增速为57%，2020-2024年中国新能源车渗透率由5%提升至41%。我们认为2025年 往后中国电动车需求进入稳定增长阶段，未来的电动车全球成长需要欧洲和美国市场需求接力，但2 025年可能仍处于中国需求增速放缓，欧美需求突破尚未出现的"青黄不接"阶段。 储能需求保持高景气，但对全球锂电池需求拉动的影响相对有限。根据我们测算，2024年全球锂电 池市场的需求为1339GWh，其中储能需求235GWh（占比18%）。我们预测2025年全球储能电池需求 为305GWh（同增30%），需求增长的主要原因是1）收益端—电价上涨。海外多国家电价上涨有助 于提升储能项目收益率；2）成本端—储能系统度电成本下降，有助于实现风光+储能平价上网，提 升储能全球渗透率；3）消纳端—新能源渗透率提升及AI数据中心建设浪潮背景下，大储装机将解决 消纳问题、提升电力系统稳定。长期来看，我们预计2030年全球储能新增装机量将接近390GW，202 4-2030年期间年均复合增速 ...

Core Viewpoint - Shenzhen Dawi Innovation Technology Co., Ltd. announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, Guiyang Dawi Mining Co., Ltd., has received approval for the mineral resource reserve report of the Changshili Mine in Hunan Province, marking a significant advancement in the lithium battery new energy industry project in Hunan Chenzhou [1][5]. Group 1: Mining Rights and Resource Reserves - Guiyang Dawi Mining obtained exploration rights for the "Guilin County Dachongli Mine Kaolin" in November 2023, with a mining area of 3.58 square kilometers and a license valid until February 5, 2029 [1][2]. - As of the end of October 2024, the mineral resource reserves include 20,953.3 million tons of feldspar ore, 32,370 tons of Li2O (lithium oxide) with an average grade of 0.154%, 6,550 tons of WO3 (tungsten trioxide) with an average grade of 0.031%, and 1,410 tons of Sn (tin) with an average grade of 0.018% [3][5]. Group 2: Mining Process and Product Output - The company will utilize a combined mining process of "magnetic separation + flotation" primarily, with "gravity separation" as a supplement, to recover lithium ore while considering the comprehensive recovery of tailings [4]. - The mining process is expected to produce seven categories of products, including high-purity quartz and high-quality feldspar, which are essential for the ceramics and glass industries, as well as lithium concentrate for battery-grade lithium carbonate [4][5]. Group 3: Impact on Company and Future Prospects - The approval of resource reserves is expected to provide stable lithium ore resources for the company's new energy industry, enhancing overall industry value and aligning with the company's development plan [5]. - The acquisition of exploration rights cost the company 37.6 million yuan, and the mining of these resources is anticipated to positively impact future growth and performance, without significantly affecting the current financial status [5].

Group 1: Interest Rates and Bonds - HSBC suggests that without support from the Bank of Japan, the Japanese government bond yield curve may continue to steepen due to unfavorable factors leading to a prolonged steep curve [1] - The clarity of Japan's fiscal policy trajectory and the Bank of Japan's bond purchasing plan will be crucial for stabilizing the long-term yield curve in the coming weeks [1] Group 2: Commodity Prices - ANZ analysts report that a weaker US dollar and tight market supply are expected to drive up base metal prices, with copper rising 1.2% to $9,614 per ton [2] - Concerns about the economic backdrop are limiting the price increases of other base metals, although aluminum market supply growth is slowing, which may keep the overall market tight [2] Group 3: Trade and Travel - The Royal Bank of Canada indicates that trade tensions are reshaping Canadian travel plans, potentially boosting domestic consumption while widening the US trade deficit [3] - A notable decline in Canadians returning from the US was observed, with a 20% drop in air travel and a 26% drop in car travel in April [3] Group 4: US Fiscal Policy - CICC reports that the "one big beautiful bill" passed in the House is likely to significantly increase the US fiscal deficit over the next decade, with a debt issuance wave expected between July and September [4] - The report highlights that the US may not have the conditions to effectively reduce the deficit due to structural issues and global competition [4] Group 5: Market Trends - Zhongyuan Securities suggests focusing on sectors like power equipment, grid equipment, and cultural media, as the market is expected to steadily trend upwards [5] - CITIC Securities notes that the trade war is causing structural changes in the global stock market, with a shift in capital allocation towards financial and technology sectors [6] Group 6: Nuclear Industry - CITIC Securities indicates that the controllable nuclear fusion industry is expected to accelerate due to favorable policies, increased financing, and technological advancements [7] - Huatai Securities sees opportunities in the nuclear power equipment sector as uranium prices recover and global nuclear energy policies strengthen [8]

军工新材料：价格持平 （1）本周电解钴价格24.00 万元/吨，环比 +0%。本周电解钴和钴粉比值0.94 ，环比+0.1%；电解钴和硫酸钴 价格比值为4.88 ，环比+0.4%。（2）碳纤维本周价格83.8元/千克，环比+0%。毛利 -8.68元/千克。（3）铍 价格持平。 新能源车新材料：氧化镨钕价格连续三周上涨 （1）本周Li2O 5%锂精矿中国到岸价已达到708美元/吨，环比+2.46%。（2）本周电碳、工碳和电池级氢氧化 锂价格分别为6.56 、6.39 和6.59 万元/吨，环比-4.3%、-4.29%和-1.5%。电碳与工碳价差为2024年11月以来新 低，或代表锂电景气度相较工业领域有所减弱。（3）本周硫酸钴价格4.83 万元/吨，环比+0%。（4）本周磷 酸铁锂、523型正极材料价格分别为3.15 、10.59 万元/吨，环比-5.26%、+0.5%。（5）本周氧化镨钕价格 433.70 元/公斤，环比+2.5%。 光伏新材料：多晶硅价格下跌 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, with strategic investments in both traditional and emerging markets, particularly in the smart robotics sector, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [1][2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 971 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45.64%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 65 million yuan, up 34.47% [1]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 286 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 4.96%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 42 million yuan, which is a 36.13% increase [1]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively expanding its market presence and optimizing personnel allocation, resulting in increased sales and market share through partnerships with major supermarkets [2]. - A planned private placement aims to raise up to 785 million yuan for investments in new products, including lithium-powered garden machinery and smart robotics, alongside the establishment of a research center in Shanghai [2]. - The company has significantly increased its R&D investment, reaching 72.68 million yuan in 2024, a 137.55% increase year-on-year, focusing on innovation in garden machinery and smart robotics [2]. Growth Opportunities - The company is positioning itself in the smart robotics sector, having invested in the overseas robotics leader 1X and established partnerships with major international firms like SoftBank and OPENAI [3]. - The establishment of subsidiaries and collaborations, such as with Huawei, indicates a commitment to developing intelligent robotics, which is expected to become a new growth driver for the company [3]. Profit Forecast and Investment Outlook - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 102 million, 147 million, and 187 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 136, 95, and 75 times [4]. - The company is expected to enhance its market share in the overseas garden machinery sector while simultaneously expanding its smart robotics initiatives, which are anticipated to contribute positively to overall performance [4].

湖北襄阳 年产20万吨新能源材料磷酸铁全产业链配套项目加速推进中！ 4月19日，从南漳政府网获悉， 南漳龙蟒磷制品有限责任公司年产20万吨新能源材料磷酸铁全产业链配套堆渣场项目环境影响评价进行第二 次公示。 该项目为新建项目，地点位于 襄阳市南漳县 经济开发区循环经济产业园，将 以磷酸铁为核心，配套生产净化磷酸、饲料级磷酸二氢钙、复 合肥、无水氟化氢、硫酸、合成氨等。 据悉，该项目是南漳县迄今为止最大的工业投资项目， 2022年5月正式签约落地，总投资达110亿元。2023年5月 完成 环境影响评价 第一 次公示。 据观察，目前除了 川发 龙蟒以外，还有 贵州磷化集团等在内的多家磷化工企业布局了锂电正极材料领域，其目的大同小异，主要为了打造新 的业绩增长点。不过，在经历了2-3年的建设周期后，磷酸铁锂市场竞争风向已变。在起点锂电看来，随着市场环境的变化，企业推进高端产 能的同时，也要保持技术研发，警惕在周期空档中被人技术超车。 项目建设单位 南漳龙蟒磷制品有限责任公司，为 四川发展龙蟒股份有限公司全资子公司。 川发 龙蟒是一家国有磷化工企业， 成立于1997年，2009年在深圳证券交易所上市（截至今日收盘总市 ...