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天坛生物(600161):采浆量稳健增长,长期业绩稳健增长可期
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-04-29 14:57
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve steady growth in plasma collection, leading to stable long-term performance [5] - The company maintains a leading position in the domestic market with a projected plasma collection volume of approximately 2,781 tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 15.15% [7] - The introduction of new products, such as the fourth-generation chromatographic immunoglobulin, is anticipated to significantly enhance profit margins [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 5,180 million RMB - 2024: 6,032 million RMB (growth of 16.44%) - 2025E: 6,716 million RMB (growth of 11.35%) - 2026E: 7,633 million RMB (growth of 13.65%) - 2027E: 8,627 million RMB (growth of 13.02%) [6] - Net profit forecasts are as follows: - 2023: 1,110 million RMB - 2024: 1,549 million RMB (growth of 39.58%) - 2025E: 1,626 million RMB (growth of 4.93%) - 2026E: 1,859 million RMB (growth of 14.37%) - 2027E: 2,124 million RMB (growth of 14.25%) [6] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be: - 2023: 0.56 RMB - 2024: 0.78 RMB - 2025E: 0.82 RMB - 2026E: 0.94 RMB - 2027E: 1.07 RMB [6] Market Performance - The closing price of the company's stock is 19.10 RMB, with a total market capitalization of approximately 37,767.79 million RMB [3]
博雅生物:2024年报点评:内生外延扩展规模,产品结构持续优化-20250427
海通国际· 2025-04-27 08:20
Investment Rating - Maintain Outperform rating with a target price adjusted to RMB 32.50 [1][9] Core Views - The company has cleared goodwill impairment risks and is expanding plasma collection stations through both organic and external growth, establishing a foundation for future growth. The potential impact of tariffs on imported albumin may benefit domestic albumin products [1][9] - The company reported a full-year revenue of RMB 1.74 billion, a decrease of 34.58%, while net profit increased by 67.18% to RMB 397 million, primarily due to a low base from goodwill impairment in 2023 [1][9] - The product structure is continuously optimized, with blood product revenue growing by 4.32% to RMB 1.51 billion, despite a slight decline in gross profit margin [1][9] Financial Summary - Revenue and profit forecasts for 2024-2027 show a recovery trend, with net profit expected to reach RMB 753 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [3][6] - The company has a projected EPS of RMB 1.16 for 2025 and RMB 1.50 for 2027, with a PE ratio of 28X for 2025 [1][9] - The company has 20 operating plasma stations and plans to increase plasma collection volume to 630.6 tons in 2024, a 10.4% increase [1][9]
医药产业链数据库之:血制品批签发,2025Q1静丙与国产白蛋白批签发稳健增长,进口白蛋白有所放缓
Guotou Securities· 2025-04-25 02:59
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market - A" [4] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a steady growth in domestic albumin batch approvals, with a 12% year-on-year increase in Q1 2025, while imported albumin saw a 9% decline [9][10] - The report suggests a long-term growth potential in the immunoglobulin market, with a 15% year-on-year increase in intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) approvals in Q1 2025 [18][24] - The report identifies key companies to watch, including Tian Tan Biological, Pai Lin Biological, Bo Ya Biological, Shanghai Lai Shi, and Hua Lan Biological [3] Summary by Sections 1. Overview of Blood Product Batch Approvals in Q1 2025 - Domestic albumin approvals reached 418 batches, up 12% year-on-year, while imported albumin approvals totaled 778 batches, down 9% [9][10] - Intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) approvals were 324 batches, up 15%, and intramuscular immunoglobulin (IMIG) approvals were 9 batches, up 13% [9] - For specific immunoglobulins, hepatitis B immunoglobulin approvals were 11 batches (up 83%), tetanus immunoglobulin 35 batches (up 13%), and rabies immunoglobulin 34 batches (up 42%) [9] 2. Albumin Analysis - The report notes a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.4% for albumin approvals from 2011 to 2024, with domestic albumin growing at 5.9% and imported at 16.7% [11] - In Q1 2025, the total albumin approvals were 1196 batches, reflecting a slight decline of 2.4% year-on-year [11] 3. Immunoglobulin Analysis - The report indicates a CAGR of 8.4% for IVIG approvals from 2011 to 2024, with Q1 2025 showing 324 batches approved [18] - The leading companies in the IVIG market accounted for approximately 61% of the market share in Q1 2025 [24] 4. Special Immunoglobulins - The report highlights significant growth in specific immunoglobulin approvals, particularly for hepatitis B and rabies, with notable increases in batch approvals [28][29] - The market for tetanus immunoglobulin is also growing, with a 13% increase in approvals [28] 5. Coagulation Factor Analysis - The report notes a CAGR of 13.6% for human coagulation factor VIII approvals from 2011 to 2024, with Q1 2025 approvals at 163 batches, up 12% [35] - Prothrombin complex concentrate (PCC) approvals increased by 26% year-on-year, totaling 82 batches in Q1 2025 [35] - The report identifies leading companies in the coagulation factor market, which hold significant market shares [43]
血制品概念拉升,派林生物、卫光生物涨停,博雅生物涨超10%
血制品概念7日盘中集体上扬,截至发稿,博晖创新(300318)涨超12%,博雅生物(300294)涨超 10%,派林生物(000403)、卫光生物(002880)涨停,天坛生物(600161)涨近9%,华兰生物 (002007)涨超5%。 该机构表示,血制品生产涉及国家生物安全且具备资源品属性,由于政策限制,目前行业内仅存较少厂 商,形成了以天坛生物、上海莱士(002252)、华兰生物、派林生物等为主的寡头格局,产业链自主可 控,受海外地缘政治风险影响较小。随着血制品行业内多个企业股东实力的持续提升,优质血制品资产 的竞争力将持续提升,战略发展路径将更加清晰,未来中国有望出现多个具备全球竞争力的血制品巨 头。在贸易摩擦背景下,血制品行业具备内循环性质,外部贸易政策对我国血制品行业自身发展负面影 响较小,看好其长远发展。 机构表示,血制品市场需求较为刚性,加征关税可能会造成短期进口白蛋白价格上涨,利好国产企业。 光大证券指出,血制品可治疗多种疾病,需求端受经济周期影响小,呈现刚性需求属性,贸易摩擦对需 求影响有限。另外,血制品具备资源属性,受上游原材料血浆供应影响,整体市场供给有限。我国约有 60%以上的人血白 ...