在当前的债市环境下，由谢志华管理的民生加银鑫享债券凭借较好的业绩表现和严格的风险控制，成为 投资者关注的对象。该基金主要投资于利率债、高等级信用债及可转债，通过多元资产配置增强收益。 银河证券数据显示，截至2025年6月30日，民生加银鑫享债券A(003382)近三年同类(普通债基A类-可投 转债)排名Top 1(1/217), 近益年同类排名也表现亮眼，位列1%(3/257)。 民生加银基金固定收益部总监谢志华认为，6月债券市场窄幅震荡。基本面和政策面对债市仍有支撑， 但收益率下行想象空间不足。权益市场走势良好，无风险收益率相对较低，政策呵护等因素叠加下，股 市易上难下。转债市场跟随走强，固收类资金对转债关注度提升，转债市场本身有供需缺口，结构性机 会相较纯债可能更多，依然相对看好。 对于未来债市走势，谢志华表示可能仍以窄幅震荡为主，关注理财配置情况及可能的股债跷跷板效应影 响，注重票息策略。股票市场依然看好，关注前期调整较充分的科技成长方向，及处于相对低位的非银 等板块。转债依然以自下而上择券为主，注重品种轮动和高低切换。 今年以来，中国债市经历了从调整到修复的转变，市场逻辑和资金环境的变化推动了这一演变 ...

中化新网讯 7月6日，第27届中国科协年会主论坛在北京举行。主论坛上，中国科协发布了2025重大科 学问题、工程技术难题和产业技术问题。多项化学化工类技术问题或难题入选。 中国化学会推荐的"准金属替代过渡金属用于精准合成与催化反应的可行性研究"成功入选2025十大前沿 科学问题。准金属替代过渡金属实现精准化学合成，将重塑科学认知边界，打破传统过渡金属催化的思 维定式，开辟化学合成新理论与方法体系。该问题的突破将带动多学科交叉创新，大幅削减生产成本， 创造巨大经济价值，推动药物研发、材料革新，改善医疗与生活质量，引领化学合成迈向更高效、绿 色、智能的新时代。 成功入选2025十大前沿科学问题还有"多维度、可重构超分子机器组装"。该问题的突破将在科学层面构 建可逆、可重构的组装体系，从"分子合成导向"转向"功能组装导向"，形成超分子机器专用表征体系； 在技术革新层面，微/纳机器人的集群行为控制为分子机器提供设计范式，使得超分子机器有望成为继 芯片、人工智能后的下一代技术制高点。 "新一代低能耗低成本碳捕集与封存技术"入选2025十大工程技术难题。碳捕集与封存技术是化石燃料低 碳利用的技术支撑。通过新一代碳捕集技术 ...

Core Viewpoint - The "Zhejiang Chain Global - Join Hands to Go Global" event aims to enhance the collaboration between foreign trade and international engineering enterprises, facilitating Zhejiang's integration into the global supply chain [1] Group 1: Event Overview - The event was held on July 10 in Hangzhou, Zhejiang, focusing on building an efficient platform for the coordinated development of foreign trade and international engineering enterprises [1] - Zhejiang is recognized as a major foreign trade province with advantages in international engineering, having established a mature market network through years of overseas expansion [1] Group 2: Key Initiatives - The "Qianchao Initiative" was launched during the event, focusing on six key areas: mechanism support, platform driving, financial backing, talent cultivation, green leadership, and information empowerment [1] - The initiative proposes a "1+11+N" collaborative mechanism to enhance the international supply chain capabilities and competitiveness of Zhejiang enterprises [1] Group 3: Industry Collaboration - A procurement demand list for international engineering enterprises was released, covering nearly a hundred products across 11 major fields, including power equipment, engineering machinery, and metal materials [1] - The event facilitated active exchanges among participating companies, leading to multiple preliminary cooperation intentions [1] Group 4: Expert Insights - Representatives from various companies shared insights on global supply chain restructuring, green innovation, and financial support during the thematic sharing session [2] - The importance of collaboration among material suppliers and subcontractors for the success of international engineering projects was emphasized [2] Group 5: Future Plans - The Zhejiang Provincial Department of Commerce plans to continue hosting a series of international supply chain exchange activities to support foreign trade and international engineering enterprises in expanding into global markets [2] - There will be a focus on risk identification guidance and financial support for enterprises going abroad, aiming for breakthroughs in assisting companies to "go global" [2]

五星级酒店后厨的烟火气最终还是飘到了街头巷尾。 天津丽思卡尔顿的和牛汉堡车在小红书刷屏，上海瑞吉的咖啡餐车开进写字楼，济南舜和集团董事长任 兴本亲自掌勺售卖均价12.7元的餐品。 当石家庄多家头部酒店集体外摆带动商圈客流暴涨40%，高端酒店业这场"俯身革命"正在席卷全国。 【行业寒冬，摆摊成救命稻草】 作者：公爵互联社 牛金鹏 五星级酒店的金字招牌正在蒙尘。根据文旅局数据显示：北京五星级酒店2024年接待量同比下降 4.1%，全国五星级酒店数量在不到五年内锐减114家，从850家萎缩至736家。 由隈研吾设计、曾以每晚超3万元房价闻名的北京瑜舍酒店于2024年6月关闭，其母公司太古地产因酒店 板块亏损超3亿港元决定转型为零售空间；上海宝格丽酒店作为奢华地标被金峰水泥集团以24.3亿元收 购，创下酒店资产成交纪录；温州首家国际管理的万和豪生大酒店因3.65亿元债务被破产清算，其30处 不动产遭司法拍卖。此外，重庆悦榕庄项目因资金链断裂形成烂尾资产，佛山希尔顿等地标酒店也因企 业经营问题被挂牌转让。这些案例折射出高端酒店业从"香饽饽"沦为"烫手山芋"的行业剧变。 数据显示：目前酒店平均房价已跌破600元重要心理价 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Views - The company has reported better-than-expected performance, with a forecasted revenue of 7.05 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 5.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be between 1.25 billion and 1.37 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 5% to 15% [1][2] - The impact of tariff changes has been mitigated, and the company is expected to return to a stable growth trajectory due to its global production capacity layout, new product launches in electric tools, and innovations in cross-border e-commerce channels [1][2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For Q2 2025, the company anticipates revenue of 3.4 billion yuan, with net profit attributable to shareholders expected to be between 790 million and 910 million yuan, indicating a year-on-year growth of 1.6% to 16.9% [1][2] - The company’s gross margin continues to improve, driven by price increases in the downstream markets and increased sales of new products, particularly electric tools [2] Tariff and Global Strategy - The company faced significant operational disruptions due to U.S. tariff policy changes, with approximately 40 days of order delivery being affected in Q2. However, the company has successfully adjusted prices and increased overseas shipments to maintain revenue stability [2] - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs is diminishing, with a new agreement reached between Vietnam and the U.S. regarding a 20% tariff, allowing the company to accelerate its production capacity in Southeast Asia [2] Market Outlook - The report suggests that the current low point in industry prosperity may soon reverse, as the impacts of tariff friction are gradually fading. The company is well-positioned to gain market share due to its integrated global operations and cost advantages [3] - Profit forecasts for the company indicate a net profit of 2.8 billion yuan in 2025, growing to 3.92 billion yuan by 2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 11.5X, 9.5X, and 8.2X for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3]

Core Viewpoint - The continuous increase in gold reserves by central banks, particularly in emerging markets, indicates a growing emphasis on the value of gold as a reserve asset, providing medium to long-term support for gold investment value [2][4]. Group 1: Central Bank Gold Reserves - The People's Bank of China has increased its gold reserves to 73.9 million ounces (approximately 2298.55 tons), marking a month-on-month increase of 70,000 ounces and achieving eight consecutive months of growth [1]. - Since 2022, the average annual gold purchasing volume by global central banks has doubled compared to the previous decade, with emerging economies like Poland, Turkey, India, and China leading the charge [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Gold Prices - The recent stabilization of global gold prices around $3,300 per ounce is attributed to reduced sensitivity to geopolitical tensions and trade negotiations, although the potential for increased volatility remains [5]. - The passage of the "Big and Beautiful" bill in the U.S. is expected to increase the national debt, putting pressure on the dollar and supporting gold prices [5][6]. Group 3: Future Outlook for Gold - A survey by the World Gold Council indicates that 95% of central banks expect to continue increasing their gold reserves in the next 12 months, the highest level since 2019, reflecting a 17 percentage point increase from the previous year [4]. - The need for central banks to optimize their international reserve structures suggests a continued trend of increasing gold reserves while potentially reducing U.S. Treasury holdings [4].

EMO Trans集团首席执行官兼总裁Marco Rohrer EMO Trans集团中国公司EMO Trans China Limited（翼锚中国）执行董事孙祖民 GDP排名位于前40%～50%的国家，占全球贸易市场份额的80%～90%，这成为EMO Trans集团落子的依据。 随着逆全球化浪潮危机显现，地缘政治风险攀升趋势推动供应链重构，国际供应链企业纷纷布局多元化市场，除了深耕成熟市场之外，加快开拓新兴市场 步伐。 起源于德国、拥有60年历史的EMO Trans集团，以稳健的运营风格穿越多个航运周期。过去的发展沉淀了什么？哪些竞争要素能够穿越周期、应对不确定 性？ Marco Rohrer还向中国航务周刊记者深度解读了EMO Trans集团的全球市场布局战略，他分析道："对EMO Trans集团来说，北美洲、亚洲、欧洲仍是核心 战略市场。" 在地缘政治环境日益复杂的当下，作为一家跨国物流集团，开拓新兴市场成为主动应对变化的重要战略。 EMO Trans集团经营60年，以稳健著称，在进军新兴市场时有何选择标准？ Marco Rohrer告诉中国航务周刊记者："GDP排名位于前40%～50%的国家，占全球 ...

Group 1: Core Logic Supporting Gold Prices - The increasing fiscal situation in the U.S. is a fundamental factor supporting gold prices, with the potential addition of $3.4 trillion in debt over the next decade due to the "Build Back Better" plan, and a debt ceiling increase of $5 trillion, exacerbating the current $36.2 trillion debt level [3][6] - The dual accumulation of fiscal and political risks has triggered a global capital reallocation, influenced by the rising political atmosphere following Musk's announcement of forming the "American Party" [3][6] Group 2: Trade Frictions and Policy Volatility - Trump's trade policies, including a recent 50% tariff on copper imports, have stirred market sentiment and raised concerns about global economic slowdown, leading to increased inflows of safe-haven funds into the gold market [7][9] - The uncertainty in trade policies is impacting consumer confidence and business investment, prompting a reallocation of global capital away from U.S. assets towards gold as an alternative safe-haven [9] Group 3: Federal Reserve Policies and Interest Rate Dynamics - The traditional inverse relationship between interest rates and gold prices is being restructured, as gold prices have risen despite actual U.S. interest rates exceeding 2% [10][13] - Market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's potential shift in policy, including possible interest rate cuts due to inflation concerns, are contributing to the current dynamics where both gold and interest rates may rise simultaneously [10][13] Group 4: Central Bank Gold Purchases and Market Structure - Continuous gold purchases by central banks, particularly in emerging markets, are becoming a significant support for gold prices, driven by motives such as diversification of foreign exchange reserves and hedging against geopolitical risks [13] - The shift in demand from private investors to official institutions marks a structural change in the gold market, reflecting a trend of "de-dollarization" in response to U.S. fiscal deficits [13] Group 5: Short-term Volatility and Long-term Trends - Short-term fluctuations in gold prices are influenced by technical and sentiment factors, with current prices nearing key resistance levels around $3,335 per ounce [14] - Long-term drivers for gold remain rooted in structural uncertainties in the global economy and politics, including ongoing U.S. fiscal deficits and fluctuating trade policies, reinforcing gold's role as a "backup safe-haven asset" [17]

近日，江苏时代芯存半导体有限公司（简称"时代芯存"）管理人发布公告，正式宣告其重整计划因投资 人严重违约而彻底失败。这一事件不仅标志着中国半导体行业"烂尾潮"的最后一座12英寸晶圆厂彻底终 结，更折射出行业在资本狂热与产业理性之间的深刻矛盾。 重整失败：投资人违约成压垮骆驼的最后一根稻草 时代芯存的重整之路始于2023年7月。彼时，这家曾计划投资130亿元建设12英寸晶圆厂的企业，因资不 抵债被淮安市淮阴区人民法院受理破产清算。其核心资产包括一台价值1.43亿元的ASML光刻机，但因 技术过时和债务纠纷，设备在拍卖中流拍。 2024年2月，法院裁定时代芯存进入重整程序，重整投资人华芯杰创集成电路制造（广东）有限公司 （简称"华芯杰创"）提出200亿元重整方案。这家成立于2023年8月、注册资本20亿元的企业，其高管团 队被曝有中芯国际背景，并承诺投资200亿元打造晶圆代工帝国。然而，根据管理人公告，华芯杰创未 按协议支付重整资金，经债权人会议同意延期后仍无法履行，构成严重违约。2025年6月13日，管理人 依法解除《重整投资协议》，终止重整程序。 烂尾背后：盲目扩张与资金链断裂的典型样本 时代芯存的命运是中国 ...

7月10日，港股三大股指小幅低开，截至发稿，恒生指数跌0.11%，恒生科技指数跌0.26%，国企指数跌 0.1%。 盘面上，科网股涨跌互现，快手、小米小幅飘红。 关于港股后市 中金公司指出，"A+H"上市与中概资产潜在回流催生优质资产增量，"新经济"权重提升撬动估值及换手 中枢。伴随上市机制持续优化、产业转型下中国新经济企业不断涌现、以及存量企业盈利增长与估值重 塑，未来港股"新经济"板块市值占比有望进一步攀升。测算2015年—2024年港股"新经济"资产换手率、 市盈率中枢分别为传统资产的1.3倍、4.3倍，结构重构有望推动港股估值中枢上移与交易活跃度提升。 中国银河证券分析指出，近期全球宏观风险再次升温预期，市场的风险偏好受到影响。在全球权益市场 中，港股绝对估值处于相对低位水平、估值分位数处于历史中上水平，中长期配置价值仍然较高。展望 后市，科技板块依然具备较高投资机会。主要由于科技板块政策支持力度较大，盈利增速居前，估值处 于历史中低水平，第二，在国内促消费政策刺激下，消费行业业绩增速预期改善，估值相对较低的港股 消费股有望上涨，重点关注医药行业和可选消费行业。而在海内外不确定性因素的扰动下，高股息标 ...