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Professor Coin: When Bitcoin Sneezes—How Crypto and Equities Caught the Same Cold
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-06 15:01
Core Insights - The relationship between cryptocurrencies and equities has evolved from being perceived as uncorrelated assets to being recognized as interconnected, particularly during periods of market stress [2][3][4]. Group 1: Historical Perspective - Initially, Bitcoin was viewed as a diversifier, with early studies indicating minimal exposure to traditional financial risks [2]. - Recent literature indicates that cryptocurrencies are now closely linked to equity markets, especially during significant macroeconomic and geopolitical events [4]. Group 2: Recent Findings - A survey by Adelopo et al (2025) highlights time-varying and non-linear relationships between cryptocurrencies and stock markets, with stronger connections during crises like COVID-19 and the Russia-Ukraine war [4]. - Research by Umar et al (2021) and Frankovic (2022) shows that technology and blockchain-linked stocks are significantly affected by cryptocurrency price movements, indicating that equities serve as a transmission channel for crypto risk [5]. Group 3: Evidence of Interconnectedness - Vuković (2025) demonstrates that negative shocks in the cryptocurrency market can adversely impact stock markets, bond indices, and exchange rates globally [6]. - Ghorbel et al (2024) find that cryptocurrencies have become significant transmitters and receivers of shocks, particularly during turbulent market conditions [6]. - Lamine et al (2024) reveal dynamic risk spillovers from cryptocurrencies to U.S. and Chinese stock markets, especially during high-volatility episodes [6]. - Sajeev et al (2022) document a contagion effect of Bitcoin on major stock exchanges, indicating a correlation between cryptocurrency volatility and stock market performance [6].
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-04 12:20
UK-based investors pulled out £3 billion from equities in November ahead of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s budget https://t.co/xHy6WRvfN4 ...
Major '26 theme will be market broadening outside of magnificent seven: KKM Financial's Kilburg
CNBC Television· 2025-12-03 18:46
Market Trends & Investment Opportunities - The S&P 500 equity market is broadening outside of the MAG7, with rotation inside MAG7 expected to be a major theme as interest rates move down, indicating optimism on equities and a potential Santa Claus rally in December [2][3] - Decoupling between equities and crypto, specifically Bitcoin, occurred around April, suggesting that associating equities and crypto in the same context may not be relevant in the near future [4] - New organic buyers are entering the Bitcoin market, exemplified by Vanguard opening access to more buyers and JP Morgan's involvement, with IBIT experiencing $32 billion in inflows this year [6] - Interest rates are anticipated to decrease, with the Fed potentially cutting rates by 25 basis points, which is expected to support equities [13] - A decrease in the ten-year note yield to 35% is expected to incentivize home buyers and benefit market laggers, including the financial sector [14] Bitcoin & Crypto Analysis - Bitcoin has historically experienced approximately 20 pullbacks of 25% or more since CME Group started trading Bitcoin futures in 2017, including three pullbacks of 50% or more [5] - The market may want to revisit the April low of $76000 for Bitcoin [6] - Crypto exposure is being considered by advisors, with discussions around allocations of 1% to 2%, similar to dipping toes into commodities like gold and silver [10][11] - There is a debate regarding Bitcoin's fundamental price value, with some questioning its use case within the US and viewing it more as a community-driven phenomenon [8][9]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-12-03 03:01
Indian equities look set for a steady-to-soft open, with traders turning their attention to the RBI’s three-day policy meet kicking off later today. Read for free with your email on what could move markets today https://t.co/WxNqtvFLjl ...
Goldman Says Profit, Dividend Growth to Drive Stocks in 2026
Youtube· 2025-11-28 16:04
We do expect rates to come down in the US to around 3% by the middle of next year. And that coupled with ongoing economic growth and some moderation in the dollar, is a reasonably good set up, I think, for risk assets and equities in general. You're right that tech stocks have continued to dominate the US market.They make up almost 40% of that index and they've done well. But let's not forget, this year is a year where diversification has really worked. This US stock market has actually underperformed most ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-28 10:32
Trading of futures and options on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange was halted by a data-center fault, causing hours of disruption to markets across equities, foreign exchange, bonds and commodities: Here is your Evening Briefing. https://t.co/tYts1iyjN3 ...
Expecting new all-time highs before the end of the year, says 3Fourteen's Warren Pies
CNBC Television· 2025-11-25 21:31
Warren Pies, I bring you in. Um, you say there were some signs of capitulation last week. Tony Pascarella put out a note suggesting the same.Maybe it just looks a little different than historically we're used to. >> Yeah, thanks for having me. Um, yeah, we upgraded equities at the end of last week to overweight and we expect uh new all-time highs.Good chance to surpass 7,000 before end of the year. You know, I'll just give you a few things to think about. our sentiment model which is uh it takes like as man ...
Expecting new all-time highs before the end of the year, says 3Fourteen's Warren Pies
Youtube· 2025-11-25 21:31
Market Sentiment and Performance - The market sentiment has shown signs of capitulation, with extreme pessimism registered in sentiment models, particularly indicated by a spike in inverse ETF volume, which is often associated with near-term market bottoms [2][3] - The S&P 500 index experienced a pullback of over 5%, while the median stock was down more than 16% from its 52-week high, suggesting a deeper correction than the index reflects [4] - The Russell 2000 index has gained 10.7% year-to-date, indicating a positive trend, although it is sensitive to interest rate movements [8][9] Economic Outlook - There is an expectation for new all-time highs in equities, with a strong end-of-year performance anticipated due to seasonal factors and improved earnings forecasts [1][5][6] - The current economic environment is seen as conducive for gold investments, with predictions of a strong year ahead for gold driven by potential changes in the Federal Reserve's leadership and policy direction [10][12] Investment Strategy - The Russell 2000 is viewed as a rates bet, requiring a favorable trajectory for interest rates and robust economic growth for continued performance [9] - Despite the positive outlook for equities, caution is advised regarding where to allocate investments, with gold being highlighted as a strong hedge in the current market environment [10][11]
ICE Futures Europe President on Market Positioning
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-24 12:56
"The central bank positioning, in terms of the Fed, the Bank of England, what the ECB have already done, is really underpinning valuations across equities and in fixed income," says ICE Futures Europe President Christopher Rhodes. He speaks with Kriti Gupta and Guy Johnson on Bloomberg's Opening Trade. ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-21 01:44
Investment Strategy - JPMorgan favors rotating from Chinese equities into Indian stocks [1] Market Analysis - India's strong domestic market and policy support offset its high valuations [1] - South Asian nation's market shows resilience [1]