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外资交易台:全球周报
2025-06-23 02:09
每周精选 --- weekly mash - Market Insights 市场洞察 weekly mash - 每周简报 - A few charts / thoughts, without extensive commentary, in a week that felt like one of the quieter weeks in markets year-to-date – in spite of all the geopolitical focus on the evolving situation in the Middle East : 本周市场相对平静,尽管中东局势不断演变引发⼴泛的地缘政治关注,以下是⼀些图表和思考, 未做过多评论 : 1. A lot of ink and intellectual horsepower has been deployed around the theme of US exceptionalism, USD strength and US asset performance. In conversations with a large Nordic a ...
美银:Flow show-The Eurovision Long Contes
美银· 2025-06-23 02:09
The Flow Show The Eurovision Long Contest Scores on the Doors: gold 28.4%, commodities 7.8%, stocks 6.9%, govt bonds 6.2%, IG bonds 6.1%, HY bonds 5.4%, oil 4.8%, cash 2.0%, US dollar -8.8%, crypto -14.1% YTD. Tale of the Tape: $3.9tn BofA private client assets of which Magnificent 7 stocks = 14.8% (common stocks & ETFs), US Treasury bonds (2-30-year) = 3.6%, international stocks = 3.4% (common stocks & ETFs), and gold = 0.4% of AUM. The Biggest Picture: client feedback from London/Europe on Iran, geopoliti ...
Birkenstock: Value, Growth, And International Exposure In One Great Package
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-16 03:15
Group 1 - The recent turbulence in the markets has led to a decline in investor confidence regarding the "U.S. exceptionalism trade" [1] - European stocks have increased by more than 20% this year in dollar terms, indicating a shift in market dynamics [1] Group 2 - Gary Alexander has extensive experience in covering technology companies and has been a contributor to Seeking Alpha since 2017 [1] - His insights are informed by his background in both Wall Street and Silicon Valley, as well as his advisory role to seed-round startups [1]
Franklin Templeton CEO Jenny Johnson: There are always opportunities in volatility
CNBC Television· 2025-06-12 11:59
For more on the markets, tariffs, inflation, the Fed, and much more, let's bring in uh Jenny Johnson, president and CEO of Franklin Templeton, which really does have in this case one.5 trillion dollars in assets under management. I sold so much Franklin Fund uh when I was uh it was a it was a great product. Probably the income fund. It was No, it was the income fund.Yes. Great. Everybody loves it.It's like 8 75 years old. Remember what the sales charge was. It was probably well four I think it was six when ...
摩根大通:关键货币观点-所有美好事物终会结束
摩根· 2025-06-10 07:30
J P M O R G A N Global FX Strategy 06 June 2025 Key Currency Views All beautiful things must come to an end Figure 1: Growth is projected to decline in the US and several countries in 2025, but there are several winners as well: Antipodeans, NOK, EUR and JPY in DM and EMEA in EM J.P. Morgan economists' growth forecasts for 2025 vs. actual in 2024 See page 48 for analyst certification and important disclosures. J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a res ...
美国例外论- 899条款带来的根本性转变和技术阻力
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-10 02:55
10 June 2025 | 12:24AM BST GOAL Kickstart US exceptionalism - fundamental shifts and technical headwinds from Section 899 Last week both US Manufacturing and Services ISM came in below consensus, while NFPs growth slightly beat consensus (but still points to slowing US growth) and the unemployment rate remained flat. Key economic data releases this week will be US CPI and UofM reports. The ECB lowered the deposit rate by 25bps and downgraded its 2026 inflation projection to 1.6%. Yield curves flattened acro ...
高盛:GOAL Kickstart_ 来自第 899 条的根本性转变和技术逆风
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-10 02:16
10 June 2025 | 12:24AM BST Andrea Ferrario +44(20)7552-4353 | andrea.ferrario@gs.com Goldman Sachs International Christian Mueller-Glissmann, CFA GOAL Kickstart US exceptionalism - fundamental shifts and technical headwinds from Section 899 Last week both US Manufacturing and Services ISM came in below consensus, while NFPs growth slightly beat consensus (but still points to slowing US growth) and the unemployment rate remained flat. Key economic data releases this week will be US CPI and UofM reports. The ...
摩根士丹利:全球策略年中展望-聚焦美国
摩根· 2025-05-21 06:36
M Global Insight May 20, 2025 06:37 PM GMT Global Strategy Mid-Year Outlook All Eyes on US US risky and risk-free assets are attractive versus the RoW against a backdrop of a slowing but still expanding global economy despite policy uncertainty, along with deregulation and more rate cuts than priced in the markets. We are OW US equities, OW core fixed income, and expect a weaker dollar. Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors sho ...
摩根大通:外汇展望-海湖庄园,协议与否
摩根· 2025-05-07 02:10
Meera Chandan AC (44-20) 7134-2924 meera.chandan@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities plc Arindam Sandilya AC (65) 6882-7759 arindam.x.sandilya@jpmorgan.com JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., Singapore Branch Our bearish USD view thus far has not been motivated by expectations of any such accords; it is instead explained by underlying fundamentals — both cyclical and possibly structural. The USD weakness year-to-date thus far has been European-led and has not needed any such accords. The moti- vation for USD weaknes ...
Berkshire Hathaway(BRK.A) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-03 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported record attendance at its annual meeting, with 19,700 participants, up from 16,200 the previous year [2] - The company achieved record sales figures, with Candid at $317,000 compared to $283,000 the previous year [3] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Brooks reported sales of $310,000, marking an all-time record for the company [4] - Jazz Wear's sales doubled to around $250,000 compared to the previous year [4] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company noted a significant increase in attendance and sales across all business lines, indicating strong market demand [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The management emphasized the importance of maintaining a diverse and capable board, with a focus on long-term relationships and investments, particularly in Japan [38][46] - The company is positioning itself for future opportunities, with a significant cash reserve of over $300 billion, representing about 27% of total assets, which is historically high [51] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the U.S. economy, despite current challenges, and highlighted the importance of adapting to changes while maintaining a long-term perspective [95][99] - The company is prepared for future investment opportunities, emphasizing that attractive deals will arise over time [60][61] Other Important Information - The company raised significant funds for charity through the sale of a commemorative book, showcasing its commitment to social responsibility [20][23] Q&A Session All Questions and Answers Question: Has your view on trade barriers changed? - Management discussed the historical context of trade barriers and emphasized the importance of balanced trade for global prosperity [26][30] Question: Do you think the Bank of Japan's rate hike will deter further investments in Japan? - Management expressed confidence in their Japanese investments and indicated a long-term commitment to holding these positions [36][38] Question: Is the high cash reserve a derisking strategy or for future capital allocation? - Management clarified that the cash reserve is not solely for Greg Abel's future flexibility but is a strategic position to capitalize on attractive investment opportunities as they arise [51][52] Question: With high interest rates, do you still believe in being greedy when others are fearful? - Management reiterated the advantages of investing in stocks over real estate due to the ease of transactions and opportunities in the stock market [64][66] Question: How will AI affect the insurance industry? - Management acknowledged AI as a game changer but emphasized a cautious approach to its integration into their operations [75][78] Question: How did the acquisition of Portillo's Hotdogs fit into the portfolio? - Management was not directly involved in the acquisition and noted that it was owned by a private equity firm, not Berkshire [80][92]