5月12日，中美经贸会谈取得新进展，国际金价持续震荡。当天，"金价下跌"相关话题冲上微博热搜。伦敦金现、COMEX黄金盘中跌幅一度超3%，截至20 时，伦敦金价跌破每盎司3225美元，对比4月下旬突破3500美元关口的表现，可谓是"大跳水"。 5月12日，国际上，伦敦金现、COMEX黄金盘中跌幅一度超3%。国内方面，上海黄金交易所Au9999黄金价格较前一交易日下跌26.5元至每克759元。A股市 场黄金股集体下挫。截至收盘，贵金属板块集体大跌，西部黄金、四川黄金跌超3%，山东黄金、山金国际跌超2%。黄金相关基金亦纷纷回调，截至发稿， 博时基金、国泰黄金、华夏黄金的ETF联接A基金日跌幅均超3%。 足金首饰金价也明显下降，多个品牌金饰价格跌回千元附近。5月12日，周大福、周六福、六福珠宝、金至尊和潮宏基的足金金饰价格为每克1008元，周生 生金饰价格为每克1007元，菜百首饰金饰价格为每克988元。其中，周大福、周生生足金饰品较前一日价格下跌14元。 金价回调趋势下，有了"五一"假期与母亲节这"双节"加持，市场上的购金潮热度不减。这段时间，广州东山百货黄金专柜也碰上了销售的"黄金周"，东山百 货业务部经理戴崇 ...

近期，全球资本市场犹如乘坐"过山车"，美股科技股集体回调，A股市场震荡分化，美债收益率波动不 定……然而，在这一片动荡之中，日元、瑞士法郎等外币汇率却悄然走强，黄金价格更是突破历史高 位，直逼2400美元/盎司！当传统避险资产与新兴替代选项同台竞技，如何精准捕捉下一个"黄金机 会"？ 全球政策转向下的"避风港"逻辑 国际环境剧变，催生了两大核心需求：抗通胀与对冲地缘风险。 黄金：在央行购金潮和去美元化浪潮的双重推动下，其硬核保值属性愈发凸显； 部分外币：日本加息预期推升日元价值，瑞士的中立国地位则为瑞郎增添了额外的安全保障； 另类资产：比特币ETF的获批、稀土资源战略价值的重估…… 关键点在于，避险资产需具备"低相关性+高流动性+抗衰减性"三大要素！ 5月潜力候选：哪些资产在蓄力？ 1、日元：低利率时代的"最后洼地" 4月比特币期货ETF通过审批，MicroStrategy等企业疯狂囤币，华尔街逐渐认可其抗通胀属性。长期 看，比特币可能分流黄金份额，但波动率仍是双刃剑！ 4、稀土资源：技术博弈下的"战略筹码" 中国稀土出口配额收紧，美国重启采矿法案，供需缺口下镨钕氧化物价格飙升。这类"工业黄金"更适合 长线资 ...

Group 1: Gold Market Overview - Gold has increased nearly 24% over the past year and over 900% since 2000, outperforming the S&P 500 index's 489% increase during the same period [2] - The current surge in gold prices is attributed to heightened uncertainty in the stock market, leading to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset [2][4] - Historical patterns show that gold prices have gone through boom-and-bust cycles, influenced by the quantity of gold produced and prevailing market prices [5] Group 2: Newmont Corporation Insights - Newmont Corporation is the world's largest gold mining company, also producing copper, silver, zinc, and lead, with operations spanning globally [3][4] - The company's financial performance is heavily dependent on gold prices and production levels, with a total return of 240% since 1989 [4][7] - Newmont's current price-to-earnings ratio is 15, with earnings of $3.48 per share last year, but only $1.57 per share in 2023, indicating potential challenges ahead [11] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The VIX index has spiked, indicating high anticipated stock market volatility, while consumer sentiment has dropped to near record lows, suggesting increased fear among investors [9] - There are signals that gold prices may be at or nearing a short-term peak, making it a potentially risky time to invest in gold mining stocks like Newmont [8][12] - The timing of investments in cyclical stocks like Newmont is crucial, as buying during peak earnings may not yield favorable long-term results [11][12]