RT Breakout (@breakoutprop)Confidence comes from knowing your worst case.With prop funding:✔️ Max loss = evaluation fee✔️ No margin calls, no negative balances✔️ Just your rules, your tradesFixed downside. Unlimited upside. ...

Trading Basics - Risk management is key to successful trading [1] - Setting clear goals is crucial for trading [1] - Sticking to the trading plan is essential [1] Trading Strategy - Trade smart and steady for optimal results [1]

Strategy Overview - The strategy involves selling 10% of bag size for 10 days [1] - The strategy involves entering a short position with 10% for 10 days [1] - After 10 days, the bags are empty [1] - After 10 days, the position is fully short [1] Timeline - Preparations are underway for September [1]

Summary of Morgan Stanley Southbound Inclusion Trading Strategy Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference focuses on the Southbound Stock Connect (SB) trading strategy, which is a significant liquidity source for the Hong Kong equity market, particularly as it relates to mainland Chinese stocks. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Launch of MSSBT**: Morgan Stanley has launched the Morgan Stanley Southbound Eligibility Trading Strategy (MSSBT), a proprietary model designed to predict stocks for Southbound inclusion and capitalize on their price momentum ahead of the event, conducted semi-annually [1][4][21]. 2. **Historical Performance**: Stocks included in Southbound Stock Connect have historically shown strong performance, generating average absolute returns of 1.6-3.7% and alpha of 2.4-5.2% relative to the Hang Seng Index in the 15- and 30-day periods leading up to inclusion [2][15][49]. 3. **Liquidity Trends**: Southbound trading now accounts for over one-third of daily turnover on the Hong Kong Main Board, with SB holdings representing approximately 15% of the free float market capitalization of eligible stocks, indicating a significant increase of over 30% since 2024 [12][19][29][36]. 4. **Upcoming Inclusion Forecast**: For the September 2025 inclusion, 19 candidates across seven sectors have been identified, with notable companies including CaoCao Inc. (2643.HK) and Duality Biotherapeutics (9606.HK) [6][8][14]. 5. **Back-Testing Results**: The MSSBT model has achieved an average hit ratio of 85% over the last four semi-annual inclusion cycles, with pro forma portfolios constructed based on MSSBT forecasts yielding average returns of 10.1% in absolute terms and 7.4% relative to the Hang Seng Index within 30 days prior to inclusion [5][25][27]. 6. **Sector Performance**: Certain sectors, such as Telecoms, Energy, and Health Care, have seen Southbound ownership exceed 40% of total sector free float market capitalization, highlighting the varying impact of SB flows across different industries [38][41][42]. Additional Important Insights - **Investment Opportunities**: The growing A-H dual listing universe and exclusive investment opportunities in sectors like Internet and New Consumption are expected to keep Hong Kong attractive for Southbound investments [12]. - **Market Dynamics**: The increasing prominence of Southbound flows is transforming the ownership structure of stocks in Hong Kong, providing liquidity support and influencing price movements, particularly for stocks with solid fundamentals [38][39]. - **Performance of Newly Added Stocks**: Stocks added to the SB channel tend to outperform the broader market, with an average price increase of 3.7% and 1.6% in the 30 and 15 days prior to inclusion, respectively [49]. This summary encapsulates the critical insights and data points discussed during the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the Southbound trading strategy and its implications for the Hong Kong equity market.

I've been day trading for over eight years. If I had to start from scratch to get to where I am now as fast as possible, here's exactly what I would do. Firstly, I would avoid the mistake of trying to put money into an account and play around.You're just going to burn and piss money away doing that. First thing that you should be doing is building capital by getting a freaking job, Loki, while you're learning trading in the background. Okay, this is difficult.You have to make sacrifices to get here. Okay, s ...

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅，現在是 2025年8月12日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現昨天的k線是一根陰線 而且上面的影線 還真的是有那麼一點點的長 而且我們看一下下面的成交量 好像也是比較的多 那麼你可以看一下之前標志性的成交量通 常預示著階段性的小底部 當然這個地方是底部嗎 不是那麼也就是說這個地方 是小小的階段性的高點 有這樣的一種可能性 為什麼說是陰線 只是因為它最後收成了陰線 所以成交量你看起來是紅色的 但如果說這邊是一個小陽線 那麼成交量依然是有那麼的多 但是它就是另外一種顏色 但是不要去管它的顏色 我只是想說任何時候 在盤整區間的時候成交量比較多 你可以看在這邊成交量比較多 階段性的高點 這邊成交量比較的多階段性的低點 是不是 所以在這樣的一個位置出現比較多成交量 我還是覺得非常值得留意 它並不是一個無關緊要的指標 那麼之前在下面的時候 我會認為它有可能會出現反彈 我不認為它的目標位是之前這一帶的高點 那麼如果說來到這邊當然是會更好 但是是來到這裡之後 我發現這三個高點是比較的寧靜 那麼這種比較寧靜的地方就好畫 箱體一 ...

Bitcoin Market Analysis - Bitcoin is facing resistance around $120,000 - $123,000, leading to profit-taking on long positions [1][5] - The weekly Bitcoin price chart shows a bearish divergence, suggesting a potential pullback over the coming months [3][29] - Bitcoin dominance is holding support around 605% to 61%, which could be a warning signal for the altcoin market [32] Ethereum Market Analysis - Ethereum has broken out above resistance at $3,900 - $4,100, but a retest of this area as new support is possible [36] - A bearish divergence is forming on the daily Ethereum price chart, potentially leading to a short-term pullback [37][40] - Ethereum may underperform Bitcoin in the short term due to a bearish divergence on the ETH/BTC chart [42][43] Altcoin Market Analysis - Solana is lacking momentum and is expected to trade sideways, with potential support at $167 - $170 and resistance at $190 - $200 [45][49] - XRP has a massive bearish divergence on the weekly chart, suggesting a potential pullback in the coming months [49][51] - Chainlink has confirmed a breakout but is possibly coming in for a retest, with key support at $20 - $21 and resistance at $2250 [56][57][58] Trading Strategy and Exchange Platforms - The analyst closed the majority of a $1 million Bitcoin long position around $120,000 - $121,000, securing over $24,000 in realized profit [12][14][15] - The analyst is considering a short position for Ethereum if the bearish divergence confirms [40][43] - BTEX and Pionex are recommended crypto exchanges, with BTEX offering up to $40,000 in trading bonuses and Pionex offering automated trading bot strategies [19][20][24]

Trading Strategy Overview - The core strategy revolves around identifying high probability trading conditions, systematizing the approach with rules, and refining entries using confluences [8][10][12] - The strategy aims for a win rate of approximately 40%, emphasizing maximizing profits when correct and minimizing losses when incorrect [7] - Key elements include identifying fair value gaps, change of character, and trend breaks with overside/underside retests [15][17][20] Model Implementation - The model uses indicators for change of character, break of structure levels, and fair value gaps [25][26] - Entry points are determined by identifying trends, waiting for breakouts, and targeting the midpoint of fair value gaps [30][31] - Risk management involves reducing risk when the trade moves favorably, potentially creating risk-free trades [37] Confluence Filters - Elliott Wave trend analysis and Fibonacci zones are used as additional layers of confirmation to improve trade selection [56][57] - Fibonacci retracements, particularly the 61.8% golden ratio, help identify potential continuation points in trends [61] - Trend-based Fibonacci extensions are used to anticipate the end of waves and time reversals [62] Real-Time Application - The report provides examples of real-time trades, demonstrating the execution of the model and risk management techniques [36][45][48] - Multi-time frame analysis is used to time exit points [46] - The strategy emphasizes getting in early on trends and allowing them to play out [43]

Question 18:https://t.co/Ed602yOiSCAre you worried what selling on your public wallet will do to the chart? Or will the coin be too mainstream for it to even have an impactAnswer:everyone will sell eventually, of course, and i believe the market realizes thisi don't think this will be an issue when the time comes for a few reasons:1. i do not intend to sell any time soon2. whenever i sell, it would be during period of strong momentum where the actions of one man would not affect the charts in a materially s ...

221/365Have been SO MUCH more strategic with perps during this chop and it is paying off 10fold. Finding better entries and finding better exits. Also feeling more confident in higher time frame charts. Wanna keep the focus there till we have a clear direction either up or down.Memes have been way more fun. Have hit some signfiicant runners the last few days. Eager to share this product we have started partnering with cause i think many people will find it valuable, and find the signal n stay away from the ...