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美银:投资者情绪:偏好风险,乐观,但未达狂喜
美银· 2025-07-11 02:23
The bulls, bears, and everything in between Investor Sentiment: Risk-Love Optimistic, not euphoric Climbing the wall of worry Global Equity Risk-Love, which derives two-thirds of its underlying factors from Developed Markets (DM) and one-thirds from Emerging Markets (EM), continues to climb higher in the neutral zone. It is currently stationed at the 76th percentile of its history since 1987 – a reading consistent with Michael Hartnett's gauge of global cross asset risk, the Bull & Bear Indicator (see note) ...
BDC Misconceptions Setting Investors Up For Failure
Seeking Alpha· 2025-07-10 15:13
Group 1 - The article discusses misconceptions in the CLO Equity sector that are prevalent among investors [1] - The previous article on CLO Equity was well received, prompting further exploration of the topic [1] - The company offers tools for navigating various investment markets, including BDC, CEF, OEF, preferred, and baby bonds [1] Group 2 - The company provides Investor Guides for CEFs, Preferreds, and PIMCO CEFs [2] - A promotional offer for a 2-week free trial is available for potential investors [2]
Wilbur Ross Talks Trump Tariffs, Says Brazil Is a 'One-Off'
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-10 15:11
Tariffs and Trade - The original tariff deadline of July 9th was pushed back to August 1st [1] - Major countries have submitted counterproposals to the Trump administration to avoid tariffs [2] - The US has already collected $100 billion in tariffs, expected to reach $300 billion by year-end [4] - $300 billion on a four-year basis is a little over 1% of the US economy, but the impact will be a fraction of 1% after importers, exporters, and foreign governments absorb some of it [5] - Uncertainty around tariffs can erode investor confidence [7][9] - The Trump administration is using tariffs more broadly for diplomatic and other goals, not just trade [13][14] Crypto and Investment - The speaker is joining the board of Reserve One, a company focused on Bitcoin Treasury [18][19] - The speaker's initial objection to crypto was the lack of government regulation and professional investors [20] - Institutional investors like BlackRock and Fidelity are entering the crypto space, professionalizing the market [21][22] - Some firms are recommending allocations to Bitcoin, such as 5% of portfolios [24]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-10 14:29
Romania sells more domestic debt than planned, taking advantage of improved investor sentiment a day after the government tapped international markets in a heavily oversubscribed hard-currency transaction https://t.co/jnFJsrmfYK ...
What Analyst Projections for Key Metrics Reveal About BlackRock (BLK) Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-10 14:16
Core Viewpoint - BlackRock is expected to report quarterly earnings of $10.77 per share, a 4% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $5.38 billion, reflecting a 12% year-over-year growth [1]. Earnings Estimates - Wall Street analysts have revised the consensus EPS estimate upward by 1.7% over the last 30 days, indicating a collective reassessment of forecasts [2]. - Revisions to earnings estimates are significant indicators for predicting investor actions regarding the stock [3]. Revenue Projections - Analysts project 'Revenue- Technology services revenue' at $493.72 million, a year-over-year increase of 25% [5]. - 'Revenue- Advisory and other revenue' is expected to reach $59.44 million, reflecting a 12.1% year-over-year increase [5]. - 'Revenue- Investment advisory performance fees' is forecasted at $156.55 million, indicating a year-over-year decline of 4.6% [5]. - The consensus for 'Revenue- Distribution fees' is $323.27 million, a 1.7% year-over-year increase [6]. - 'Revenue- Total investment advisory, administration fees and securities lending revenue' is expected to be $4.36 billion, showing a 12.6% year-over-year growth [6]. Assets Under Management - 'Assets under management - Cash management' is projected at $771.17 billion, down from $778.04 billion year-over-year [7]. - 'Total Assets Under Management' is expected to reach $11,679.24 billion, up from $10,645.72 billion in the same quarter last year [7]. - 'Assets under management - Long-term' is forecasted at $10,762.03 billion, compared to $9,867.68 billion in the same quarter last year [8]. - 'Assets under management - ETFs' is estimated at $4,295.42 billion, up from $3,855.77 billion year-over-year [9]. Net Inflows - 'Net inflows - Product Type - Cash management' is projected to be $66.79 billion, compared to $30.20 billion year-over-year [8]. - 'Net inflows' are expected to reach $124.01 billion, up from $81.57 billion in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'Net inflows - Client Type - ETFs' is estimated at $57.88 billion, down from $83.14 billion in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - BlackRock shares have increased by 9.6% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's 4.4% increase [11].
Nvidia tops $4T — Is the bull market just getting started?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-07-10 10:01
Market Outlook & Strategy - Carson Group maintains a bullish outlook, anticipating a 12-15% gain for the S&P 500 by year-end, despite potential risks [19][24] - The firm advocates for diversification ("When in doubt, diversify it out") and has shifted some US equity exposure to developed international markets [13][14] - The market's current "sweet spot" (S&P 500 up 5-10% mid-year) historically suggests further gains in the second half [21][22] - Carson Group is overweight equities relative to bonds, expecting interest rates to remain somewhat elevated due to increased spending and deficits [35] Economic Factors & Fed Policy - The strategist believes the economy is stronger than perceived, with potential for earnings to exceed expectations [25] - The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve's actions, with potential market sensitivity to the Fed not cutting rates as much as anticipated [6][7] - While a 25 or 50 basis point cut may not significantly impact the market, a 300 basis point cut could signal economic distress [37][38] - High deficits, currently around 6.5% of GDP and potentially rising, historically haven't always negatively impacted markets [35][36] Sector & Investment Opportunities - Technology sector's resurgence, exemplified by Nvidia's $4 trillion market cap, signals a healthy bull market with broad participation [2][39] - Financials are highlighted as an underappreciated sector, with banks having delivered strong earnings [45] - Small and mid-cap stocks are considered potentially undervalued, especially in comparison to Europe, which has seen significant gains [54][55] Risks & Concerns - Potential risks include trade developments, the impact of tariffs on consumers (expected in the second half of the year), and a slowing economy [5][28][29] - August and September are historically prone to market hiccups, suggesting a potential correction in the fall [53] - Overly negative sentiment is not currently a major concern, as hedge funds remain net short and sentiment indicators are mixed [50][51]
Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. Investors: Please contact the Portnoy Law Firm to recover your losses. July 14, 2025 Deadline to file Lead Plaintiff Motion
GlobeNewswire News Room· 2025-07-09 22:59
Investors can contact the law firm at no cost to learn more about recovering their losses LOS ANGELES, July 09, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Portnoy Law Firm advises Iovance Biotherapeutics, Inc. ("Iovance" or the "Company") (NASDAQ: IOVA) investors of a class action representing investors that bought securities between May 9, 2024 and May 8, 2025, inclusive (the "Class Period"). Iovance investors have until July 14, 2025 to file a lead plaintiff motion. Investors are encouraged to contact attorney Lesley F ...
Why is India Reining in a Derivatives Boom?
Bloomberg Television· 2025-07-09 16:17
[CC may contain inaccuracies] In just a few years, India's derivatives market surged to become the world's largest by one year. But the runaway growth has the country's market watchdog on edge. Last week, the Indian regulator, Sebi, imposed a temporary ban on one of the markets biggest players.India's market regulator is barring Jain Street from access to its local securities market. Sebi alleged the New York based company misled retail participants through index manipulation. It even ordered the seizure of ...
X @Decrypt
Decrypt· 2025-07-09 14:17
RT Sander Lutz (@s_lutz95)🚨NEW: This morning, the Senate Banking Committee will hold a hearing on crypto market structure legislation. I’m hearing Elizabeth Warren, top Dem on the committee, will announce she would support a bill if it meets these 5 criteria:“1. Protecting our bedrock securities laws;2. Providing basic investor protections;3. Preserving our financial stability;4. Requiring crypto actors to implement commonsense anti-money laundering and sanctions enforcement programs; and5. Stopping public ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-09 12:52
Adani Group is in advanced talks to raise $250 million from MUFG, as investor confidence in the Indian conglomerate continues to recover https://t.co/LEhTVqfHpR ...