特朗普：应当降低利率 智通财经5月1日电，特朗普表示，应当降低利率，对于那些希望购买房屋和其他东西的人来说，这将是 件好事。 ...

美国总统特朗普：我们喜欢良好的教育。我们喜欢低利率。 ...

美国总统特朗普宣称：我们正在（设法）结束通胀噩梦。 我们都喜欢低利率。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that index-based structured products are in high demand in a low-interest-rate environment, indicating a broad development prospect for these assets [1] - Since 2017, the fixed income department of CITIC Securities has been engaged in the market-making business for over-the-counter derivatives and structured products related to domestic government bonds, offering competitive product solutions and trading quotes [1] - CITIC Securities has leading capabilities in the design and trading of over-the-counter derivatives and structured products linked to government bond futures indices, providing customized trading solutions based on clients' market views [1] Group 2 - The government bond futures index allows market makers to offer more flexible trading structures and richer trading strategies compared to government bond futures [2] - The index, published by the China Securities Index Company, serves as a third-party recognized benchmark for structured products and provides a hedging underlying asset for multi-strategy products [2] - The fixed income department of CITIC Securities aims to combine tool-type indices with trading strategies, enhancing the productization of indices and offering a wider range of index-based over-the-counter derivatives and structured product solutions to the market [2]

Group 1: Investment Trends in China - Andrew Left, founder of Citron Research, is bullish on China, indicating a significant influx of global funds into Chinese assets [1][2] - Goldman Sachs reported that from March 27 to April 23, global stock funds saw a net inflow of $68.079 billion, with emerging markets receiving $27.14 billion, 90% of which flowed into China [2] - Chinese stock funds specifically received a net inflow of $24.686 billion, surpassing other emerging markets like South Korea, India, and Brazil [2] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Economic Outlook - Left believes that despite ongoing trade tensions, China has shown resilience, with low price-to-earnings ratios indicating that the market is undervalued [2][3] - Historical data shows that during previous trade conflicts, such as the first U.S.-China trade war, Left also favored investing in China, citing the market's potential for recovery [2][3] Group 3: Interest Rate Trends and Banking Sector - Recent adjustments in deposit rates by small and medium-sized banks indicate a shift towards a low-interest-rate environment, with over 30 banks reducing rates, particularly for three and five-year products [5][6] - The average interest rates for three and five-year deposits have fallen to 2.042% and 1.883%, respectively, highlighting a growing disparity in deposit rates [5] Group 4: Asset Allocation and Investment Shifts - As deposit rates decline, there is a noticeable trend of funds moving from traditional savings to wealth management products, with a 15% growth in wealth management scale in the first quarter [7][8] - The bond market has faced challenges, with the 10-year government bond yield rising from 1.6% to 1.9%, leading to losses for banks and insurance companies heavily invested in bonds [8] Group 5: Commodity Market Dynamics - The Chinese gold market is experiencing significant growth, with domestic gold ETF holdings increasing by 23.47 tons in Q1 2025, a 327.73% year-on-year rise [10][14] - High demand for gold is reflected in the net inflow of 158.36 billion yuan into the SEG gold index, indicating a strong preference for gold investments amid market volatility [10][14] Group 6: Future Economic Predictions - Analysts suggest that the current commodity bull market may be at the beginning stages, driven by factors such as de-globalization and a potential dollar crisis [17] - The concept of a new Bretton Woods III system is emerging, which could reshape global asset dynamics, emphasizing commodities like gold as safe-haven assets [17]

记者在招商银行手机银行App看到，其"灵动存"1年期、2年期产品年利率为1.60%、1.70%，起存金额为1000元。而3年期、5年期年利率分别为1.50%和 1.55%，起存金额更低，仅50元。在行业看来，这反映了市场对未来利率的预期，也是银行加强负债成本管控的措施之一。 消费日报网讯（记者卢岳）近期，银行纷纷下调中长期存款利率，个别银行定期存款利率出现了"倒挂"现象。 随着我国金融市场进入低利率时代，商业银行净息差持续收窄。2024年上市银行年报已披露，据梳理，2024年，9家上市股份行的净息差较上年末均承压， 降幅从0.01%至0.51%不等。其中，招商银行凭借零售业务优势维持行业领先，净息差1.98%（集团口径）在上市股份行中排在首位。 在业绩发布会上，招商银行管理层表示，今年息差收窄的趋势可能还会延续，压力依然存在。招行的目标是息差收窄的幅度较上年有所改善，同时息差水平 仍然保持同业领先。为实现这一目标，招商银行如何打这场息差"保卫战"？ 持续压降负债成本 "近期没有监管指导，属于自发调降，主要出于控制成本的考虑，以应对市场利率环境的变化。"对于近期新一轮的存款降息潮，某银行从业人员如是表示。 净息 ...

泰国财政部官员：希望央行降低利率以支持经济。 ...

A股近期有所反弹 4月28日，A股三大指数小幅下跌，沪指全天维持在3300点附近。4月以来，受特朗普政府所谓的"对等 关税"冲击，全球资本市场出现大幅波动，A股也被牵连。 不过，在中国多部门密集部署、推出多种举 措之后，A股有所反弹。 如何看待A股近期的走势？市场风险偏好是否正在边际性改善？东吴期货首席投资官吴照银为我们带来 他的解读。 0:00 南方财经全媒体记者杨雨莱 广州报道 A股"成绩单"表现亮眼 4月底，2025年一季报披露临近尾声，A股市场上市公司交出了一份较为亮眼的成绩单。截至4月27日， 超过2700家上市公司发布了2025年一季报，已发布一季报的公司中，约四成实现了营收和归母净利润的 双增长，约六成企业实现净利润同比增长，百余家公司增幅超100%。其中，基础化工、电力设备、有 色金属等板块表现突出。 市场风险偏好在稳步改善 吴照银：在过去的三周里，A股市场和全球资本市场的局势都有所缓和。尽管关税战尚未达成最终协 议，市场的整体趋势仍然是朝着稳定的方向发展。我们可以看到市场已经开始慢慢回升，波动幅度逐渐 减小，整体运行状态趋于平稳。同时，市场的风险偏好也在稳步改善。 在这个时间点上，我们对市场 ...

行业点评 负债端韧性较强，投资拖累太保 25Q1 利润 强于大市（维持） 行情走势图 非银行金融 相关研究报告 【平安证券】行业深度报告-非银行金融-险资举牌 研究暨 2024 年报分析：风起资产端-强于大市 20250403 【平安证券】行业点评-非银行金融-优化险资权益 资产监管比例，发挥"耐心资本"优势-强于大市 20250409 【平安证券】行业点评-非银行金融-深化个险营销 体制改革，头部险企具备高质量发展优势-强于大市 20250420 证券分析师 | 王维逸 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | --- | --- | | | S1060520040001 | | | BQC673 | | | WANGWEIYI059@pingan.com.cn | | 李冰婷 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060520040002 | | | LIBINGTING419@pingan.com.cn | | 韦霁雯 | 投资咨询资格编号 | | | S1060524070004 | | | WEIJIWEN854@pingan.com.cn | 事项： 中国太保发布 2025 年一季报，一季度实现归母净利润 9 ...

关于港股红利资产的三个问题 20250427 摘要 • 港股现金分红比例显著高于 A 股，2017-2023 年均值分别为 43.7%和 35.1%，恒生综合指数股息率 4.0%，高于万得全 A 的 2.6%，显示港股 在分红方面更具吸引力。 • 港股红利资产相对 A 股仍存在折价，以两地上市红利股为例，A 股溢价率 约 14%-43.7%，虽较年初收敛，但考虑红利税后，90%的公司港股仍具 优势。 • 港股与 A 股行业结构存在差异，港股高股息个股集中于煤炭、银行等行业， 而 A 股则集中于地产、消费等，港股行业分布相对分散。 • 港股和 A 股红利资产的防御属性一致，市场越弱超额收益越明显，相对收 益与市场行情负相关，绝对收益呈正相关，投资逻辑基本相同。 • 短期来看，恒生高股息率指数股息率处于历史高位，估值处于历史中低位， 叠加海外不确定性，港股红利资产优势明显，值得关注。 • 中长期看，政策强化分红监管、低利率环境及中长期资金入市，提升港股 红利资产配置价值，国九条及国资委政策鼓励分红，险资等长线资金青睐。 • 南下资金持续增配港股红利资产，春节后流入规模超 4,700 亿港元，银行、 电信服务、公用 ...