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俄外长指责西方国家向乌克兰供应武器
news flash· 2025-06-25 01:33
Core Viewpoint - The Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov stated that Western countries, including Germany, are attempting to disguise their supply of weapons to Ukraine under the pretext of producing weapons in Ukraine [1] Group 1: Russia's Position on Ukraine Crisis - Russia's approach to resolving the Ukraine crisis has remained unchanged, insisting on Ukraine's non-alignment and neutral status [1] Group 2: Russia-US Relations - Lavrov expressed appreciation for the Trump administration's support for dialogue between Russia and the US, but noted that the level of interaction has not reached a point where strategic stability dialogue can be restored [1] - Recently, the US has suspended discussions regarding the operation of diplomatic missions and the elimination of "stimulants" in bilateral relations, leaving Russia unclear about the US's motivations for this move [1]
从历史到现实:日本财政困局的延续与启示 —— 读《日本的财政危机:摆脱危机的体制机制变革努力(1975-2000)》
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao· 2025-06-24 18:12
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing crisis in Japan's bond market, drawing parallels to historical fiscal challenges faced by the country, particularly from 1975 to 2000, as analyzed in the book "Japan's Fiscal Crisis: Efforts to Escape the Crisis through Systemic Mechanism Reform (1975-2000)" [4][8]. Group 1: Historical Context and Current Crisis - The recent auction of Japan's 40-year bonds ended poorly, with a bid-to-cover ratio dropping to 2.21, the lowest in 11 months, amid rising long-term bond yields [4]. - The current turmoil in Japan's bond market is linked to historical fiscal issues, suggesting a cyclical nature of the crisis [4][8]. - The book provides insights into Japan's fiscal crisis from 1975 to 2000, highlighting structural flaws in the budget system that are relevant to understanding today's challenges [4][8]. Group 2: Monetary Policy and Fiscal Mechanisms - The Bank of Japan's quantitative easing (QE) policy, initiated in the early 2000s, evolved from the Fiscal Investment and Loan Program (FILP) established in the 1970s, which aimed to support public sector financing [5][6]. - As of December 2022, the Bank of Japan held 52% of the national debt, indicating a non-market approach to maintaining debt circulation, which has led to market instability following a reduction in bond purchases [6][10]. Group 3: Structural Issues and Spending Patterns - Japan's reliance on public works spending has shifted to social security expenditures, with social security spending constituting 35% of the fiscal budget in 2023, reflecting a new rigid spending trap [7][8]. - The historical pattern of "public works state" has transformed into a "social security dependency," perpetuating the relationship between interest groups and bureaucratic systems [7][8]. Group 4: Political Dynamics and Reform Challenges - The political landscape in Japan is characterized by policy rigidity and entrenched interests, making structural reforms difficult despite repeated attempts by the government [11][12]. - The lack of political consensus on fiscal reforms, as evidenced by stalled negotiations on income tax thresholds, mirrors the challenges faced in the 1990s [11][12]. Group 5: Lessons and Implications for Global Policy - The unique aspects of Japan's fiscal crisis, including policy rigidity and entrenched interests, offer lessons for global policymakers, emphasizing the need for structural reforms alongside fiscal expansion [12][13]. - Effective budget constraints and breaking the cycle of bureaucratic and political entrenchment are essential for achieving sustainable fiscal recovery [12][13].
日本关西机场面临持续下沉危机
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-06-24 16:35
Core Points - Kansai International Airport in Japan is facing a continuous sinking crisis, which has become an urgent issue to address within the country [1] - The airport, operational since 1994, is unique as it is built on an artificial island and is Japan's first 24-hour airport, avoiding noise and proximity issues [1] Group 1 - Kansai International Airport was recognized as the world's best baggage handling airport in 2024, maintaining a perfect record of no lost luggage for over a decade [2] - The airport is constructed on a 20-meter thick clay sediment layer, and due to insufficient compaction during reclamation, it is sinking more than initially predicted, with the first island having sunk 13.66 meters and the second island 17.47 meters [2] - Although the sinking rate is currently less than 10 centimeters per year and is considered manageable, engineers predict that some areas may fall below sea level in the next 30 years [2] Group 2 - To combat the sinking issue, Japan has implemented emergency measures, including the construction of a seawall around the islands, which has been raised to about 5 meters above sea level since 2004 to withstand "once in 50 years" waves [2]
嘉兴片区组织开展“居安思危——强化危机意识”问题查摆专题会暨管理交流活动
Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang· 2025-06-24 11:59
活动从"个人价值、管理效能、公司发展"三个层面交流开展,大家从各自所从事的工作岗位出发,通过对项目实施过程中的遇到的困境进行枚举,交流工作体会和对问题的自我思 考,真诚深刻地反思自身在项目推进过程中、在管理实践过程中所遇到的困境。 与会人员从对下管理中管不住问题、会议低效和PPT滥用、物资工作的协同不足、制度末端异化、科研工作在基层落地难、混凝土浇筑非常见问题原因分析难以形成有效经验等方 面开展了讨论。会议排查筛选形成了5项问题,涉及项目管理、物资管理、制度管理、科技创新、施工管理等方面。 会议强调,项目全体员工只有在思想上紧起来,才能在行动上快起来,最终实现在工作的质量上高起来。只有凝聚共识,才能在个人成长、管理效能和企业发展这三者之间构建起 良性的运营生态,真正的化危为机,成为公司高质量发展的推动者。文图:黄倩 近日,嘉兴片区项目党支部组织开展"居安思危——强化危机意识"问题查摆专题会暨管理交流活动。 本次专题讨论交流活动从危机意识培育为起点,以增强项目管理的内驱力为目标,从公司党委对本次活动"三个出发"的要求,结合三航局党委巡察反馈问题"三张清单"自查,回顾 和思考嘉兴片区两个项目在不同阶段的管理和实践 ...
一个残酷的事实:“男孩危机”正在爆发
Hu Xiu· 2025-06-24 07:16
大家好,我是玉莹。 ■作者与中法文版的书,有意思的是,"田力"也在国内的互联网上正被作为对男性的指代词 从小穿上的"性别束缚衣" 在男孩养育过程中,妈妈们会在很早期就遇到没有答案的难题。比如: 每年高考季,"男孩危机"的话题都会被热议一轮。"男生各方面发育都落后女生"、"大学里男生越来越少" 等现象,也引发了很多男生家长的担忧。 数据显示,2024年全国高考报名男生占比仅为37% 。更让人惊讶的是,小学里每100名女生对应116.1名男生,而到本科阶段每100名女生仅对应58.7名男 生。 "教育赛道上男孩正在逐渐消失"。 与此同时,心理健康数据也令人担忧:2021年中国儿童和青少年精神障碍年龄标准化患病率中,男孩(10.3%)显著高于女孩(7.2%),而这背后,可能 与男性从小被要求"坚强"、难以表达情感和寻求帮助有关。 那男孩们到底是如何被养育的呢? 80后法国资深记者奥蕾莉亚·勃朗特意在成为一个男孩的母亲后,用亲身经验写了一本书《当我生的是男孩》,来"控诉"全社会对男孩养育的偏见、教条 和"错误"。 "如果我生了一个女孩,我很清楚应该如何教她成为一个独立自由的女性;但男孩的话,我有一堆问题,却完全没有答 ...
狂的没边了!黑莉扬言:如果不买美债,她当选总统后一定报复中国
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-24 05:38
近年来,美国对华政策越来越走向极端。 从特朗普政府大张旗鼓地发起"贸易战",到疫情期间美国不断指责中国,再到拜登政府加大对华制裁力度,美国将中国视作"威胁"的言论变得越来越直白、 公开。特别是在一些美国政客眼中,宣扬"中国威胁论",甚至成为"反华先锋",似乎是为自己政治生涯获取关注和话语权的捷径。为了迎合这一政治需要, 某些政客频频发表无视事实、充满荒谬的言论。 近日,美国总统竞选人妮基·黑莉更是公开表示,若中国停止购买美国国债,她将在当选总统后对中国采取报复和打击措施。言辞如此激烈,简直让人难以 置信! 黑莉的言论就像是强买强卖的典型强盗逻辑,简直让人忍不住发笑。自她宣布参选2024年美国总统以来,这位印度裔女性候选人凭借自己独特的身份和一系 列极端的言辞吸引了不少眼球。虽然她的言论引发了热议,但她并非真正的总统热门人选——不仅在民主党阵营中有众多有力的竞争对手,在共和党内部, 民调也显示她的支持率远远落后于特朗普和德桑蒂斯。 正因如此,黑莉才急于通过攻击中国来吸引选民眼球、拉拢支持。她这种做法,实在是荒唐可笑。而这也恰恰暴露了美国经济背后的隐患——美国经济正在 深陷困境,需要一位真正有能力的人来应对这一局 ...
丁道师:自媒体的危机到底是什么?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-23 16:40
Core Viewpoint - The essence of the self-media crisis is the presence of a few "bad mice" that create distrust, leading to a general tightening of regulations and a reluctance to engage with the industry, despite the majority being safe [2][5][9]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The self-media industry is facing a tightening of regulations, which affects all participants, leading to a more cautious approach from stakeholders [9]. - Many self-media practitioners mistakenly believe that the decline in advertising budgets from large companies is the root cause of their struggles, while in reality, these budgets have increased but are directed towards larger, more regulated media outlets [7][8]. - The advertising revenue for national institutions and large enterprises has surpassed 1.5 trillion yuan, showing a growth of 17.9% year-on-year, indicating a thriving advertising market that self-media is increasingly distanced from [8]. Group 2: Adaptation Strategies - To survive, self-media practitioners are encouraged to align with organizations that have official backing, which can provide credibility and facilitate operations [6][12]. - The unique advantages of self-media, such as flexibility and a relatable style, are emphasized, allowing for effective storytelling that resonates with audiences [13][14]. - Despite current challenges, the self-media environment is still more favorable than it was two decades ago, with many practitioners now able to sustain their livelihoods solely through self-media income [13].
贺博生:6.23黄金原油大幅下跌晚间行情走势分析及最新欧美盘操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-23 11:56
黄金消息面解析:北京时间6月23日,现货黄金开盘逼近3400水平,受避险情绪推动,周一亚市早盘,现货黄金一度跳涨近30美元(0.8%),触及3398.02美元/ 盎司,随后震荡回落至3365.62美元/盎司,涨幅收窄至0.2%。投资者担忧中东局势升级可能推高能源价格,进而加剧全球通胀压力。因周末美军袭击伊朗核 设施,加剧中东地缘紧张,市场避险情绪升温;美原油上涨超2%,开盘一度上涨至78.40美元/桶,为1月20日以来最高。上周六(6月21日),美国动用B-2隐形 轰炸机对伊朗核设施发动空袭,引发中东局势急剧升级,全球金融市场随之陷入剧烈震荡。美元指数一度创下近三周新高,而美国股指期货则一度下跌近 1%。投资者密切关注伊朗的回应、美国与伊朗的外交沟通,以及中东局势的进一步发展。美元指数在周一早盘上涨0.47%,触及99.23的6月10日以来高点, 随后回落至99.00附近,涨幅收窄至0.2%。美国股指期货盘初下跌近1%,但跌幅后来收窄至0.3%。分析人士认为,避险资金流入可能短期推高美元,但股市 可能因不确定性持续承压。 黄金技术面分析:黄金受到中东局势影响,黄金周一开盘再次高开低走,和上周一如出一辙,今天最 ...
国际油价一日内先涨后跌:霍尔木兹海峡遭封锁危机,怎样影响油气市场后续走势
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-23 10:44
Core Viewpoint - The complete blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran is considered a high-risk, low-probability scenario due to multiple constraints affecting Iran's oil exports and its economic partnerships [1][7]. Group 1: Market Reactions - Following the U.S. airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, stocks in the A-share port shipping, oil service facilities, and oil extraction sectors surged, with companies like Ningbo Shipping and Lianyungang hitting their daily price limits [1]. - International oil prices initially spiked over 6% but later turned negative, with WTI crude falling to $73.47 per barrel and Brent crude to $75.21 per barrel [1]. Group 2: Importance of the Strait of Hormuz - The Strait of Hormuz is a critical maritime route for oil exports, with approximately 20 million barrels per day passing through, accounting for over 25% of global maritime oil trade [2]. - About 84% of the oil and products transported through the Strait are destined for Asian markets, with India, Japan, China, and South Korea being the primary importers [2]. Group 3: LNG Trade and Risks - The Strait accounts for over 20% of global LNG trade, with 85% of these deliveries heading to Asia, while Europe has a relatively limited exposure [3]. - Potential disruptions in LNG transport could lead to increased competition for spot LNG in Asia, resulting in upward pressure on gas prices globally [3]. Group 4: Alternative Transport Routes - The market is evaluating alternative transport routes and ports, with limited capacity in existing pipelines to bypass the Strait of Hormuz [4]. - The East-West Pipeline in Saudi Arabia can handle 5 million barrels per day, but only 2.6 million barrels per day can be rerouted in case of a blockade [4][5]. Group 5: Economic Implications for Iran - Iran currently exports over 1.6 million barrels per day through the Strait, and any blockade would severely impact its economy and its partners, particularly Qatar, which relies heavily on this route for LNG exports [7]. - The long-term outlook suggests that the current oversupply of crude oil may not be significantly altered by this crisis, as OPEC's production increases and global economic weakness persist [8].
财经媒体公关公司如何为上市公司打造全维度闭环服务 !
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-23 10:13
Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of financial media public relations companies as strategic partners for listed companies, providing comprehensive support from brand building to capital operations and internal management [2] - It highlights the need for professional assistance in navigating the competitive capital market and complex public opinion environment, where even industry leaders can face challenges due to missteps or public relations crises [2] Group 2 - Brand positioning upgrades are crucial, with public relations companies helping tech firms highlight their technological advantages and consumer companies to emphasize product value [3] - Building a media matrix is essential for accurately conveying information to diverse audiences, including investors and consumers, through various media channels [4] Group 3 - Long-term reputation maintenance is vital, with public relations firms advising companies to regularly publish ESG reports to enhance trust among investors and partners [5] - Precise information transmission is necessary for helping investors understand complex financial data and strategic plans, enabling better investment decisions [6] Group 4 - Roadshows and event planning are important for effective communication between companies and investors, ensuring that investor concerns are addressed [7] - Real-time monitoring of public sentiment is critical for managing investor perceptions and addressing misinformation promptly [8] Group 5 - Risk warning mechanisms are established to identify potential threats to a company's reputation, allowing for proactive response strategies [9] - Quick crisis response is essential, with public relations firms mobilizing teams to manage negative events and control public narratives [10] Group 6 - Image restoration strategies are implemented post-crisis to rebuild trust and improve public perception through positive media coverage and community engagement [11] - Policy interpretation support helps companies adapt to regulatory changes and communicate their implications effectively [12] Group 7 - Building industry influence is important for companies to gain competitive advantages, with public relations firms facilitating executive visibility in industry discussions [13] - Trend forecasting services assist companies in making strategic decisions based on market dynamics and competitor activities [14] Group 8 - New product launches require strategic media campaigns to generate interest and consumer engagement [16] - Strengthening customer trust through storytelling and sharing success cases enhances business growth [17] Group 9 - Cross-industry collaboration can increase brand exposure and attract new customers [18] - Digital content operations are tailored to diverse user needs, improving engagement and conversion rates [19] Group 10 - Social media management fosters interaction with users, enhancing brand loyalty and recognition [20] - Post-campaign data analysis helps refine future strategies for better outcomes [21] Group 11 - Financing communication supports companies during critical capital operations, ensuring investor confidence [22] - M&A public sentiment management is crucial for maintaining transparency and guiding market perceptions [23] Group 12 - Market capitalization management enhances the recognition of a company's value through effective media communication [24] - Internal communication strategies ensure that employees are aligned with corporate goals and understand their roles [25] Group 13 - Promoting corporate culture strengthens internal cohesion and aligns external perceptions with internal values [26] - Establishing feedback mechanisms allows for employee input, improving overall company strategy and communication [27] Group 14 - The 24 core services provided by financial media public relations companies create a comprehensive support system for listed companies, facilitating sustainable development and value enhancement [28]