市场消息：韩国国家安保室室长魏圣洛会见美国国务卿鲁比奥，讨论关税谈判。 ...

Core Viewpoint - South Korea aims to enhance trade negotiations with the United States to achieve mutually beneficial outcomes and eliminate uncertainties caused by tariffs [1] Group 1 - South Korea is focusing on strengthening trade talks with the U.S. [1] - The objective is to create a win-win situation for both countries [1] - The initiative seeks to address and reduce uncertainties related to tariffs [1]

Group 1 - The euro remains stable with a 0.5% decline, holding around 1.1720 against the US dollar [1] - EU officials are considering a potential agreement to implement basic tariff exemptions on major export products, including aircraft and spirits, in upcoming trade negotiations with the US [1] - The EU is working to balance automotive trade by potentially offsetting US car exports with corresponding imports [1]

美国白宫：美国总统特朗普政府继续与伊朗保持直接和间接的接触，以推动协议谈判。 ...

特朗普突然对日本、韩国出手。 美国财政部长贝森特在接受采访时承认，通知函可能不是对部分国家立即征收关税的宣告，而是为贸易伙伴设 定另一个截止日期。 美国商务部长卢特尼克也表示，特朗普的国别关税将于8月1日生效，目前税率和协议都由总统制定。这意味 着，美国贸易伙伴在总统此前设定的7月9日最后期限之前将有一些喘息空间。 据央视新闻8日凌晨报道，美国总统特朗普当地时间7月7日在社交媒体平台上发布了致日本首相石破茂、韩国 总统李在明的信件，表示美国将自2025年8月1日起对所有日本和韩国产品征收25%的关税。 受此影响，日元、韩元兑美元汇率集体跳水，美股三大指数集体走低，道指、纳指、标普500指数盘中一度跌 超1%，丰田汽车ADR大跌超4%，日产汽车ADR大跌超7%，创2月12日以来最差盘中表现。 关键时刻，欧盟与美国关税谈判传来最新消息。据新华社消息，欧盟委员会发言人奥洛夫·吉尔表示，欧盟仍 在争取于7月9日前与美国达成一项原则性的双边贸易协议，目前欧盟与美国仍在继续接触。 特朗普宣布 7月8日凌晨，据央视新闻报道，美国总统特朗普当地时间7月7日在社交媒体平台上发布了致日本首相石破茂、 韩国总统李在明的信件，表示美 ...

风物长宜放眼量——铜行业 2025 年度中期投资策略 20250707 摘要 铜价受弱供给和需求约束影响，过去两年在 8,700 美元至 1 万美元间震 荡。90%的完全成本分布在 8,000 美元，市场情绪底为 8,700 美元， 突破特定水平时，需求和供给端会出现负反馈。 全球制造业自 2022 年中以来处于底部，市场期待联储降息后全球货币 宽松推动制造业修复，从而提振铜价。铜矿供给端扰动较多，2025 年 全球铜矿增长预期从 70 万吨降至 30 多万吨，供需维持紧张。 铜行业供给端面临矿山老化、政治经济约束等问题，导致实际产量不及 预期。冶炼厂因矿端紧张和产能超额投放地位下降，长单 TC 持续降低， 无自有矿山及长单占比低的民营冶炼厂面临停产压力。 全球铜库存自二季度以来持续下行，目前处于五年倒数第二低位。美国 232 安全调查提高美国产品溢价，促使贸易商将产品运往美国套利，美 国本土增加补库需求，导致非美经济体库存外流。 美国 232 安全调查启动后，美国对进口铜实施关税预期提高美国产品溢 价约 14%，推动美国虹吸全球库存，前四个月进口量同比增长 200%， 导致非美经济体库存减少，LME 价格走 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the European Union must demonstrate strength in trade negotiations with the United States [1] Group 2 - The statement reflects the EU's strategic approach to enhance its bargaining power in international trade discussions [1] - The need for a unified stance among EU member states is highlighted to effectively negotiate with the US [1] - The comments suggest a proactive strategy to address trade imbalances and protect European interests [1]

美国总统特朗普：巴西前总统博索纳罗在贸易谈判中非常强硬。（外媒更正：非"巴西在贸易谈判中非 常强硬"） ...

美国总统特朗普：巴西在贸易谈判中非常强硬。 ...

Group 1 - International gold prices experienced a significant increase, rising by $62.76 or 1.92% for the week ending July 4, marking the best performance in three weeks [1] - The rise in gold prices was driven by uncertainties in trade negotiations and concerns over fiscal risks associated with the "Big and Beautiful" plan, alongside expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and a weakening dollar [1][3] - The U.S. non-farm payroll data released showed an increase of 147,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropping to 4.1%, which overshadowed some of the positive momentum in the gold market [2] Group 2 - The uncertainty surrounding the so-called "reciprocal tariffs" remains, with President Trump announcing plans to impose tariffs of up to 70% on certain goods, which has attracted safe-haven buying in gold [3] - The "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill is projected to increase the existing $36.2 trillion national debt by $3.4 trillion, raising concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy and the stability of the debt market [4] - Speculative long positions in gold are increasing, with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange reporting an increase of 7,918 contracts to a total of 443,920 contracts as of July 4 [6]