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国际金价仍维持高位,多头情绪进一步增强,当前占比约7成。油价昨日收涨约1.5%,上行动能稍有减弱,后市情绪如何?欢迎前往“数据库-嘉盛市场晴雨表”查看并订阅(数据每10分钟更新1次)
news flash· 2025-06-04 02:25
Group 1 - International gold prices remain high, with bullish sentiment increasing, currently at approximately 70% [1] - Oil prices rose by about 1.5% yesterday, although upward momentum has slightly weakened [1] Group 2 - Hong Kong Hang Seng Index shows a bullish sentiment of 35% and bearish sentiment of 65% [3] - S&P 500 Index has a bullish sentiment of 20% and bearish sentiment of 80% [3] - Nasdaq Index indicates a strong bullish sentiment of 77% and a bearish sentiment of 23% [3] - Dow Jones Index has a bullish sentiment of 35% and bearish sentiment of 65% [3] - Nikkei 225 Index shows a bullish sentiment of 53% and bearish sentiment of 47% [3] - German DAX 40 Index has a bullish sentiment of 22% and bearish sentiment of 78% [3] Group 3 - Euro/USD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 38% and bearish sentiment of 62% [4] - Euro/GBP currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 77% and bearish sentiment of 23% [4] - Euro/JPY currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 75% and bearish sentiment of 25% [4] - Euro/AUD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [4] - GBP/USD currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 25% and bearish sentiment of 75% [4] - GBP/JPY currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 38% and bearish sentiment of 62% [4] - USD/JPY currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 55% and bearish sentiment of 45% [4] - USD/CAD currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 75% and bearish sentiment of 25% [4] - USD/CHF currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 17% and bearish sentiment of 83% [4] Group 4 - AUD/USD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 39% and bearish sentiment of 61% [4] - AUD/JPY currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 33% and bearish sentiment of 67% [4] - CAD/JPY currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 65% and bearish sentiment of 35% [4] - NZD/USD currency pair shows a bullish sentiment of 47% and bearish sentiment of 53% [4] - NZD/JPY currency pair has a bullish sentiment of 67% and bearish sentiment of 33% [4] - USD/CNH currency pair indicates a bullish sentiment of 23% and bearish sentiment of 77% [4]
大盘指数相关期权牛市价差多头组合可继续持有
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-06-03 22:28
Market Overview - On June 3, the A-share market experienced a volatile upward trend, with a total transaction volume of 1.16 trillion yuan, and over 3,400 stocks closing higher, indicating a generally positive market sentiment [1] - The sectors that performed well included precious metals, banking, gaming, and innovative pharmaceuticals, while steel, automotive, liquor, and coal sectors saw declines [1] Index Performance - The performance of various indices showed mixed results: the CSI 1000 index rose by 0.72%, the Sci-Tech 50 index increased by 0.39%, the Shanghai 50 index gained 0.32%, the ChiNext index was up by 0.25%, the CSI 300 index remained flat, and the Shenzhen 100 index fell by 0.11% [1] Options Market Activity - The total options trading volume across the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, as well as the China Financial Futures Exchange, was 4.05 million contracts, a decrease of 1.84% from the previous trading day, while total open interest rose by 11.55% to 7.60 million contracts [1] - Specifically, the trading volume of the Shanghai 50 ETF options decreased by 4.88%, but open interest increased by 16.58%, with a total of 873,700 contracts traded [1] Options Position Changes - For the June contracts, there was a net increase of 102,900 contracts in total positions, with call options increasing by 40,100 contracts and put options by 62,800 contracts, indicating a stronger increase in put options [1] - The Shanghai 300 ETF options saw a decrease in trading volume by 5.10% on the Shanghai Stock Exchange and 1.53% on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, while open interest increased by 12.25% and 16.69% respectively [2] Volatility Insights - The implied volatility for the Shanghai 50 ETF options was recorded at 12.06%, with historical volatility remaining low at 8.60% for the 30-day period [3] - The narrowing gap between implied and historical volatility suggests a lack of a dominant market trend, with both call and put options seeing increased positions in the shallow out-of-the-money area, particularly in puts [3]
黄金多头跃跃欲试,反弹还是反转?新的趋势能否开启?金十研究员Steven正在直播,点击进入直播间观看>>
news flash· 2025-06-03 12:13
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential for a rebound or reversal in gold prices, highlighting the anticipation among bullish investors for a new trend to emerge [1] Group 1 - Bullish investors are eager to see if a new trend in gold prices can be established [1] - The article features a live discussion by researcher Steven, indicating active engagement in market analysis [1]
黄金假期突破震荡格局!多头趋势能否持续走强?日内回踩如何进场?立即观看超V推荐官Jason的讲解,直播间可领取超V短线分析>>>
news flash· 2025-06-03 09:47
Group 1 - The article discusses the recent breakout of gold prices from a consolidation pattern, indicating a potential bullish trend [1] - It raises questions about the sustainability of this bullish trend and whether it can continue to strengthen [1] - The article suggests that there may be opportunities for entry during pullbacks in the market [1]
黄金多头趋势启动,日内冲击3400未能上破!短线回踩是机会还是风险?立即观看超V推荐官Jason的分析,马上进入直播间>>>
news flash· 2025-06-03 08:51
Group 1 - The bullish trend in gold has started, with a recent attempt to break through the 3400 level failing [1] - There is speculation on whether the short-term pullback represents an opportunity or a risk [1]
山海:金银上涨力度达到预期,周期内不过分追高
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 03:01
Group 1 - Gold and silver have shown upward trends, with gold reaching 3392 and silver at 34.7, indicating a bullish market outlook [2][4] - The upcoming non-farm payroll data is expected to significantly impact gold and silver prices, leading to increased market volatility [4][5] - The technical analysis suggests that gold may face resistance around 3400, and traders are advised to wait for potential pullbacks before entering new long positions [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold has been on a bullish trend, with recent highs at 792 for Shanghai gold and 783 for Rongtong gold, suggesting further upward potential [5] - Silver has reached its target of 34.7, but there are concerns about a potential peak, with a possible downward adjustment if it falls below 34 [6] - International crude oil is expected to maintain a bullish trend, with support at 60 and potential upward movement towards 66 and 68 [7] Group 3 - Domestic fuel has shown strong performance, with recent highs at 2770, and the overall trend remains bullish with potential targets of 2800 and 3000 [8]
今日!港股、A50为何跳水下跌?原因是什么?明天,A股会补跌?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-03 00:29
Core Viewpoint - The sudden drop in Hong Kong and A50 indices is attributed to multiple factors, including the reintroduction of U.S. steel tariffs, a general decline in the Asia-Pacific stock market, and warnings from Morgan Stanley regarding the U.S. dollar and economic conditions [1][2][5]. Group 1: Market Reactions - The Hong Kong stock market and A50 index experienced significant declines, with Hong Kong's drop exceeding 2.5% [1]. - The overall sentiment in the Asia-Pacific region was negative, with major indices like the Hang Seng Tech Index and the National Enterprises Index falling nearly 3% [2]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - The reintroduction of U.S. tariffs on steel has raised concerns about global trade dynamics, contributing to market volatility [1]. - Morgan Stanley's report indicated potential weakness in the U.S. dollar due to interest rate cuts and sluggish economic growth, adding to market uncertainty [5]. - The presence of short-selling activities intensified the market's downward trend, as there were no substantial positive developments during the holiday period [5]. Group 3: Outlook for A-shares - A-shares are expected to open lower due to the negative sentiment from the Hong Kong and A50 declines, but a significant drop is not anticipated [7]. - Despite the expected weak performance, there may be support from mysterious funds aimed at stabilizing the market and preventing excessive declines [7]. - Positive influences from the Dragon Boat Festival holiday, such as the central bank's 700 billion yuan reverse repurchase operations, could provide support for A-shares [7].
Mamba核心作者新作:取代DeepSeek在用的注意力机制,专为推理打造
猿大侠· 2025-06-02 04:22
一水 发自 凹非寺 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 曾撼动Transformer统治地位的Mamba作者之一 Tri Dao ,刚刚带来新作—— 提出两种专为推理"量身定制"的注意力机制。 在保持模型性能不变的情况下,将解码速度和吞吐量最高提升2倍,大大优化了模型的长上下文推理能力。 这项研究的三位作者均来自普林斯顿大学,论文主要有两大贡献: 其一,提出Grouped-Tied Attention(GTA) ,与已集成到LLaMA 3的注意力机制GQA质量相当,但KV缓存用量减少约50%。 其二,提出Grouped Latent Attention(GLA) ,与DeepSeek所使用的注意力机制MLA质量匹配,但解码速度更快,某些情况下比 FlashMLA快2倍。 按照作者之一Ted Zadouri的总结: GTA是GQA的有效替代品,而GLA是MLA的实用替代品。 一言以蔽之,通过优化注意力机制的 内存使用 和 计算逻辑 ,在不牺牲模型生成质量的前提下,可显著提升大语言模型的推理效率和硬件资 源利用率,尤其在长上下文场景中优势更为突出。 相关论文公布后,一众研究者也赶来祝贺~ | Sara Hooker ...
黄金再次探底3288关口,多头能否守住支撑?空头能否继续发力?金十研究员Steven正在直播,点击进入直播间观看>>
news flash· 2025-05-30 12:03
黄金空头能否继续发力? 黄金再次探底3288关口,多头能否守住支撑?空头能否继续发力?金十研究员Steven正在直播,点击进 入直播间观看>> 相关链接 ...
山海:黄金强弱势均力敌,但主体保持多头趋势不变!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-30 02:40
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that despite early declines, gold is expected to rebound, with a strong bullish trend anticipated as it stabilizes above 3280 [2][4] - Gold experienced a significant upward movement, reaching a peak of approximately 3330, reflecting a total increase of nearly 90 USD [4] - The analysis suggests that gold may continue to rise, with potential targets set at 3350 and possibly up to 3360 or 3400 [4][5] Group 2 - Domestic gold opened lower but is expected to provide buying opportunities, with predictions of further increases, particularly for futures contracts [5][6] - The international silver market is characterized by a bullish trend within a range of 32.5 to 34, with successful trades noted at key support levels [5][6] - Crude oil has shown a bullish trend after confirming a level around 60, with expectations of reaching up to 63, contingent on maintaining above the 60 mark [6][7] Group 3 - Domestic fuel oil has shown volatility, with a recent peak at 2770, but is now in a consolidation phase, suggesting a cautious approach to trading until a clearer direction emerges [7]