Poland’s move to cut interest rates this month could be a start of a cycle likely to be continued with two more 25 basis point cuts later this year if data allows, according to policymaker Ludwik Kotecki https://t.co/3jEsPee6Nr ...

3 July 2025 | 8:18PM BST Global Rates Trader Short Runway to Rally Our economists' revised Fed baseline, which implies both earlier cuts and a lower terminal rate, points to a lower range for US yields across the curve. We now expect 10y US yields at 4.20% at end-2025 vs 4.50% previously, with a modestly steeper curve the likely result. We continue to think that a larger sustained rally would likely require a weaker growth outlook than our forecasts suggest, but ongoing data uncertainty makes it hard to rul ...

Goldman Sachs has lowered its forecasts for US Treasury yields, pointing to the increased likelihood that the Fed will cut interest rates sooner than previously expected https://t.co/MarU6yQGEn ...

Wondering if it’s better to buy now, or if mortgage rates will drop later this year or in 2026? Key forecasts offer insight into what homebuyers can expect. https://t.co/6FVbZFC3jZ ...

The so-called big beautiful bill facing a final house approval vote in the coming hours. Joining us now is Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant. Mr.. Secretary, thank you so much for joining us. We're we're going on more than six hours now where Minority Leader Jeff is speaking. What What are you hearing.What's your expectation for when and whether this could pass. Uh, well, it's going it's going to going to pass and my expectation is that we'll get a vote around 130 today. Got it.You have said that this isn't ...

Core Viewpoint - Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) offers a high dividend yield of 20.3%, significantly above the industry average of 12.4%, and has increased its dividend three times in the past five years [1][9]. Dividend Yield - ORC is a specialty finance mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) on a leveraged basis, providing favorable long-term returns and substantial dividend yields [3]. - Competitors AGNC Investment and Arbor Realty Trust have dividend yields of 15.8% and 15.5%, respectively [3]. Financial Position - As of March 31, 2025, ORC had $446.5 million in cash and cash equivalents, with no debt [4]. - The company has a share repurchase plan, with 2.7 million shares available for repurchase as of April 25, 2025 [5]. Market Conditions - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 100 basis points in 2024, and mortgage rates have slightly declined, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 6.77% as of June 26, 2025 [7]. - Fannie Mae projects mortgage rates to reach 6.6% by the end of Q3 2025 and 6.5% by year-end [8]. Earnings Projections - Earnings for 2025 are projected to rise by 394.4%, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 266.67% for Q2 2025 [9][17]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ORC's earnings in 2025 is $0.53, with a significant increase from a loss of $0.18 the previous year [19]. Valuation Analysis - ORC is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 2.47X, higher than the industry average of 2.35X [20]. - The company's share price has increased by 12.5% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average of 10% [14]. Strategic Focus - ORC maintains a focus on agency RMBS, which positions it well in the competitive market, with expectations of improved loan demand and net interest spreads as mortgage rates decline [10][11][22]. - The company generated a positive total return of 2.6% in Q1 2025, driven by its monthly dividend [12].

Mortgage rates in the US dropped to the lowest level since early April https://t.co/DY1Vr9gSjF ...

Core Insights - The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM) decreased to 6.67% as of July 3, 2025, marking a decline from 6.77% the previous week and down from 6.95% a year ago [1][6] - The 15-year FRM also saw a decrease, averaging 5.80%, down from 5.89% last week and 6.25% a year ago [6] - This marks the fifth consecutive week of decline in the average 30-year FRM, representing the largest weekly drop since early March [2] Market Context - The PMMS focuses on conventional, conforming, fully amortizing home purchase loans for borrowers with excellent credit who put 20% down [3] - The decline in mortgage rates is seen as encouraging, with more sellers entering the market, which may provide prospective buyers with an advantage despite ongoing affordability challenges [2] Company Mission - Freddie Mac's mission is to enhance liquidity, stability, and affordability in the housing market, having assisted millions of families in buying, renting, or maintaining their homes since 1970 [4]

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic called for patience amid uncertainty over economic policy and said a wait-and-see approach can help to ensure officials don’t have to reverse course on rates https://t.co/x9V0tKQCRO ...

When we see such a positive jobs report, 147,000 jobs and a lower unemployment level, what is this. What is driving this. Good morning.Thanks for having me. Look, you know, as you said a moment ago, you know, this report was better than 78 out of the 79 forecasts that came into into the Bloomberg consensus range, the Bloomberg forecast. And so what we see is an economy that continues to defy it, continues to defy expectations, continues to defy, you know, all the doom and gloom that's out there, whether it' ...