Group 1 - The China Securities Company Index (399975) decreased by 0.26% as of June 17, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - Xinda Securities (601059) led the gains with an increase of 2.65%, while Huaxin Securities (600621) was the biggest loser, down 1.04% [1] - The Securities ETF (159841) fell by 0.30%, with a latest price of 0.99 yuan and a turnover of 47.74 million yuan during the trading session [1] Group 2 - The recent policy document from the Central Committee and the State Council aims to deepen reforms and expand openness in Shenzhen, which is expected to benefit the brokerage sector [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan believes that the new policy will likely provide a more inclusive environment for enterprises, directly benefiting the brokerage sector [1] Group 3 - The ongoing trend of mergers and acquisitions in the brokerage industry is encouraged by regulators, seen as an effective means for brokers to achieve external growth [2] - Mergers and acquisitions are expected to enhance overall industry competitiveness, optimize resource allocation, and promote healthy market development [2] - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Company Index accounted for 59.01% of the index, with CITIC Securities (600030) holding the largest weight at 14.26% [2][3]

Group 1: Brokerage Recommendations - AT&T has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.71, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy based on 29 brokerage firms' recommendations [2] - Out of the 29 recommendations, 18 are Strong Buy and 3 are Buy, accounting for 62.1% and 10.3% of all recommendations respectively [2] Group 2: Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Studies indicate limited success of brokerage recommendations in guiding investors towards stocks with the best price increase potential [5] - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings, with five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" [6][10] - The interests of brokerage firms may not align with those of retail investors, leading to potential misguidance in stock price movements [7][10] Group 3: Zacks Rank as an Alternative - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary stock rating tool that classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimate revisions, providing a reliable indicator of near-term price performance [8][11] - Unlike ABR, Zacks Rank is based on quantitative models and is updated more frequently to reflect changing business trends [9][12] - AT&T currently holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a cautious outlook despite the Buy-equivalent ABR [14]

Group 1 - The A-share market has rebounded with a trading volume exceeding 1.2 trillion yuan, indicating a recovery in investor sentiment [1] - The leading securities ETF (560090) saw a significant increase in trading volume, rising by 1.65% with a turnover of nearly 95 million yuan, marking a 148% increase compared to the previous trading day [1][3] - Major components of the securities ETF index all experienced gains, with notable increases from Huaxin Co. and Dongwu Securities, both rising over 4% [3] Group 2 - In May 2025, fixed asset investment in China reached 191,947 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [4] - The retail sales of consumer goods totaled 41,326 billion yuan in May, showing a year-on-year increase of 6.4% [4] - The industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.8% year-on-year in May, indicating stable economic performance [4] Group 3 - The overall economic operation in May 2025 was stable, providing support for the upward movement of A-share listings [5] - The securities industry has shown significant recovery in performance, with a continuous increase in trading volume and a favorable policy environment [5][6] - The self-operated income of listed securities firms has maintained rapid growth, contributing to the overall performance recovery of the industry [5] Group 4 - The merger and acquisition market remains active, with several significant transactions and restructuring efforts underway, which are expected to enhance the synergy effects within the industry [6] - The valuation of the securities sector remains low, with the latest price-to-book ratio at 1.38x, indicating strong investment value [10] - The securities ETF (560090) tracks the CSI All Share Securities Companies Index, providing an efficient investment tool for exposure to the securities sector [10]

Group 1 - Chinese brokerage stocks collectively rose, with notable increases: Guolian Minsheng up 5.4% to HKD 3.92, Everbright Securities up 4.46% to HKD 8.66, CICC up 3.88% to HKD 16.6, CITIC Securities up 2.86% to HKD 10.08, and Huatai Securities up 2.56% to HKD 15.24 [1] - The recent issuance of the "Opinions on Deepening Reform and Innovation in the Shenzhen Comprehensive Reform Pilot" by the Central Committee and the State Council allows companies in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to also list on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [1] - This policy is expected to enhance the connectivity between the capital markets of mainland China and Hong Kong, increasing trading activity and opening growth opportunities for brokerage investment banking businesses [1] - Current brokerage valuations are at historical lows, and with market recovery and favorable policies, brokerage businesses such as brokerage, investment banking, and capital intermediary services are likely to benefit, leading to further valuation recovery in the brokerage sector [1] Group 2 - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum will be held in Shanghai on June 18-19, where major financial policies are expected to be announced by central financial management departments [2] - It is anticipated that more policies aimed at activating the capital market will be released, focusing on enhancing the quality of listed companies, market activity, and investor returns [2] - The market sentiment is expected to be catalyzed by the policy announcements during the Lujiazui Forum, according to Donghai Securities [2]

2025年06月14日 证券研究报告|行业研究|行业点评 非银金融 非银行业周报(2025年第二十期) 政策利好、券商有望迎来估值修复 市场表现: 本期（2025.6.9-2025.6.13）非银(申万)指数+1.16%、行业排 6/31, 券商Ⅱ指 数+0.82%,保险II指数+2.06%; 上证综指-0.25%，深证成指-0.60%，创业板指+0.22%。 个股涨跌幅排名前五位：南华期货（+12.63%）、湘财股份（+7.57%）江苏金租 (+6.77%）、浙江东方（+5.74%）、瑞达期货（+5.26%）； 个股涨跌幅排名后五位：海南华铁（-7.18%）、九鼎投资（-3.76%）、渤海租赁 (-3.32%）、华金资本（-2.59%）、哈投股份（-1.91%）。 (注：去除 ST 及退市股票) 核心观点: 证券: 市场层面,本周,证券板块上涨 0.82%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.07pct,跑赢上证综 指数 1.07pct。当前券商板块 PB 估值为 1.28 倍，位于 2020 年 20 分位点附近，处 于历史低位。 本周,中共中央办公厅、国务院办公厅印发《关于深入推进深圳综合改革试点深 化改革创新 ...

6月16日，券商股板块早盘活跃，截至发稿，中证全指证券公司指数涨0.38%，成分股中，东吴证券涨 超2%，华鑫股份、国信证券、东方财富、锦龙股份等跟涨。 国金证券表示，券商板块上半年业绩同比改善趋势明确，高盈利与低估值的显著错配凸显配置性价比， 建议关注2025上半年业绩超预期标的与持仓占比低的低配修复机会；券商并购预期增强，建议关注券商 并购潜在标的机会。 相关ETF中，证券ETF（159841）截至发稿涨0.51%，成交额超5500万元。 （本文机构观点来自持牌证券机构，不构成任何投资建议，亦不代表平台观点，请投资人独立判断和决 策。） 值得关注的是，据Wind金融终端，证券ETF（159841）最新流动规模为59.17 亿元，为深市同标的产品 中规模首位。上周（6月9日-6月13日）成交额超9.7亿元，居深市同标的产品首位。 证券ETF（159841）密切跟踪中证全指证券公司指数，该指数聚焦了A股的大市值证券龙头，而且既有 传统证券龙头，也有金融科技龙头。证券ETF（159841）同时配置场外证券ETF联接基金（A： 008590，C：008591）。 中航证券表示，在政策利好的背景下，券商业务发展迎来 ...

证券板块 本周券商行情驱动因素主要来自中美谈判缓和提振市场情绪以及行业并购重组主题持续发酵。1）6 月 6 日，证监会核 准中央汇金成为长城国瑞证券等 8 家金融机构的实际控制人；2）国信并购案临近审核，6 月 13 日，国信证券公告其 发行股份收购万和证券 96.08%股权事项，将于 6 月 19 日接受深交所并购重组委审核，进一步强化券商并购重组主题。 投资建议：建议关注四条主线：（1）港交所：ADT 增长有望驱动业绩与估值提升（25/05 ADT 为 2103 亿元，同比+50%； 累计 ADT 为 2423 亿元；截至 25/05 末上市公司数量 2633 家，同比+23 家）。（2）四川双马：创投行业或会迎来进一步 政策催化，科技赛道占优，创投业务有望受益。公司管理基金的已投项目——奕斯伟科技（2024/12/24 状态更新为已 问询）、奕斯伟计算技术（2025/5/30 向港交所递交上市申请）、邦德激光（高端装备，2024/1/3 进行上市辅导备案）、 屹唐半导体（2025/3/13 证监会批复注册）、群核科技（"杭州六小龙"之一，2025/2/14 向港交所递交上市申请）、丽 豪半导体（拟最快 ...

Core Viewpoint - The restructuring of local state-owned capital through mergers and acquisitions is becoming a crucial path for small and medium-sized securities firms to break through in the current market environment [1][6]. Group 1: Shareholder Changes - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has approved the transfer of 13.48% of Zhongtian Securities' shares to Liaoning Transportation Investment Co., Ltd. (Liaoning Jiao Tou) [2][3]. - Zhongtian Securities has a total asset of 13.49 billion yuan and an owner's equity of 4.27 billion yuan as of the end of 2024 [2]. - The company reported a revenue of 655 million yuan and a net profit of 179 million yuan for the year 2024 [2]. Group 2: Industry Trends - There has been a notable increase in shareholder changes among small and medium-sized securities firms, with at least 10 firms experiencing changes in major shareholders or actual controllers in the past year [4]. - The trend of local state-owned enterprises acquiring stakes in securities firms is prevalent, with various methods of transfer, including between different state-owned platforms and from private enterprises [5]. - The concentration in the securities industry is increasing, leading to intensified competition, particularly for small and medium-sized firms [6].

中经记者 郭婧婷 北京报道 近日，证监会核准中央汇金投资有限责任公司（以下简称"中央汇金"）成为三大AMC公司（中国信 达、东方资产、长城资产）旗下8家金融机构的实控人。此次中央汇金对8家AMC系金融机构的控股， 是继2月14日其从财政部手中接管三大AMC控股权后的业务整合延续。划转结束后，中央汇金直接或间 接控股的金融机构将超20家。 市场人士认为，此次8家机构中，长城、东兴和信达3家期货公司的加入，使得中央汇金金融版图的全牌 照布局得以完善。专业人士认为，资源整合后，中央汇金有望形成"全链条"优势。 有券商作出研判：在加快推进建设一流投资银行的背景下，中央汇金旗下券商进一步增多，券商牌照整 合预期升温，行业供给侧改革或将进一步加速。 中央汇金全牌照布局 此次新增8 家归于中央汇金实控的金融机构包括：长城国瑞证券有限公司、东兴证券股份有限公司、信 达证券股份有限公司、东兴基金管理有限公司、信达澳亚基金管理有限公司、长城期货股份有限公司 （以下简称"长城期货"）、东兴期货有限责任公司（以下简称"东兴期货"）和信达期货有限公司（以下 简称"信达期货"）。 值得一提的是，长城期货、东兴期货和信达期货3家期货公司的 ...

6月13日晚间，证监会发布了核准中天证券变更主要股东的批复。核准辽宁交通投资有限责任公司（以下称 辽宁交投）依法受让中天证券13.48%的股份。在中天证券此前的股权结构中，辽渔集团为第四大股东，持 股13.48%。 早在2023年底，中天证券第二大股东本钢集团（持股21.35%）就拟公开挂牌转让其所持的中天证券21.35%的 股权。中天证券为辽宁省属券商，2024年实现营业收入6.55亿元，净利润1.79亿元。 辽宁交投将持股13.48% 企查查信息显示，辽宁省交通建设投资集团有限责任公司持有辽宁交投100%股权。辽宁省交通建设投资集团 有限责任公司是辽宁省委、省政府整合全省高速公路、省属铁路、原省交通厅所属企业组建的大型省属企业。 交投集团于2016年组建，2019年改组为辽宁首家国有资本投资公司，注册资本366.5亿元，资产总额2894亿 元，全资、控股企业56家，员工1.7万人。 21.35%股权曾被公开转让 早在2023年11月，中天证券的部分股权就被公开转让。 2023年11月上旬，上市公司出版传媒公告称，公司第三届董事会第二十八次会议以通讯表决的方式召开，会议 审议并通过了《关于公司放弃本钢集团转 ...