Workflow
失业
icon
Search documents
意大利第一季度季调后失业率 6.1%,预期6%,前值6.10%。
news flash· 2025-06-12 08:07
意大利第一季度季调后失业率 6.1%,预期6%,前值6.10%。 ...
意大利一季度失业率 6.1%,预期 6%,前值 6.1%。
news flash· 2025-06-12 08:04
意大利一季度失业率 6.1%,预期 6%,前值 6.1%。 ...
美国就业数据严重“注水”?经济学家警告:失业率年底或飙升至4.8%
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-06-12 05:14
Group 1 - The employment report for May showed an increase of 139,000 jobs, surpassing the market consensus of 125,000, but significant downward revisions to previous months overshadow this positive signal [1] - The initial estimate for March's job growth was revised down from 224,000 to 120,000, indicating a trend of downward adjustments in employment data [1] - The average downward revision of initial estimates to third estimates for non-farm employment data since January 2023 has been approximately 30,000 jobs per month [1] Group 2 - The rising frequency of employment data revisions may be attributed to small businesses delaying data submissions, which are most affected by high interest rates and tariff costs [3] - Small businesses are described as "canaries in the coal mine," facing significant financial challenges that lead to cautious hiring and capital expenditure decisions [3] - Employment in retail, wholesale, and transportation logistics is expected to decline by 50,000 by the end of the year due to the fading "front-loading" effect of tariffs [3] Group 3 - The NFIB small business hiring intentions index has dropped to its lowest level since May 2020, indicating a slowdown in hiring intentions [3][6] - A regional Federal Reserve survey shows that hiring intentions are below the average levels from 2015 to 2024, suggesting a correlation between hiring intentions and actual employment growth [7] - The government sector is also expected to see a reduction in jobs, with a decrease of 59,000 positions this year, including a drop of 22,000 in May [10] Group 4 - The unemployment rate is projected to peak at 4.8% by December, reflecting the ongoing challenges in the labor market [10] - Despite the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on interest rate cuts, the underlying weakness in the labor market suggests that a shift towards easing policies may be necessary to support businesses [11]
湖北延续失业保险稳岗返还 中小微企业可享受返60%
Chang Jiang Shang Bao· 2025-06-12 00:04
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the extension of unemployment insurance policies in Hubei Province until the end of 2025, aimed at reducing enterprise burdens, stabilizing employment, enhancing worker skills, and ensuring basic living standards for unemployed individuals [1][2][3] Group 2 - In terms of the stable job retention policy, enterprises that have paid unemployment insurance for over 12 months and have not laid off employees or have a layoff rate below 5.5% can apply for job retention refunds. Large enterprises can receive 30% of the actual unemployment insurance paid, while small and micro enterprises can receive 60% [1] - The funds from the job retention refunds can be used flexibly for employee living allowances, social insurance payments, job transfer training, and skill enhancement training [1] Group 3 - The skills enhancement subsidy policy supports both employed and unemployed individuals who have participated in unemployment insurance for over 12 months and obtained vocational qualification certificates. The subsidy amounts range from 500 yuan for entry-level certificates to 1000 yuan for advanced certificates, with potential increases for critical skill areas [2] - Each individual can receive the subsidy once per year, with additional allowances for those holding certificates in critical industries [2] Group 4 - Hubei Province will continue to provide unemployment insurance benefits, cover basic medical insurance costs, and ensure temporary price subsidies for unemployed individuals, with special provisions for older unemployed individuals [3]
周四(6月12日)重点关注财经事件和经济数据
news flash· 2025-06-11 23:02
Economic Data Releases - The UK will release key economic indicators including the GDP monthly rate for April, manufacturing output monthly rate for April, seasonally adjusted trade balance for April, and industrial output monthly rate for April [1] - The US will report initial jobless claims for the week ending June 7, May PPI year-on-year and month-on-month rates [1] - The EIA will publish natural gas inventory data for the week ending June 6 [1] - The Federal Reserve will release its quarterly financial accounts report at midnight [1]
韩国5月失业率 2.7%,预期2.7%,前值2.70%。
news flash· 2025-06-10 23:00
韩国5月失业率 2.7%,预期2.7%,前值2.70%。 ...
每日机构分析:6月10日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 08:30
·植田和男放鸽日元应声走软 【机构分析】 ·英格兰和威尔士特许会计师协会的分析师苏伦·蒂鲁在一份报告中写道,英国就业市场出现问题的迹象 可能不足以促使英国央行本月再次降息。周二公布的数据显示,英国失业率已升至近四年来的最高水 平,为4.6%,而工资增长也在放缓。"英国的劳动力市场正处于一个痛苦的时期,高得惊人的商业成本 可能意味着今年会有更多的失业。"蒂鲁说。但他补充道,由于通胀仍高于英国央行的目标,英国央行 的政策制定者不会受到影响,不会在本月晚些时候召开的政策会议中降息。 ·尽管失业率上升英国央行仍可能按兵不动 ·英国央行将警惕工资增长态势 ·普信集团:美联储近期不太可能降息 ·野村:日本央行加息可能面临"相当大的障碍" ·普信集团策略师蒂姆·默里表示,在关税相关的不确定性消退或劳动力市场出现明显恶化之前,美联储 将继续按兵不动。默里预计短期内不会出现"美联储认沽期权",即美联储降息救市。美联储的政策制定 者知道,降低利率并不是解决不确定性的良方。考虑到关税将推高通胀的风险,美联储也不愿降息。默 里预计,美联储将坚持其依赖数据的做法,避免提供前瞻指引,并避免发出任何"政治信息"。 ·野村证券全球市场研究部 ...
6月9日汇市晚评:日本央行考虑放缓削减购债规模 美元/日元跌至144.00附近
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-09 09:30
周一(6月9日)汇市简况:欧元兑美元吸引了一些逢低买盘,欧洲时段涨幅扩大至1.1450附近;受美元 走弱推动,英镑兑美元欧洲时段在1.3550上方获得牵引力;日元维持日内小幅涨幅,加之美元整体走 弱,拖累美元兑日元跌至144.20区域,或近一小时内的新日低;澳元兑美元小幅走高,收复了前一交易 日的失地;纽元兑美元收复了前一交易日的近期跌幅,亚洲时段在0.6040附近交投;美元兑加元回落前 一交易日涨幅,亚洲时段在1.3680附近交投。日内晚间22:00美国4月批发销售月率。 非美主要货币: 1.欧洲央行管委霍尔茨曼:对本周的利率决定持不同意见。目前的名义中性利率约为3%。 今日汇市要闻盘点: 美元: 1.美国5月新增非农就业人数略好于预期,前两月数据大幅下修;失业率稳定,平均时薪好于预期;美 联储降息押注减少。 2.美联储哈玛克:呼吁保持耐心,目前尚非采取先发制人措施的时机。 3.美联储理事鲍曼:美联储应该提议改变对大型银行的监管评级。银行监管机构将在不久的将来公布建 议,以完善提高补充杠杆率。 4.美联储传声筒:放大看,美国失业率其实在走高;对美联储而言,较慢的就业增长可能并不预示经济 疲软。 5.美联储任 ...
这份非农数据,正在撕裂美国的经济叙事!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 05:23
企业调查说"我们在招人",家庭调查却说"工作在减少"!你说这是统计方法的分歧,我看是就业市场在演"双簧"。 再来看工资:5月时薪涨了0.4%,年比涨了3.9%,听起来是不是像老板终于良心发现? 大家好,今天我们来聊聊美国最新的非农就业数据——这份数据就像一个看起来还不错的蛋糕,但你切开才发现,里面居然是辣椒酱! 先说表面:美国5月新增就业人数13.9万,市场预期才12.6万,表面上是个"惊喜"对吧? 一张修正卡立刻就打脸了!前两个月的数据一刀砍下去,直接缩水了9.5万人。三月的数据甚至从18.5万直接砍到12万,感觉就像你去银行查余额:昨天还 有18块,今天只剩12了! 然后是失业率:稳稳地卡在4.2%,跟上个月一样,听起来是不是挺安心?但问题来了,你知道这"稳"是怎么来的?劳动力直接跑路了。整个劳动力队伍少 了将近60万人! 最惨的是制造业,5月直接砍了8000个岗位,亮起了红灯。 联邦政府更狠,裁了2.2万人,是不是预算不够连自己人都养不起了? 从1月开始已经裁了近6万人,后面还可能影响承包商、大学、公共部门…… 要是再这样下去,学校门口可能都要贴个招聘:"招聘物理老师一名,要求自带工资。" 不过也有些行 ...