大商所纯苯期货、期权将于2025年7月8日（周二）上午09:00起上市交易！一文了解纯苯期货、期权交 易保证金水平、涨跌停板幅度以及交易手续费等相关信息。 相关链接 期货热点追踪 ...

先锋期货期权日报 2025-6-27 风险揭示 本报告中的信息或所表述的意见并不构成对任何人的投资建议。本报告所载 的资料、工具、意见及推测只提供给客户作参考之用。过去的表现并不代表未来 的表现，未来的回报也无法保证，投资者可能会损失本金。 在任何情况下，我们不对任何人因使用本报告中的任何内容所引致的任何损 失负任何责任，投资者需自行承担风险。此报告中所指的投资及服务可能不适合 阁下，我们建议阁下如有任何疑问应咨询独立投资顾问。 | 标 的 | 平值期权隐 | 排 名 | 标的30天历 | 排 名 | 标的当日 | 排 名 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 含波动率 | | 史波动率 | | 真实波幅 | | | sc2508 | 2.4% | 1 | 3.4% | 1 | 2.0% | 8 | | ps2508 | 2.0% | 2 | 2.1% | 2 | 6.7% | 1 | | ao2508 | 1.7% | 3 | 1.3% | 19 | 1.6% | 15 | | sn2508 | 1.7% | 4 | 1.3% | 18 | 1. ...

金融期权 2025/06/27 金融期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | 金融期权策略早报概要： （1）股市短评：上证综指数、大盘蓝筹股、中小盘股和创业板股表现为在高位小幅震荡。 （2）金融期权波动性分析：金融期权隐含波动率维持在均值偏上水平。 表3：期权因子—量仓PCR | 期权品种 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | 成交量 | 量PCR | 持仓量 | 仓PCR | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | （万张) | | （万张） | | PCR | 变化 | PCR | 变化 | | 上证50ETF | 92.72 | -75.69 | 102.31 | -43.78 | 0.79 | 0 ...

Core Viewpoint - A significant number of foreign exchange options with strike prices exceeding 1 billion are set to expire on June 27, 2023, at 22:00 Beijing time, which may impact market volatility and trading strategies [1]. Group 1: Currency Pairs and Values - The following currency pairs have notable option values and strike prices: - Euro to USD: 18 billion euros at 1.1600, 5.7 billion euros at 1.1625, 15 billion euros at 1.1650, 8.88 billion euros at 1.1700, 3.46 billion euros at 1.1725, and 3 billion euros at 1.1750 [3]. - Euro to CHF: 3.9 billion euros at 0.9360 [4]. - GBP to USD: 10 billion GBP at 1.3600 [4]. - AUD to USD: 4.91 billion AUD at 0.6500 and 3.5 billion AUD at 0.6570 [4]. - USD to CAD: 11 billion USD at 1.3645-1.3650 [4]. - USD to JPY: 3.55 billion USD at 144.00 and 7.75 billion USD at 145.00 [5]. Group 2: Expiration Impact - The expiration of these large options may lead to increased volatility in the respective currency pairs, particularly for those with significant values at critical strike prices [1][4].

Group 1 - The global financial market is experiencing an optimistic wave driven by policy expectations, particularly regarding the unclear "trade understanding" between the US and China and strong bets on an imminent rate cut by the Federal Reserve [1][2] - The recent statement by US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, confirming a formal agreement including rare earth transportation, is seen as a positive signal for easing trade tensions, although the specifics of the agreement remain highly opaque [2] - The upcoming deadline of July 9 for the US to implement reciprocal tariffs on other trade partners adds a layer of risk, particularly for countries like India, Japan, and the EU that have not yet reached agreements [2] Group 2 - The Federal Reserve's monetary policy expectations are a significant pillar supporting current market sentiment, with recent economic data indicating a slowdown, thereby increasing the likelihood of rate cuts [3] - Market speculation around the Fed's potential actions has led to the emergence of the "Fed Put" concept, suggesting that the market believes the Fed will intervene during significant economic slowdowns [3] - Political pressure from the White House is casting a shadow over the Fed's independence, adding uncertainty to future policy decisions, despite assurances from Fed officials that such pressure does not affect their communication [3] Group 3 - Global asset prices have reacted significantly to these macro narratives, with stock markets generally rising, US markets reaching new highs, and a weakening dollar aligning with rate cut expectations [5] - Oil prices have increased, reflecting market optimism regarding economic prospects, while US Treasury yields have declined, particularly at the short end, indicating pricing in of potential Fed rate cuts [5] Group 4 - Japan's economic data presents a mixed picture, with core CPI remaining above the Bank of Japan's target despite a decline, indicating accumulating inflationary pressures, while weak retail sales suggest a need for domestic demand stimulation [6] - The Bank of Japan faces challenges in balancing inflation pressures with economic momentum, with market expectations leaning towards normalization of policy, though the timing remains uncertain [6] Group 5 - The sustainability of the current market optimism largely depends on the actual progress of trade negotiations, the outcome of the July 9 deadline, and key economic data releases from major economies like the US and Japan [7] - The market is currently in a state of exuberance amidst uncertainty, highlighting the need for cautious trading strategies in response to potential unexpected developments [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates a significant increase in euro options trading, suggesting a strong bullish sentiment among investors regarding the euro's potential to rise further against the dollar [1] - On Thursday, the trading volume of euro options exceeded $56 billion, setting a new record and highlighting investor confidence in the euro's upward trajectory [1] - There is a notable focus on bullish euro options, with contracts betting on the euro to surpass the 1.20 mark against the dollar increasing over the past week, reflecting a shift in investor strategy amid concerns over the dollar [1] Group 2 - Mizuho Securities' chief strategist Shoki Omori noted that euro bulls are gaining momentum, which is evident in the current options market [1] - Geopolitical tensions and the diminishing appeal of the dollar as a safe haven are contributing to a favorable environment for the euro, as indicated by Convera's strategist Antonio Ruggiero [1] - The article suggests that if trade tensions escalate, the eurozone could emerge as the largest economy outside the U.S., attracting more investment into the euro [1]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】669号 中信期货研究|⾦融衍⽣品策略⽇报 2025-06-27 股市短期进⼊观察期，债市维持谨慎 股指期货：情绪休整 股指期权：择机⽌盈 国债期货：情绪有所企稳 股指期货方面，情绪休整。昨日盘面先升后降，Wind全A指数微跌0. 28%，科创100指数跌幅接近2%，行业方面，银行、电信等避险方向逆势 上涨，非银金融情绪回落。期货方面，股指期货持仓量结束连续3天上 涨，显示资金有止盈动向，同时股指期货贴水有进一步收敛趋势，或反 映部分中性策略资金将远月对冲移仓至近月对冲，对于趋势借鉴意义不 大。展望后市，本周连续上涨之后，昨日出现疲软迹象，短期进入观察 期，后续继续关注持续性，暂续持IM多单。 股指期权方面，情绪暂歇，择机⽌盈。昨日期权市场成交额50.95亿 元，相较前一交易日下降31.92%，仍处较高区间，但主要交易动力或来 自止盈及卖方重新入场布局。情绪指标方面，一方面持续数日的看涨期 权日内成交占比攀升被打破，过热情绪暂歇；而另一方面持仓占比由于 前一日为ETF到期日，因此ETF期权较难看出情绪变化，但从股指期权来 看，各品种持仓量PCR没有回落太多，卖权资金整体还 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the spot gold market is currently exhibiting a weak trend, with prices retreating to the low point area from the previous night [1] - The price of gold is approaching a significant support level at 3307, which is identified as the strongest support zone based on multiple Bollinger Bands and important options reference points [1] - There is a need to monitor whether gold prices can stabilize at this support level; if it fails to hold, the next support is further away and weaker than the current support zone [1]

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs indicates that the options market expects a 60% probability that Brent crude oil will remain around $60 per barrel over the next three months [1] - There is a 28% probability that Brent crude oil prices will exceed $70 per barrel in the same timeframe [1]

证券代码：603115 证券简称：海星股份 公告编号：2025-022 南通海星电子股份有限公司 关于调整 2024 年股票期权激励计划行权价格及注销部 分股票期权的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 南通海星电子股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于 2025 年 6 月 26 日召开了 第五届董事会第九次会议、第四届监事会第十九次会议，会议审议通过了《关于 调整 2024 年股票期权激励计划行权价格及注销部分股票期权的议案》，现对有 关事项说明如下： 一、2024 年股票期权激励计划（以下简称"本激励计划"）已履行的决策 程序和信息披露情况 了《关于公司<2024 年股票期权激励计划（草案）>及其摘要的议案》《关于公 司<2024 年股票期权激励计划实施考核管理办法>的议案》《关于提请股东大会 授权董事会办理股权激励相关事宜的议案》以及《关于召开公司 2024 年第二次 临时股东大会的议案》，相关议案已经公司董事会薪酬与考核委员会审议通过。 同日，公司召开第四届监事会第十三次会议，审议通过了《关于公司<202 ...