全球经济

Search documents
黄金避险需求仍然强劲,中长期走强逻辑不变
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-27 06:58
周二(5月27日)本交易日国际黄金日内维持震荡走势,今日开盘报3342.46美元/盎司,最高触及3350.03美元/盎司,最低触及3324.34美元/盎司,截止当前金价 报3325.49美元/盎司,涨幅-0.50%。黄金ETF基金(159937)盘中涨幅-0.31%,换手率1.54%,成交金额4.41亿。(数据来源:Wind) 北京首创期货指出,近期鲍威尔提出调整美联储政策框架理论上对金价有一定利空,但今年美联储对金价的影响力并不大。特朗普大而美法案通过,短期而 言,减缓了市场对经济的担忧,利空金价,但长期而言,美国杠杆率将进一步上升,长线视角利多金价。国际货币制度的松动,央行增持黄金,全球地缘局 势复杂,全球经济下行压力增加,是推动金价长期上行的主要因素。从基本面角度看,中长期变量没有发生根本性改变,从技术面角度看,黄金的中长期涨 势也没有任何改变。短期行情进入高位整理,回踩60日均线后仍是做多机会。 黄金ETF基金(159937)通过投资上海黄金交易所AU9999现货合约,实现与国内金价的高度拟合,具有低门槛、低成本和交易形式多样化等特点,支持T+0 交易。长期来看,黄金中枢随信用货币规模而稳定抬升,以及 ...
和讯投顾刘基:黄金价格“过山车” 上车还是逃跑?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 12:44
Core Viewpoint - The recent fluctuations in gold prices have created a dramatic market environment, with significant highs and lows impacting investors and consumers [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movements - Gold prices experienced a sharp rise to a historical high followed by a sudden decline, causing losses for many investors and consumers [1]. - On May 21, gold prices rebounded sharply, indicating a volatile market [1]. - In the first quarter of 2025, global gold investment demand surged, with China's demand for gold bars and coins reaching the second-highest record in history [1]. Group 2: Market Influences - The volatility in gold prices is primarily driven by changes in market risk sentiment, influenced by uncertainties in US-China trade negotiations and regional conflicts [1]. - As negotiations progressed and tensions eased, market risk sentiment diminished, leading to a decline in gold prices [1][2]. - The relationship between gold prices and the US dollar is significant, with expectations of tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve potentially strengthening the dollar and suppressing gold prices [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Experts suggest that gold prices may enter a phase of high-level fluctuations in the medium to long term, influenced by central bank gold purchases and geopolitical uncertainties [2]. - Investors are advised to approach gold investments cautiously, avoiding impulsive decisions in response to market volatility [2].
黄金大涨,打脸特朗普,超级行情继续!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-26 05:01
黄金今年是不断创历史的一年,元旦节后黄金多空都达到了极致,尤其是进入到4月份之后这种走势更是陷入癫狂;过去100单日涨跌100美元的稀有行情现 在成了家常便饭,日内V型反转,倒V走势成了常态!一天波动比过去一个月还要大,15分钟图相当于之前的日线! 止损,永远是对的,错了也对! 死扛,永远是错的,对了也错! 横批:止损无条件! 如果没有交易原则,那么,一切技术等于零! 黄金,今天日内而言,美国阵亡将士纪念日,贵金属市场提前休市,美股全天休市,所以重点在亚欧盘!今天早盘开盘回落,3365区域构成短期阻力,下方 于3330-35强弱分界区域获得支撑;因此,接下来短线先看3365--3330区间折腾,操作上无所谓多空,区间高抛低吸,上破则可跟进一波短线多单,下破跟进 一波空单! 沪金和融通金,上周四周五建议有跟随国际黄金在3150区域抄底多单的可以获利了结,并可以轻仓先空。接下来,继续关注高空机会,毕竟黄金逐步逼近大 扫荡上边缘,多单暂定义为短线!沪金主力合约,压力785--92--800--810--815--830,支撑777-772--765--756--740--732!融通金价格略低4元上下/克。 白银, ...
G7财长会公报不提关税反而影射中国,专家解读
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-05-23 23:00
Group 1 - The G7 finance ministers and central bank governors concluded a three-day meeting in Canada, committing to address "excessive imbalances" in the global economy, which is perceived as a veiled criticism of China [1] - The joint statement emphasized the importance of a "fair competitive environment" and the need for coordinated action against countries that do not adhere to the same rules and lack transparency [1] - The statement also highlighted the increase in "low-value goods," suggesting potential strain on customs and tax systems [1] Group 2 - Experts noted that the G7's statement serves as a justification for the U.S. government's trade pressure on China, although there is uncertainty about whether this will lead to collective action [2] - The joint statement did not address U.S. tariffs, which have been a source of significant contention among G7 members, indicating deep divisions within the group [2] - The meeting is seen as a precursor to the upcoming G7 summit scheduled for June 15-17 in Alberta, Canada, where further discussions on these issues are expected [2]
中国人民银行行长潘功胜会见摩根大通集团董事长兼首席执行官杰米·戴蒙
news flash· 2025-05-23 11:38
Group 1 - The meeting between the Governor of the People's Bank of China, Pan Gongsheng, and Jamie Dimon, Chairman and CEO of JPMorgan Chase, focused on global economic and financial conditions, Sino-US trade relations, and China's macroeconomic policies [1]
兴业证券张忆东:全球动荡,如何抓住配置机遇?
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-23 07:53
Group 1 - The global economic and technological landscape is undergoing unprecedented changes by 2025, influenced by the US's tariff policies, leading to significant shifts in global capital markets [1][2] - There are three major investment opportunities identified: gold, military industry, and digital assets; opportunities related to technological innovation; and Chinese assets [3][4] - The revaluation of Chinese assets is just beginning, and the core logic of asset valuation in China remains unchanged despite tariff impacts [1][3] Group 2 - The current era is characterized by uncertainty, with the greatest certainty being the prevalence of uncertainty in the coming years [2][3] - The Chinese capital market is expected to thrive in the long term, with a stable A-share index and structural bull market anticipated [4][5] - China's economy is seen as a stabilizing anchor in the global economy amidst international turmoil, benefiting from a positive feedback loop between the stock market and economic expectations [4][5] Group 3 - Technological breakthroughs in China are boosting national confidence and enhancing global investor sentiment towards Chinese assets [5] - The service consumption sector in China has significant potential, with new consumption trends emerging that focus on emotional resonance and identity recognition [5] - The Hong Kong market is poised for a long-term bull run, driven by the revaluation of Chinese assets and a changing market ecology [6][7] Group 4 - Investment strategies should focus on strategically increasing exposure to Chinese assets while maintaining a balanced approach to market fluctuations [6][7] - The Hong Kong market is expected to experience a two-phase recovery, with initial volatility followed by improvements in fundamentals and risk appetite [6][7]
黄金又上演冲高大跌,大扫荡行情还要持续多久?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-23 01:26
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is experiencing extreme volatility, with significant price fluctuations becoming commonplace, driven by various macroeconomic factors such as trade wars, geopolitical tensions, central bank gold purchases, and economic recession fears [1][3]. Group 1: Market Trends - Gold has seen unprecedented daily price movements, with fluctuations of $100 becoming routine, indicating a highly speculative environment [1]. - The recent trading session showed a high of 3345 and a low of 3279, with a total daily range of $66, which is considered normal for recent market conditions [1][3]. Group 2: Trading Strategies - Investors are advised to adopt strict stop-loss strategies and to be flexible in their trading approach, whether going long or short, as long as there are solid reasons for their positions [1]. - Key support levels to watch include the 3280 area, with potential pullbacks to 3250-55 or even 3200 if the market declines [5][7]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The market is currently at a critical juncture, with the 3315 area acting as a resistance level and the 3280 area serving as a support level [7]. - The trading strategy should involve buying near support levels and selling at resistance, with specific attention to the 5-day and 10-day moving averages for additional support [5][7].
金属普跌 期铜触及三周低点 因经济和需求不确定性挥之不去【5月22日LME收盘】
Wen Hua Cai Jing· 2025-05-23 00:53
5月22日(周四),伦敦金属交易所(LME)铜价创下三周新低,其他基本金属价格也有所回落,因全 球经济形势和需求增长的不确定性持续存在。 伦敦时间5月22日17:00(北京时间5月23日00:00),LME三个月期铜收跌33.00美元或0.35%,收报每吨 9,500.50美元。盘初,该合约触及5月1日以来的最低点每吨9,223.20美元。 | | | 5月22日LE基本金属收盘报价(美元/吨) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 我屋 | 收盘价 | | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | 三个月期铜 | 9,500.50 | → | -33.00 | J -0.35% | | 三个月期铝 | 2.456.00 | 1 | -15.50 | 1 -0.63% | | 三个月期锌 | 2,697.50 | 1 | +4.50 | 1+0.17% | | 三个月期铅 | 1.970.00 | ﺑــ | -4.00 | 1 -0.20% | | 三个月期镍 | 15,494.00 | ب | | -108.00 J -0.69% | | 三个月期锡 | 32,378.00 | ...
G7财长会发表联合公报:各方交流富有成效 达成多项共识
news flash· 2025-05-22 19:53
Core Viewpoint - The G7 finance ministers and central bank governors concluded their meeting in Banff, Alberta, discussing global economic and financial conditions, shared risks and opportunities, and potential responses [1] Group 1: Global Economic Resilience and Security - Participants reached a consensus on enhancing global economic resilience and security [1] Group 2: Support for Ukraine - The meeting emphasized the importance of continued support for Ukraine amid ongoing challenges [1] Group 3: Long-term Growth and Productivity - Discussions included strategies to promote long-term growth and productivity across member nations [1] Group 4: Artificial Intelligence and Financial Sector Issues - The G7 addressed the implications of artificial intelligence and various issues within the financial sector [1] Group 5: Combating Financial Crime - There was a collective agreement on the need to combat financial crime effectively [1] Group 6: Support for Developing Countries - The meeting highlighted the necessity of supporting developing countries in their economic endeavors [1] Group 7: Strengthening International Cooperation - Participants agreed on the importance of strengthening international cooperation to tackle global challenges [1]
七国集团(G7)财长和央行行长发布联合公报,警告全球经济“多度失衡”。
news flash· 2025-05-22 18:39
七国集团(G7)财长和央行行长发布联合公报,警告全球经济"多度失衡"。 ...