特朗普突然对日本、韩国出手。 美国财政部长贝森特在接受采访时承认，通知函可能不是对部分国家立即征收关税的宣告，而是为贸易伙伴设 定另一个截止日期。 美国商务部长卢特尼克也表示，特朗普的国别关税将于8月1日生效，目前税率和协议都由总统制定。这意味 着，美国贸易伙伴在总统此前设定的7月9日最后期限之前将有一些喘息空间。 据央视新闻8日凌晨报道，美国总统特朗普当地时间7月7日在社交媒体平台上发布了致日本首相石破茂、韩国 总统李在明的信件，表示美国将自2025年8月1日起对所有日本和韩国产品征收25%的关税。 受此影响，日元、韩元兑美元汇率集体跳水，美股三大指数集体走低，道指、纳指、标普500指数盘中一度跌 超1%，丰田汽车ADR大跌超4%，日产汽车ADR大跌超7%，创2月12日以来最差盘中表现。 关键时刻，欧盟与美国关税谈判传来最新消息。据新华社消息，欧盟委员会发言人奥洛夫·吉尔表示，欧盟仍 在争取于7月9日前与美国达成一项原则性的双边贸易协议，目前欧盟与美国仍在继续接触。 特朗普宣布 7月8日凌晨，据央视新闻报道，美国总统特朗普当地时间7月7日在社交媒体平台上发布了致日本首相石破茂、 韩国总统李在明的信件，表示美 ...

风物长宜放眼量——铜行业 2025 年度中期投资策略 20250707 摘要 铜价受弱供给和需求约束影响，过去两年在 8,700 美元至 1 万美元间震 荡。90%的完全成本分布在 8,000 美元，市场情绪底为 8,700 美元， 突破特定水平时，需求和供给端会出现负反馈。 全球制造业自 2022 年中以来处于底部，市场期待联储降息后全球货币 宽松推动制造业修复，从而提振铜价。铜矿供给端扰动较多，2025 年 全球铜矿增长预期从 70 万吨降至 30 多万吨，供需维持紧张。 铜行业供给端面临矿山老化、政治经济约束等问题，导致实际产量不及 预期。冶炼厂因矿端紧张和产能超额投放地位下降，长单 TC 持续降低， 无自有矿山及长单占比低的民营冶炼厂面临停产压力。 全球铜库存自二季度以来持续下行，目前处于五年倒数第二低位。美国 232 安全调查提高美国产品溢价，促使贸易商将产品运往美国套利，美 国本土增加补库需求，导致非美经济体库存外流。 美国 232 安全调查启动后，美国对进口铜实施关税预期提高美国产品溢 价约 14%，推动美国虹吸全球库存，前四个月进口量同比增长 200%， 导致非美经济体库存减少，LME 价格走 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes that the European Union must demonstrate strength in trade negotiations with the United States [1] Group 2 - The statement reflects the EU's strategic approach to enhance its bargaining power in international trade discussions [1] - The need for a unified stance among EU member states is highlighted to effectively negotiate with the US [1] - The comments suggest a proactive strategy to address trade imbalances and protect European interests [1]

美国总统特朗普：巴西前总统博索纳罗在贸易谈判中非常强硬。（外媒更正：非"巴西在贸易谈判中非 常强硬"） ...

美国总统特朗普：巴西在贸易谈判中非常强硬。 ...

Group 1 - International gold prices experienced a significant increase, rising by $62.76 or 1.92% for the week ending July 4, marking the best performance in three weeks [1] - The rise in gold prices was driven by uncertainties in trade negotiations and concerns over fiscal risks associated with the "Big and Beautiful" plan, alongside expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut and a weakening dollar [1][3] - The U.S. non-farm payroll data released showed an increase of 147,000 jobs in June, with the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropping to 4.1%, which overshadowed some of the positive momentum in the gold market [2] Group 2 - The uncertainty surrounding the so-called "reciprocal tariffs" remains, with President Trump announcing plans to impose tariffs of up to 70% on certain goods, which has attracted safe-haven buying in gold [3] - The "Big and Beautiful" tax and spending bill is projected to increase the existing $36.2 trillion national debt by $3.4 trillion, raising concerns about the sustainability of U.S. fiscal policy and the stability of the debt market [4] - Speculative long positions in gold are increasing, with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange reporting an increase of 7,918 contracts to a total of 443,920 contracts as of July 4 [6]

【环球网报道 记者 赵建东】据日本雅虎新闻网、英国"The London Economic"等媒体报道称，美国总统特朗普近日在接受福克斯新闻采访中， 似乎忘记日本首相石破茂的名字，而称他为"日本先生"。报道称，美国所谓"对等关税"90天暂缓期将于7月9日结束，特朗普政府此时正处紧张 时刻。 《日经亚洲》援引学者的话分析称，特朗普对日本的无知令人恼火。当然，石破茂似乎也发现，特朗普根本就不在乎他的名字。 日本首相石破茂曾在多个场合表示，日本要的是美方全面取消加征的关税，不接受类似英国与美国达成的附带汽车出口配额的协议，也不接受 10%的所谓"基准关税"。 英媒称，特朗普此前说将向其他国家领导人致信，阐述美方关税要求，但他似乎不知道该把这封有关日本的信寄给谁。特朗普在接受福克斯新 闻采访中称，他将给"日本先生"寄信，而他指的是日本首相石破茂。 "我要寄信了，贸易谈判就此终结。我可以给日本发一封"，特朗普还想象着信上的内容向主持人口述称："亲爱的日本先生，事情是这样的。你 将为你们的汽车支付25%的关税。" 法新社称，7月9日是美国暂缓执行"对等关税"的最后期限，在此背景下，日本正寻求与美国就贸易问题进行谈判。报道 ...

Core Points - The Indian government has set "red lines" in trade negotiations with the U.S. regarding genetically modified crops, dairy products, and the automotive industry, indicating a cautious approach due to increasing political pressure [1][2] - The outcome of these negotiations will determine whether India faces a 26% tariff from the U.S., which could significantly impact India's exports and economy [1] - India has communicated its unwillingness to allow U.S. exports of genetically modified crops and to open its dairy and automotive sectors to U.S. competition [2] Group 1: Negotiation Stance - The Indian government, led by Commerce Minister Piyush Goyal, emphasizes that trade negotiations will prioritize national interests and will not be bound by deadlines [1] - India's Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman has stated that agriculture and dairy are critical red lines in the trade talks, asserting that the government will not compromise the status of domestic farmers [1][3] Group 2: Domestic Political Pressure - There is significant domestic political pressure on the Indian government from opposition parties and farmer groups, warning against excessive concessions to the U.S. [3] - Farmers, who are a key voter base for Modi's party, are concerned that genetically modified crops could harm their livelihoods, with warnings from farmer group representatives about the economic impact [3] - The opposition party, Congress, expresses skepticism about the government's ability to resist U.S. demands, with leaders predicting that Modi will yield to U.S. tariff deadlines [3]

能源化工 通惠期货•研发产品系列 苯乙烯日报 2025 年 7 月 7 日 星期一 （1）基本面 价格：7 月 4 日苯乙烯主力合约收涨 0.59%，报 7340/吨，基差 290（+22 元/吨）； 成本：7 月 4 日布油主力合约收盘 67.0 桶（-0.5 桶），WTI 原油主力合 约收盘 68.8 桶（-0.3 美元/桶），华东纯苯现货报价 5880 元/吨（+20 元/ 吨）。 库存：苯乙烯样本工厂库存 19.4 万吨（-0.6 万吨），环比去库 3.0%，江 苏港口库存 9.9 万吨（+1.4 万吨），环比累库 16.2%，苯乙烯整体偏累库。 供应：苯乙烯检修装置逐渐回归，供应整体持稳。目前，苯乙烯周产量 保持 36.7 万吨（+0 万吨），工厂产能利用率 80.0%（-0.1%）。 需求：下游 3S 开工率变化不一，其中 EPS 产能利用率 55.9（-3.84%）， ABS 产能利用率 65.0%（-1.0%），PS 产能利用率 52.4%（-5.0%），开工率整体 回落。 （2）观点 纯苯：当前纯苯市场呈现供需双增态势。供应端，石油苯开工率略有波动，而 加氢苯开工率则持续攀升至历史高位，主要 ...

Group 1 - The Portuguese government plans to initiate the privatization process of the national airline TAP SA in the coming weeks, aiming to sell less than 50% of its shares [2] - Major European full-service airlines, including Air France-KLM, Lufthansa Group, and International Airlines Group (IAG), have expressed interest in acquiring TAP SA, which is the leading airline providing services from Europe to Brazil [2] - TAP SA also has a strong presence in Africa and operates multiple flights to North America, highlighting its strategic importance in international aviation [2] Group 2 - The privatization plan for TAP SA was previously delayed due to a parliamentary vote in March that overthrew the center-right minority government [2] - Following early elections in May, the ruling coalition gained more seats in parliament but still did not achieve an absolute majority [2]